SpaceX Shares Stabilize After Post-IPO Drawdown as Starship Reaches Orbit

โดย Zacks Investment Research·US·Read original
Summary · why it matters

SpaceX shares have stabilized after notching an all-time low of $104.83 in early August, with the company citing fresh catalysts that could drive the stock higher into year-end and into 2027. Starship, SpaceX's two-stage rocket and the largest human-made flying object, recently reached orbit for the first time, and the recent flight deployed the first 26 next-generation Starlink V3 satellites. Anthropic expanded its computing agreements with SpaceX, committing up to $84.5 billion through May 2029 for NVIDIA-based AI infrastructure, while Zacks Consensus Estimates suggest SpaceX will grow revenue by 147% in 2027. The odds of a SpaceX and Tesla merger by the end of next year have spiked to 63% on Polymarket. The company also pointed to Planet Labs and Google's launch of the first AI satellite as proof of concept for its ambitions in space-based AI data centers.

Impact on assets 5

Artificial Intelligence▲ · 3 stocks
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Anthropic's up-to-$84.5B SpaceX computing commitment through 2029 is for NVIDIA-based AI infrastructure, implying demand for NVIDIA chips.

Tesla Inc
TSLA
± Mixedrelevance

Only referenced via Polymarket odds of a SpaceX-Tesla merger by end of next year; no Tesla-specific development.

Space Economy▲ · 2 stocks

Theme Impact 3

Off-coverage companies 3

AnthropicPrivate± Mixed
relevance

PolymarketPrivate± Mixed
relevance

Zacks Investment Research, Inc.Private± Mixed
relevance

Related news

United StatesNew ZealandJapan
▲2

Rocket Lab Wins Synspective's Record 20-Launch Electron Contract

Rocket Lab Corporation announced a multi-year agreement to launch 20 new Electron missions from Launch Complex 1 for Synspective, carrying StriX synthetic aperture radar satellites to sun-synchronous orbit annually from 2028 through 2031. The contract is the largest commercial launch deal for Electron so far and lifts Rocket Lab's backlog above 100 missions, deepening its role in building Synspective's global Earth-imaging constellation. The deal reinforces Electron's position as a high-cadence small-launch workhorse and slightly reduces near-term lumpiness risk in the launch book, though the key near-term catalyst and risk remain Neutron test progress and ongoing cash burn. Rocket Lab's US$1.944 billion equity raise to fund the pending Iridium acquisition shows management leaning on the balance sheet to expand into higher-value space systems and communications, amplifying the benefits of large multi-year contracts like Synspective's while raising the stakes around dilution and execution. Analysts had already modeled revenue near US$2.2 billion and earnings around US$365 million by 2029 on the optimistic side, against a more cautious consensus that treats cash burn and contract lumpiness as core risks.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Launch Services & Propulsion ▲Demand
RKLB · Demand · Positive Wins largest commercial Electron contract, 20 Synspective launches lifting backlog above 100 missions.
RKLB · Capital · Neutral US$1.944B equity raise to fund Iridium acquisition raises dilution and cash-burn stakes.
290A.JP · Demand · Positive Secures 20 Electron launches from 2028-2031 to build out its StriX Earth-imaging constellation.
Read original ↗
Simply Wall St·16hRead more →
United States
▲impact 4

Google and Planet Labs launch Project Suncatcher AI satellite on SpaceX rocket

Google said Thursday that its prototype satellite for Project Suncatcher, built in partnership with Planet Labs, launched into orbit aboard the Transporter-18 rideshare mission with SpaceX. The tech giant said its team has confirmed contact with the satellite, and it is operating as expected. Travis Beals, senior director of Project Suncatcher, wrote in a blog post following the launch that this is the first step in a long-term research moonshot exploring whether space could one day host scalable machine learning infrastructure, and that over the coming weeks the team will gather in-orbit data on how its TPUs handle the physical stress of spaceflight and the radiation and thermal extremes of space. Alphabet holds a stake worth more than $82B in SpaceX, which went public in June in a record IPO. SpaceX, led by Elon Musk, has also announced that it plans to build and launch its orbital data centers.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Earth Observation & Geospatial Data Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Custom Silicon / ASIC ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Foundation Models & Research Labs ▲Technology
Space Economy › Launch Services & Propulsion ▲Technology
GOOG · Technology · Positive Google's Project Suncatcher prototype satellite launched and is operating as expected, advancing its space-based ML infrastructure research.
PL · Technology · Positive Planet Labs built the Project Suncatcher prototype satellite in partnership with Google, which launched successfully and is operating as expected.
SPCX · Demand · Positive SpaceX's Transporter-18 rideshare mission carried the Project Suncatcher satellite to orbit, adding a launch customer mission.
Read original ↗
Seeking Alpha·2dRead more →
United StatesCanadaRussia
▲

SpaceX Launches Crew 13 to ISS as Dragon's Future Remains Uncertain

SpaceX launched four astronauts to the International Space Station on Thursday aboard a Crew Dragon capsule, marking the company's 13th crew rotation mission for NASA. The crew, consisting of two Americans, one Canadian, and one Russian cosmonaut, lifted off from Space Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral, Florida, on a Falcon 9 rocket. According to Bloomberg space correspondent Lauren Grush, the mission comes amid speculation that SpaceX may retire the Crew Dragon once the ISS program ends, with only four more crew rotation missions currently scheduled. The crew will spend roughly a week aboard the station before the previous Crew 12 team returns to Earth following a handover. Three of the four astronauts on this flight are first-time flyers.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Human Spaceflight & Space Tourism ▲Supply
Space Economy › Launch Services & Propulsion ▲Supply
SPCX · Demand · Positive SpaceX launched its 13th NASA crew rotation mission, a concrete operational contract win for its Crew Dragon/Falcon 9 services.
Read original ↗
Bloomberg·3dRead more →