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Fox Factory vs Modine Manufacturing: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF)

Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)

Q3 2026
▲3▼1

Modine's AI cooling boom and Gentherm spin-off reshape the company

  • Data center sales surge 90% on AI cooling demand Modine's data center sales jumped 90% to $348.6 million in the first quarter, with backlog more than doubling and record orders. Management expects data center revenue to top $2 billion by fiscal 2028. This strong demand for AI cooling products is the main reason the stock has risen and could keep pushing it higher.

    This is the core growth driver behind Modine's stock and directly answers why it's moving.

  • Margins squeezed by supply chain and component shortages Despite strong sales, gross margin fell to 20.8% and data center margins dropped to 14.8% from 22.1% due to component shortages and higher costs. This is a real counterweight: profits aren't growing as fast as sales, and the stock fell 3.9% after earnings even though the company beat profit estimates.

    It shows the main risk that could hold the stock back and explains recent underperformance.

  • Gentherm merger clears final hurdle, spin-off set for October 1 Gentherm shareholders approved the deal to combine Modine's Performance Technologies business with Gentherm, and the spin-off is set to close October 1. Modine will receive a $159 million cash distribution and its shareholders will get about 43.6% of the combined company. This simplifies Modine into a pure-play thermal management company focused on data centers.

    This major corporate restructuring changes Modine's business mix and is a key reason for recent stock movement.

  • Long-term capacity agreement provides revenue visibility through 2029 Modine has a capacity agreement covering more than $4 billion of Airedale chiller products for 2027-2029, with orders already coming in. This gives investors confidence in future revenue and supports the stock's valuation, even as near-term margins are pressured.

    It explains why investors are willing to look past current margin issues and bid the stock up.

August 2026
▲3▼1

Modine's AI cooling boom and Gentherm spin-off reshape the company

  • Data center sales surge 90% on AI cooling demand Modine's data center sales jumped 90% to $348.6 million in the first quarter, with backlog more than doubling and record orders. Management expects data center revenue to top $2 billion by fiscal 2028. This strong demand for AI cooling products is the main reason the stock has risen and could keep pushing it higher.

    This is the core growth driver behind Modine's stock and directly answers why it's moving.

  • Margins squeezed by supply chain and component shortages Despite strong sales, gross margin fell to 20.8% and data center margins dropped to 14.8% from 22.1% due to component shortages and higher costs. This is a real counterweight: profits aren't growing as fast as sales, and the stock fell 3.9% after earnings even though the company beat profit estimates.

    It shows the main risk that could hold the stock back and explains recent underperformance.

  • Gentherm merger clears final hurdle, spin-off set for October 1 Gentherm shareholders approved the deal to combine Modine's Performance Technologies business with Gentherm, and the spin-off is set to close October 1. Modine will receive a $159 million cash distribution and its shareholders will get about 43.6% of the combined company. This simplifies Modine into a pure-play thermal management company focused on data centers.

    This major corporate restructuring changes Modine's business mix and is a key reason for recent stock movement.

  • Long-term capacity agreement provides revenue visibility through 2029 Modine has a capacity agreement covering more than $4 billion of Airedale chiller products for 2027-2029, with orders already coming in. This gives investors confidence in future revenue and supports the stock's valuation, even as near-term margins are pressured.

    It explains why investors are willing to look past current margin issues and bid the stock up.

Latest
▲3▼1

Modine's AI cooling boom and Gentherm spin-off reshape the company

  • Data center sales surge 90% on AI cooling demand Modine's data center sales jumped 90% to $348.6 million in the first quarter, with backlog more than doubling and record orders. Management expects data center revenue to top $2 billion by fiscal 2028. This strong demand for AI cooling products is the main reason the stock has risen and could keep pushing it higher.

    This is the core growth driver behind Modine's stock and directly answers why it's moving.

  • Margins squeezed by supply chain and component shortages Despite strong sales, gross margin fell to 20.8% and data center margins dropped to 14.8% from 22.1% due to component shortages and higher costs. This is a real counterweight: profits aren't growing as fast as sales, and the stock fell 3.9% after earnings even though the company beat profit estimates.

    It shows the main risk that could hold the stock back and explains recent underperformance.

  • Gentherm merger clears final hurdle, spin-off set for October 1 Gentherm shareholders approved the deal to combine Modine's Performance Technologies business with Gentherm, and the spin-off is set to close October 1. Modine will receive a $159 million cash distribution and its shareholders will get about 43.6% of the combined company. This simplifies Modine into a pure-play thermal management company focused on data centers.

    This major corporate restructuring changes Modine's business mix and is a key reason for recent stock movement.

  • Long-term capacity agreement provides revenue visibility through 2029 Modine has a capacity agreement covering more than $4 billion of Airedale chiller products for 2027-2029, with orders already coming in. This gives investors confidence in future revenue and supports the stock's valuation, even as near-term margins are pressured.

    It explains why investors are willing to look past current margin issues and bid the stock up.

Q2 2026
▲2▼2

Modine's $4B Data Center Deal and Pure-Play Shift Drive Growth, But Margins Face Pressure

  • Over $4 Billion Data Center Cooling Deal Secured Modine signed a long-term agreement to supply more than $4 billion of Airedale cooling products from 2027 to 2029, with a $165 million upfront cash payment. This gives unusually clear demand visibility and funds capacity expansion, supporting future revenue growth.

    This is the largest new contract and directly boosts future revenue and confidence.

  • First Supply Chain Constraints Emerge Component shortages appeared late in fiscal Q4, temporarily affecting Q1 production. While full-year outlook is unchanged, this shows scaling challenges that could delay deliveries and add costs, weighing on near-term results.

    New operational risk that could impact near-term production and costs.

  • Competitive Pressure from Vertiv Analysts favor Vertiv over Modine for AI cooling exposure, citing Vertiv's larger scale and better margins. Modine's gross margin fell 320 basis points due to expansion costs and tariffs, and it holds a Hold rating versus Vertiv's Buy, highlighting competitive challenges.

    New analyst comparison that highlights Modine's relative competitive disadvantage.

  • Pure-Play Transformation After Legacy Segment Sale Modine sold its cyclical Performance Technologies division, becoming a focused data center and HVAC company. Management targets $2.5 billion revenue in two years, and fund letters highlight the growth potential, driving investor enthusiasm.

    New strategic shift that repositions Modine for higher growth and multiple expansion.

June 2026
▲2▼2

Modine's $4B Data Center Deal and Pure-Play Shift Drive Growth, But Margins Face Pressure

  • Over $4 Billion Data Center Cooling Deal Secured Modine signed a long-term agreement to supply more than $4 billion of Airedale cooling products from 2027 to 2029, with a $165 million upfront cash payment. This gives unusually clear demand visibility and funds capacity expansion, supporting future revenue growth.

    This is the largest new contract and directly boosts future revenue and confidence.

  • First Supply Chain Constraints Emerge Component shortages appeared late in fiscal Q4, temporarily affecting Q1 production. While full-year outlook is unchanged, this shows scaling challenges that could delay deliveries and add costs, weighing on near-term results.

    New operational risk that could impact near-term production and costs.

  • Competitive Pressure from Vertiv Analysts favor Vertiv over Modine for AI cooling exposure, citing Vertiv's larger scale and better margins. Modine's gross margin fell 320 basis points due to expansion costs and tariffs, and it holds a Hold rating versus Vertiv's Buy, highlighting competitive challenges.

    New analyst comparison that highlights Modine's relative competitive disadvantage.

  • Pure-Play Transformation After Legacy Segment Sale Modine sold its cyclical Performance Technologies division, becoming a focused data center and HVAC company. Management targets $2.5 billion revenue in two years, and fund letters highlight the growth potential, driving investor enthusiasm.

    New strategic shift that repositions Modine for higher growth and multiple expansion.

▲2▼2

Modine's $4B Data Center Deal and Pure-Play Shift Drive Growth, But Margins Face Pressure

  • Over $4 Billion Data Center Cooling Deal Secured Modine signed a long-term agreement to supply more than $4 billion of Airedale cooling products from 2027 to 2029, with a $165 million upfront cash payment. This gives unusually clear demand visibility and funds capacity expansion, supporting future revenue growth.

    This is the largest new contract and directly boosts future revenue and confidence.

  • First Supply Chain Constraints Emerge Component shortages appeared late in fiscal Q4, temporarily affecting Q1 production. While full-year outlook is unchanged, this shows scaling challenges that could delay deliveries and add costs, weighing on near-term results.

    New operational risk that could impact near-term production and costs.

  • Competitive Pressure from Vertiv Analysts favor Vertiv over Modine for AI cooling exposure, citing Vertiv's larger scale and better margins. Modine's gross margin fell 320 basis points due to expansion costs and tariffs, and it holds a Hold rating versus Vertiv's Buy, highlighting competitive challenges.

    New analyst comparison that highlights Modine's relative competitive disadvantage.

  • Pure-Play Transformation After Legacy Segment Sale Modine sold its cyclical Performance Technologies division, becoming a focused data center and HVAC company. Management targets $2.5 billion revenue in two years, and fund letters highlight the growth potential, driving investor enthusiasm.

    New strategic shift that repositions Modine for higher growth and multiple expansion.