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Affirm Holdings Inc

Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates a payment network in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Its platform provides pay-over-time solutions at checkout for consumers and merchants. Through its commerce platform, agreements with originating banks, and capital markets partners, consumers can pay for purchases over time. Its active merchants span small businesses, large enterprises, direct-to-consumer brands, brick-and-mortar stores, and omni-channel companies across industries such as electronics, equipment and auto, fashion and beauty, general merchandise, home and lifestyle services, sporting goods and outdoors, and travel and ticketing. Founded in 2012, the company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Price · split & dividend adjusted

Why is Affirm Holdings Inc (AFRM) moving?

Latest
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Affirm's record quarter and Shopify expansion drive stock higher

  • Record Q4 earnings beat and strong guidance Affirm reported its most profitable quarter ever, with revenue up 33% to $1.17 billion and GMV up 36% to $14.1 billion, both beating estimates. Management guided fiscal 2027 GMV above $64 billion and adjusted operating margin above 30.5%, signaling durable growth and profitability. The stock jumped 7-13% on the news.

    This is the core new event that directly drove the stock higher and answers why AFRM is moving.

  • Shopify partnership expands to Australia Affirm launched Shop Pay Installments in Australia exclusively through its platform, deepening its partnership with Shopify. This expands Affirm's reach into new markets and increases payment volume, supporting future growth. The deal was announced alongside earnings and adds a new distribution channel.

    This is a new concrete expansion that supports the bullish case and was not previously reported.

  • Affirm Card growth and new leadership The Affirm Card continued its rapid adoption, with active cardholders up 125% to 5.2 million and card volume surging. The company also promoted Michael Linford to president, signaling management strength. These developments show Affirm is successfully expanding beyond traditional BNPL into everyday spending.

    Card growth and leadership changes are new details that reinforce the growth story and were not in earlier reports.

  • Interest rate risk remains a threat Affirm faces bigger risk from potential rate hikes than reward from cuts, as higher rates would raise funding costs and crimp consumer demand. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's recent comments suggest hikes are more likely, which could pressure Affirm's margins and loan demand. This is a real counterweight to the bullish earnings news.

    This is a key risk factor that could reverse the stock's momentum and was highlighted in the period.

Q3 2026
▲3▼1

Affirm's record quarter and Shopify expansion drive stock higher

  • Record Q4 earnings beat and strong guidance Affirm reported its most profitable quarter ever, with revenue up 33% to $1.17 billion and GMV up 36% to $14.1 billion, both beating estimates. Management guided fiscal 2027 GMV above $64 billion and adjusted operating margin above 30.5%, signaling durable growth and profitability. The stock jumped 7-13% on the news.

    This is the core new event that directly drove the stock higher and answers why AFRM is moving.

  • Shopify partnership expands to Australia Affirm launched Shop Pay Installments in Australia exclusively through its platform, deepening its partnership with Shopify. This expands Affirm's reach into new markets and increases payment volume, supporting future growth. The deal was announced alongside earnings and adds a new distribution channel.

    This is a new concrete expansion that supports the bullish case and was not previously reported.

  • Affirm Card growth and new leadership The Affirm Card continued its rapid adoption, with active cardholders up 125% to 5.2 million and card volume surging. The company also promoted Michael Linford to president, signaling management strength. These developments show Affirm is successfully expanding beyond traditional BNPL into everyday spending.

    Card growth and leadership changes are new details that reinforce the growth story and were not in earlier reports.

  • Interest rate risk remains a threat Affirm faces bigger risk from potential rate hikes than reward from cuts, as higher rates would raise funding costs and crimp consumer demand. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's recent comments suggest hikes are more likely, which could pressure Affirm's margins and loan demand. This is a real counterweight to the bullish earnings news.

    This is a key risk factor that could reverse the stock's momentum and was highlighted in the period.

News & notes moving AFRM
United StatesCanada
Digital Finance & Tokenization▲

Affirm Partners With Crate & Barrel to Expand Pay-Over-Time Reach

Affirm Holdings has struck a new partnership with Crate & Barrel Holdings, bringing its pay-over-time financing to Crate & Barrel, Crate & Barrel Kids and CB2 customers in the United States and Canada, with biweekly or monthly payment options starting at 0% APR and no late fees or hidden charges. The deal adds Crate & Barrel Holdings, which operates more than 100 stores and websites across the United States and Canada and draws more than 200 million customer visits a year, to Affirm's network of more than 570,000 active merchant partners, broadening its reach in the home-furnishing category. Affirm said the near-term financial impact is difficult to quantify because the companies did not disclose transaction volumes or revenue contribution, and that the partnership's contribution will depend on customer engagement and the volume of purchases financed through Affirm. Stronger usage across Crate & Barrel's brands could gradually increase the partnership's contribution to Gross Merchandise Volume and revenues. Affirm faces competition from Block, which is deepening Afterpay's integration with Cash App, and from PayPal, whose Pay in 4 and Pay Monthly offerings cover purchases up to $10,000. Affirm shares have risen 51.3% over the past six months compared with the industry's 30.2% growth, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its 2026 earnings stands at $1.87 per share, followed by 53.3% growth next year.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms ▲Demand
AFRM · Demand · Positive Affirm struck a new partnership adding Crate & Barrel's 100+ stores and 200M annual visits to its merchant network, expanding pay-over-time reach.
Crate & Barrel · Demand · Positive Crate & Barrel Holdings partners with Affirm to offer pay-over-time financing across its brands, potentially driving customer purchases.
PYPL · Competition · Neutral PayPal is mentioned only as a competitor whose Pay in 4 and Pay Monthly offerings cover purchases up to $10,000.
XYZ · Competition · Neutral Block is mentioned only as a competitor deepening Afterpay's integration with Cash App.
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Zacks Investment Research·5dRead more →
United States
AFRM▲

Affirm Holdings Draws Investor Attention as Earnings Estimates Rise

Affirm Holdings has become one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com, with the digital commerce platform operator expected to post earnings of $0.34 per share for the current quarter, a year-over-year change of +47.8%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for that quarter has changed +3.5%, while the consensus estimate of $1.87 for the current fiscal year, indicating a year-over-year change of -66.2%, has moved +9.1%. For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate of $2.87 points to a change of +53.3%, and has risen +7.9% over the past month. Those revisions, along with three other earnings-related factors, give Affirm Holdings a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). On the revenue side, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $1.21 billion, a year-over-year change of +30%, while estimates of $5.51 billion and $6.9 billion for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +29.4% and +25.2%. In its last reported quarter, Affirm Holdings posted revenues of $1.17 billion, up +33% year over year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.11 billion by +5.23%, with an EPS surprise of +1300% as EPS of $4.62 compared with $0.2 a year earlier. The stock carries a Zacks Value Style Score of D, indicating it trades at a premium to its peers.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Rising consensus earnings and revenue estimates, plus a big prior-quarter EPS beat, point to improving financial expectations for Affirm.
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Zacks Investment Research·13dRead more →
United States
Digital Finance & Tokenization

SoFi's Bank Charter Fuels Deposit Growth as Upstart and Affirm Seek Approval

SoFi Technologies is the only one of the three major fintech lenders — SoFi, Upstart, and Affirm — that currently holds a full bank charter, giving it an internal deposit base to fund loans while its rivals still rely on third-party bank partners. SoFi obtained its charter on Jan. 18, 2022, by acquiring the small California bank Golden Pacific and applying through it, and has since grown deposits from $1.2 billion in first-quarter 2022 to $45.5 billion in second-quarter 2026, with members rising from 3.9 million to 15.8 million and products from 5.9 million to 24.4 million over the same period. The company swung from a net loss of $110 million, or -$0.14 per share, four years ago to net income of $156 million, or $0.12 per share, in Q2 2026. Upstart received conditional approval for a national bank charter in July and is expected to get final approval in early 2027, while buy now, pay later provider Affirm applied for an industrial loan bank charter in January and has not yet been granted any approvals. SoFi stock is down about 36% year to date and trades at 34 times earnings and 21 times forward earnings, after returns of 116% in 2023, 54% in 2024, and 70% in 2025.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms Competition
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Banking & Neobanks ▲Capital
SOFI · Regulation · Positive SoFi is the only one of the three fintech lenders holding a full bank charter, giving it an internal deposit base that grew from $1.2B to $45.5B and helped it swing to net income.
AFRM · Regulation · Neutral Affirm applied for an industrial loan bank charter in January but has not yet been granted any approvals, leaving it reliant on third-party bank partners.
UPST · Regulation · Neutral Upstart received conditional approval for a national bank charter in July and expects final approval in early 2027, still relying on third-party bank partners.
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The Motley Fool·15dRead more →
United States
Digital Finance & Tokenization▲

Goldman Sachs Raises Affirm Price Target to $115 on Improving Fundamentals

Goldman Sachs raised its price target on Affirm Holdings to $115 from $106 on September 12, citing improving underlying fundamentals. The hike followed Affirm's fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, in which revenues surged 33% to $1.2 billion and operating income rose $89 million to $147 million. Interest income climbed 35% in the quarter, in line with a 33% increase in average net loans held for investment partners, and 80% of Affirm's direct-to-consumer product loans carried interest at quarter-end. Affirm Card active cardholders more than doubled to 5.2 million, driving a 124% increase in Card GMV to $2.8 billion, while management estimated GMV would reach $64 billion in fiscal 2027 with an adjusted operating margin of 30.5%. Wolfe Research analyst Darrin Peller upgraded the stock to Outperform with a $90 price target, though the company continues to face credit-quality and competitive risks as banks, fintechs, retailers and payment networks expand installment-payment offerings.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms ▲Demand
AFRM · Capital · Positive Goldman Sachs raised its Affirm price target to $115 and Wolfe Research upgraded the stock to Outperform, both citing improving fundamentals.
AFRM · Demand · Positive Affirm's Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue surged 33% to $1.2 billion with Card active cardholders more than doubling to 5.2 million and Card GMV up 124%.
GS · Capital · Positive Goldman Sachs raised its Affirm price target to $115 from $106, an analyst valuation action by the firm itself.
Wolfe Research · Capital · Positive Wolfe Research analyst Darrin Peller upgraded Affirm to Outperform with a $90 price target.
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Insider Monkey·16dRead more →
United States
Digital Finance & Tokenization▲

Affirm Launches AI Underwriting Model, Sees 3.4% More Completed Purchases

Affirm Holdings is launching a new transformer-based machine learning model for real-time credit underwriting at U.S. checkouts, drawing on 14 years of its own transaction and repayment data to analyze the order and timing of events across a consumer's credit history. In initial testing, the model approved applications the previous system would have declined, including consumers with limited credit histories and no FICO scores, and those incremental approvals produced 3.4% more completed purchases than the control group, with the loans performing better than a comparable expansion under the previous model. Affirm says the model is built to deliver fast and explainable decisions, and the release does not provide a dollar estimate of the financial impact. The company frames the launch as expanding approvals without simply lowering credit standards, with the financial benefit depending on how the early results scale. Affirm shares have risen 58.2% over the past six months compared with the industry's 20.2% growth, and the stock trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 4.1X versus the industry average of 4.2X.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Technology
AFRM · Technology · Positive Affirm launched a transformer-based AI underwriting model that produced 3.4% more completed purchases in testing.
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Zacks Investment Research·17dRead more →
United StatesGlobal
Digital Finance & Tokenization▲

Stripe's Shared Payment Token Emerges as Default Agentic Commerce Layer

Stripe introduced its Shared Payment Token in October 2025 as a programmable, revocable primitive designed to standardize how AI agents interact with financial rails. The token prevents exposure of underlying credentials during agent-initiated transactions by mapping to the latest Funding Primary Account Number while adding agent-specific metadata such as merchant scoping, time-bound constraints, and transaction caps, with Stripe Radar providing real-time fraud and risk signaling. Stripe is currently the only provider supporting both agentic network tokens and BNPL tokens within a single primitive, a consolidation that matters given BNPL accounts for over $300 billion in global volume and businesses on Stripe report up to a 14% revenue increase on BNPL-eligible sessions. As of March 3, 2026, the platform supports Mastercard Agent Pay, Visa Intelligent Commerce, and BNPL providers including Affirm and Klarna, meaning merchants already integrated with Stripe need no additional development work to support agentic transactions. Adoption remains far behind the infrastructure: only 14% of consumers express trust in AI to execute purchases, dropping significantly for transactions exceeding $50, while just 3% of total transactions involve agents even as 42% of merchants report testing the technology. Stripe is also co-developing the open-source Agentic Commerce Protocol with OpenAI and has made a $7.5 billion acquisition of OpenRouter, signaling an intent to control the routing and execution environment where agents operate.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▲Technology
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Distribution & Revenue-Share Partners Competition
Stripe, Inc. · Technology · Positive Stripe launched its Shared Payment Token as the default agentic commerce layer, the sole provider supporting both agentic network tokens and BNPL tokens.
Stripe, Inc. · Capital · Positive Stripe made a $7.5 billion acquisition of OpenRouter to control agent routing and execution.
OpenRouter · Capital · Positive Stripe made a $7.5 billion acquisition of OpenRouter, signaling intent to control the agent routing and execution environment.
AFRM · Demand · Positive Stripe's Shared Payment Token supports Affirm as a BNPL provider, expanding agentic transaction reach for Affirm's BNPL volume.
KLAR · Demand · Positive Klarna is integrated as a BNPL provider in Stripe's agentic token primitive, giving it access to agent-initiated BNPL transactions.
MA · Technology · Positive Stripe's platform supports Mastercard Agent Pay, extending Mastercard's agentic payment rails to integrated merchants.
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Yahoo Finance·19dRead more →
United States
AFRM▼

Affirm's Most Profitable Quarter Yet as CEO Steps Back

Affirm Holdings reported its most profitable quarter ever, yet the stock fell 4.26%, and CEO Max Levchin announced he is stepping back from day-to-day execution to focus on next-generation products. The Affirm Card is now central to growth, with a 19% attach rate and cardholders spending twice as much as average users, while 30% of card transactions occur offline. Pay-in-X volume grew 41%, and the Services vertical nearly doubled year over year. Fiscal 2027 guidance targets revenue less transaction costs of 4.2%, matching fiscal 2026, with funding through non-consolidated ABS deals. Levchin promoted Michael Linford to President and Pat Suh to SVP and GM of Global Markets, and highlighted a bank partner platform called Affirm Edge with pilots in the second half of the year. Risks include underwriting 0% consumer loans, which Levchin called a "really, really hard science," and multi-quarter sales cycles for large merchants. Hedge fund ownership slipped from 61 to 57 funds, short interest is 4.96% of float, and the stock trades at a forward P/E of 40.16.
AFRM · Capital · Negative Stock fell 4.26% despite record profitability, with CEO stepping back and guidance matching prior year.
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Insider Monkey·34dRead more →
United States
AFRM▲2

Affirm Q4 Earnings Beat on Strong GMV Growth, Rising Card Adoption

Affirm Holdings reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings of $4.62 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 33 cents by 1,300% and rising from 20 cents a year ago. Revenues of $1.17 billion grew 33% year over year and surpassed the consensus mark of $1.11 billion. The results were driven by robust Gross Merchandise Volume growth, higher transactions, strong repeat customer engagement, and increased interest income, with rapid growth in Affirm Card adoption and merchant activity also supporting performance. However, elevated operating expenses and higher provision for credit losses partly offset gains, while the bottom line benefited from a $1.45 billion income tax benefit related to the release of a valuation allowance on domestic deferred tax assets. As of June 30, 2026, active merchants totaled 570,800, up 50% year over year, and GMV increased 36% to $14.1 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $13.4 billion. For the first quarter of fiscal 2027, Affirm expects GMV of $13.7-$14.0 billion and revenues of $1.19-$1.22 billion, and for fiscal 2027, it expects GMV of more than $64 billion.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Q4 earnings beat on strong GMV growth and revenue, with a tax benefit boosting EPS.
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Zacks Investment Research·34dRead more →
United StatesUnited Kingdom
AFRM▲2

Affirm Reports Most Profitable Quarter Ever, Promotes Executives

Affirm Holdings reported its most profitable quarter ever in fiscal Q4 2026, even without a tax allowance release, and announced the promotions of Pat Suh to SVP and GM of Global Markets and Michael Linford to President. CEO Max Levchin said the core business is thriving and that he will focus on developing next-generation products and services. The company highlighted strong growth in Pay-in-X, with a 41% increase, and noted that its Affirm Card transactions are 30% offline. Management expressed confidence in the U.K. market and discussed ongoing initiatives such as Affirm Edge and the Affirm Money Account. CFO Rob O'Hare provided guidance for fiscal 2027, expecting a GAAP tax rate in the mid- to high 20% range and consistent revenue less transaction costs.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Most profitable quarter ever and strong guidance
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The Motley Fool·35dRead more →
United StatesAustralia
AFRM▲2

Affirm Beats Q4 Estimates but CEO Warns on Gas Prices

Affirm Holdings posted a fiscal fourth quarter that beat Wall Street expectations, with revenue rising 33% to $1.17 billion and gross merchandise volume up 36% to $14.1 billion, but CEO Max Levchin cautioned that higher gas prices are squeezing the consumers driving that growth. Active consumers grew 21% to 27.8 million, and the Affirm Card's active users more than doubled to 5.2 million. Credit quality improved, with the 30-day delinquency rate falling to 2.5%. The company also extended its Shopify partnership into Australia. Despite the strong results, the stock barely moved, and analysts remain split, with Morgan Stanley keeping a neutral rating while Susquehanna raised its price target to $110.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Q4 revenue and GMV beat estimates, credit quality improved, and Shopify partnership expanded.
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Insider Monkey·35dRead more →
AustraliaUnited States
AFRM▲2

Affirm Expands to Australia and Names Michael Linford President

Affirm Holdings is expanding its buy now, pay later reach by launching Shop Pay Installments in Australia through its partnership with Shopify, and has promoted Michael Linford to President. The Australian rollout broadens access to installment options for Shopify merchants and shoppers in a competitive market. Linford's new role adds senior leadership responsibilities alongside his existing duties, concentrating oversight of global markets, risk, finance, and legal. This combination of international product expansion and an adjusted executive structure signals a fresh phase of growth planning for Affirm, with investors watching international gross merchandise volume and credit outcomes as Australia ramps up.
AFRM · Demand · Positive Expands BNPL product to Australia via Shopify, broadening market reach.
SHOP · Demand · Positive Partnership enables Shopify merchants in Australia to offer installments, potentially boosting merchant value.
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Simply Wall St·37dRead more →
CanadaUnited StatesAustralia
Artificial Intelligence▲

Shopify Beats Estimates, Expands Affirm Partnership

Shopify reported quarterly revenue growth of 33.7% year on year, beating analyst expectations on revenue, billings, and gross merchandise volume, while highlighting a net cash position of US$4.77 billion. The company also deepened its tie-up with Affirm, launching Shop Pay Installments in Australia, which underscores how its AI tools and financial services are becoming more embedded in merchant checkout and financing options globally. The stronger-than-expected results and expanded partnership may influence Shopify's investment narrative around AI-powered commerce, though competitive pressure and regulatory scrutiny on data use remain key risks. The company's premium valuation could compress if growth slows, but the Affirm partnership could support higher payment penetration and stickiness. Shopify's narrative projects $25.8 billion revenue and $3.9 billion earnings by 2029, requiring 24.7% yearly revenue growth and about a $2.0 billion earnings increase from $1.9 billion today, yielding a fair value of $160.59, a 4% upside to its current price.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Technology
SHOP · Capital · Positive Shopify beat estimates on revenue, billings, and GMV, with strong growth and net cash position.
AFRM · Demand · Positive Expanded partnership with Shopify launching Shop Pay Installments in Australia increases Affirm's payment volume and market reach.
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Simply Wall St·37dRead more →
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AFRM▲

Affirm COO says business firing on all cylinders after strong quarter

Affirm's stock is gaining after the company topped fiscal fourth quarter earnings expectations, with COO Michael Linford, who was named the company's next president, saying the business is "firing on all cylinders." The company posted its 11th consecutive quarter of over 30% GNV growth, with revenue less transaction costs growing 39% year over year and exceeding its percentage of GNV target. Linford highlighted strong unit economics and operating leverage, with GAAP operating income up over 6 percentage points and adjusted margins above 30%. He expressed optimism about the consumer, citing stable credit trends and employment, and noted the company's expansion with Shopify in Australia and the UK, while acknowledging that international markets will take time to become meaningful. Regarding the abandoned $50 billion PayPal acquisition by Advent and Stripe, Linford declined to comment, saying Affirm is focused on its own opportunities.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Strong Q4 earnings beat with 39% revenue growth and improved margins.
SHOP · Demand · Positive Expansion with Shopify in Australia and UK could drive more volume.
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Yahoo Finance·37dRead more →
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AFRM▲

Klarna, Affirm, Sezzle Rally as PayPal Deal Collapses

Buy now, pay later stocks rallied Friday after Bloomberg reported that Stripe and Advent International abandoned a takeover of PayPal Holdings valued at more than $50 billion, with Klarna up 6% to $14.86, Affirm up 10% to $85.01, and Sezzle up 2% to $128.46, while PayPal fell 11% to $54.40 as the takeover premium unwound. Affirm's surge followed its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings, which CEO Max Levchin called "our most profitable quarter ever, even without the tax allowance release," and the company also promoted Michael Linford to president and launched Shop Pay Installments in Australia exclusively through Affirm. Klarna and Sezzle had no company-specific catalysts, with their gains driven by read-across relief from the removal of a potential giant rival. The ARK Blockchain & Fintech Innovation ETF was down 0.1% to $47, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust rose 0.1% to $772.16, indicating a name-level event rather than a sector move. Investors should watch for confirmation of Affirm's profitability inflection and the Shop Pay Australia distribution deal in fiscal Q1 2027 volume metrics, while PayPal's next test is whether branded-checkout stabilization can support the stock without a takeover backstop.
PYPL · Capital · Negative Takeover by Stripe and Advent abandoned, causing 11% drop as premium unwound.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Fiscal Q4 earnings were 'most profitable quarter ever' and company promoted Michael Linford to president.
AFRM · Demand · Positive Launched Shop Pay Installments in Australia exclusively through Affirm, a distribution deal.
KLAR · · Positive Rallied 6% on read-across relief from PayPal takeover collapse, no company-specific catalyst.
SEZL · · Positive Rallied 2% on read-across relief from PayPal takeover collapse, no company-specific catalyst.
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24/7 Wall St.·38dRead more →
United States
AFRM▲

PayPal Plunges on Failed Buyout; Affirm, Gap Surge Premarket

PayPal shares plunged nearly 16% premarket after Bloomberg reported that buyout firm Advent and payment processor Stripe decided not to pursue a takeover, which would have been one of the largest leveraged buyouts. Meanwhile, Affirm jumped 13% after reporting $1.17 billion in revenue for its fiscal fourth quarter, beating the LSEG estimate of $1.11 billion, and issued first-quarter revenue guidance above estimates. Gap popped nearly 15% after announcing Michael Francis will become CEO of Old Navy starting Nov. 2, succeeding Haio Barbeito, and reported second-quarter adjusted earnings of 52 cents per share, topping the 48-cent consensus. Elastic N.V. surged over 17% after its full-year guidance exceeded expectations, with adjusted EPS forecast between $3.29 and $3.37 versus the $3.24 estimate. Marvell Technology dropped nearly 8% despite guiding current-quarter adjusted earnings to $1.10 per share plus or minus 5 cents, above the $1.07 estimate, but its gross margin guidance of 57.5% to 58.5% came in below the StreetAccount consensus of 58.5%. Rubrik fell over 5% after its non-GAAP gross margin of 81% missed the 81.7% estimate, despite beating on earnings and revenue. Autodesk declined nearly 4% after its third-quarter adjusted EPS guidance of $3.04 to $3.09 fell short of the $3.14 consensus.
AFRM · Capital · Positive FQ4 revenue beat and Q1 guidance above estimates
ESTC · Capital · Positive Full-year guidance exceeded expectations
GAP · Capital · Positive Q2 adjusted EPS beat and new CEO announcement
MRVL · Capital · Negative Gross margin guidance below consensus despite EPS beat
PYPL · Capital · Negative Advent and Stripe decided not to pursue a takeover, causing PayPal shares to plunge nearly 16% premarket.
RBRK · Capital · Negative Rubrik's non-GAAP gross margin of 81% missed the 81.7% estimate, despite beating on earnings and revenue, leading to a 5% decline.
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CNBC·38dRead more →
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Artificial Intelligence▲

PayPal plunges as Stripe, Advent abandon buyout; Elastic, Affirm surge

Stock futures were mixed Friday as investors awaited Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's keynote speech at Jackson Hole, with energy market pressures and U.S.-Iran uncertainty capping risk appetite. Elastic shares jumped 21% after the software firm beat FQ1 estimates, guiding Q2 revenue to $486M-$487M and raising its FY2027 outlook to $1.998B-$2.010B with adjusted EPS of $3.29-$3.37. Affirm Holdings rose 9% on strong FQ4 results and an upbeat FY2027 forecast, including GMV above $64B and adjusted operating margin over 30.5%. PayPal tumbled 13% after a consortium of Advent and Stripe abandoned its pursuit, which had offered more than $50B for the fintech. Rubrik fell 8% despite beating Q2 estimates and raising guidance, while Marvell Technology dropped 8% even after topping Q2 expectations with record revenue of $2.739B and strong AI-driven outlook.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Data Platforms & Analytics ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Custom Silicon / ASIC ▲Demand
PYPL · Capital · Negative Tumbled 13% after Advent and Stripe abandoned their buyout pursuit.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Strong FQ4 results and upbeat FY2027 forecast with GMV above $64B and adjusted operating margin over 30.5%.
ESTC · Capital · Positive Beat FQ1 estimates, guided Q2 revenue to $486M-$487M, and raised FY2027 outlook.
MRVL · Capital · Negative Dropped 8% despite topping Q2 expectations with record revenue of $2.739B and strong AI-driven outlook.
RBRK · Capital · Negative Fell 8% despite beating Q2 estimates and raising guidance.
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Seeking Alpha·38dRead more →
United States
AFRM▲

Affirm Beats Q2 Estimates, Stock Soars 7.3%

Affirm, the buy now, pay later company, delivered strong fiscal second-quarter results, beating Wall Street's revenue and profit expectations, and its stock rose 7.3% to $84.31 in after-hours trading. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.17 billion, up 33% year over year and 5.2% above analyst estimates of $1.11 billion. GAAP earnings per share were $4.62, significantly above the consensus estimate of $0.35. The company also guided for third-quarter revenue of $1.21 billion at the midpoint, which is 3.6% above what analysts were expecting. Affirm's pre-tax profit for the quarter was $169.1 million, representing a 14.5% margin.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Affirm beat Q2 revenue and profit estimates and raised guidance, driving stock up 7.3%.
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Yahoo Finance·38dRead more →
United States
AFRM▲

Affirm shares jump 8.5% after Q4 earnings and strong guidance

Affirm Holdings shares jumped 8.5% in after-hours trading Thursday after the buy now, pay later lender reported fiscal Q4 earnings that included a nearly $1.5 billion tax benefit and issued strong guidance for fiscal 2027 and Q1. The company posted GAAP EPS of $4.77, up from $0.30 in the prior quarter, and total net revenue of $1.17 billion, beating the $1.11 billion consensus. Gross merchandise volume climbed to $14.1 billion, exceeding the $13.4 billion Visible Alpha consensus, and active consumers rose 20% year over year to 27.8 million. Affirm also named Michael Linford, previously chief operating officer, as co-president, while Libor Michalek continues as president. For fiscal 2027, the company expects GMV of more than $64 billion, compared with $50.2 billion in fiscal 2026, and an adjusted operating margin above 30.5%.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Q4 earnings beat with tax benefit and strong guidance for fiscal 2027
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Seeking Alpha·38dRead more →
United States
Digital Finance & Tokenization▲

Affirm Card Business Surges 146% Ahead of Earnings

Affirm Holdings Inc. is entering its earnings report with its Affirm Card business showing explosive growth, reaching $2.13 billion in volume for recent quarters, up 146% year over year, with active card users rising to 4.4 million and card penetration hitting 17% of Affirm's active client base. The company is moving into everyday spending through partnerships with Google Pay, Apple Pay and Stripe, with wallet volume of $1.7 billion over the trailing 12 months and transactions per user growing 50% to 6.7 yearly. Affirm reported GAAP operating profitability for the first time as a public company in its most recent quarter, and investors now want to see if faster card usage can translate into sustainable profitability growth without hurting credit performance. Wall Street forecasts quarterly EPS of around $0.35, management has guided transaction volume of around $13.15 billion to $13.45 billion, and Oppenheimer recently lifted its price target to $100 from $87, suggesting Affirm might post results at or above the high end of projections.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms ▲Demand
AFRM · Demand · Positive Affirm Card volume surged 146% and active users grew, indicating strong end-customer adoption of its products.
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GuruFocus·40dRead more →
United StatesGermany
AFRM

Affirm Slips After Klarna Cuts Guidance, Rebounds Next Session

Affirm Holdings shares fell 1.3% on August 18 after Klarna cut its 2026 volume and revenue forecasts, then rebounded 5.1% the next session. Klarna now expects full-year gross merchandise volume of $149 billion to $151 billion, down from more than $155 billion, and revenue of $4.08 billion to $4.16 billion, down from $4.34 billion. Klarna's second-quarter revenue increased 27%, overall volume rose 18%, and U.S. volume grew 27%, with management tying the weaker outlook primarily to soft German retail conditions and currency translation reducing projected volume by approximately $600 million. Affirm's August 27 earnings report must show whether the initial decline reflected a broader consumer-credit warning or an opportunity to capture share from a slowing competitor.
KLAR · Demand · Negative Klarna cut its 2026 volume and revenue forecasts due to soft German retail and currency.
AFRM · Competition · Neutral Klarna's guidance cut could signal sector weakness or opportunity for Affirm to gain share.
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Digital Finance & Tokenization▲

Affirm Holdings Reclaims Investor Confidence with 146% Affirm Card Growth

Affirm Holdings reclaimed investor confidence in the second quarter, driven by a 146% year-over-year surge in Affirm Card gross merchandise volume to $2.13 billion and a 130% increase in active cardholders to 4.4 million. Spyglass Capital Management highlighted the fintech company as a top contributor in its Q2 2026 investor letter, noting that quarterly results exceeded revenue and earnings expectations. The stock's sentiment recovered following a US-Iran ceasefire and a more stable macroeconomic outlook, after a difficult start to the year tied to geopolitical risks and consumer weakness fears. Affirm's management also outlined a positive growth outlook and profitability framework at its May investor forum. The shares closed at $73.25 on July 30, 2026, with a market capitalization of $24.53 billion.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms ▲Demand
AFRM · Demand · Positive Affirm Card GMV and active cardholders surged 146% and 130% YoY, indicating strong end-customer adoption.
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AFRM▼

Affirm Faces Bigger Risk From Rate Hikes Than Reward From Cuts

Affirm’s business model is highly sensitive to interest-rate moves, with rate cuts offering a boost to consumer spending and lower capital costs while rate hikes risk crimping demand and margins. The buy-now-pay-later company generates revenue from merchant fees, card transactions, and consumer loans, all of which depend on robust consumer health. President Donald Trump has openly called for Federal Reserve rate cuts, but Fed chair Kevin Warsh’s recent comments suggest increases are more likely. Higher rates could raise Affirm’s own funding costs and reduce consumer spending, with the greater danger being a recession if hikes come too fast. Lower rates would ease those pressures and support the company’s expansion of its retailer network, card business, and overseas reach, though they might also force Affirm to reduce the rates it charges on loans.
AFRM · Monetary · Negative Article highlights that rate hikes (more likely per Fed chair) raise Affirm's funding costs and crimp consumer demand, posing a bigger risk than potential benefits from cuts.
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AFRM

Sezzle Expands Into Everyday Money Platform, Boosting Purchase Frequency

Sezzle is expanding beyond its checkout installment roots into a broader everyday money platform, a shift that could deepen user engagement and wallet share. Average quarterly purchase frequency rose to 7.1 times in the first quarter of 2026, up from 6.1 a year earlier, while subscribers increased by 44,000 sequentially to 714,000. The product roadmap includes open-loop and virtual cards, longer-term lending, cash-flow management tools, and checking and deposit accounts, though full-year 2026 guidance does not yet include these offerings. The company continues to target provision for credit losses of 2.5% to 3% of gross merchandise volume, balancing growth with underwriting discipline. SEZL currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and has a Growth Score of A, Momentum Score of A, and VGM Score of A.
SEZL · Demand · Positive Sezzle's expansion into a broader platform boosts purchase frequency and subscriber growth, indicating stronger user engagement and demand.
AFRM · Competition · Neutral Sezzle's expansion into a broader money platform could increase competitive pressure on Affirm in the BNPL and fintech space.
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Zacks Investment Research·67dRead more →
Digital Finance & Tokenization▲

Buy Now Pay Later Market Projected to Reach $116.94 Billion by 2035

The global Buy Now Pay Later market is projected to grow from $10.22 billion in 2025 to $116.94 billion by 2035, at a compound annual growth rate of 27.60%. Online channels held a 66.50% share in 2025, while point-of-sale in-store BNPL is the fastest-growing segment at a 25.50% CAGR. Large enterprises accounted for more than 61% of the market in 2025, and the retail and consumer goods end-use segment dominated with over 71% share. North America represented more than 29.30% of global revenues in 2025, with the United States contributing approximately 84.73% of that regional total. Key players include Klarna, Affirm, Afterpay, PayPal, and Sezzle.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms ▲Demand
AFRM · Demand · Positive Affirm is a key player in the growing BNPL market projected to reach $116.94B by 2035
KLAR · Demand · Positive Klarna is a key player in the growing BNPL market projected to reach $116.94B by 2035
PYPL · Demand · Positive PayPal is a key player in the growing BNPL market projected to reach $116.94B by 2035
SEZL · Demand · Positive Sezzle is a key player in the growing BNPL market projected to reach $116.94B by 2035
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AFRM▲

Affirm CEO Max Levchin sets a very high bar for M&A amid PayPal takeover speculation

Affirm CEO and PayPal co-founder Max Levchin said his company maintains a very high bar for mergers and acquisitions, even as PayPal reportedly attracts a takeover offer exceeding $53 billion from Stripe and Advent International. Speaking on Yahoo Finance's Power Players podcast, Levchin noted that while Affirm is a large public company that does evaluate deals, it is hard to justify the dilution or cash expense when organic growth is strong. He added that M&A generally has a low probability of success, so the threshold to dilute shareholders is extremely high. The comments come as Stripe, valued at $180 billion, reportedly bid $60.50 per share for PayPal, a premium to recent trading but far below PayPal's 2021 record near $300.
AFRM · Capital · Positive CEO says M&A bar is very high, reducing dilution risk and signaling focus on organic growth.
PYPL · Capital · Negative Reported takeover bid at $60.50/share is far below 2021 peak, and CEO comments suggest deal may not happen.
Advent International · Capital · Neutral Advent International is mentioned as part of a consortium bidding for PayPal; impact unclear.
Stripe, Inc. · Capital · Neutral Stripe is mentioned as the lead bidder for PayPal; impact on Stripe itself is not discussed.
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Yahoo Finance·82dRead more →
AFRM▼

Affirm Stock May Be 12.5% Overvalued on Excess Returns Model

Affirm Holdings stock appears overvalued by roughly 12.5% based on the Excess Returns model, which estimates an intrinsic value of about $75 per share compared to the current market price. The model assumes a stable earnings power of $3.82 per share on a book value of $19.24 per share, implying a return on equity of 19.86%, and deducts a cost of equity of $1.48 per share to arrive at an excess return of $2.34 per share. Affirm's price-to-earnings ratio of 74.1 times also sits well above the diversified financial industry average of 15.7 times and a tailored fair multiple of 28.3 times, reflecting stretched valuations. Recent enthusiasm around a funding deal with CPP Investments and banking charter plans has pushed the share price ahead of what these valuation frameworks support, raising the bar for future earnings and credit performance.
AFRM · Capital · Negative Excess Returns model estimates intrinsic value ~$75, 12.5% below current price, and P/E of 74.1x far exceeds industry average, indicating overvaluation.
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AFRM▲

Jim Cramer Says Affirm Is Going Straight to $100

Jim Cramer told investors that Affirm Holdings is going straight to $100, calling CEO Max Levchin the smartest guy on Earth and praising the company's latest quarter. Cramer noted the stock had been roaring, up about 30% from its early April lows but still down 13% for the year, and described the post-earnings dip as a great opportunity. He highlighted that Affirm is now a very profitable business with a much more powerful network.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Jim Cramer's bullish call and praise for the company's profitability and network
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Digital Finance & Tokenization▲

Affirm partners with Bed Bath & Beyond to offer buy now, pay later

Affirm Holdings has partnered with Bed Bath & Beyond to offer its buy now, pay later solution across the retailer's brands, including Bed Bath & Beyond, Overstock and buybuy BABY. Eligible shoppers can pay in biweekly or monthly installments with no late or hidden fees. The agreement expands Affirm's presence in the home retail market, where purchases often involve higher ticket sizes. As of March 31, 2026, Affirm's active merchants were around 515,000, up 43.8% year over year, and gross merchandise volume grew 35% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms ▲Demand
AFRM · Demand · Positive Affirm partners with Bed Bath & Beyond to offer BNPL, expanding merchant network and home retail presence.
BBBY · Demand · Positive Bed Bath & Beyond adds Affirm's BNPL, potentially boosting sales through installment options.
Beyond, Inc. · Demand · Positive Beyond, Inc. (Overstock) is included in the partnership, benefiting from Affirm's BNPL offering.
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Zacks Investment Research·94dRead more →
AFRM▼

StockStory highlights Synchrony and PJT as top financials picks, flags Affirm as a sell

StockStory identifies Synchrony Financial and PJT Partners as financial stocks worth investigating, while recommending investors avoid Affirm. Synchrony, which powers over 73 million active accounts with partners like Amazon and PayPal, has compounded earnings per share at 37.9% annually over the past two years and achieved a 22.2% return on equity. PJT Partners, an advisory-focused investment bank spun off from Blackstone, posted annual revenue growth of 18.7% and EPS growth of 42% over the same period. In contrast, Affirm is flagged for negative returns on capital and a 6× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio that could force dilutive equity offerings. Synchrony trades at 8.2× forward P/E, PJT at 19×, and Affirm at 21.8×.
AFRM · Capital · Negative StockStory flags Affirm for negative returns on capital and high leverage, recommending it as a sell.
PJT · Capital · Positive StockStory highlights PJT Partners as a top financial pick with strong revenue and EPS growth.
SYF · Capital · Positive StockStory identifies Synchrony as a top financial pick with strong earnings growth and return on equity.
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AFRM

Personal loan stocks post strong Q1 with revenues beating estimates by 7%

The nine personal loan stocks tracked by this publication reported a strong first quarter, with aggregate revenues surpassing analysts' consensus estimates by 7% and next-quarter revenue guidance coming in 0.7% above expectations. OneMain Holdings reported revenues of $1.26 billion, up 6.6% year on year and in line with estimates, but delivered the slowest revenue growth of the group. Sezzle was the best performer, with revenues of $135.5 million beating estimates by 5.3% and full-year EPS guidance exceeding expectations, while Affirm was the weakest despite revenues of $1.04 billion exceeding estimates by 4.3%, as it significantly missed EPS estimates. Atlanticus Holdings achieved the fastest revenue growth at 87.2% to $556.8 million but had the weakest performance against analyst estimates, and FirstCash reported revenues of $1.05 billion, up 25.7% and beating estimates across EBITDA and EPS. Since their latest earnings results, personal loan stocks have seen share prices rise 24% on average.
AFRM · Capital · Neutral Affirm beat revenue estimates by 4.3% but significantly missed EPS estimates, creating mixed signals.
ATLC · Demand · Positive Atlanticus achieved fastest revenue growth at 87.2%, indicating strong demand for its products.
FCFS · Capital · Positive FirstCash reported revenues up 25.7% and beat estimates across EBITDA and EPS.
OMF · Capital · Neutral OneMain revenues were in line with estimates and had slowest growth, but no negative surprise.
SEZL · Capital · Positive Sezzle beat revenue estimates by 5.3% and exceeded full-year EPS guidance expectations.
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Yahoo Finance·96dRead more →
AFRM▲2

Piper Sandler double upgrades Block, assigns Neutral to PayPal

Piper Sandler double upgraded Block to Overweight from Underweight and initiated coverage of PayPal with a Neutral rating. Block's price target was raised to $100 from $58, while PayPal's was lowered to $42 from $46. The firm also rated Affirm, American Express, Capital One Financial, Mastercard, and Visa as Overweight with respective price targets of $103, $396, $254, $597, and $394. Analyst Bill Carcache cited company-specific drivers for constructive cases, noting PayPal's low valuation is balanced by unresolved take-rate and transaction margin pressure.
XYZ · Capital · Positive Double upgraded to Overweight and price target raised to $100 from $58.
PYPL · Capital · Neutral Piper Sandler initiated PayPal with Neutral rating and lowered price target to $42, citing unresolved take-rate and transaction margin pressure
AFRM · Capital · Positive Piper Sandler rated Affirm Overweight with $103 price target
AXP · Capital · Positive Piper Sandler rated American Express Overweight with $396 price target
COF · Capital · Positive Piper Sandler rated Capital One Financial Overweight with $254 price target
MA · Capital · Positive Piper Sandler rated Mastercard Overweight with $597 price target
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AFRM▲

Wall Street's top analyst calls: Goldman downgraded, Block upgraded

Wall Street saw a flurry of analyst rating changes on Tuesday. Piper Sandler upgraded Block to Overweight from Underweight with a $100 price target, while Oppenheimer downgraded Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to Underperform from Perform, citing unappealing valuations despite raised estimates. Among other notable moves, Goldman Sachs upgraded Tradeweb Markets to Buy from Neutral with a $146 target, and BofA downgraded Logitech to Underperform from Neutral with an $86 target. New coverage initiations included Piper Sandler launching on Visa, MasterCard, Capital One, Affirm, and American Express with Overweight ratings.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Piper Sandler initiated coverage with Overweight rating, a positive analyst call.
AXP · Capital · Positive Piper Sandler initiated coverage with Overweight rating, a positive analyst call.
COF · Capital · Positive Piper Sandler initiated coverage with Overweight rating, a positive analyst call.
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The Fly·97dRead more →
AFRM

Affirm Holdings Stock Trends on Zacks, Earnings Estimates Hold Steady

Affirm Holdings has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com recently, with shares returning 7.9% over the past month versus a 2.9% decline in the Zacks S&P 500 composite. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-quarter earnings is $0.36 per share, unchanged over the last 30 days, while the current fiscal year estimate of $1.25 has risen 0.6% and the next fiscal year estimate of $1.69 has dipped 0.6%. The company reported revenues of $1.04 billion in its latest quarter, a 32.6% year-over-year increase and a 4.09% surprise above the consensus estimate, and it has beaten both earnings and revenue estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. Affirm Holdings carries a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting near-term performance in line with the broader market, and a Value Style Score of F, indicating it trades at a premium to its peers.
AFRM · Capital · Neutral Earnings estimates are stable, recent revenue beat, but Zacks Rank 3 and Value Style Score F indicate mixed outlook.
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Zacks Investment Research·98dRead more →
AFRM▲

Intuit Shares Surge 5% After Strong Earnings and Raised Guidance

Intuit shares jumped 5% to $267.72 in the last trading session on higher-than-average volume. The company recently reported strong third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with revenue rising 10% year over year, driven by higher adoption of QuickBooks Online, payments, payroll, and assisted tax offerings. Management also raised its full-year revenue and earnings guidance. The Global Business Solutions segment saw revenue increase 15% year over year, with QuickBooks Online accounting revenue climbing 22% and Online Ecosystem revenue growing 19%. Intuit is expanding its AI-driven expert platform and has formed strategic partnerships, including a multi-year agreement with Affirm and joining the Federal Reserve's FedNow Service.
INTU · Capital · Positive Intuit reported strong earnings and raised guidance, driving the stock surge.
AFRM · Demand · Positive Intuit's multi-year agreement with Affirm indicates increased demand for Affirm's services.
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Zacks Investment Research·98dRead more →
AFRM▲

Wells Fargo Maintains Buy Rating on Affirm Holdings

Wells Fargo analyst Jason Kupferberg maintained a Buy rating on Affirm Holdings with a price target of $89. Earlier, on June 4, William Blair reiterated an Outperform rating on the shares without disclosing a price target. Analyst Andrew Jeffrey described Affirm as one of William Blair's top digital finance ideas, citing strong conviction in the company's long-term growth story. The firm noted that Affirm is growing its share in the buy now and pay later market, which remains in the early development stage, and sees Affirm on track to establish clear leadership within the massive US card payments market estimated at roughly $9 trillion. William Blair believes this dominance will result in improved profitability and strong returns on invested capital.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Wells Fargo maintained a Buy rating and $89 price target, and William Blair reiterated an Outperform rating, citing strong conviction in Affirm's long-term growth story.
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AFRM▲2

Affirm Partners with Backcountry to Expand Outdoor Recreation Footprint

Affirm has partnered with Backcountry to offer its pay-over-time option across Backcountry and its affiliated online brands, including Competitive Cyclist, MotoSport, Steep & Cheap, and Level Nine Sports. The agreement extends Affirm's presence into the outdoor recreation category, where high-ticket gear purchases make transparent installment payments relevant for shoppers and merchants. The deal adds another vertical to Affirm's merchant network, though it is unlikely to shift near-term focus on funding costs, credit performance, and the risk of losing a large enterprise merchant partner. Affirm recently expanded a US$2.2 billion forward flow agreement with CPP Investments, underpinning roughly US$8 billion of loan volume, which can support higher transaction volumes from new partnerships like Backcountry.
AFRM · Demand · Positive Partnership with Backcountry expands merchant network into outdoor recreation, driving potential transaction volume.
Backcountry.com · Demand · Positive Backcountry gains ability to offer pay-over-time, potentially increasing sales conversion.
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board · Capital · Neutral CPP Investments expanded forward flow agreement with Affirm, but impact on CPPIB is indirect and not detailed.
Competitive Cyclist · Demand · Positive Competitive Cyclist, as an affiliated brand, will offer Affirm's pay-over-time option.
Level Nine Sports · Demand · Positive Level Nine Sports, as an affiliated brand, will offer Affirm's pay-over-time option.
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AFRM▼

StockStory highlights monday.com and Shift4 as growth stocks to buy, flags Affirm as a sell

StockStory identifies monday.com and Shift4 Payments as growth stocks with explosive upside, while warning that Affirm faces challenges. monday.com achieved 25.4% one-year revenue growth, with annual recurring revenue growth averaging 25.5% and a gross margin of 89.1%. Shift4 posted 28.3% one-year revenue growth, with two-year annual revenue growth of 27.8% and earnings per share growth of 34.1% over the past two years. Affirm grew revenue 32.1% but shows negative returns on capital and a 6× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio, raising concerns about overleverage and potential shareholder dilution. monday.com trades at $67.48 per share, Shift4 at $44.13, and Affirm at $76.33.
AFRM · Capital · Negative StockStory flags Affirm as a sell due to negative returns on capital and high leverage (6× net-debt-to-EBITDA), raising concerns about overleverage and potential shareholder dilution.
FOUR · Capital · Positive StockStory highlights Shift4 Payments as a growth stock with 28.3% one-year revenue growth and 34.1% EPS growth over two years, suggesting explosive upside.
MNDY · Capital · Positive StockStory highlights monday.com as a growth stock with 25.4% one-year revenue growth, 25.5% ARR growth, and 89.1% gross margin, suggesting explosive upside.
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Digital Finance & Tokenization▼

Morgan Stanley Downgrades Affirm to Equalweight After Rally

Morgan Stanley downgraded Affirm Holdings from Overweight to Equalweight with a $79 price target, removing it from the firm's Top Pick list, citing a more balanced risk/reward after the stock's recovery from late-March lows. The downgrade came one session after Affirm surged on a forward-flow deal where CPP Investments agreed to buy between $1.7 billion and $2.2 billion of Affirm loans over 24 months, supporting roughly $8 billion in loan volume and pushing total funding capacity to $28.2 billion. Truist raised its price target to $80 from $75 the same day, maintaining a Buy rating. The Federal Reserve held rates steady in June, but markets are pricing in an 85% probability of at least one hike by year end, keeping pressure on consumer lending names.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms Capital
AFRM · Capital · Negative Morgan Stanley downgraded Affirm from Overweight to Equalweight and removed it from Top Pick list, citing balanced risk/reward after rally.
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board · Demand · Positive CPP Investments agreed to buy $1.7B-$2.2B of Affirm loans, supporting loan volume and funding capacity, which is a positive business deal for CPP Investments as an investor.
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GuruFocus·101dRead more →
AFRM▲

Consumer finance stocks beat Q1 revenue estimates by 1.9%

The 20 consumer finance stocks tracked by StockStory reported a satisfactory first quarter, with revenues beating analysts' consensus estimates by 1.9% and next quarter's revenue guidance coming in 0.7% above expectations. Credit Acceptance posted revenues of $406 million, up 1.4% year on year but missing estimates by 13.1%, while Sallie Mae delivered the best performance with revenues of $560 million, down 3.6% year on year but beating estimates by 3.9%. Nelnet was the weakest, with revenues of $353.2 million, down 7.1% year on year and missing estimates by 20.4%. Ally Financial reported revenues of $2.18 billion, up 5.5% year on year and beating estimates by 1.8%, and Affirm posted revenues of $1.04 billion, up 32.6% year on year and beating estimates by 4.3%. Share prices of the group have been resilient, rising 7.2% on average since the latest earnings results.
AFRM · Capital · Positive Affirm reported revenues of $1.04B, up 32.6% YoY, beating estimates by 4.3%.
ALLY · Capital · Positive Ally Financial reported revenues of $2.18B, up 5.5% YoY, beating estimates by 1.8%.
CACC · Capital · Negative Credit Acceptance posted revenues of $406M, up 1.4% YoY but missing estimates by 13.1%.
NNI · Capital · Negative Nelnet reported revenues of $353.2M, down 7.1% YoY and missing estimates by 20.4%.
SLM · Capital · Positive Sallie Mae delivered revenues of $560M, down 3.6% YoY but beating estimates by 3.9%.
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Digital Finance & Tokenization▼

Affirm Holdings Hurt by Weak Investor Sentiment in Q1

Affirm Holdings underperformed in the first quarter of 2026 as weak investor sentiment toward consumer lending weighed on its shares, according to Polen Capital's Polen 5Perspectives Small-Mid Growth Strategy. The strategy's portfolio returned negative 3.4% gross and negative 3.6% net of fees, compared to a negative 3.5% return for the Russell 2500 Growth Index. Affirm, a buy now, pay later fintech, was among the most significant detractors from relative performance alongside SoFi Technologies and Figure Technology Solutions. The firm cited pressure from interest rate volatility, macro uncertainty, funding costs, credit performance, and margin sustainability concerns, as well as broader weakness across fintech and consumer discretionary names. Affirm closed at $73.92 per share on June 18, 2026, with a one-month return of 13.34% and a 52-week gain of 19.11%, and a market capitalization of $24.76 billion.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Lending & Alt-Credit Platforms ▼Pricing
AFRM · Capital · Negative Weak investor sentiment, pressure from interest rate volatility, macro uncertainty, funding costs, credit performance, and margin sustainability concerns weighed on shares.
FIGR · Capital · Negative Mentioned as a significant detractor alongside Affirm, facing similar macro and sector headwinds.
SOFI · Capital · Negative Mentioned as a significant detractor alongside Affirm, facing similar macro and sector headwinds.
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