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BofA Upgrades Dassault Aviation to Buy on Rafale Order Prospects
BofA Securities upgraded Dassault Aviation to buy from neutral and raised its price target to €360 from €345, citing the French fighter maker's long order book and potential new Rafale contracts. The target implies about 27% upside from the €284 share price cited in the report, and BofA noted the stock has fallen about 20% from its year-to-date high, creating a more attractive entry point. Dassault's Rafale backlog provides about 7.5 years of production visibility at current delivery rates, with further upside possible from India and Ukraine. India's proposed order for 114 Rafales could become a key catalyst in the fourth quarter and would be the largest export order in the aircraft's history, while Ukraine has expressed interest in acquiring up to 100 Rafales, initially ordering 16 aircraft under a July 2026 agreement with France with deliveries due to begin in 2028-29. Neither opportunity has yet become a firm contract, but BofA said that if both orders are secured, Dassault's backlog could exceed 400 aircraft, potentially extending production visibility to about 15 years at 2026 production rates. BofA also raised its 2026 earnings-per-share forecast to €16.40 from €16.30 and its 2028 forecast to €22.31 from €21.42, while cutting its 2027 estimate to €19.36 from €19.67.
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AM.PA · Capital · Positive BofA upgraded Dassault to buy and raised its price target to €360 on Rafale order prospects and a long backlog