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Sermsang Power vs Sungrow Power Supply: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Sermsang Power Corporation Public Company Limited (SSP.BK)

Q3 2026
▲3

SSP gains on solar sale, Japan season, and new projects

  • Yamaga solar sale closed SSP completed the sale of its Yamaga solar project for 1 billion baht, reducing debt and adding a one-time gain of 300–500 million baht, which supports the company's financial position.

    This is a major completed transaction that directly boosts earnings and strengthens the balance sheet.

  • Japan high season and Leo 2 boost Q3 profit Q3 profit is expected at 120–140 million baht, driven by Japan's solar high season and the Leo 2 project, while H1 profit already rose 44.8% to 325.1 million baht.

    This explains the expected earnings growth in the quarter and highlights operational strength.

  • Waste-to-energy plants and policy support Two waste-to-energy plants (19.8 MW) start commercial operation in late 2026, and Thailand's PDP 2026 and rooftop-solar subsidy support SSP's expansion toward its 1,000 MW goal.

    These developments provide visible growth catalysts and align with supportive government policies.

  • Analyst Buy rating but risks remain Yuanta rates SSP Buy with a 14.10 baht target, but risks include heavy reliance on asset-sale gains, uncertain PDP bidding, and potential policy execution disappointments.

    This captures the positive analyst view while acknowledging the key risks that could affect future performance.

September 2026
▲4

SSP cashes in on Yamaga sale and eyes Thailand's huge new power plan

  • Yamaga sale completed, 1 billion baht cash in SSP closed the sale of its 34.5 MW Yamaga solar farm in Japan, receiving 1,001.30 million baht. The deal adds cash, cuts debt, and will book a special gain of 300–500 million baht in Q3 2026, boosting reported profit and giving SSP money to fund new projects.

    This is the period's biggest concrete event, directly lifting earnings and funding capacity.

  • SSP ready to bid in PDP 2026, targeting 1,000 MW by 2032 Thailand's draft PDP 2026 plans 50,900 MW of new capacity, mostly solar and wind. SSP says it is ready to bid, building on its existing 420 MW pipeline and 170.5 MW of earlier FiT wins. Winning more projects would grow revenue for years and supports its 1,000 MW goal.

    The new national power plan is the main long-term demand driver for SSP's growth.

  • Yuanta keeps Buy, raises target to 14.10 baht Yuanta maintained its Buy rating and lifted SSP's target price to 14.10 baht, citing PDP 2026 growth, higher 2027 earnings, and a stronger balance sheet after Yamaga. It also noted plans to sell three more Japanese projects for about 2 billion baht, which would fund further expansion.

    A fresh analyst upgrade with a higher target directly supports investor confidence and the share price.

  • Government backs rooftop solar with 50 billion baht fund Thailand's prime minister announced a 50 billion baht fund from mid-October to help households install rooftop solar, alongside a clean-energy push. This policy support could expand the solar market and benefit SSP's project pipeline and engineering business over time.

    New government money for solar adds a policy tailwind that can lift future demand for SSP's projects.

Latest
▲4

SSP cashes in on Yamaga sale and eyes Thailand's huge new power plan

  • Yamaga sale completed, 1 billion baht cash in SSP closed the sale of its 34.5 MW Yamaga solar farm in Japan, receiving 1,001.30 million baht. The deal adds cash, cuts debt, and will book a special gain of 300–500 million baht in Q3 2026, boosting reported profit and giving SSP money to fund new projects.

    This is the period's biggest concrete event, directly lifting earnings and funding capacity.

  • SSP ready to bid in PDP 2026, targeting 1,000 MW by 2032 Thailand's draft PDP 2026 plans 50,900 MW of new capacity, mostly solar and wind. SSP says it is ready to bid, building on its existing 420 MW pipeline and 170.5 MW of earlier FiT wins. Winning more projects would grow revenue for years and supports its 1,000 MW goal.

    The new national power plan is the main long-term demand driver for SSP's growth.

  • Yuanta keeps Buy, raises target to 14.10 baht Yuanta maintained its Buy rating and lifted SSP's target price to 14.10 baht, citing PDP 2026 growth, higher 2027 earnings, and a stronger balance sheet after Yamaga. It also noted plans to sell three more Japanese projects for about 2 billion baht, which would fund further expansion.

    A fresh analyst upgrade with a higher target directly supports investor confidence and the share price.

  • Government backs rooftop solar with 50 billion baht fund Thailand's prime minister announced a 50 billion baht fund from mid-October to help households install rooftop solar, alongside a clean-energy push. This policy support could expand the solar market and benefit SSP's project pipeline and engineering business over time.

    New government money for solar adds a policy tailwind that can lift future demand for SSP's projects.

August 2026
▲4

SSP's profit rebound and new projects drive growth outlook

  • Strong Q3 profit expected on seasonal solar and asset sale SSP expects Q3 normalised profit of 120–140 million baht, up sharply from last year, helped by Japan solar high season and a full quarter from the Leo 2 project. A potential 400–500 million baht gain from selling the Yamaga solar project could further boost earnings.

    This directly signals a near-term earnings rebound that supports the share price.

  • First-half profit jumps 44.8% with 300 MW pipeline SSP reported H1 net profit of 325.1 million baht, up 44.8% year-on-year, on higher electricity sales. The company has about 300 MW of solar and wind projects under development that should more than double output by 2028, supporting long-term growth.

    Confirms strong financial performance and a clear growth path, key for investor confidence.

  • Waste-to-energy plants to start commercial operation in Q4 2026 Two community waste-to-energy plants (19.8 MW total) are 85% complete and set to begin commercial operation in late 2026. They will generate steady revenue around the clock and earn waste disposal fees, marking SSP's first move into this segment.

    New revenue stream with higher capacity factor than solar/wind, boosting future earnings.

  • New power plan and solar subsidy support growth Thailand's draft PDP2026 targets over 20,000 MW of new capacity, mostly renewables, and a million-rooftop solar subsidy could boost SSP's EPC business. SSP is also eyeing community solar and expansion into the Philippines and Taiwan.

    Policy tailwinds open new project opportunities and support long-term capacity goals.

▲4

SSP's profit rebound and new projects drive growth outlook

  • Strong Q3 profit expected on seasonal solar and asset sale SSP expects Q3 normalised profit of 120–140 million baht, up sharply from last year, helped by Japan solar high season and a full quarter from the Leo 2 project. A potential 400–500 million baht gain from selling the Yamaga solar project could further boost earnings.

    This directly signals a near-term earnings rebound that supports the share price.

  • First-half profit jumps 44.8% with 300 MW pipeline SSP reported H1 net profit of 325.1 million baht, up 44.8% year-on-year, on higher electricity sales. The company has about 300 MW of solar and wind projects under development that should more than double output by 2028, supporting long-term growth.

    Confirms strong financial performance and a clear growth path, key for investor confidence.

  • Waste-to-energy plants to start commercial operation in Q4 2026 Two community waste-to-energy plants (19.8 MW total) are 85% complete and set to begin commercial operation in late 2026. They will generate steady revenue around the clock and earn waste disposal fees, marking SSP's first move into this segment.

    New revenue stream with higher capacity factor than solar/wind, boosting future earnings.

  • New power plan and solar subsidy support growth Thailand's draft PDP2026 targets over 20,000 MW of new capacity, mostly renewables, and a million-rooftop solar subsidy could boost SSP's EPC business. SSP is also eyeing community solar and expansion into the Philippines and Taiwan.

    Policy tailwinds open new project opportunities and support long-term capacity goals.

Sungrow Power Supply Co Ltd (300274.CS)

Q3 2026
▲2▼2

Sungrow hit by US/EU bans, but AI data-center pivot advances

  • US and EU regulatory crackdowns US and EU regulators banned Chinese inverters over grid-security concerns, with the US FCC ban affecting 15–20% of revenue and a Trump executive order targeting foreign battery storage, causing sharp share declines.

    This was the main negative force driving the stock down during the quarter.

  • Weak first-half financials First-half revenue fell 29% and net profit dropped 32%, confirming weak demand and adding to investor concerns.

    The poor financial results reinforced the negative sentiment from regulatory pressures.

  • AI data-center pivot gains traction Sungrow advanced its AI data-center pivot, launching solid-state transformers and securing 130 MW framework deals, with roughly 2 GWh of AIDC orders and a 10+ GWh pipeline.

    This new business direction provided a positive offset to the regulatory headwinds.

  • New orders and shareholder returns Sungrow won a major Chile battery storage contract (152MW/606MWh), invested in storage and EVB ventures, proposed a 500 million–1 billion yuan buyback, and landed a 229 MW Thailand order.

    These developments showed continued business wins and efforts to support the stock price.

August 2026
▲2▼2

US ban and profit slump hit Sungrow, but storage orders boom

  • Trump executive order threatens US battery storage sales On August 26, Trump signed an executive order banning US procurement or installation of certain foreign power equipment, including battery storage. Sungrow's shares fell as much as 14% as investors feared lost US business. The company is still reviewing the impact, and this is the second US policy shock this year.

    This is the biggest new negative force on the stock, directly hitting a key market and causing a sharp sell-off.

  • First-half profit falls 32% on lower revenue Sungrow reported first-half revenue down 29% and net profit down 32% from a year earlier, mainly because of smaller revenue scale. Gross margin improved slightly, and second-quarter profit rose 29% from the first quarter. The profit drop confirms weak overall demand, weighing on the stock.

    The earnings miss is a core new fundamental negative that explains why the stock is under pressure beyond US policy.

  • Chile battery storage order adds overseas demand Sungrow won a contract to supply a 152MW/606MWh battery storage system and solar inverters for Chile's Observatorio project, with a 25-year service agreement. This large order shows demand outside the US and helps offset lost American business, supporting future revenue.

    It is a concrete new overseas win that counters the negative US news and shows the company can grow elsewhere.

  • AIDC energy storage orders and pipeline signal strong growth Sungrow said it expects very high growth in AIDC-related business over the next two years, with about 2 GWh of orders in hand and over a dozen GWh in pipeline. It also delivered solid-state transformers for data centers, potentially a first. This points to a new demand driver beyond solar.

    It reveals a fresh growth area that could replace lost US solar business and lift future profits.

Latest
▲2▼2

US ban and profit slump hit Sungrow, but storage orders boom

  • Trump executive order threatens US battery storage sales On August 26, Trump signed an executive order banning US procurement or installation of certain foreign power equipment, including battery storage. Sungrow's shares fell as much as 14% as investors feared lost US business. The company is still reviewing the impact, and this is the second US policy shock this year.

    This is the biggest new negative force on the stock, directly hitting a key market and causing a sharp sell-off.

  • First-half profit falls 32% on lower revenue Sungrow reported first-half revenue down 29% and net profit down 32% from a year earlier, mainly because of smaller revenue scale. Gross margin improved slightly, and second-quarter profit rose 29% from the first quarter. The profit drop confirms weak overall demand, weighing on the stock.

    The earnings miss is a core new fundamental negative that explains why the stock is under pressure beyond US policy.

  • Chile battery storage order adds overseas demand Sungrow won a contract to supply a 152MW/606MWh battery storage system and solar inverters for Chile's Observatorio project, with a 25-year service agreement. This large order shows demand outside the US and helps offset lost American business, supporting future revenue.

    It is a concrete new overseas win that counters the negative US news and shows the company can grow elsewhere.

  • AIDC energy storage orders and pipeline signal strong growth Sungrow said it expects very high growth in AIDC-related business over the next two years, with about 2 GWh of orders in hand and over a dozen GWh in pipeline. It also delivered solid-state transformers for data centers, potentially a first. This points to a new demand driver beyond solar.

    It reveals a fresh growth area that could replace lost US solar business and lift future profits.

July 2026
▲2▼2

US inverter ban hits Sungrow; AI data-center pivot offers counterweight

  • US ban on Chinese inverters The US FCC banned imports of Chinese internet-connected inverters over grid-security concerns. Since the US is 15–20% of revenue, shares fell nearly 20% on draft news and about 5% on the final ban.

    This was the biggest new negative force on the stock during the period.

  • EU restricts Chinese inverters The EU also moved to restrict Chinese-made inverters over grid-security concerns. Management said the impact would be limited, but the news added to regulatory worries.

    It shows the regulatory pressure was not just a US issue, broadening the risk.

  • AI data-center pivot Sungrow launched EnerNeo solid-state transformers and signed 130 MW framework deals, with large-scale sales expected by 2028. Data centers were flagged as solar's fastest-growing demand driver.

    This is a new growth avenue that could offset regulatory setbacks.

  • Buyback and investments Sungrow proposed a 500 million–1 billion yuan buyback to support the stock, invested in Sunwoda EVB and an energy-storage fund, and won a 229 MW Thailand inverter order.

    These actions show management confidence and new business wins, providing a positive counterweight.

▲3▼1

US inverter ban hits Sungrow; buyback and new deals offset

  • US bans Chinese inverters, stock falls The US FCC banned imports of Chinese internet-connected inverters, directly hitting Sungrow's US sales. The stock fell nearly 5% on the news. This is a real threat because the US is a key market, though Sungrow says its products comply and local US production is years away.

    This is the biggest new negative event and directly explains the stock's recent drop.

  • Buyback plan supports share price Sungrow plans to repurchase 500 million to 1 billion yuan of its own shares. Buybacks reduce the number of shares and signal management thinks the stock is undervalued, which can put a floor under the price after the US ban sell-off.

    This is a new capital action that directly counters the negative US news.

  • New investments expand downstream reach Sungrow invested 655 million yuan in Sunwoda EVB and committed 199 million yuan to a 1 billion yuan energy storage fund. These moves build ties with customers and projects, supporting future demand for Sungrow's inverters and storage systems.

    Shows Sungrow is actively growing its business despite US restrictions.

  • Thailand solar deal adds demand Sungrow signed an agreement to supply inverters for Thailand's 229 MW Solar Big Lot project, with first phase starting early 2027. This is a concrete overseas order that helps offset lost US business and shows demand outside America.

    A new international order that diversifies away from the US market.

▲3▼1

Sungrow's AI data-center pivot and buyback offset US/EU inverter restrictions

  • US and EU plan to restrict Chinese solar inverters The US and EU are drafting rules to limit Chinese-made inverters over grid security concerns. Sungrow gets 15–20% of revenue from the US, so its shares fell nearly 20% intraday on the news. The rules are still in draft form, and Sungrow says the EU funding limits have limited impact.

    This is the biggest near-term risk to Sungrow's revenue and explains the sharp stock drop.

  • New solid-state transformers and 130 MW AI data-center deals Sungrow launched its EnerNeo solid-state transformers and signed 130 MW framework deals with two data-center firms. It is also talking to North American cloud providers. This opens a new AI-driven market, with large-scale sales expected by 2028, giving the stock a fresh growth story beyond solar.

    This is a new product and revenue stream that directly ties Sungrow to the fast-growing AI data-center power market.

  • Chairman proposes 500 million–1 billion yuan share buyback Sungrow's chairman proposed a buyback of 500 million to 1 billion yuan. Buybacks reduce the number of shares outstanding and signal that management thinks the stock is undervalued, which can support the share price and boost investor confidence.

    This is a concrete capital action that can put a floor under the stock after the regulatory sell-off.

  • AI data centers seen as fastest-growing solar demand driver At an industry workshop, Sungrow's vice president said data-center electricity demand will be the fastest-growing market for solar over the next five years. This supports demand for Sungrow's solar and storage products, even as overall Chinese solar installations are falling sharply.

    It shows a new demand source that can offset the slowdown in traditional solar installations.

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