Carvana's record quarter overshadowed by guidance miss and federal probe
Stellantis dealership acquisitions Carvana is buying physical dealerships, mainly from Stellantis, to capture trade-ins and high-margin service revenue. Its first Arizona location jumped from 30-50 to over 700 monthly sales. This could add a new profit stream and support the stock over time.
New expansion into physical retail and service revenue is a fresh growth driver for Carvana.
Full-year EBITDA guidance disappoints Carvana's Q2 revenue beat and adjusted EBITDA was slightly above consensus, but its full-year EBITDA outlook of $2.7-3.0 billion fell short of analyst forecasts. The stock tumbled 14% as investors worried about future profitability.
The guidance miss is the main reason the stock dropped sharply after earnings.
Record Q2 sales and stronger balance sheet Carvana sold a record 197,325 retail units, up 38%, with revenue up 52% to $7.38 billion and net income of $513 million. It cut its debt ratio to 1.0 times EBITDA, the strongest ever, which reduces financial risk.
Strong operational results and improved financial health are key positives for the company.
Federal probe into Mark Walter A federal investigation into billionaire Mark Walter, who indirectly controls 8% of Carvana's Class B stock, has raised fears of forced selling if he faces financial pressure. The stock fell about 10% for the week on this news.
The probe introduces regulatory and ownership uncertainty that directly pressured the stock.