Thai Chamber of Commerce expects flooding in 27 areas to cost the economy 12 billion baht

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The Center for Economic and Business Forecasting at the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce estimates that economic damage from flooding between September 25 and 29, 2026, a total of five days, covering Bangkok and 26 provinces in the central, eastern, northern, and northeastern regions, will be approximately 12.283 billion baht, or about 0.066% of annual GDP. The forecast range is between 5.896 billion and 20.635 billion baht, or 0.03% to 0.11% of GDP, depending on the actual extent of the flooded areas. Thanavath Phonvichai, chairman of the advisory board of the forecasting center, said the figures do not yet include damage to property, housing, vehicles, inventory, and agricultural output, which will be assessed clearly after the water recedes. Bangkok is expected to suffer the most damage at about 7.014 billion baht, or roughly 57% of total damage, followed by the eastern region at about 2.976 billion baht, with Chonburi hit hardest at about 2.101 billion baht, and the greater Bangkok area at about 1.839 billion baht, where Samut Prakan is the most affected in that group. The forecasting center assesses that the impact is not severe enough to change the direction of the economy for the full year, but it adds downward pressure on growth in the second half of the year. It recommends that the government speed up relief for informal workers and small operators, manage water in the Chao Phraya basin, and monitor prices of essential goods through the vegetarian festival from October 10 to 18, 2026.

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