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Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. provides transportation and logistics services in the United States through four segments: Expedited, Dedicated, Managed Freight, and Warehousing. The Expedited segment offers truckload services with high service standards, such as 1,000 miles in 22 hours or 15-minute delivery windows. The Dedicated segment provides committed truckload capacity over contracted periods, typically three to five years, using company-owned or leased equipment. The Managed Freight segment offers brokerage and transport management services, while the Warehousing segment provides warehouse management, shuttle, and switching services. The company also engages in used equipment sales and leasing. It serves transportation companies and traditional truckload customers. Formerly known as Covenant Transportation Group, Inc., it changed its name to Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. in May 2007. Founded in 1986, it is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

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Price · split & dividend adjusted
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Covenant Logistics stock plunges 11% as earnings miss overshadows long-term strategy

Covenant Logistics shares fell 11.2% to $36.85 on Thursday after the company reported adjusted earnings per share of 42 cents, down from 45 cents a year earlier, despite a 6.16% increase in freight revenue. CFO James Grant emphasized that the company’s structural shift toward multiyear committed contracts and specialized services like dedicated and warehousing is designed for long-term resilience rather than capturing short-term freight rate surges. The Expedited division was a key laggard, with freight revenue excluding fuel down about 12.9% and an adjusted operating ratio of 94.6%, while insurance and claims costs rose to $18.1 million in the second quarter, the highest quarterly level historically. Grant outlined three execution priorities: transitioning expiring contracts into new long-term commitments, moving uncommitted capacity into committed revenue, and normalizing the Managed Freight segment as contract rates catch up to capacity costs. The stock has fallen about 16.6% for the month but remains up 51.2% over the past 52 weeks.
CVLG · Capital · Negative Adjusted EPS fell to 42 cents from 45 cents, missing expectations and driving an 11.2% stock decline.
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Citizens launches transportation coverage, names FedEx a top large-cap pick

Citizens initiated coverage of the Transportation, Logistics and Services group with twenty-two names, naming FedEx among its top large-cap picks alongside FTAI Aviation, Union Pacific and C.H. Robinson, according to a note from analyst Jeff Kauffman. The firm assigned a mix of Market Outperform and Market Perform ratings with no Market Underperform ratings, citing a projected acceleration of the group's earnings recovery and momentum through late 2027. For mid- and small-cap names, Citizens favors GXO, U-Haul parent UHAL, Knight-Swift, Wabash National and Covenant Logistics, along with a story-specific Market Outperform rating on FTAI Infrastructure. Stocks in the coverage group have generated 33.8% average returns year-to-date in 2026, compared with 20.0% for the Russell 2000 and 10.7% for the S&P 500. Kauffman described the early phase of an economic recovery as one of the best windows of the cycle to own these names, with Citizens forecasting 2.3% real GDP growth in 2026, slowing to 2.1% in 2027, implying low-single-digit growth for rail freight and low-to-mid-single-digit growth for trucking. The firm pointed to six positive PMI readings this year following 38 months of negative readings, calling the current freight cycle one of the longest freight market declines, with the industry now emerging into a new upcycle supported by tight truck capacity and low inventories requiring restocking.
FDX · Demand · Positive Named a top large-cap pick; analyst expects earnings acceleration through late 2027.
CHRW · Demand · Positive Named a top large-cap pick by Citizens, citing projected earnings recovery and freight upcycle.
FTAI · Demand · Positive Named a top large-cap pick; benefits from freight upcycle and tight capacity.
CVLG · Demand · Positive Favored as a mid/small-cap name by Citizens, benefiting from freight recovery and tight truck capacity.
UNP · Demand · Positive Named a top large-cap pick by Citizens, citing projected acceleration of earnings recovery and freight upcycle.
FIP · Demand · Positive Received a story-specific Market Outperform rating from Citizens.
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Gorman-Rupp Named Top Industrials Pick While Covenant Logistics and Whirlpool Flagged as Sells

StockStory identified Gorman-Rupp as a top industrials stock to buy, while recommending investors sell Covenant Logistics and Whirlpool. Gorman-Rupp posted 14.9% annual revenue growth over five years and expanded its free cash flow margin by 6.2 percentage points, with earnings per share rising 30% annually over the past two years. Covenant Logistics saw earnings per share fall 15.7% annually despite revenue growth, and its returns on capital remain weak. Whirlpool’s sales declined 5.8% annually over five years, its free cash flow margin shrank by 5.4 percentage points, and it carries a high net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 7 times.
CVLG · Capital · Negative StockStory flagged Covenant Logistics as a sell due to falling EPS and weak returns on capital.
GRC · Capital · Positive StockStory named Gorman-Rupp a top industrials pick, citing strong revenue growth, expanding FCF margin, and rising EPS.
WHR · Capital · Negative StockStory flagged Whirlpool as a sell due to declining sales, shrinking FCF margin, and high leverage.
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Covenant Logistics Group Bullish Thesis Highlights Freight Tailwinds and Margin Improvements

A bullish thesis on Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. was published on TradersPro's Substack, citing structural freight shifts and operational improvements. The thesis notes that tariff-driven supply chain adjustments and tighter carrier capacity are benefiting the U.S.-based transportation and logistics operator. Key growth drivers include the managed freight segment and dedicated contract services, with the acquisition of Star Logistics Solutions expanding brokerage capabilities. Management is pruning lower-margin contracts and reallocating capacity to higher-return opportunities, while industry tailwinds such as higher shipment frequency and improving pricing discipline support the outlook. The stock was trading at $44.81 as of June 15th, with a forward P/E of 28.01.
CVLG · Demand · Positive Structural freight shifts and tariff-driven supply chain adjustments are increasing demand for transportation services.
CVLG · Capital · Positive Management is pruning lower-margin contracts and reallocating capacity to higher-return opportunities, improving margins.
Star Logistics Solutions · Capital · Positive Acquisition of Star Logistics Solutions expands brokerage capabilities, a positive capital event.
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