Novavax, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. Its commercialized products include Nuvaxovid, a COVID-19 vaccine, and the R21 Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. The company has license and collaboration agreements with Sanofi, Pfizer Inc., Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited, and Serum Life Sciences Limited to develop, manufacture, and commercialize the COVID-19 vaccine. Novavax was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.
Novavax's partner-led vaccine model gains traction as guidance rises
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2026 revenue guidance raised on Matrix-M demand Novavax lifted its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to $235-$275 million, citing strong demand for its Matrix-M adjuvant from partners. It also said it is on track to cut operating costs by about 90% from peak levels and still aims for profitability as early as 2028. Higher expected revenue and lower costs make the company's path to making money look more believable, which supports the stock.
This is the period's biggest company-specific event and directly changes the earnings outlook that drives the share price.
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Partner approvals for Nuvaxovid secure royalties and milestones Sanofi and Takeda won approvals for the updated Nuvaxovid shot in the U.S., European Union, and Japan for the 2026-2027 season. Because partners handle sales, Novavax earns royalties and annual milestone payments without paying for its own sales force. That turns vaccine demand into cash for Novavax with little added cost, which is good for the stock.
It shows the partner-based business model converting into actual cash flow, a core reason investors hold NVAX.
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Sanofi partnership advances toward $125 million milestone Sanofi is in advanced regulatory talks for a Phase 3 combination COVID-and-flu vaccine study, which would trigger a $125 million payment to Novavax. A separate $75 million manufacturing transfer milestone is expected by mid-2027, extending the company's cash runway into 2029. These payments reduce the risk of running short of money, which supports the share price.
It quantifies near-term cash coming in and lowers the biggest risk for a company not yet profitable.
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Moderna's new COVID and mRNA flu approvals raise competition Moderna won FDA approval for updated COVID shots and the first mRNA flu vaccine for adults 50 and over. That widens Moderna's respiratory lineup and could take shelf space and market share from Novavax's partner-led Nuvaxovid, especially if pharmacies stock more Moderna products. More competition in the same seasonal market can pressure Novavax's royalty revenue and stock.
It is the main counterweight this period, showing a rival strengthening in Novavax's core market.
Q3 2026
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Novavax's partner-led vaccine model gains traction as guidance rises
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2026 revenue guidance raised on Matrix-M demand Novavax lifted its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to $235-$275 million, citing strong demand for its Matrix-M adjuvant from partners. It also said it is on track to cut operating costs by about 90% from peak levels and still aims for profitability as early as 2028. Higher expected revenue and lower costs make the company's path to making money look more believable, which supports the stock.
This is the period's biggest company-specific event and directly changes the earnings outlook that drives the share price.
▲
Partner approvals for Nuvaxovid secure royalties and milestones Sanofi and Takeda won approvals for the updated Nuvaxovid shot in the U.S., European Union, and Japan for the 2026-2027 season. Because partners handle sales, Novavax earns royalties and annual milestone payments without paying for its own sales force. That turns vaccine demand into cash for Novavax with little added cost, which is good for the stock.
It shows the partner-based business model converting into actual cash flow, a core reason investors hold NVAX.
▲
Sanofi partnership advances toward $125 million milestone Sanofi is in advanced regulatory talks for a Phase 3 combination COVID-and-flu vaccine study, which would trigger a $125 million payment to Novavax. A separate $75 million manufacturing transfer milestone is expected by mid-2027, extending the company's cash runway into 2029. These payments reduce the risk of running short of money, which supports the share price.
It quantifies near-term cash coming in and lowers the biggest risk for a company not yet profitable.
▼
Moderna's new COVID and mRNA flu approvals raise competition Moderna won FDA approval for updated COVID shots and the first mRNA flu vaccine for adults 50 and over. That widens Moderna's respiratory lineup and could take shelf space and market share from Novavax's partner-led Nuvaxovid, especially if pharmacies stock more Moderna products. More competition in the same seasonal market can pressure Novavax's royalty revenue and stock.
It is the main counterweight this period, showing a rival strengthening in Novavax's core market.
News & notes movingNVAX
United States
Biotech & Genomic Medicine▼
Moderna Gets FDA Approvals for Updated COVID and First mRNA Flu Shots
Moderna received FDA approval for updated Spikevax and mNEXSPIKE COVID-19 vaccines tailored to the latest SARS-CoV-2 subvariant, as well as mFlusiva, its first mRNA-based influenza vaccine for adults aged 50 and over. These approvals expand Moderna's respiratory vaccine portfolio and mark the first FDA-authorized mRNA flu shot for older adults. The company, a US-based biotechnology firm developing messenger RNA medicines, sees these approvals as reinforcing its regulatory momentum and diversifying its respiratory offerings against competitors like Pfizer and Novavax in COVID and Sanofi and GSK in flu. However, analysts note that respiratory shots still depend on annual uptake, pricing, and pharmacy stocking, so the key question is how far these launches reduce reliance on a narrow set of seasonal products.
Pfizer won FDA approval Thursday for its updated Comirnaty COVID vaccine, with deliveries starting immediately and doses expected in pharmacies and clinics within days. The vaccine, developed with BioNTech, is now limited to adults 65 and older and higher-risk patients aged 5 to 64, a much smaller market than the pandemic-era rollout. Comirnaty has distributed over five billion doses worldwide, but the new seasonal demand is uncertain. Pfizer faces competition from Moderna and the Novavax-Sanofi protein vaccine. Shares traded at $27.9079 on August 28, 5.27% above the GF Value estimate of $26.51, indicating a premium before uptake and reimbursement details emerge.
Novavax Partners Secure Nuvaxovid Approvals for 2026-2027 Season
Novavax's partners have received approvals for the XFG-adapted Nuvaxovid vaccine for the 2026-2027 vaccination season in the U.S., European Union, and Japan, positioning the company to earn royalties on net sales in these markets. The approvals, announced August 28, 2026, cover the protein-based, non-mRNA vaccine, which has demonstrated a favorable tolerability profile in Sanofi's Phase 4 COMPARE study. Novavax's largest partner, Sanofi, will lead commercial activities in most major markets, including an expanded U.S. campaign and launches in Germany, Canada, and other international markets from 2026 onward. Takeda, which commercializes Nuvaxovid in Japan, saw the vaccine become the second-most used COVID-19 vaccine there in the 2025-2026 season, with delivery volumes and site numbers increasing significantly year over year. Under the collaboration and license agreements, Novavax is eligible for ongoing royalties and annual milestones tied to regulatory approvals, without carrying its own commercial infrastructure.
Biotech stocks hit post-pandemic high after Moderna, Merck mRNA cancer trial win
Biotech stocks reached their highest level since the height of the pandemic after Moderna and Merck announced that a late-stage trial testing their messenger RNA-based cancer therapy met its main goals. Healthcare became the best-performing sector in the S&P 500, with the State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF adding more than 4% to reach its highest level since February 2021. The individualized neoantigen therapy intismeran autogene, combined with Merck's Keytruda, improved recurrence-free survival with a statistically significant and clinically meaningful effect in the Phase 3 INTerpath-001 trial. Moderna shares more than doubled, Merck added over 12%, and rival vaccine makers BioNTech and Novavax also gained sharply. Gene editing companies including Prime Medicine, Intellia, CRISPR, Editas Medicine, and Beam Therapeutics were notable gainers, while AI-related biotechs Absci and Recursion Pharmaceuticals rallied after Anthropic selected Twist Bioscience as an independent evaluator.
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › mRNA Platforms ▲Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Oncology Therapeutics ▲Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Vaccines (Recombinant & Traditional) ▲Competition
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Gene & Cell Editing ▲Competition
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › AI Drug Discovery ▲Competition
MRNA · Technology · Positive Moderna's mRNA cancer therapy met main goals in Phase 3 trial, leading to shares more than doubling.
MRK · Technology · Positive Merck's Keytruda combined with Moderna's mRNA cancer therapy met main goals in Phase 3 trial, boosting Merck's oncology pipeline.
TWST · Demand · Positive Anthropic selected Twist Bioscience as independent evaluator, indicating demand for its services.
22UA.XETRA · Competition · Positive Rival vaccine makers gained sharply as sector rallied on Moderna's success, but no specific development for BioNTech.
NVAX · Competition · Positive Novavax gained sharply as part of sector rally, but no company-specific news.
Novavax Beats Q2 Estimates and Expands Big-Pharma Partnerships
Novavax reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of US$56.7 million and a net loss of US$53.39 million, beating analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings despite sharp year-on-year declines. The company highlighted progress on partnerships with Sanofi and Pfizer, while also filing an US$82.47 million employee stock offering shelf registration. The results underscore Novavax's reliance on milestone and royalty income from its Matrix M adjuvant and partnered vaccine portfolio as standalone sales remain weak.
Novavax Stock Falls 1.6% as Market Rises, Earnings Decline Expected
Novavax shares closed at $7.37, down 1.6% in the latest trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's 0.21% gain. The vaccine maker's stock has fallen 19.98% over the past month, while the Medical sector lost 0.43% and the S&P 500 gained 1.7%. Analysts expect Novavax to report an EPS of negative $0.36 for the upcoming quarter, a 158.06% decline from the prior-year period, on projected revenue of $50.04 million, down 79.08%. For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate anticipates an EPS of negative $0.19 and revenue of $371.85 million, representing declines of 107.36% and 66.9%, respectively. Despite these estimates, Novavax holds a Zacks Rank of 1, indicating a Strong Buy, and its industry, Medical - Biomedical and Genetics, ranks in the top 38% of over 250 industries.
Moderna Leads Therapeutics Stocks with 260% Revenue Surge in Q1
Moderna reported first-quarter revenues of $389 million, a 260% year-on-year increase that exceeded analyst expectations by 55.8%, making it the fastest-growing company among the 11 therapeutics stocks tracked. The group as a whole beat consensus revenue estimates by 14.5%, with shares up an average of 9.8% since reporting. Novavax posted revenues of $139.5 million, down 79.1% year-on-year but still beating estimates by 84.5%, the largest beat in the group. United Therapeutics was the weakest performer, with revenues of $781.5 million missing estimates by 1.9%, while Amgen reported $8.62 billion in revenue, up 5.8% and beating estimates by 1.4%.
McKesson touted as top healthcare pick while AMN and Novavax flagged as sells
StockStory identified McKesson as a healthcare stock with impressive fundamentals, citing 14.3% annual revenue growth over two years, a dominant market position with $403.4 billion in revenue, and 17.9% annual EPS growth boosted by share buybacks. In contrast, it recommended selling AMN Healthcare Services due to declining travelers on assignment, falling EPS over five years, and diminishing returns on capital, and avoiding Novavax because of 22.6% annual sales declines over two years, a projected 50.7% sales drop, and cash-burning tendencies.
Therapeutics Stocks Q1 Earnings: Moderna Leads, United Therapeutics Lags
Among 11 therapeutics stocks tracked, first-quarter revenues beat analysts' consensus estimates by 14.5% on average. Moderna reported revenues of $389 million, up 260% year on year and exceeding expectations by 55.8%, making it the best performer in the group. United Therapeutics posted the weakest results with revenues of $781.5 million, down 1.6% year on year and missing estimates by 1.9%. Gilead Sciences reported revenues of $6.96 billion, up 4.4% year on year and beating expectations by 1.5%, but its full-year EPS guidance missed significantly. Novavax recorded the biggest analyst estimate beat with revenues of $139.5 million, down 79.1% year on year but surpassing expectations by 84.5%, while Myriad Genetics reported revenues of $200.4 million, up 2.3% year on year and missing estimates by 1%.