Seagate Stock Up 200.8% YTD, Still a Buy?

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Summary · why it matters

Seagate Technology Holdings has surged 200.8% year to date, more than double the Zacks Computer-Integrated Systems industry's 103.4% gain, driven by AI infrastructure demand. The company's fiscal 2026 revenue rose 34% to $12.2 billion, with record free cash flow of $3.1 billion and non-GAAP EPS more than doubling to $5.71. Management guides fiscal first-quarter revenue of $4.1 billion, up 56% year over year, and expects continued growth from its HAMR-based Mozaic platform. Despite trading at 20.96 forward earnings versus the industry's 11.64, Zacks ranks STX a Strong Buy, citing strong demand visibility and improving margins.

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Cloud & Digital Infrastructure▲ · 2 stocks
Artificial Intelligence▲ · 2 stocks

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Micron Adds $43 Billion in Quarterly Sales as AI Demand Drives Blowout Earnings

Micron beat sales and profit forecasts for its latest quarter, driven by voracious demand from the AI boom, with guidance also strong except for margin comments on the earnings call that may have caused a muted market reaction. The memory chipmaker added about $43 billion in sales during the most recent quarter compared to the year-ago quarter, and more than $13 billion in sales from the quarter reported three months ago. Operating margins exploded in all business segments, exceeding 80% in some segments. Micron executives signaled tight capacity and higher prices for its products until 2028, with D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria saying expectations for tightening supply-demand conditions through both 2027 and 2028 meaningfully extend the industry's runway for strong pricing and earnings growth. The stock trades on a single-digit forward P/E ratio.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Demand
MU · Capital · Positive Micron beat sales and profit forecasts with blowout earnings and strong guidance driven by AI demand.
MU · Pricing · Positive Executives signaled tight capacity and higher prices for its products until 2028, extending strong pricing and earnings growth.
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Micron's Low P/E Hinges on Whether Memory Profits Hold

Micron Technology's fiscal 2026 results leave investors weighing how much of its memory-shortage profit can erode before the stock stops looking cheap. At its September 30 close of $1,065.11, the company carried a roughly $1.2 trillion equity value against $84.97 billion of fiscal 2026 net income, about 14 times annual earnings. Micron reported $133.19 billion of annual revenue, with its final quarter generating $54.23 billion and an 86.8% GAAP gross margin, and guidance for the next quarter calls for $61.5 billion of revenue, plus or minus $1.5 billion, at an approximately 85.95% GAAP gross margin. Management said 26 take-or-pay agreements cover over 35% of estimated revenue through 2030, with most revenue under a defined pricing framework carrying floor-and-ceiling bands, and it expects margins at floor prices above prior cycle peaks. Micron produced $89.68 billion of fiscal 2026 operating cash flow and $62.31 billion of adjusted free cash flow after $27.37 billion of net capital expenditure, an approximately 5.2% cash yield on the $1.2 trillion equity value.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM Pricing
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory Pricing
MU · Capital · Positive Micron's fiscal 2026 results show $84.97B net income, 86.8% gross margin, and $62.31B adjusted free cash flow, supporting its low ~14x P/E valuation.
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Micron CEO flags self-driving cars and humanoid robots as next memory demand driver

Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said on the company's Q4 earnings call that physical AI, starting with self-driving cars and expanding to humanoid robots, could become a significant driver of memory and storage demand by the end of this decade. In its Q4 report on Wednesday, Micron reported earnings per share of $33.42, up 1,002% from $3.03 in the same quarter last year, while revenue climbed 379% to $54.23 billion from $11.31 billion in Q4 2025. Mehrotra said memory content in level 4 and higher autonomous vehicles typically exceeds 200 gigabytes, with storage reaching multiple terabytes, each more than an order of magnitude greater than in today's level two plus and level three semi-autonomous vehicles. He added that humanoid robots will have similar memory and storage requirements, which could serve as an additional revenue opportunity. Companies working on humanoid robots include Tesla, Figure, Hyundai's Boston Dynamics, Unitree Robotics, and Agility Robotics, though Reuters reported only 7,000 humanoid robots were sold globally in 2025 for industrial and professional services.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Humanoid Robots ▲Demand
MU · Capital · Positive Micron reported Q4 EPS of $33.42, up 1,002% year over year, and revenue up 379% to $54.23 billion.
MU · Demand · Positive Micron CEO flags self-driving cars and humanoid robots as a significant future driver of memory and storage demand, an additional revenue opportunity.
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