Germany Faces Winter Gas Shortage Risk as Storage Lags

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Germany is risking gas shortages this winter if it turns out to be colder than previous years, the country's gas storage association has warned. With current gas storage levels at 54.52%, the industry association INES said the best it could do by November 1 would be 77%, which would be more than the latest target set by the German government but less than the usual level for that date. However, reaching that level would require an injection rate of 1 terawatt-hour daily, and injection rates over the past three weeks have been lower, said INES head Sebastian Heinemann, warning that at current rates storage would only be 63% full by November 1. If the winter is mild, 77% full storage would cover seasonal demand and leave Germany with 38% full storage by April 1, but a colder winter could see daily gaps between demand and supply of up to 25% in January. The overall EU storage level is nearing 70%, with some countries above 90%, but Germany is the bloc's biggest gas consumer and has the most storage, and LNG prices have stayed elevated due to the Middle East conflict and higher consumption, deterring buyers from stocking up.

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German storage lag and potential winter shortage indicate tighter gas supply, supporting prices.

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