Conflict escalation and rejection of the Hormuz reopening deal keep Brent crude supply risk elevated.
Impact on assets 4
Iran-US war escalation and Trump's expected resumption of bombing Tehran threaten Persian Gulf supply, supporting WTI crude.
War-driven constraints on Gulf oil flows and already sharply higher gasoline prices support RBOB futures.
Iranian obstruction of Strait of Hormuz shipping limits Persian Gulf natural gas exports, tightening supply.