BofA lifts server CPU TAM to $210bn+ on AI agents

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Bank of America raised its forecast for the server CPU market, saying the rise of AI agents is expanding the opportunity for central processing units in data centers. Analyst Vivek Arya lifted the firm's 2030 server CPU total addressable market to more than $210 billion, from around $170 billion, following second-quarter earnings and strong AI compute and memory demand trends. BofA said the new figure implies nearly 5x growth off the roughly $35 billion CY25 level, with the market now expected to grow at a 36% compound annual rate, up from 30% previously. Central to the call is a shift in the balance between CPUs and GPUs, as BofA said agentic inference is pushing the CPU-to-GPU ratio from about 1:4 in the training era toward roughly 1:1 for agentic AI, with CPUs becoming the orchestration control plane. As a result, the firm now sees CPUs accounting for about 10% of the overall $2.2 trillion data center systems market by 2030, versus roughly 7% in the training era. BofA feels the key debate is around substitution versus expansion, arguing CPUs are additive to overall system TAM, and said near-record GPU rental and memory spot prices point to an across-the-board compute shortage that likely extends to CPUs. AMD remains the firm's top CPU pick on dual leadership across frequency and core count, while Nvidia is its overall sector top pick; BofA also flagged Intel's foundry optionality and said Arm remains the fastest share gainer.

Impact on assets 5

Artificial Intelligence▲ · 3 stocks
Advanced Micro Devices Inc
AMD
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

BofA raises server CPU TAM forecast, citing AI agents driving CPU demand; AMD is top CPU pick.

NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

BofA sees overall compute shortage extending to CPUs, and Nvidia is its overall sector top pick.

Semiconductors▲ · 1 stocks
Intel Corporation
INTC
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

BofA flags Intel's foundry optionality as part of the expanded server CPU market outlook.

Financials▲ · 1 stocks

Theme Impact 5

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Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute Cloud & Neoclouds ▲Technology
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