Applied Materials CEO Backs 40% Growth Forecast With Eight-Quarter Order Book

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Summary · why it matters

Applied Materials CEO Gary Dickerson told David Faber at Goldman's Copia Conference that the company is approaching 40% growth this year, driven entirely by AI compute demand, and he expects strong growth in 2026, 2027 and beyond, backed by rolling eight-quarter customer forecasts and longer tool-shipment commitments. The August quarter delivered revenue of $9.12 billion, up 24.8% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $3.50, and guidance for the October quarter calls for revenue near $10.25 billion; CFO Brice Hill said customer visibility extends in some conversations to 2030 and the company is preparing to double its quarterly system output by 2028. Dickerson said DRAM revenue grew from 22% to 26% of semiconductor systems revenue, with DRAM including HBM packaging up 52% year over year to record levels, while advanced packaging is expected to grow more than 70% in calendar 2026. Peer results corroborate the order book: Lam Research reported June-quarter revenue of $6.72 billion, up 30.0% year over year, and raised its calendar 2026 WFE view to the low $150 billion range from $140 billion; KLA posted record revenue of $3.66 billion with remaining performance obligations around $12.5 billion; and ASML plans to add 30% to its 2026 low NA EUV capacity of around 65 for 2027, with another 30% under investigation for 2028. Applied trades at a trailing P/E of 41x and forward P/E of 26x at a current price of $468.85, up 188.38% over the past year but down 10.11% over the past month and below its 52-week high of $738.88, with the 200-day moving average at $407.06.

Impact on assets 4

Semiconductors▲ · 4 stocks
Applied Materials Inc
AMAT
▲ PositiveCapitalDemandrelevance

August quarter revenue of $9.12B (+24.8% YoY) and EPS of $3.50 with October guidance near $10.25B.

ASML Holding N.V.
ASML
▲ PositiveSupplyrelevance

ASML plans to add 30% to its 2026 low NA EUV capacity for 2027 with another 30% under investigation for 2028.

KLA Corporation
KLAC
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

KLA posted record revenue of $3.66B with remaining performance obligations around $12.5B, corroborating the strong order book.

Lam Research Corp
LRCX
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Lam Research reported June-quarter revenue of $6.72B, up 30% YoY, and raised its 2026 WFE view, corroborating the order book.

Theme Impact 10

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