Earnings news across global markets — quarterly results, guidance, and revenue beats & misses — with each report scored for its impact on the stock.
Timeline
What happened in Earnings
Q2 2026
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AI chip demand lifts earnings, but costs and China risks bite
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AI infrastructure demand Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, Micron, and Applied Materials posted record results as AI data center buildouts drove demand. Micron locked in $100B of contracted AI memory revenue, showing strong future orders.
This is the main positive force behind earnings for chip and equipment companies.
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Memory shortage squeezes device makers A shortage of memory chips created winners like Micron and SanDisk, but device makers such as Apple faced higher costs and raised prices. This shows how supply shortages can shift profits between industries.
It explains a key cross-industry effect of the AI boom on earnings.
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Heavy AI spending pressures cash flow Oracle and Alphabet spent heavily on AI infrastructure, which hurt their profit margins and free cash flow. Alphabet's free cash flow fell 46.63%, showing that big AI investments can strain finances even for tech giants.
It highlights a major risk from the AI capex boom that affected earnings quality.
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China weakness and AI disruption fears BMW and IT services stocks like Accenture fell due to weak demand in China and fears that AI could disrupt their business models. Accenture dropped 18%, showing that not all companies benefit from AI.
It shows the negative side of AI and China exposure on certain sectors.
Latest
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AI demand still outruns supply; Anthropic's IPO math and Micron's blowout lead
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Micron's record quarter and guidance show the AI memory shortage has no end in sight Micron beat on every metric, guided next quarter to $61.5B, and said supply-demand will be even tighter in 2027-2028. It has 26 multi-year contracts covering over 35% of revenue through 2030. This keeps memory makers and their suppliers in a strong pricing position.
Micron's results and guidance are the clearest evidence that the AI memory shortage is still worsening, directly lifting the memory sector.
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Anthropic's first operating profit and $11.6B quarter lock in huge chip and cloud orders Anthropic's Q2 revenue hit $11.6B, beating OpenAI, with its first operating profit. Its $518B compute commitments include $161B to Broadcom, $111B to Google and $110B to Amazon, mostly binding. This secures years of demand for those suppliers.
Anthropic's revenue surge and binding compute commitments are new, concrete proof that AI demand is translating into locked-in orders for Broadcom, Google and Amazon.
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Anthropic's $42B loss and $2T IPO target test how markets will price AI leaders Anthropic's IPO filing showed a $42B net loss and $518B in future spending, but the listing could value it above $2T. That sets a benchmark for OpenAI and other AI firms. A high valuation lifts the sector; a weak reception could cool AI fundraising.
The IPO filing is the first hard look at an AI leader's finances and will shape how public markets value the whole AI sector.
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Nvidia's $150B buyback and raised targets reinforce its AI dominance Nvidia approved a record $150B buyback, lifting remaining authorization to $235B, and analysts raised fair value to $327.70 on strong AI demand. But some flagged rising vendor financing and off-balance-sheet risk. The buyback supports the stock; the leverage is a counterweight.
Nvidia's buyback and analyst upgrades are new capital-return and demand signals for the AI chip leader, with a noted risk.
Q3 2026
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AI demand broadens beyond chips, but spending and China risks bite
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AI demand spreads to servers, networking, power, cloud, and pharma AI demand broadened well beyond chips into servers, networking, power, cloud, and pharma. TSMC, ASML, Micron, Dell, Broadcom, Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet posted blowout results, with Azure passing $100bn and Nvidia revenue up 106%, lifting the whole supply chain and record backlogs pointing to growth into 2027–28.
This is the main positive force driving earnings across multiple sectors in 2026 Q3.
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AI cannibalizes software and consulting budgets; heavy spenders punished AI cannibalised software and consulting budgets (IBM plunged 26%), and heavy spenders were punished: a $767bn Magnificent Seven selloff, plus Apple, Meta, Tesla, and Alibaba falling on weak cash flow. Alphabet faced negative free cash flow.
This shows the negative side of AI: it disrupts existing businesses and strains finances of big spenders.
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Memory shortages, Intel price warnings, Chinese competition, Nvidia China shutout, circular financing, Anthropic loss Memory shortages, Intel's 5–7x price warnings, Chinese competition (CXMT), Nvidia's China shutout, circular-financing concerns, and Anthropic's $42bn loss and $2T IPO valuation all remain key counterweights.
These are the key risks that could derail the AI-driven earnings momentum.
LatestEarnings
Thailand
Earnings▲
GLOBAL posts record 2Q/26 net profit of 947 million baht, up 82.5%
GLOBAL reported its second-quarter 2026 results, with sales of 8.17 billion baht, roughly flat versus a year earlier. Although same-store sales growth remained negative at 3.98% amid weak purchasing power, net profit hit a record high of 947 million baht, up 82.5% year on year, while EBITDA rose 50.4% to 1.55 billion baht. The main driver was gross profit margin, which reached a record 31.59%, up from 25.42% in the second quarter of 2025, helped by a higher share of Private Brand products, which rose to 27.5% of sales and carry gross margins of roughly 40 to 45%, as well as effective product mix management and cost control. Although the benefit from lower-cost old inventory will gradually fade in the third quarter of 2026, the company expects gross margin in the second half of 2026 to remain at no less than 27 to 28% and above the prior-year level. Full-year sales may be close to last year, with same-store sales growth still slightly negative but showing signs of recovery, giving second-half profit a chance to grow year on year. This comes alongside a stronger financial position, with Net Debt to EBITDA down to 1.18 times, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 times, and free cash flow of 3.75 billion baht to support store expansion and future growth. Under its 2026 plan, the company will open five new stores in Thailand, in Phon Phisai, Wang Thong, Trakan Phuet Phon, Ban Phue, and Chiang Kham, bringing the domestic total to 101 stores as planned, and will renovate another eight stores to adjust product assortment and the customer experience. Overseas, it has a network of 41 stores through partners in Laos, Myanmar, Indonesia, and Cambodia, and plans to keep expanding, with one to two more stores in northern Laos, two more in Indonesia this year, and further new store openings planned in Myanmar. In Thailand, it still has land to support about 18 more locations. On valuation, the current price trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7 times, below peers DOHOME at 16.7 times and HMPRO at 13.9 times. The average target price from the IAA Consensus is 8.63 baht. On sentiment, the easing of the flood situation could bring back demand for home repair and restoration. GLOBAL derives revenue directly from construction materials, which account for roughly 30 to 35% of sales, including tiles, sanitary ware, paint, tools, and home improvement products, so it stands to benefit from replacement and repair demand after water levels recede, especially at its upcountry branches, which could help same-store sales growth recover late in the year and continue into 2027.
Airship AI Wins $29 Million DHS Awards Exceeding Its Annual Revenue
Airship AI Holdings has announced $29 million of firm-fixed-price awards from an agency within the Department of Homeland Security, a sum larger than its approximately $18.2 million of trailing revenue. The awards carry a six-month performance period and cover software integration, edge and server-side AI products, and hardware. BigBear.ai, by contrast, ended June with $409.8 million in cash and investments and approximately $16.6 million of debt, alongside a $269.6 million backlog. BigBear's June-quarter revenue grew 13% to $36.7 million with gross margin of 32.8%, but its adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $11.6 million from $8.5 million. At October 2 prices, BigBear traded at about 9.7 times trailing revenue versus roughly 4.0 times for Airship, while Airship reported $12.4 million in cash and used only about $235,000 in operating cash during the June quarter.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. reported $58.0 billion in second-quarter 2026 revenue, up 27% from a year earlier, with net income jumping 41% to $21.2 billion and earnings per share of $7.70. Average loans grew 10% and deposits increased 7%, while return on tangible common equity reached 29%. The bank raised its quarterly dividend from $1.50 to $1.65 per share, an annualized $6.60 starting in the third quarter of 2026, and approved a new $50 billion share-repurchase program. The stock trades at about 13.5x forward earnings, roughly 10% below its average forward P/E of about 15x over the previous five quarter ends, with a forward dividend yield of around 1.99% and a payout ratio of about 26%.
Spotify Faces Expected EPS Decline Ahead of October 22 Earnings Report
Spotify Technology S.A. is heading into its October 22 earnings report with analysts expecting an 18.54% decline in earnings per share alongside 15.31% revenue growth, sharpening attention on how effectively the company converts engagement into sustainable profitability. The company recently presented at the 2026 North American Marketing Leadership Summit in Phoenix, where Global Director of Business Brand Marketing Rachel Brooks outlined its latest branding and engagement initiatives. In August 2026, Spotify expanded its share buyback authorization to US$2,000 million, a move that signals management's willingness to return excess capital even as earnings come under pressure. Spotify's narrative projects €26.7 billion in revenue and €4.2 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 13.7% yearly revenue growth and roughly a €0.9 billion increase from €3.3 billion today. Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already more cautious, assuming revenue of about €26.5 billion and shrinking margins by 2029.
Grab Holdings Posts Record Q2 Revenue of $997 Million, Raises 2026 Guidance
Grab Holdings Limited reported record second-quarter results, with revenue rising 22% year-over-year to $997 million and On-Demand gross merchandise volume up 21% to $6.5 billion. Monthly transacting users increased 17% to 53.9 million, adjusted EBITDA climbed 54% to $168 million with margin expanding to 16.9% from 13.3%, and operating profit rose to $19 million from $7 million. Management raised its full-year 2026 guidance to revenue of $4.1 billion to $4.15 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $720 million to $740 million, and authorized another $750 million share repurchase program, bringing cumulative repurchase authorization since 2024 to $1.75 billion. Financial Services revenue grew 59% to $134 million while its gross loan portfolio reached $2.3 billion, up 197%, though the segment posted negative adjusted EBITDA of $15 million, and total incentives reached $706 million in the quarter. On September 15, the company agreed to acquire a 60% controlling stake in Atome Financial for $1.49 billion in cash, with the deal expected to close by the third quarter of 2027, and it raised its 2028 targets to $1.7 billion in adjusted EBITDA and more than 30% annual revenue growth from 2025 to 2028.
Cramer Says Housing Slump Hits QXO Harder Than Toll Brothers
Jim Cramer said the housing slowdown is weighing more heavily on QXO than on Toll Brothers, pointing to weaker demand for building products at QXO versus Toll Brothers' smaller reliance on mortgage financing. On Mad Money, Cramer described QXO as an amalgamation of Beacon Roofing Supply, Kodiak Building Partners and TopBuild, and noted the company reported $3.25 billion in second-quarter revenue, including $595 million from Kodiak, with a net loss of $55 million and adjusted EBITDA of $272 million at an 8.4% margin, down from 10.7% a year earlier. QXO also recorded a $42 million operating loss and $38 million in net interest expense in the second quarter, while long-term debt rose to $6.03 billion by June 30 from $3.06 billion at the end of 2025. Toll Brothers, by contrast, saw third-quarter home sales revenue fall about 8% year-over-year to $2.65 billion, deliveries decline 10% to 2,662 homes, and net income drop 24% to $280.1 million, with adjusted home sales gross margin contracting 190 basis points to 25.6%. Cramer noted that about 25% of Toll Brothers buyers pay cash, adding that Toll is the rich man's home builder so its customers have less sensitivity to mortgage rates.
QXO · Demand · Negative Cramer says the housing slowdown is hitting QXO harder via weaker demand for its building products, alongside its Q2 net loss and margin contraction.
TOL · Demand · Negative Toll Brothers' Q3 home sales revenue fell ~8% and deliveries dropped 10% as housing demand weakened.
Arista Networks Lifts 2026 Revenue Guidance to US$12.60 Billion on AI Demand
Arista Networks raised its 2026 revenue guidance to US$12.60 billion, including at least US$3.50 billion from AI-related business, after reporting second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of US$3.00 billion, a 37.7% year-over-year increase. The higher outlook underscores how AI-driven cloud networking has become a central revenue pillar for the company, shaping its growth mix across hyperscale and enterprise customers. Arista was also added to the S&P 100 in September 2026, a move that reflects its growing weight in large-cap U.S. equity indices just as management ties more of its outlook to AI-related revenue. The company's longer-range narrative projects US$21.4 billion in revenue and US$8.2 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 26.6% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about US$4.2 billion from US$4.0 billion today. Some of the lowest-ranked analysts had already assumed about US$18.6 billion of 2029 revenue and US$6.9 billion of earnings before this guidance, illustrating how differently Arista's AI exposure and long-term supply commitments can be read.
ANET · Demand · Positive Arista raised 2026 revenue guidance to $12.60B, including at least $3.50B from AI-related business, on AI-driven cloud networking demand.
ANET · Capital · Positive Arista was added to the S&P 100 in September 2026, reflecting its growing weight in large-cap U.S. equity indices.
PepsiCo's Frito-Lay Weakness Draws Cramer's Concern as P&G Charts Slower Growth
Jim Cramer flagged PepsiCo's Frito-Lay problem on the September 28 episode of Mad Money, saying the snack business is "a tough one right now" and that the stock's 10% decline this year suggests the dividend may not act as the trampoline he once expected. PepsiCo Foods North America reported a 2% decline in second-quarter revenue, with core constant-currency operating profit at PFNA falling 8%, and Reuters reported on September 24 that the company plans to raise prices on some chip brands by a low- to mid-single-digit percentage range after cutting prices by as much as 15% on products including Lay's and Doritos in February. PepsiCo is scheduled to report third-quarter results on October 8. Procter & Gamble, which Cramer noted has "nothing to do with food," reported fiscal 2026 net sales up 3% to $87 billion with flat fourth-quarter organic sales and core EPS up 1% to $6.89, and guided fiscal 2027 organic sales growth of 1% to 3% and core EPS of $6.89 to $7.11, while expecting an approximately $1 billion after-tax headwind from higher raw materials, energy, and transportation costs. P&G is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2027 results on October 22. Hedge fund holders of PepsiCo fell to 68 in the second quarter from 72 in the first, while P&G holders rose to 83 from 78, and PepsiCo trades at a forward P/E of 14.86 versus P&G's 21.23.
PEP · Demand · Negative Frito-Lay North America Q2 revenue fell 2% and core operating profit dropped 8%, with Cramer calling the snack business 'a tough one right now'.
PEP · Pricing · Neutral PepsiCo plans to raise prices on some chip brands by low- to mid-single digits after earlier cutting Lay's and Doritos prices up to 15%.
PG · Capital · Neutral P&G reported fiscal 2026 net sales up 3% to $87B with flat Q4 organic sales and guided fiscal 2027 organic growth of 1-3%, while expecting a ~$1B after-tax cost headwind.
Jim Cramer Says Chipotle Will Bounce Again as Revenue Rises 9.3%
Jim Cramer said he expects Chipotle Mexican Grill to bounce off its recent level, telling a caller on Mad Money that the stock has been at this price before and he thinks it will do so again. The comments came as the company reported quarterly revenue of $3.3 billion, up 9.3% year-over-year and ahead of consensus, with comparable restaurant sales up 2.2% on a 1% rise in transaction volume and a 1.2% increase in average check size. Digital sales accounted for 38.3% of total food and beverage revenue, and the company opened 100 new restaurants during the quarter, including 80 with the Chipotlane drive-thru format. Restaurant-level operating margins stood at 25.2%, compressed by wage inflation, higher utility expenses and expanded marketing costs, while management targets at least 7,000 restaurants across North America. Insider Monkey data showed 63 hedge funds held the stock at the end of the second quarter, down from 68, with Arrowstreet Capital the largest tracked holder after raising its position 29% to 21.24 million shares, and short interest at 3.6% of the public float.
CMG · Capital · Positive Quarterly revenue of $3.3B rose 9.3% YoY and beat consensus, with restaurant-level margins at 25.2%.
CMG · Demand · Positive Comparable restaurant sales rose 2.2% on 1% higher transaction volume and 1.2% larger average check, plus 100 new restaurants opened.
TSMC Weighs Overseas Factory Margin Dilution Against Rich Valuation
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is expanding overseas production while trying to protect the earnings that underpin its valuation, raising the question of how much lower-margin capacity it can absorb. TSMC reported a 67.7% gross margin and a 60.3% operating margin in the second quarter, yet at the September 30 market-data snapshot the stock traded at roughly 29 times trailing earnings and 57 times trailing free cash flow. Management described overseas-factory dilution starting at about two to three percentage points of gross margin and moving toward three to four points in later years, and separately expected the N2 ramp to dilute gross margin by three to four points in the second half of 2026. On second-quarter revenue of NT$1.27 trillion, a three-point gross-margin reduction represents approximately NT$38.1 billion of gross profit and four points represent NT$50.8 billion, equal to about 5.4% and 7.2% of reported net income of NT$706.6 billion, respectively. Insider Monkey's hedge fund database showed 249 TSMC holders in Q2 2026, up from 234 in Q1, with Fisher Asset Management raising its position 2% to 18,866,198 and Coatue cutting its position 4% to 8,914,995.
NVIDIA's $279 Billion Supply Commitments Face Customer Spending Test
NVIDIA is carrying $279 billion in supply and capacity commitments, up from $119 billion at the prior quarter-end, a schedule that now hinges on whether customer spending keeps pace. The filing allocates $92 billion of those commitments to the remainder of fiscal 2027, $87 billion to fiscal 2028 and $88 billion to fiscal 2029, with smaller amounts afterward, and NVIDIA said it may cancel, reschedule or adjust some agreements before firm orders. NVIDIA also disclosed August guarantees capped at $105 billion for an OpenAI-related SB Energy buildout, which generally begin as the relevant leases commence, with the first construction phase expected in fiscal 2029 and payments dependent on specified tenant defaults. Inventory rose to $31.58 billion from $21.40 billion at the fiscal year-end, while accounts receivable increased to $63.06 billion from $38.47 billion, and some investment-grade customers have payment terms from 90 days to one year. NVIDIA generated $96.22 billion of second-quarter revenue and $63.73 billion of operating income, an operating margin of about 66%, and management guided to $108 billion of next-quarter revenue, plus or minus 2%, excluding China data-center compute sales. At September 30's $228.38 close, NVIDIA's equity was worth about $5.51 trillion, and its trailing free cash flow of roughly $127 billion implies a cash yield of about 2.3%.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out Demand
NVDA · Supply · Negative NVIDIA's supply and capacity commitments ballooned to $279B from $119B, a schedule that hinges on customer spending keeping pace and may be cancelled or rescheduled.
OpenAI · Capital · Neutral NVIDIA disclosed August guarantees capped at $105B for an OpenAI-related SB Energy buildout, but the article gives no clear read-through for OpenAI itself.
KSL expects sugarcane crush to top 8.3 million tonnes next year on 17-month-high sugar prices
Chalach Chinthammit, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of Khon Kaen Sugar Industry Public Company Limited, or KSL, said that world sugar prices, which have risen to around 18.94 cents per pound, a roughly 17-month high, will be a positive factor for next year's crushing season, since all sugar to be sold this year has already been forward-contracted. For the 2026/2027 crushing season, which runs from December 2026 through no later than April 2027, KSL expects sugarcane crush volumes to grow from the previous season's estimate of about 8.3 million tonnes, driven by larger sugarcane output reaching the market and water availability for cultivation that remains consistently favorable. The recent weakening of the baht, averaging around 33.64 baht per US dollar, is an additional positive factor, since about 70% of KSL's revenue comes from exporting sugar products overseas. For the 2026 fiscal year, the company expects full-year results to swing to a profit, compared with a loss of 660 million baht in 2025, because this year there is no provision for expenses related to projects in neighboring countries, and the first nine months of this year already showed a profit of about 358 million baht.
KSL.BK · Pricing · Positive 17-month-high world sugar prices are a positive factor for KSL's next crushing season, with all this year's sugar already forward-contracted.
KSL.BK · Monetary · Positive The weakening baht (~33.64/USD) is an additional positive since about 70% of KSL's revenue comes from sugar exports.
SUGAR · Supply · Positive World sugar prices at a roughly 17-month high of ~18.94 cents/lb reflect tight global sugar supply conditions.
KTMS expects better Q4 2026 results as new branches lift utilisation rate to no less than 80%
KT Medical Service Public Company Limited, or KTMS, expects its operating performance in the fourth quarter of 2026 to improve as new branches gradually come into service. Chief Executive Officer Kanjana Pongpattanadecha told Than Hoon that branches already open have a utilisation rate of no less than 80% of total service space, reflecting demand for dialysis services that remains high. The company currently holds contracts for 11 branches and aims to open them gradually in line with its plan, with the timing of each opening depending on the government licensing process, which now takes about 120 days, up from roughly 90 days previously. This delays revenue recognition from new branches relative to plan, but it is a shift in timing rather than a loss of revenue. For the first half of 2026, the company reported revenue from the sale of goods and services of 350.63 million baht, up 7.77 million baht, or 2.27%, from the same period a year earlier, with net profit of 12.99 million baht. In the second quarter of 2026, revenue was 175.96 million baht, up 1.41% from the same period a year earlier, with net profit of 5.69 million baht.
KTMS.BK · Demand · Positive New branches opening with utilisation of at least 80% reflect high demand for dialysis services, expected to lift Q4 2026 results.
KTMS.BK · Regulation · Negative Government licensing now takes about 120 days versus 90, delaying revenue recognition from new branches relative to plan.
Broker flags KGEN turnaround as revenue set to surge to 25 billion baht after EV plant stake rises to 60%
Global Securities, or GBS, says King Gen Public Company Limited, or KGEN, is entering a turnaround phase, raising its stake in Omoda & Jaecoo Manufacturing (Thailand) Company Limited, which operates the electric vehicle plants for the OMODA JAECOO and CHERY brands, from the current 43.7% to 51% in early July, and then to 60% in late July to early August. This will shift revenue recognition from the share of profit of an associate to full consolidation of both revenue and profit. Management expects that after the stake increase, revenue will grow significantly year on year to 25 billion baht, with a net profit margin of 2.5-3.0%, or roughly 600-700 million baht. Previously, KGEN reported second-quarter 2026 profit of 37 million baht, up 171% quarter on quarter and 152% year on year, after losses in the first quarter of 2026 and the second quarter of 2025. The main driver was the share of profit from its investment in that associate, whose production line began operating on 20 April 2026, while revenue from sales and services grew to 227 million baht, up 8% quarter on quarter and 36% year on year. Bookings for JAECOO and OMODA electric vehicles at the Big Motor Sale 2026, held from 21-30 August 2026, totaled 5,028 units, with deliveries scheduled for September to October 2026, an additional factor supporting revenue and profit growth. The current share price still cannot be assigned a P/E ratio because the company has posted continuous losses from 2022 through the first six months of 2026, though earnings are expected to turn around from 2026 onward. The stock trades at a P/BV ratio of 2.58 times, above its one-year, two-year and three-year averages of 2.56, 2.30 and 2.10 times respectively.
Electrification & Mobility › China NEV Leaders ▲Supply
KGEN.BK · Capital · Positive Broker flags KGEN turnaround as raising its stake in the EV plant to 60% shifts to full consolidation, lifting revenue to 25 billion baht and turning earnings positive.
Omoda & Jaecoo Manufacturing (Thailand) · Capital · Positive KGEN is raising its stake in Omoda & Jaecoo Manufacturing (Thailand) from 43.7% to 60%, shifting to full consolidation of the EV plant's revenue and profit.
Jaecoo (Chery Jaecoo Automobile) · Demand · Positive JAECOO and OMODA EV bookings at the Big Motor Sale 2026 totaled 5,028 units with deliveries in September-October 2026, supporting revenue growth.
Tesla Q3 Deliveries Beat Estimates by 5.3% as Energy Storage Misses
Tesla's third-quarter deliveries beat company-compiled analyst expectations by 5.3%, though they declined 2.1% from a year earlier, a drop partly cushioned by Q3 2025's tax credit boost. Seeking Alpha analyst Oliver Rodzianko said the biggest takeaway is that traditional EV demand remains resilient as Tesla pivots toward autonomous taxi services and humanoid robotics as its dominant operating models, while energy storage deployment numbers missed expectations. Rodzianko noted that Chinese rival BYD saw its battery-electric passenger-car sales rise 30.9% year-over-year in the third quarter, underscoring fierce competition in China. Analyst Alexander Grover argued the delivery number is a distraction, since Tesla's valuation assumes unsupervised self-driving at scale, and flagged that Alphabet's Waymo is running more than 500,000 paid driverless rides a week across 15 U.S. metros with LiDAR in its stack, while Tesla still does not disclose how many of its robotaxis run without a safety monitor.
IDT Posts 7% Q4 Revenue Rise as Growth Segments Reach 53% of EBITDA
IDT Corporation reported fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter revenue up 7% to $339.0 million, with gross margin widening 360 basis points to 39.8%, as three growth segments now generate 53% of consolidated adjusted EBITDA before corporate overhead while contributing just a third of revenue. National Retail Solutions, the company's point-of-sale business for independent retailers, saw revenue jump 31% to $45.0 million and adjusted EBITDA climb 47%, lifting its Rule of 40 score to 60 from 49 a year earlier. At BOSS Money, 88% of transactions now originate in IDT's own apps, helping lift the Fintech segment's gross margin by 650 basis points to 65.6%, while net2phone ended the year with 447,000 seats, up 6%, and adjusted EBITDA there rose 26% to $4.4 million. The legacy Traditional Communications segment still brought in $222.0 million of fourth-quarter revenue, up 2%, but BOSS Revolution calling revenue fell 10% and retail money-transfer revenue from the retailer agent channel dropped 17% after a new federal tax on cash-originated remittances. Management is guiding to $176 million to $180 million of adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2027, and IDT holds $271.9 million in cash and liquid investments with no debt.
IDT · Capital · Positive IDT reported Q4 revenue up 7% to $339.0M with gross margin widening 360bp to 39.8% and guided FY2027 adjusted EBITDA of $176-180M.
IDT · Regulation · Negative A new federal tax on cash-originated remittances cut retail money-transfer revenue from the retailer agent channel by 17%.
Vail Resorts Posts $147.5 Million Fiscal 2026 Net Income, Guides to Fiscal 2027 Rebound
Vail Resorts reported fiscal 2026 net income of $147.5 million, down from $280 million a year earlier, after snowfall and snowpack in the Rockies sank to or near historic lows. Total net revenue for the fiscal year stood at $2.88 billion, with Resort Reported EBITDA of $745.7 million, and lift revenue slipped only 3.5% because many guests had already paid for passes before the season began. The company booked $45 million in savings from its efficiency overhaul in fiscal 2026 and raised its annualized target to $110 million by the end of fiscal 2027. Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes normal weather and projects net income of $158 million to $233 million and resort EBITDA of $805 million to $865 million, though pass units were down about 12% as of September 18 and sales dollars were down 6%, concentrated in destination frequency passes. Guidance implies a resort EBITDA margin of 27.3% before one-time costs, about 200 basis points below the original fiscal 2026 plan, with leverage at 3.9 times trailing EBITDA as of July 31, 2026, and short interest at 29.16% of the float.
MTN · Capital · Negative Fiscal 2026 net income fell to $147.5M from $280M on historic-low Rockies snowfall, and pass units are down ~12% heading into fiscal 2027.
Costco Fiscal 2026 Revenue Reaches $276.4 Billion, Up 8.1%
Costco Wholesale Corporation closed fiscal 2026 with total revenue of $276.4 billion, up 8.1% year over year, as the warehouse retailer reported net sales of $93.87 billion, up 11.2%, and net income of $2.998 billion in its September 24 earnings call. Membership remains the engine of the business, with 84.1 million paid members, including 42.3 million Executive tier members, a group that grew 9.4% and pushed that tier's share of the base to a new high, while renewal rates rose to 92.3% in the US and Canada and 89.8% worldwide. Membership fee income climbed 7.3% to $1.849 billion, and management plans 33 openings in fiscal 2027 as it works toward 30 net new warehouses a year, with digitally enabled sales topping $33 billion on growth above 20%. The quarter was not spotless, as reported gross margin slipped to 11.02% from 11.13% a year earlier and the LIFO charge jumped to $152 million from $43 million, tied to pricier memory in electronics and Middle East conflict costs for gas, motor oil, and resins, while tariff refunds added $0.15 per share and the $184 million received covers only about a third of the expected recovery. With the stock trading near historical valuation highs at a forward P/E of 40.32 and hedge fund ownership slipping to 104 funds from 107, the debate now centers on whether membership loyalty and the expansion plan can keep earnings growing into a premium that leaves little room for a stumble.
COST · Capital · Positive Fiscal 2026 revenue rose 8.1% to $276.4B with net sales up 11.2% and net income of $2.998B, though gross margin slipped to 11.02%.
COST · Demand · Positive Paid members grew to 84.1M with Executive tier up 9.4%, renewal rates at 92.3% US/Canada, and digitally enabled sales topping $33B on 20%+ growth.
Scholastic Posts $71.2 Million Quarterly Loss as Full-Year Targets Hold
Scholastic reported a first-quarter net loss of $71.2 million, or $3.77 per share, on revenue that slipped 4% to $216.8 million, while management left its full-year targets untouched. The quarter is the quietest stretch of Scholastic's year, making up only 14% of full-year revenue last year, so the real test is the fall, where Book Fairs bookings and fair counts are both running ahead of last year and the company is reaching new school communities including Christian schools. Content catalysts are stacking up: an HBO adaptation of Harry Potter arrives this Christmas, a new Dog Man title lands in November alongside a Hunger Games film, and entertainment revenue rose 48% to $20.1 million on heavier production activity. The balance sheet improved as net debt fell to $86.8 million from $242.8 million a year earlier, largely on sale-leaseback deals completed in December 2025, and the company bought back $25.8 million of its own stock during the quarter. Still, education revenue fell $9.7 million to $30.4 million amid higher district staffing costs and the end of ESSER pandemic relief funding in March, overhead climbed $5 million to $23.3 million, and free cash use for the quarter was $110.8 million, worse than last year's $100.2 million, leaving full-year adjusted EBITDA targets of $135 million to $145 million and free cash flow of $35 million to $40 million to be built on top of a first-quarter adjusted EBITDA loss of $63.6 million.
SCHL · Capital · Neutral Scholastic posted a $71.2M Q1 loss with revenue down 4%, but kept full-year targets and cited stronger fall Book Fairs bookings.
SCHL · Demand · Positive Book Fairs bookings and fair counts are running ahead of last year and it is reaching new school communities including Christian schools.
Progress Software Posts 43% Operating Margin as Domo Deal Lifts Debt to $1.24 Billion
Progress Software reported third-quarter results on September 30, 2026, showing revenue down 2% to $246 million while non-GAAP earnings per share rose 13% to $1.69, as expenses fell about 6% and operating margin expanded to 43% from 40% a year earlier. Adjusted free cash flow grew 17% to $87 million, with days sales outstanding dropping to 42 from 73 at the end of fiscal 2025, funding $170 million of debt paydown this year and $17 million of buybacks in the quarter. The company closed the largest acquisition in its history, paying $400 million for Domo, or 1.4 times revenue and 3.5 times pro forma EBITDA, and management expects Domo to add well over $100 million in annual EBITDA once integration finishes by the end of fiscal 2027. Progress drew $390 million on its revolver, leaving total debt near $1.24 billion and net leverage around 2.7 times, and management warned Domo will run slightly below a 30% operating margin while synergies ramp, pulling overall margin to 36% to 37% from its usual 38% to 39% with roughly $21 million of added interest expense. Annual recurring revenue rose only about 1% on a pro forma basis with net retention at 99%, hedge fund holders fell to 23 from 29 in the prior quarter, and short sellers hold 16.69% of the float against a forward P/E of 6.47 as of October 2.
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Horizontal SaaS Capital
PRGS · Capital · Neutral Q3 revenue fell 2% to $246M but EPS rose 13% to $1.69 with 43% operating margin, while the $400M Domo deal lifted debt to $1.24B and cut guidance to 36-37% margin.
DOMO · Capital · Neutral Progress closed its $400M acquisition of Domo, but Domo will run below 30% operating margin while synergies ramp, pulling overall margin down.
FactSet Posts Record Contract Value Jump as Shares Trade at 13.95 Forward P/E
FactSet Research Systems reported the largest quarterly jump in contract value in its history, with annual subscription value rising 7% organically to $2.568 billion in fiscal 2026, beating the top of management's own guidance. The fourth quarter alone added $86 million, retention held above 95%, and every region grew faster than a year earlier, led by Asia Pacific at 10.6%. AI-related products accounted for at least 10% of new subscription value in the fourth quarter, more than all of fiscal 2025 combined, with over 650 clients already accessing FactSet data through its MCP servers. Full-year adjusted operating margin slipped 1.8 percentage points to 34.5% on heavy infrastructure and cybersecurity spending, and management guided fiscal 2027 organic subscription growth to 5% to 6.5% with earnings per share of $19.25 to $19.65. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 13.95 as of October 2, with short sellers holding 12.43% of the float ahead of the November 10 Investor Day.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Demand
FDS · Capital · Negative Full-year adjusted operating margin slipped 1.8 points to 34.5% on heavy infrastructure and cybersecurity spending.
FDS · Demand · Positive FactSet reported its largest-ever quarterly contract value jump, with organic subscription value up 7% to $2.568B and every region growing faster than a year earlier.
Jabil Guides Fiscal 2027 Core EPS to $17.55 as AI Revenue Set to Jump 54%
Jabil reported fourth-quarter revenue up 29% year over year and core earnings per share up 34% to $4.40, and guided fiscal 2027 core EPS to $17.55, another gain of about 34%. The company generated $14.4 billion of AI-related revenue in fiscal 2026 and expects $22.1 billion in fiscal 2027, a 54% increase, with six customers in the segment expected to top $1 billion each in fiscal 2027. Jabil supported $36.0 billion of revenue in fiscal 2026 on just $470 million of net capital spending, lifting core return on invested capital to 59%, nearly triple the fiscal 2020 level, and buybacks absorbed about $1.1 billion of free cash flow during the year. On the risk side, chief supply chain officer Francis McKay said memory is being pulled toward AI and hyperscale buyers, squeezing other markets, and Connected Living is expected to shrink 15% to $2.3 billion, while healthcare fell short in the fourth quarter on equipment delays and a slipped customer program. Jabil is adding more than $8.5 billion of revenue in fiscal 2027, which management called unprecedented, and a second hyperscale customer is expected to pass 10% of total revenue, while net inventory days of 64 remain above the 55 to 60 day target.
JBL · Capital · Positive Jabil guided fiscal 2027 core EPS to $17.55 (~34% growth) after Q4 revenue rose 29% and core EPS rose 34% to $4.40.
JBL · Demand · Positive AI-related revenue is set to jump 54% to $22.1 billion in fiscal 2027, with six customers expected to top $1 billion each.
JBL · Supply · Negative Memory is being pulled toward AI and hyperscale buyers, squeezing other markets, and net inventory days of 64 remain above the 55-60 day target.
ADP Reports Pays-Per-Control Growth Slowdown to About 1% for Fiscal 2026
Automatic Data Processing reported a sharp slowdown in pays-per-control growth to about 1% for fiscal 2026 and guided to 0-1% for fiscal 2027, signaling a cooler U.S. labor market alongside expectations for slightly weaker client retention. At the same time, ADP's Employer Services revenue grew 7% in the latest fiscal quarter, with new business bookings up 6% and client float income poised to benefit from rising wages. Management emphasized that AI is reshaping how work is done rather than eliminating jobs. ADP's narrative projects $25.9 billion revenue and $5.6 billion earnings by 2029, requiring 5.7% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $1.2 billion from $4.4 billion today, and forecasts a $287.60 fair value, a 12% upside to its current price. Some analysts were more optimistic before this slowdown, assuming ADP could lift revenue to about US$26.4 billion and earnings to roughly US$5.8 billion.
ADP · Capital · Negative ADP reported a sharp slowdown in pays-per-control growth to about 1% for fiscal 2026 and guided to 0-1% for fiscal 2027, signaling weaker client retention and softer labor-market trends.
AZZ Eyes 17.42% EPS Growth Ahead of October 13 Earnings
AZZ is drawing investor attention ahead of its scheduled October 13, 2026 earnings release, with analysts projecting earnings per share growth of 17.42% versus the prior year and a forward P/E ratio below the industry average. The company recently extended and repriced its revolving credit agreement to May 2029, lowering interest margins and fees and giving it more financial flexibility as it ramps its St. Louis area greenfield plant and pursues acquisitions. AZZ's narrative projects $1.9 billion in revenue and $215.1 million in earnings by 2029, requiring 5.2% yearly revenue growth and a $102.2 million earnings decrease from $317.3 million, with a $161.67 fair value implying 16% upside to the current price. Some analysts hold a more optimistic view, assuming revenues around US$1.9 billion and earnings near US$212.9 million before this news. Risks remain, including prolonged weather related production losses, production disruptions, and execution at newer facilities.
AZZ · Capital · Positive Analysts project 17.42% EPS growth ahead of the October 13 earnings release, with a forward P/E below the industry average and a $161.67 fair value implying 16% upside.
PDI Gold Posts US$68.38 Million Full-Year Loss as Expansion Presses On
PDI Gold Limited reported a full-year net loss of US$68.38 million for the 12 months to 30 June 2026, alongside sales of US$202.86 million and basic and diluted loss per share from continuing operations of US$0.11. The sharply wider annual loss puts fresh scrutiny on cash generation and cost control as the company pushes ahead with its West African project pipeline. Management confirmed it remains on track to meet 2026 production guidance of 198,000 to 220,000 ounces of gold, a contrast between volume growth and weaker earnings that hinges on whether future output translates into healthier margins and cash flow. Exploitation permits in Guinea and operating conditions in Mali remain critical swing factors, and the company's own narrative projects A$2.1 billion in revenue and A$911.0 million in earnings by 2029, requiring an earnings increase of about A$935 million from negative A$24.4 million today. Even before the result, cautious analysts had flagged that delays to Bankan and Mansounia permits could cap growth, and the larger loss may prompt a rethink of assumed production and profit upside.
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Precious Metals Capital
Predictive Discovery · Capital · Negative PDI Gold reported a sharply wider US$68.38m full-year net loss, raising scrutiny on cash generation and cost control
Predictive Discovery · Regulation · Negative Analysts flagged that delays to Bankan and Mansounia exploitation permits in Guinea and Mali could cap growth
Maple Leaf Foods to Consolidate U.S. Plant Protein Production in Indianapolis
Maple Leaf Foods Inc. will consolidate its U.S. plant protein production into a single Centre of Excellence in Indianapolis, winding down its Seattle and Turners Falls plants in phases through the fourth quarter of 2027. The move is part of the company's Fuel for Growth initiative, which aims to simplify its manufacturing footprint, enhance efficiency and support its plant protein brands more competitively. The consolidation update sits alongside Maple Leaf's recent first-quarter 2026 results, which showed CA$962.85 million in sales and CA$46.07 million in net income. Maple Leaf's narrative projects CA$5.6 billion in revenue and CA$467.3 million in earnings by 2028, requiring 4.2% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about CA$372.7 million from CA$94.6 million today. Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span CA$35.90 to CA$83.26, against a CA$35.90 fair value estimate that implies 45% upside to the current price.
Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · Capital · Positive Consolidating U.S. plant protein production into one Indianapolis facility under the Fuel for Growth initiative to simplify its footprint and improve efficiency
Nvidia Adds $150B to Buyback as Micron, Accenture Beat Estimates
Nvidia's board authorized an additional $150B for its existing share-repurchase program, bringing the remaining authorization to $235B, which the company said was the largest increase to a share-repurchase authorization in history. Micron Technology reported fiscal fourth-quarter results and guidance that topped Wall Street's expectations by a wide margin, earning an adjusted $33.42 per share as revenue soared 379.1% year-over-year to $54.23B, versus analyst expectations of $31.72 per share on $51.49B in revenue. Accenture shares rose after its Q4 beat expectations and it forecast upbeat fiscal 2027 revenue growth, reporting GAAP earnings of $3.29 per share, revenue up 6.3% year over year to $18.7B, and new bookings of $22.2B. MongoDB shares fell after CEO Chirantan Desai stepped down effective immediately to become the newly created Chief Enterprise Platform Officer at Meta, with the board appointing Dev Ittycheria as interim president and CEO. Summit Therapeutics shares surged after AstraZeneca announced a $2B equity investment in the U.S. biotech and a clinical collaboration to develop new cancer treatments, purchasing convertible preferred shares at a conversion price equivalent to $18.36 per common share, a 10% premium to Summit's five-day volume-weighted average price. For the week, the Dow fell 1.26%, the S&P 500 lost 0.27%, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.45%.
ACN · Capital · Positive Accenture's Q4 beat expectations and it forecast upbeat fiscal 2027 revenue growth.
MDB · Capital · Negative MongoDB shares fell after CEO Chirantan Desai stepped down effective immediately.
MU · Capital · Positive Micron's fiscal Q4 results and guidance topped Wall Street expectations by a wide margin.
NVDA · Capital · Positive Nvidia's board authorized an additional $150B for its share-repurchase program.
AZN.LSE · Capital · Positive AstraZeneca announced a $2B equity investment in Summit Therapeutics and a clinical collaboration to develop new cancer treatments.
Earnings week ahead: PepsiCo, Delta, Constellation Brands, Levi Strauss and Tilray to report
A diverse earnings slate spanning consumer staples, beverages, travel, apparel and AI infrastructure is set for the week of October 5 to October 9, with PepsiCo, Constellation Brands, Lamb Weston, Levi Strauss and Tilray Brands offering reads on food, beverage and apparel spending while Delta Air Lines provides a key read on travel demand. Constellation Brands, the U.S. importer and marketer of Corona, Modelo Especial and Pacifico, reports fiscal Q2 FY2027 after Tuesday's close, with consensus EPS of $3.55 and revenue of $2.54B, as the stock sits near a 52-week low of $113.34. Levi Strauss reports fiscal Q3 2026 after Wednesday's close, with consensus EPS of $0.36 and revenue of $1.62B, after management guided to revenue growth of 4%-5% and adjusted EPS of $0.34-$0.36. PepsiCo reports Q3 2026 before Thursday's open, with consensus EPS of $2.30 and revenue of $24.97B, as the company plans to raise prices on select brands including Doritos and Ruffles by low-to-mid-single-digit percentages later this year or early next year, reversing price cuts of as much as 15% introduced earlier in 2026. Delta Air Lines reports Q3 2026 before Friday's open, with consensus EPS of $1.88 and revenue of $18.99B, as a dispute over its in-flight Wi-Fi strategy continues after Delta chose Amazon's LEO satellite network over SpaceX's Starlink for a rollout planned for 2028. Also reporting during the week are Saratoga Investment, Lamb Weston, RPM International, Apogee Enterprises, Tilray Brands, NOVAGOLD Resources, Helen of Troy, AngioDynamics, Richardson Electronics, Resources Connection, Penguin Solutions, Applied Digital and New Horizon Aircraft.
PEP · Pricing · Positive PepsiCo plans to raise prices on select brands like Doritos and Ruffles by low-to-mid-single digits, reversing earlier price cuts, a favorable pricing move ahead of its Q3 report.
DAL · · Neutral Delta is set to report Q3 earnings; article only previews consensus figures and notes an ongoing in-flight Wi-Fi dispute, no clear directional driver.
LEVI · · Neutral Levi Strauss is set to report Q3 earnings; article only previews consensus EPS/revenue and prior guidance, no new directional development.
STZ · · Neutral Constellation Brands is set to report fiscal Q2 earnings; article only previews consensus EPS/revenue and notes the stock near a 52-week low, no clear directional driver.
Endeavour Mining Posts Record US$1.16 Billion Free Cash Flow, Returns US$301 Million
Endeavour Mining generated record free cash flow of about US$1.16 billion in fiscal 2025 and US$761 million in the first half of 2026, allowing it to maintain a net cash balance sheet. Those cash flows funded a record US$301 million returned to shareholders in the first half of 2026, including an interim dividend of roughly US$0.95 per share. The company's Assafou definitive feasibility study outlines a large, relatively low cost project in Côte d'Ivoire with a 16 year mine life, and the key question is whether future Assafou capex and any changes to Ivorian royalties or taxes could dilute the current dividend and buyback story. Endeavour's narrative projects US$6.2 billion in revenue and US$1.9 billion in earnings by 2029, yielding a CA$95.74 fair value and 18% upside to its current price, while some analysts had assumed revenue of about US$7.6 billion and earnings of roughly US$2.6 billion by 2029. Heightened West African royalty and tax discussions remain a risk to how much of the cash windfall reaches shareholders.
Micron Adds $43 Billion in Quarterly Sales as AI Demand Drives Blowout Earnings
Micron beat sales and profit forecasts for its latest quarter, driven by voracious demand from the AI boom, with guidance also strong except for margin comments on the earnings call that may have caused a muted market reaction. The memory chipmaker added about $43 billion in sales during the most recent quarter compared to the year-ago quarter, and more than $13 billion in sales from the quarter reported three months ago. Operating margins exploded in all business segments, exceeding 80% in some segments. Micron executives signaled tight capacity and higher prices for its products until 2028, with D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria saying expectations for tightening supply-demand conditions through both 2027 and 2028 meaningfully extend the industry's runway for strong pricing and earnings growth. The stock trades on a single-digit forward P/E ratio.
MU · Capital · Positive Micron beat sales and profit forecasts with blowout earnings and strong guidance driven by AI demand.
MU · Pricing · Positive Executives signaled tight capacity and higher prices for its products until 2028, extending strong pricing and earnings growth.
Waldencast's $1.2 billion beauty empire shrinks to Milk Makeup as sales fall 57%
Waldencast, the SPAC-backed beauty platform launched by former L'Oréal executive Michel Brousset and Hind Sebti, has been reduced to a single brand after Milk Makeup's net revenue fell 57.1% to $26.1 million in the first half of 2026 from $60.9 million a year earlier. The $1.2 billion three-way combination announced in November 2021 was meant as the "first step" toward a global multibrand beauty and wellness platform, but the company agreed in June to sell Obagi Medical to private equity firm Bridgepoint for up to $460 million, a deal that closed July 30 and left Waldencast focused entirely on Milk Makeup. Brousset, Sebti and CFO Manuel Manfredi departed to lead Obagi alongside Bridgepoint, leaving executive chairman Felipe Dutra as Waldencast's principal executive and financial officer. Milk Makeup swung to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $14.8 million from a profit of $9.7 million, and Waldencast took a $52.3 million noncash goodwill impairment charge on the brand, cutting Milk-related goodwill to $62.8 million from $115.1 million. Four days before reporting results, Waldencast filed to voluntarily delist from Nasdaq, with its last trading day expected on or about Oct. 2, and plans to seek quotation over the counter under the ticker MLKM while targeting elimination of 80% to 90% of its $18.5 million in annual central headquarters costs.
WALD · Capital · Negative Waldencast's Milk Makeup revenue fell 57.1%, swung to an adjusted EBITDA loss, took a $52.3M goodwill impairment, and it is delisting from Nasdaq.
Milk Makeup · Demand · Negative Milk Makeup's net revenue fell 57.1% to $26.1M and it swung to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $14.8M.
Obagi Medical · Capital · Neutral Obagi Medical was sold to Bridgepoint for up to $460M, a divestiture that removed it from Waldencast.
Tamboran Resources Narrows Loss to US$26.07 Million as Ernst & Young Flags Going Concern Doubt
Tamboran Resources Corporation reported a full-year net loss of US$26.07 million for the period ended June 30, 2026, an improvement from the US$36.9 million loss a year earlier, with basic loss per share from continuing operations narrowing to US$0.0058 from US$0.0126. On the same day, auditor Ernst & Young LLP issued an unqualified opinion expressing doubt about Tamboran's ability to continue as a going concern, citing funding and liquidity risk. The auditor's warning sits alongside the company's narrowing losses and centers on Tamboran's dependence on capital markets and farm-out carries to finance development of the Beetaloo Basin, which remains pre-revenue. That funding question bears on the timing and certainty of the first gas ramp-up, the key near-term catalyst for the company. Tamboran's narrative projects US$55.5 million in revenue and US$8.9 million in earnings by 2029, an implied US$43.3 million earnings increase from negative US$34.4 million today, while four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$0.20 to US$12.55 per share.
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain Capital
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Firm Power & Transition Fuels Capital
TBN · Capital · Negative Ernst & Young issued a going-concern doubt citing funding and liquidity risk, clouding Tamboran's ability to finance its pre-revenue Beetaloo development.
Garrett Motion Beats on Revenue and Guidance, Shares Still Seen 27% Undervalued
Garrett Motion reported quarterly revenue of US$976 million, up 6.9% year on year, with EBITDA results and full-year guidance that topped analyst expectations. The stock rose 3.1% over the last day and 5.3% over the past week, though its 90-day share price return is down 18.4% after a softer 30-day stretch, while the 1-year total shareholder return stands at 103.8% and the 3-year total shareholder return at about 2.8x. The most followed narrative pegs fair value around $37.17, comfortably above the last close at $27.07, implying the shares are 27% undervalued. That narrative rests on ongoing innovation and proof of concept awards in zero emission technologies including E Powertrain, E Cooling, and fuel cell compressors, plus expansion in industrial and non automotive end markets. It also flags risks from Garrett Motion's reliance on internal combustion engine turbochargers and exposure to tariff and currency swings.
Minerals 260 Swings to A$83.48 Million Profit, Shares Down 8.0%
Minerals 260 Limited reported full-year results for the period ended June 30, 2026, recording net income of A$83.48 million versus a net loss of A$11.52 million a year earlier, a swing that translated into positive basic and diluted earnings per share from continuing operations. The company's share price has been on the slide but might be dropping deeper into value territory, with the stock down 8.0% after the profitability turnaround. Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly A$0.41 to A$1.35 per share, highlighting how far apart individual views can be. The result does not resolve questions about how sustainable these earnings are given the high level of non-cash income, or how much future dilution or capital will be required to turn exploration and development assets, particularly Bullabulling and the broader WA portfolio, into cash-generating operations.
NIKE Cuts Fiscal 2027 Revenue Outlook, Warns of High Single-Digit Decline
NIKE paired softer first quarter results with a warning that fiscal 2027 revenue is expected to decline in the high single digits. The stock fell 3.64% on the day of the update and is down 11.80% over the past month and 46.48% year to date, with a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 51.36%. The most followed valuation narrative pegs fair value at $36.83, a touch above the latest close at $33.87, implying the shares are 8% undervalued. NIKE runs with an operating margin above the roughly 10% mark and projects revenue growth of about 3% over the next couple of years, slightly below the broader economy. The revenue reset guidance and the 51.36% one-year total return decline leave little room for disappointment if NIKE stumbles again on demand or margins.
Canaccord Genuity Posts Record FY2026 Revenue of C$2.20 Billion, Raises Dividend 17.6%
Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. reported record fiscal 2026 results, with revenue of C$2.20 billion and adjusted pre-tax income of C$262.80 million, and raised its quarterly dividend 17.6% to C$0.10 per share. A key driver was the Wealth Management arm, where client assets reached a record C$160.20 billion, underscoring the growing importance of the fee-based business mix. The company said the higher dividend and an ongoing buyback authorization signal management's confidence in cash generation. Near-term catalysts remain tied to deal activity, market sentiment and execution in Wealth Management, while the company remains loss making overall, keeping dividend sustainability and acquisition plans front-of-mind risks.
Arm's Data-Center Chip Push Tests Its Licensing Moat
Arm Holdings is moving beyond designing processors for others by selling its own data-center CPU, a shift that could capture more revenue per system but changes its relationship with the customers that license its technology. In its fiscal 2027 first-quarter results released July 29, Arm reported $1.29 billion of revenue, with royalties of $715 million, up 22%, and licensing and other revenue of $574 million, up 23%, while data-center royalty revenue more than doubled. Arm said its AGI CPU had been delivered to initial customers and that it had secured capacity for a $1 billion revenue opportunity across fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028, with management describing demand exceeding $2 billion over those two years, a figure it characterized as demand commentary rather than recognized revenue or a guaranteed order book. At a September 30 market-data snapshot, Arm traded at roughly 59 times enterprise value to trailing revenue and about 205 times trailing free cash flow, and the company had 15,521,694 shares sold short at the September 15 settlement with 3.9 days to cover. The bull case rests on Arm earning royalties from customers' processors while using its own product to accelerate adoption of its architecture, while the bear case is a gradual erosion of neutrality as customers grow reluctant to share roadmaps with a supplier competing for the same server budget.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon Competition
ARM · Capital · Positive Arm reported fiscal Q1 revenue of $1.29B with royalties up 22% and licensing up 23%, plus a $1B capacity-secured revenue opportunity.
ARM · Competition · Neutral Arm's move to sell its own data-center CPU could capture more revenue per system but risks eroding its licensing neutrality with customers who compete for the same server budget.
Trip.com Group Beats Estimates as SAMR Penalty Clouds Outlook
Trip.com Group reported quarterly results with earnings per share above analyst estimates, supported by its mix of accommodation, transportation ticketing, and package-tour services across global markets. The beat, according to Simply Wall St, supports the view that Trip.com's technology-driven platforms and expanding international travel offerings are strengthening the resilience and breadth of its business model, though it does not materially change the key near-term catalyst of sustaining international growth. The most relevant recent development alongside the earnings beat is a July 2026 administrative penalty from China's SAMR, which Trip.com has said will prompt governance rectifications, bringing regulatory risk into sharper focus around higher compliance costs and potential limits on high-margin services. Trip.com Group's narrative projects CN¥85.8 billion in revenue and CN¥15.6 billion in earnings by 2029, yielding a $58.45 fair value, a 53% upside to its current price, while bullish analysts assume revenues near CN¥91.8 billion and earnings around CN¥18.8 billion by 2029.
Bank of America Raises AMD Price Target to $720 on AI CPU Opportunity
Bank of America reiterated a Buy rating on Advanced Micro Devices and raised its price target to $720 from $620, citing the company's opportunity to capture a larger share of the rapidly expanding server CPU market. The firm expects the server market to grow from approximately $61 billion to $211 billion by 2030, with roughly $180 billion of that total tied to AI workloads, and sees agentic AI boosting demand for CPUs that coordinate workloads and manage data alongside GPUs. AMD's data center revenue rose 107% in the second quarter to $6.72 billion, driven by EPYC server CPUs and Instinct GPUs, while client business revenue climbed 23% year over year to $3.1 billion on Ryzen demand. The stock has gained more than 180% in 2026 and trades at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 39X, roughly double Nvidia's 19X, though AMD's gross margin of 54% trails Nvidia's roughly 75%. Hedge fund participation increased to 164 funds holding AMD as of the second quarter, up from 134 in the first quarter, while short interest stood at approximately 39.98 million shares as of September 15, about 2.46% of the float.
Cenovus Energy Raises 2026 Production Guidance and Advances Pathways CCS Framework
Cenovus Energy reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter 2026 operating results, raised its 2026 production guidance to 970,000 to 1,010,000 BOE per day, trimmed Oil Sands operating cost expectations, and distributed about C$1.40 billion to investors through dividends and share repurchases. Alongside other major oil sands producers, Cenovus moved forward with the Pathways CCS initiative under a new federal-provincial-industry framework that ties future oil sands expansion to large-scale emissions reduction infrastructure. The company's narrative projects CA$54.9 billion in revenue and CA$6.1 billion in earnings by 2029, implying fairly flat yearly revenue growth and an earnings decrease of about CA$0.6 billion from CA$6.7 billion today. That forecast yields a CA$51.15 fair value, an 11% upside to the current price, while the most optimistic analysts had already assumed revenue growth toward about CA$56.8 billion and earnings near CA$6.9 billion by 2029. The biggest swing factor near term remains regulatory and fiscal clarity around carbon and project approvals rather than quarterly numbers.
CVE · Capital · Positive Cenovus beat Q2 2026 estimates, raised 2026 production guidance, trimmed Oil Sands cost expectations, and returned ~C$1.40B via dividends and buybacks.
CVE · Regulation · Positive Cenovus advanced the Pathways CCS initiative under a new federal-provincial-industry framework tying future oil sands expansion to emissions-reduction infrastructure.