An AI chip isn't born from one print run. It's a single GPU that has to sit right up against several stacks of HBM memory on a tiny silicon sheet called an interposer, all assembled into one package. That step is called CoWoS, and only one factory in the world can do it at that level: TSMC. Today, AI-chip demand isn't stuck on NVIDIA's design — it's stuck because TSMC can't build CoWoS fast enough. This lesson goes to the deepest layer: who actually "makes" and "assembles" AI chips, and why assembly capacity is the true bottleneck of the whole AI boom.
Contains
Theme index· base 100 · USD total return
No index history for this theme yet.
Why is Foundry & Advanced Packaging moving?
Latest
▲4
AI demand locks in foundry and packaging capacity; US buildout accelerates
▲
Microsoft's 38GW data center plan adds long-term chip demand Microsoft reportedly plans to more than triple its data center capacity to 38 gigawatts by 2032, with AI chips growing to about a third of that. More servers and accelerators mean more leading-edge wafers and advanced packaging from foundries. Power limits and local moratoriums are a real risk to the pace.
A new multi-year demand signal that locks in future foundry and packaging work.
▲
TSMC 2nm output ramps faster; customers raise orders TSMC's 2nm output could reach about 120,000 wafers a month by end-2026, above earlier estimates, as Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm and MediaTek lift orders 10-20%. This expands the leading-edge capacity AI chips need and shows demand is still outrunning supply.
New supply data showing the leading-edge ramp is accelerating on strong customer demand.
▲
Google TPU forecast and Onto results broaden AI chip demand Piper Sandler sees Google's TPU hardware revenue reaching $104 billion by 2028, up from about $8 billion in 2026, implying more foundry and packaging work. Onto Innovation's revenue jumped 35.3% on strong packaging inspection demand, with analysts raising targets. Both show the AI chip buildout is widening beyond Nvidia.
New evidence that custom AI chips and packaging inspection demand are adding to the theme.
▲
TSMC weighs Texas campus as US buildout grows TSMC is considering a new Texas campus with multiple fabs, each costing at least $20 billion, on top of its $265 billion Arizona plan. The US is pushing to cut reliance on Taiwan, but experts say Arizona chips may still need Asian packaging, so Taiwan remains central. The Texas plan depends on a US tax credit extension.
A new capital commitment that expands US foundry and packaging capacity, with a policy condition.
Q3 2026
▲2▼2
AI boom drives $1T fab investment, but shortages and tariffs loom
▲
Record AI-driven investment and deals Over $1 trillion in new fab and packaging investment was announced, led by TSMC, Micron, and SK Hynix. Nvidia–SK Hynix and Samsung–Broadcom signed massive long-term deals worth $500B and $200B, respectively.
This shows the scale of capital flowing into the industry, a key force behind the quarter's growth.
▲
TSMC 2nm production and raised guidance TSMC started making 2nm chips and raised its revenue outlook above 40%, signaling strong demand for cutting-edge chips and confidence in future growth.
TSMC is the industry leader, so its production milestone and guidance directly reflect the health of the sector.
▼
Worsening shortages and price hikes Memory, substrate, and advanced-node shortages worsened, with memory prices up 5–7 times and possibly lasting until 2031. This raises costs for chipmakers and could limit production.
Shortages and price spikes are a major counterweight to the boom, affecting costs and supply.
▼
Geopolitical and regulatory risks Looming US chip tariffs, a DRAM price-fixing lawsuit, export controls, Taiwan tensions, and China's DUV breakthrough added uncertainty. Higher interest rates and AI-spending selloff fears also weighed on sentiment.
These risks could disrupt supply chains and demand, providing a balanced view of the quarter's challenges.
News & notes movingFoundry & Advanced Packaging
Taiwan
Foundry & Advanced Packaging▼
TSMC Weighs Overseas Factory Margin Dilution Against Rich Valuation
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is expanding overseas production while trying to protect the earnings that underpin its valuation, raising the question of how much lower-margin capacity it can absorb. TSMC reported a 67.7% gross margin and a 60.3% operating margin in the second quarter, yet at the September 30 market-data snapshot the stock traded at roughly 29 times trailing earnings and 57 times trailing free cash flow. Management described overseas-factory dilution starting at about two to three percentage points of gross margin and moving toward three to four points in later years, and separately expected the N2 ramp to dilute gross margin by three to four points in the second half of 2026. On second-quarter revenue of NT$1.27 trillion, a three-point gross-margin reduction represents approximately NT$38.1 billion of gross profit and four points represent NT$50.8 billion, equal to about 5.4% and 7.2% of reported net income of NT$706.6 billion, respectively. Insider Monkey's hedge fund database showed 249 TSMC holders in Q2 2026, up from 234 in Q1, with Fisher Asset Management raising its position 2% to 18,866,198 and Coatue cutting its position 4% to 8,914,995.
Onto Innovation reported second-quarter revenue of $343.1 million, a 35.3% year-over-year increase, sending shares up 14% the following day as analysts raised estimates and price targets. The full-year EPS consensus jumped 13% from $7.11 to $8.04, representing 63% annual growth versus 2025, while next year's consensus vaulted 17% from $10 to $11.72 for a potential advance of 46%. Non-GAAP gross margins expanded to 57.0% from 54.5% a year earlier, non-GAAP operating margins reached 30.0%, and non-GAAP diluted EPS came in at $1.93, with the company holding $1.88 billion in cash and short-term investments. On August 17, Goldman Sachs analyst James E Schneider initiated coverage with a Strong Buy rating and a $400 price target, matching the Street high set by Jefferies' Blayne Peter Curtis, while Needham's Charles Shi raised his target to $360 from $330 and Evercore ISI's Mark Lipacis lifted his to $390 from $350. In August 2026, Onto completed a $710 million strategic investment for a 27% equity stake in Rigaku, targeting the estimated $1 billion hybrid metrology market, and the company said demand for its Dragonfly G5 packaging inspection platform is projected to grow over 50% through 2026.
ONTO · Capital · Positive Q2 revenue jumped 35.3% with margin expansion and EPS beat, prompting analyst target hikes and a Goldman Strong Buy initiation.
ONTO · Demand · Positive Demand for its Dragonfly G5 packaging inspection platform is projected to grow over 50% through 2026.
268A.JP · Capital · Positive Onto completed a $710 million strategic investment for a 27% equity stake in Rigaku, targeting the hybrid metrology market.
TSMC Weighs Additional Chip Plants in Texas With Tens of Billions in Spending
TSMC is considering building a new chip manufacturing plant in Texas, with expectations of adding several tens of billions of dollars in investment under a multi-year plan to expand its chipmaking business in the United States. Sources say the Texas project covers the construction of multiple chip plants, and if the investment goes ahead, each plant would cost at least 20 billion dollars. Previously, TSMC pledged to invest 265 billion dollars in Arizona, where several plants are currently under construction. The Texas investment depends on whether the U.S. government extends a tax credit measure for advanced manufacturing that is set to expire at the end of this year. The plan is still at an early stage and no details have been officially disclosed. TSMC is a key chip supplier to Nvidia and Apple, with revenue from wafer manufacturing in America accounting for more than 75% of its revenue from that business this year.
Semiconductors › Logic, Compute & Connectivity Processors Capital
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Capital
2330.TW · Capital · Positive TSMC is weighing tens of billions in additional Texas chip plant investment, expanding its US manufacturing footprint.
2330.TW · Regulation · Neutral The Texas investment depends on the US government extending an advanced-manufacturing tax credit set to expire this year.
SUSS MicroTec Enters Wafer-Cleaning Market With GreenTec Solutions and GT200 System
SUSS MicroTec SE has entered the wafer-level cleaning market with the launch of its new GreenTec Solutions product line and its first system, the GT200. The company said the wafer-cleaning market it is targeting represents an addressable market of approximately EUR 5.4 billion, driven by advanced packaging, heterogeneous integration and rising semiconductor demand from AI and high-performance computing. The GT200 is designed for research and development, process qualification and production in 200 mm manufacturing environments for MEMS, RF, Power Device and CMOS applications, and combines the company's TurbulenStrip and CrustBuster process technologies in a single platform. SUSS said the GT200 is the first member of a scalable GreenTec platform and that it will expand toward high-volume manufacturing with a dedicated 300 mm HVM platform in 2027, pulled in from its original schedule due to strong customer interest, followed by a 200 mm HVM platform in 2028. Chief Executive Officer Burkhardt Frick called the launch an important milestone in the execution of the company's Ambition 2030 strategy, while Senior Vice President Photomask Solutions Yuta Nagai said the product line represents its vision for a next generation of semiconductor manufacturing where sustainability and process excellence go hand in hand.
Applied Materials Shares Rise 2.5% as Besi Joins EPIC Center Partnership
Applied Materials expanded its partnership with BE Semiconductor Industries, also known as Besi, to develop advanced packaging technologies for artificial intelligence infrastructure, sending its shares up 2.5% in the afternoon session. Under the agreement, Besi joined the company's EPIC Center as an Innovation Partner, with the collaboration focused on next-generation 3D integrated circuit scaling, logic and memory integration, photonics, and interconnect architectures. The expanded partnership builds beyond hybrid bonding to develop new interconnect architectures that support artificial intelligence scaling requirements. After the initial pop, the shares cooled down to $522.95, up 2.3% from the previous close. Applied Materials is up 94.5% since the beginning of the year, but at $522.95 per share it is still trading 27.7% below its 52-week high of $723 from June 2026.
Semiconductors › Deposition, Etch & Process Tools Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Technology
AMAT · Technology · Positive Applied Materials expanded its partnership with Besi to develop advanced packaging and interconnect technologies for AI infrastructure.
BESI.AS · Technology · Positive Besi joined Applied Materials' EPIC Center as an Innovation Partner to co-develop next-generation 3D IC scaling and interconnect architectures.
Huawei unveils Mate 90, debuts Kirin 9050 Pro chip with LogicFolding 3D architecture
Huawei Technologies officially announced the launch of its Mate 90 Series flagship smartphones, leaning on its self-developed operating system and a redesigned chip architecture amid US controls on advanced semiconductor exports. Richard Yu, chairman of Huawei's consumer business group, said the company still faces constraints on the supply of advanced processors, as advanced semiconductor capacity within China remains very limited, and its Ascend series of AI chips must also draw on output from the same group of fabs. The top-end Mate 90 Pro Max is powered by the Kirin 9050 Pro chipset, a centralized chip produced using an innovation Huawei calls LogicFolding, which restructures the logic circuit interconnects inside the chip so they stack vertically in three dimensions instead of the traditional two-dimensional horizontal layout, even though it requires a larger amount of silicon wafer per chip. The phones also run on Huawei's fully self-developed HarmonyOS 7, which breaks away from reliance on Google's Android framework and now supports more than 450,000 applications and services. On pricing, the Mate 90 Pro Max with 16 GB of RAM and 512 GB of storage is priced at 9,999 yuan, or about 1,491 US dollars, an increase of 2,000 yuan compared with the same-spec version of the previous generation at launch. The standard Mate 90 and the Mate 90 Pro start at 5,999 yuan and 6,999 yuan respectively. Huawei said the top model's overall performance is up 31% compared with its previous flagship. Yu said rising memory chip prices have added as much as 200 US dollars to the average cost of each device, significantly squeezing Huawei's margins and forcing the company to raise prices as well, though it is still trying to do so gradually.
ASML and TSM Earnings Could Test AI Trade Demand Signals
ASML and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. are heading into earnings with investors focused less on recent results and more on how the market may respond. Both chipmakers have posted strong quarters yet saw their shares weaken afterward, and Awad expects the upcoming results to show whether semiconductor earnings can become catalysts again as expectations reset. ASML supplies lithography equipment while TSM operates as a major semiconductor foundry, giving the two a broader view of industry conditions because their businesses sit further up the chip supply chain. Investors may also scrutinize spending plans from large cloud companies for 2027 and whether AI costs are declining, with Awad pointing to lower pricing for some AI models and discounts from major providers as factors that could influence infrastructure spending. ASML is scheduled to report third-quarter results on Oct. 14, followed by TSM on Oct. 15, and Awad said the reactions could offer clues about how markets are assessing AI-related demand heading into 2027.
2330.TW · Capital · Neutral TSM's upcoming Oct. 15 earnings are framed as a test of whether semiconductor results can again act as catalysts, with no clear directional read.
ASML.AS · Capital · Neutral ASML's Oct. 14 earnings are framed as a test of AI-demand signals and market reaction, with no clear directional read.
US Pushes to Cut Taiwan Chip Reliance as TSMC's US Investment Hits $265 Billion
The United States is pouring billions into domestic semiconductor manufacturing to reduce its reliance on Taiwan for advanced AI chips, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.'s U.S. investment commitment reaching $265 billion. The planned expansion includes six logic fabs, two advanced packaging facilities and a research and development center in Arizona, and TSMC has indicated that roughly 30% of its 2-nanometer and more advanced manufacturing capacity could eventually be located in the state. Shay Boloor, chief market strategist at Futurum Equities, cautioned that expanding domestic production does not mean the U.S. can fully replace Taiwan, saying he views the U.S. buildout as a strategic hedge rather than a true replacement, and noting that even chips manufactured in Arizona could continue depending on Asian facilities for parts of the final packaging process. Boloor said Washington is prioritizing capabilities where disruptions could have the greatest consequences, including advanced logic, packaging and domestic capacity to support critical AI infrastructure, while Taiwan is expected to remain central to leading-edge research and manufacturing. In February 2026, Taiwan rejected a U.S. proposal to shift 40% of its semiconductor supply chain to America, with Taipei's top tariff negotiator calling the plan impossible.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon Supply
2330.TW · Capital · Neutral TSMC's U.S. investment commitment reaches $265B with six Arizona fabs and 30% of advanced capacity potentially in the state, a massive capex buildout that is a strategic hedge but also shifts capacity from Taiwan.
Applied Materials Partners With KIOXIA at $5 Billion EPIC Center for AI Memory
Applied Materials has entered a major R&D partnership with KIOXIA focused on next generation memory for AI workloads, based at Applied Materials' new US$5b EPIC Center. The collaboration targets memory cell structures, multi chip stacking and advanced packaging, with both companies working to improve manufacturability and density of future memory technologies tailored for AI focused chip architectures. The EPIC Center alliance with KIOXIA is only one piece of what is changing around Applied Materials' AI memory ambitions. Applied Materials builds the tools, software, and services that chipmakers use to manufacture semiconductors at scale, and the KIOXIA partnership plugs directly into its role supplying core production gear for memory and AI focused devices across the US, Asia, and Europe. A key data point to monitor is how quickly EPIC Center projects with KIOXIA convert into production tools and service contracts once the facility becomes operational this year.
285A.JP · Technology · Positive KIOXIA is partnering with Applied Materials on next-generation AI memory R&D at the EPIC Center to improve memory density and manufacturability.
AMAT · Technology · Positive Applied Materials entered a major R&D partnership with KIOXIA at its $5B EPIC Center targeting next-gen AI memory cell structures, stacking and advanced packaging.
Dosilicon's integrated storage-compute-connect chip R&D project has a planned cycle of about 42 months
Dosilicon released an investor relations activity record announcement stating that the company's integrated storage-compute-connect chip R&D project has a planned cycle of about 42 months, and the project is currently progressing in an orderly manner. Through advanced packaging, the project integrates storage, connectivity, and computing units into a single chip to create a low-power embedded intelligent computing chip featuring local intelligent processing, data privacy and security, low latency, and low power consumption, with research and development undertaken by the company's own team. The announcement said that the chip needs to go through multiple stages including architecture design, tape-out, hardware and software debugging, and customer verification, so there is uncertainty in the R&D rollout. Please refer to the company's disclosed information for specific progress.
688110.CG · Technology · Positive Dosilicon's integrated storage-compute-connect chip R&D project is progressing in an orderly manner, advancing its own chip technology development.
China's first 3D advanced packaging mass-production line goes live; Jingce Electronic is the second-largest shareholder
China's first 3D advanced packaging mass-production line, the second-phase project of the Xingchen Technology advanced packaging pilot platform, officially went live on September 30, with the first batch of wafers successfully coming off the line. Xingchen Technology is headquartered in Wuhan and was incubated by the Hubei Jiangcheng Laboratory. It focuses on integrated circuit 3D advanced packaging technology and is one of the few domestic companies with full capabilities in 3D heterogeneous integration, precise chiplet stacking, and multi-dimensional chip packaging process development and mass production. Its advanced packaging integrated experimental platform began construction in 2024, with total investment in phases one and two exceeding 7 billion yuan. Phase one has already gone live and has helped nearly 30 high-performance chips complete pilot tape-outs, while providing verification services for 35 domestic packaging equipment items and 11 types of specialized materials. The second-phase project that went live this time started construction in October 2025, further adding 2.5D capabilities on top of the existing 3D advanced packaging process platform. According to the plan, it will reach full production in the first quarter of 2027, forming a capacity of 20,000 wafers per month, and will be able to simultaneously support pilot production and risk mass production for 40 to 50 chip models, as well as application verification for 30 to 40 sets of domestic semiconductor equipment and materials. In May this year, Xingchen Technology completed a Series A financing round of nearly 5 billion yuan, of which newly introduced shareholder investment reached 4.5 billion yuan, setting a new record for the largest single financing in China's integrated circuit advanced packaging sector in 2026. Investors include Hillhouse Ventures, Sequoia China, Legend Capital, CICC Capital, CMB International Capital, and Shenzhen Capital Group. Jingce Electronic is the second-largest shareholder of Xingchen Technology, with a latest stake of approximately 16.9842 percent. By holding equity in Xingchen Technology, the company is actively expanding into the semiconductor advanced packaging sector and extending from front-end metrology equipment into the semiconductor manufacturing and packaging industry chain.
星辰技术 · Technology · Positive Xingchen Technology's first 3D advanced packaging mass-production line went live with first wafers off the line, adding 2.5D capabilities and targeting 20,000 wafers/month capacity.
300567.CS · Demand · Positive Jingce Electronic is the second-largest shareholder of Xingchen Technology, whose 3D advanced packaging mass-production line going live expands demand for its semiconductor equipment/materials verification.
Wells Fargo Sees Semiconductor Equipment Suppliers as Winners in TSMC 2nm Expansion
Wells Fargo says semiconductor capital-equipment companies could be the biggest near-term beneficiaries of a potential TSMC expansion of 2-nanometer production. Analyst Joe Quatrochi wrote that reports of the possible capacity increase should be viewed as a potentially incremental positive opportunity for semi cap companies, though timing, size and node details are still unconfirmed. Building additional 2nm capacity would require significant spending on lithography, deposition, etching and inspection equipment, adding a layer of demand for suppliers supporting TSMC's fabs. Quatrochi pointed to the so-called Silicon Prairie as a logical location for a potential second U.S. campus, citing existing semiconductor operations in Texas from Texas Instruments, Samsung, Coherent and Terafab, plus TSMC's design service center in Austin. TSMC's major 2nm customers include Apple, Nvidia, AMD and Qualcomm, with Google, Broadcom, Marvell, Amazon and OpenAI also expected to use the advanced process.
2330.TW · Demand · Positive Reports of a potential TSMC 2nm capacity expansion would add equipment demand supporting TSMC's fabs, with TSMC as the central subject.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing rose about 0.9% to $457.175 at 10.55am EST Tuesday as investors weighed a possible return to AI stocks, with JPMorgan arguing the recent pullback has made semiconductor valuations more attractive. TSMC's second-quarter results showed $40.2 billion in revenue and a 60.3% operating margin, and its board approved roughly $29.44 billion for chipmaking capacity, advanced packaging and factory construction. The shares sit 25.61% above the $363.95 GF Value estimate, leaving little room for a stumble. Strong AI demand can justify a premium, but investors now need to see new capacity come online with solid yields and enough customer orders to keep it busy.
Government Maintains 'Moderate Recovery' Assessment in September Monthly Report, Upgrades Production
In its September monthly economic report, the government maintained its baseline assessment that the economy is "recovering moderately." It also kept the wording from the previous month that "it is necessary to pay close attention to the impact of the situation in the Middle East and natural disasters," and said it will continue to watch risks that soaring crude oil prices and import prices could accelerate the outflow of income, as well as the impact of natural disasters on automobile supply chains and other areas. Among individual components, production was upgraded from "flat" in the previous month to "generally speaking, a pickup is being seen," reflecting strong growth in production machinery such as semiconductor manufacturing equipment amid the global AI boom. Meanwhile, the trade and services balance was changed from "broadly balanced" to "in deficit," mainly due to higher import costs caused by rising crude oil procurement prices. Public works was downgraded from "firm" to "solid," with the government explaining that the effects of the fiscal 2025 supplementary budget are tapering off. Private consumption and capital investment, the pillars of domestic demand, kept their assessments of "a pickup is being seen" and "recovering," respectively, and the wording that improvements in the employment and income environment and the effects of various policies will support a moderate recovery was left unchanged for the outlook, while the government said it is necessary to be mindful of the situation in the Middle East, the impact of natural disasters, and fluctuations in financial and capital markets.
KKPS recommends buying KCE with a 104 baht target and HANA with a 61 baht target, citing the upturn in the PCB cycle and AI projects
Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Public Company Limited, or KKPS, issued a research note dated 29 September 2026 recommending a "Buy" on KCE Electronics Public Company Limited, or KCE, with a target price of 104 baht, and maintaining a "Buy" on Hana Microelectronics Public Company Limited, or HANA, while raising its target price to 61 baht from 42 baht. It views both companies as entering a new growth cycle driven by a recovery in their core businesses and opportunities from artificial intelligence, or AI, related operations. For KCE, the research team sees it entering an upcycle in the printed circuit board, or PCB, business, expecting normal earnings per share to grow by about 95% in 2026 and 110% in 2027, which is about 69% above the market average. It expects net profit attributable to the company after excluding special items of about 1.529 billion baht in 2026, rising to 3.212 billion baht in 2027 and 4.174 billion baht in 2028. The communications business, especially PCBs for low Earth orbit, or LEO, satellites, is expected to increase its share to about 16% of PCB revenue in 2027 and 30% in 2028. As for HANA, KKPS raised its 2026 and 2027 earnings forecasts by 8% and 31% respectively, expecting profit growth of about 20% in 2026 and 53% in 2027, supported by a rise in capacity utilisation in its OSAT business in Ayutthaya province to 62% from 55%. It expects net profit attributable to the company after excluding special items of about 999 million baht in 2026, rising to 1.533 billion baht in 2027 and 1.78 billion baht in 2028. Meanwhile, two of HANA's three AI projects, Phononic TEC and High-density PCBA, have begun ramping up production and are expected to generate combined revenue of about 2.5 to 3.5 billion baht in 2027.
HANA.BK · Capital · Positive KKPS maintains Buy and raises HANA's target price to 61 baht, lifting 2026-27 earnings forecasts on OSAT utilization and AI project ramp-up.
KCE.BK · Capital · Positive KKPS initiates Buy on KCE with a 104 baht target, citing a PCB upcycle and ~95%/110% EPS growth in 2026-27.
ASE Technology August Revenue Rises 34.6% on ATM Strength
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. reported August 2026 consolidated net revenue of $2.56 billion, or NT$82.25 billion, up 34.6% year-over-year in U.S. dollar terms. The company's core Assembly, Testing, and Material division, known as ATM, drove the surge with $1.59 billion, or NT$51.29 billion, in revenue, a 41.4% year-over-year jump. The monthly momentum builds on second-quarter 2026 results, when net revenue reached NT$191,064 million, up 26.7% year-over-year, and net income attributable to parent shareholders soared to NT$21,068 million. In that quarter, ATM revenue hit NT$126,148 million, up 36.3% year-over-year, with gross margin expanding 130 basis points sequentially to 27.3% and operating margin expanding to 15.7%. ASE shares rose 3.74% on the day of the August revenue release.
Wuxi Industry Group issues China's first key core technology breakthrough sci-tech innovation bond, raising 600 million yuan
Wuxi Industry Development Group recently issued the country's first key core technology breakthrough sci-tech innovation bond, 26 Xi Chan K2, on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a total size of 600 million yuan, a term of three years, and a coupon rate of 1.58 percent. Proceeds from this bond will be invested specifically in the construction of the Hua Hong FAB9B project, which will build a 12-inch specialty process wafer production line with a planned monthly capacity of 55,000 wafers. It represents scarce domestic capacity for automotive-grade and high-end industrial-grade chips, focusing on niche segments such as non-volatile memory, power devices, and analog chips, while carrying out core technology breakthroughs in key areas including Bluetooth radio frequency chip processes, next-generation high-voltage driver processes, and embedded flash memory processes. Once completed, the project will help close the domestic supply gap in high-end specialty process chips and effectively raise the level of self-reliance and controllability of critical chips. In recent years, Wuxi Industry Group has launched a number of first-of-their-kind projects, including bonds dedicated to the aerospace sector and a computing-in-memory sci-tech innovation bond. To date, its cumulative issuance of sci-tech innovation corporate bonds has reached 8 billion yuan, ranking first in Wuxi and second in Jiangsu, and it has successfully invested in high-precision and cutting-edge projects such as SJ Semiconductor, Zhipu AI, Geekplus, and Dobot. Wuxi Industry Group said that going forward it will seize capital market opportunities, continue to leverage the leading role of patient capital, long-term capital, and strategic capital, and deepen its presence in key areas such as integrated circuits, artificial intelligence, and commercial aerospace, injecting new momentum into Wuxi's efforts to build itself into an industrial sci-tech innovation hub.
688347.CG · Capital · Positive 600 million yuan sci-tech innovation bond proceeds are earmarked for the Hua Hong FAB9B 12-inch specialty process wafer line, funding its capacity expansion.
TSMC Expands Synopsys Design Partnership for A14 Process as Shares Slip
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing expanded its chip design partnership with Synopsys, strengthening the tools customers can use to design chips for TSMC's upcoming A14 process. The September 23 announcement covers AI-assisted design, automated chiplet layouts, power analysis for advanced packaging and verification for co-packaged optics, and Synopsys also reported progress on interfaces for HBM4, PCIe 7.0 and Ethernet. TSMC has scheduled A14 volume production for 2028. The U.S.-listed shares fell about 0.9% to $446.57 at 11.48am ET on September 28, a level 22.79% above the $363.69 GF Value. Better design tools could help customers get chips ready sooner, but they do not guarantee orders, and investors still need to see customer designs reach production, strong yields and fabs running at capacity.
2330.TW · Technology · Positive TSMC expanded its design partnership with Synopsys, strengthening tools customers can use for its upcoming A14 process.
SNPS · Technology · Positive Synopsys expanded its chip design partnership with TSMC for the A14 process, covering AI-assisted design, chiplet layouts, power analysis and verification.
Piper Sandler Projects Google TPU Sales to Reach $104 Billion by 2028
Piper Sandler analyst Thomas Champion is projecting that Google's newly disclosed external chip business will generate $104 billion in TPU hardware revenue by 2028, a forecast the firm says the broader Street has yet to price in. Champion published the note after Google disclosed external hardware sales for the first time in its second-quarter 2026 earnings report, a milestone that triggered a formal reassessment of the revenue opportunity. The firm's model has TPU sales climbing from approximately $8 billion in 2026, or roughly 240,000 chips, to $51 billion in 2027, or approximately 2.4 million chips, and then to $104 billion in 2028, anchored to a facilities and power-capacity build-out of 3 gigawatts of run-rate capacity by the end of 2027 and 6GW by the end of 2028. Piper Sandler raised its price target on Alphabet to $400 from $395 and reiterated its Overweight rating, with its 2027 and 2028 Cloud revenue estimates now 15% and 17% above consensus and its Cloud EBIT estimates 18-19% above consensus. Champion also flagged that even these estimates may prove conservative, noting that Broadcom management recently spoke to 5GW of Anthropic demand in 2027 and 10GW in 2028, which Piper Sandler estimates as $105 billion and $210 billion in revenue if that capacity is achieved.
TSMC 2nm Output Seen Reaching 120,000 Wafers Monthly by End-2026
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is expanding 2-nanometer production faster than previously expected as major customers increase their commitments to the new technology. The company could reach monthly 2nm output of about 120,000 wafers by the end of 2026, compared with earlier estimates of 90,000 to 100,000, according to Taiwan's EDN. Apple, Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, Qualcomm and MediaTek are reportedly lifting 2nm orders by 10% to 20%, giving TSMC additional visibility as customers prepare next-generation processors and AI accelerators. In the second quarter, 2nm represented 3% of TSMC's wafer revenue, while technologies at 7nm and below accounted for 77%, and high-performance computing made up 66% of revenue, up from 60% a year earlier. TSMC has projected 2026 2nm capacity growth as it ramps multiple facilities in Taiwan.
Artificial Intelligence › Edge & On-device AI Silicon ▲Supply
2330.TW · Demand · Positive TSMC's 2nm output is seen reaching 120,000 wafers monthly by end-2026 as major customers raise orders 10-20%.
2454.TW · Demand · Positive MediaTek is reportedly lifting its 2nm orders by 10-20%, increasing demand for TSMC's advanced node as it prepares next-generation processors.
AAPL · Demand · Positive Apple is reportedly lifting its 2nm chip orders by 10-20%, signaling stronger demand for TSMC's advanced node.
AMD · Demand · Positive AMD is reportedly increasing 2nm orders by 10-20% as it prepares next-generation processors.
NVDA · Demand · Positive Nvidia is reportedly raising 2nm orders by 10-20% for next-generation AI accelerators.
QCOM · Demand · Positive Qualcomm is reportedly lifting 2nm orders by 10-20% for upcoming processors.
JPMorgan Expects AI-Linked Stocks to Rebound, Stays Bullish on Semiconductors
JPMorgan analysts said on the 28th that the recent correction in global AI-related trading has improved investors' positioning and made valuations more attractive, which could encourage investors to re-enter the market, particularly in semiconductor stocks. In a report, they noted that tech may not return to past peak levels, but the underlying scenario remains positive and there are many investment opportunities within the AI-related sector. They said investor positioning in the AI space has been cleaned up and valuations have fallen sharply across most areas, while capital expenditure is likely to remain solid despite recent slowdown concerns. On semiconductor stocks, they maintained a bullish outlook citing strong fundamentals, price increases through 2027, and supply-demand tightness expected to persist until 2028, while keeping a cautious stance on software stocks, assessing that AI growth continues to leave the sector's long-term outlook uncertain.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
JPM · Capital · Neutral JPMorgan analysts issued a bullish report on AI/semiconductor stocks; the firm is the source of the call, not a subject of fundamental impact.
Singapore manufacturing output jumps 15.4% in August on AI and chip demand
The Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB) said on September 28 that Singapore's manufacturing output in August surged 15.4% year on year, driven by broad-based growth across most industry clusters. On a seasonally adjusted basis, manufacturing output in August fell 0.5% month on month. The report said output rose year on year in nearly every sector except chemicals. The precision engineering cluster soared 33.9%, led mainly by the production of semiconductor machinery and equipment. The electronics cluster rose 28.5% on the strength of server and related products, semiconductors, and data storage equipment, amid strong demand related to artificial intelligence. The transport engineering cluster expanded 9.5%, led by land vehicles and aircraft. The general manufacturing industries cluster grew 1.5%, and biomedical manufacturing edged up 0.4%. Chemicals was the only cluster to decline, with output falling 12.7%, weighed down by the petroleum and petrochemical segments.
Kasikorn Research Center maintains Thai export growth forecast of 14% for 2026, flags K-shaped growth concerns
Kasikorn Research Center is maintaining its overall forecast for Thai exports in 2026 at 14%, saying export momentum is expected to slow over the remainder of the year and that growth remains uneven in a K-shaped pattern. It expects electronics to remain a key driver, supported by global demand for AI- and data center-related products and by US trade measures that are expected to continue excluding key export items such as electronic components. However, growth in electronics exports over the rest of the year is expected to slow from 55.5% year-on-year in the first eight months, after shipments were front-loaded earlier. Thai exports in August 2026 accelerated to 24.3% year-on-year, the fastest in 56 months, with electronics exports still expanding 54.2% year-on-year and contributing 11.5% to export growth. Electronics exports to the United States, which account for 46% of all electronics exports, grew 64.6% year-on-year. Exports of unwrought gold returned to growth at 112.5% year-on-year, contributing 4.5% to export growth, after two consecutive months of declines. Excluding gold, Thai exports would have grown 20.6% year-on-year. Kasikorn Research Center warned that US trade measures remain highly uncertain, including tariffs under Section 301 and structural overcapacity issues, and that Thailand could face higher tariffs than the current 12.5%. It also flagged concerns about transshipment, with the impact expected to become clearer in 2027.
SK Hynix Weighs 2027 IPO for Solidigm at $150 Billion Valuation
SK Hynix is evaluating an initial public offering for its U.S. NAND flash subsidiary Solidigm, targeting a 2027 U.S. listing that could value the business at $150 billion and raise up to $15 billion, according to Reuters. Solidigm held initial pitch meetings with investment banks this week. The potential IPO would represent a massive monetization event for SK Hynix, which acquired Intel's NAND memory and storage business for $9 billion in a transaction completed in 2021. SK Hynix reported record Q2 2026 financial results, generating consolidated revenue of KRW 79.32 trillion and an operating profit of KRW 60.54 trillion, a 76% operating margin, driven by surging AI server demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM4) and enterprise SSDs. The prospective $15 billion in IPO proceeds would give SK Hynix substantial financial flexibility to support its multi-year capital deployment, including its M15X facility and Yongin semiconductor cluster expansion, while augmenting its gross cash position of KRW 88 trillion. The primary risk lies in valuation sustainability and industry cyclicality leading up to 2027, since Solidigm's enterprise SSD growth is tightly linked to hyperscale AI infrastructure spending and a softening semiconductor cycle could contract the realized IPO valuation.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Demand
000660.KO · Capital · Positive SK Hynix is weighing a 2027 IPO of Solidigm at a $150B valuation that could raise up to $15B, a major monetization and financing event.
000660.KO · Demand · Positive Record Q2 2026 results with 76% operating margin were driven by surging AI server demand for HBM4 and enterprise SSDs.
Microsoft Reportedly Plans Data Center Expansion to 38 Gigawatts by 2032
Microsoft plans to expand its global data center capacity to more than 38 gigawatts by 2032, more than tripling its current roughly 12-gigawatt footprint, according to Bloomberg News reporting cited by Reuters and attributed to people familiar with the plans. Only about 2 gigawatts of Microsoft's current capacity is dedicated to AI-specific chips, a share the company expects to grow to roughly one-third of the much larger 38-gigawatt total by 2032, though Microsoft has not confirmed the target in any public filing or statement. The reported roadmap rests on strong cloud demand: Azure and other cloud services revenue rose 43% year over year in fiscal Q4, Microsoft Cloud revenue reached $59.3 billion for the quarter and $214.4 billion for fiscal 2026, and commercial remaining performance obligations climbed 84% year over year to $678 billion, with roughly 30% expected to be recognized as revenue over the next 12 months. Funding the buildout will be costly, with Microsoft expecting more than $50 billion of capital expenditures in fiscal Q1 2027 and about $175 billion during calendar 2026 under its broader capex definition, after roughly $145 billion in fiscal 2026. Power and political hurdles could slow the plan, as Texas temporarily halted approvals for new data center grid connections and New York imposed a moratorium on large new data centers, even as Microsoft signed a 20-year agreement with Constellation Energy tied to the restart of the 835-megawatt Three Mile Island Unit 1.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
MSFT · Capital · Positive Microsoft reportedly plans to more than triple data center capacity to 38 gigawatts by 2032, backed by over $50 billion of fiscal Q1 2027 capex and about $175 billion in calendar 2026.
MSFT · Demand · Positive The buildout rests on strong cloud demand, with Azure revenue up 43% year over year and commercial remaining performance obligations climbing 84% to $678 billion.
CEG · Demand · Positive Microsoft signed a 20-year agreement with Constellation Energy tied to the restart of Three Mile Island Unit 1, providing a long-term power customer for its nuclear output.
Elmos Semiconductor Secures Wafer Capacity at Dortmund Fab Through 2028
Elmos Semiconductor has locked in extended access to wafer capacity at its Dortmund fab until at least 2028, a move aimed at meeting rising demand in autos and AI infrastructure. The extension comes after a sharp pullback over the past quarter, with the 90 day share price return down 17.51%, while the year to date share price return sits at 46.88% and the 1 year total shareholder return reaches 81.50%. Against a last close of €146.00, the most followed narrative pegs Elmos Semiconductor's fair value at €191, framing recent share price swings as a potential valuation gap rather than just noise. That narrative cites continued strong momentum in China, driven by rising local demand for advanced driver-assist features and local OEM initiatives, as positioning Elmos for double-digit booking growth and new long-term customer wins, and points to the ramp-up of design wins in automotive sensor applications, including multiple ultrasonic sensors across models at BYD, as validating its innovation pipeline. The story can still break if China demand cools or key auto customers shift volumes to rival chip suppliers, which would pressure both revenue and margins.
SCHMID shares surged nearly 20% by Friday afternoon trading after a report revealed that advanced chipmakers were considering the use of glass substrates in processors. The technology could increase the amount of high-bandwidth memory in chips, boosting processing speeds for AI workloads. SCHMID Chief Sales Officer Roland Rettenmaier said on the company's second-quarter 2026 earnings call that many players in the Intel, Nvidia and AMD supply chains are eyeing glass core substrates for their flatness, smoothness, dielectric constants and signal integrity, and that the German-based company is engaged with most major supply chain players to make glass core substrates real. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently met with the chairman of SK Group to discuss using glass substrate technology in next-generation semiconductors, according to Seoul Economic Daily, and has reportedly discussed it with TSMC as well. SCHMID specializes in high-tech manufacturing for electronics, photovoltaics, glass and energy systems, and has been developing glass substrate solutions that offer thinner, smoother packaging material to raise chip speeds and cut power consumption.
SHMD · Technology · Positive SCHMID shares jumped ~20% as its glass core substrate technology is being eyed by major chip supply chains and it is engaged with most major players.
NVDA · Technology · Neutral Nvidia's CEO reportedly discussed glass substrate technology with SK Group and TSMC, but no concrete Nvidia commitment.
2330.TW · Technology · Neutral Reportedly discussed glass substrate technology with Nvidia, but no concrete development or order for TSMC is stated.
AMD · Technology · Neutral AMD named as one of the chipmakers whose supply chains are eyeing glass core substrates, but no AMD-specific development.
INTC · Technology · Neutral Intel mentioned as a chipmaker whose supply chain is considering glass substrates, with no Intel-specific action.
Onto Innovation Raises Advanced Packaging Outlook to 80% on Dragonfly G5 Demand
Onto Innovation has raised its full-year 2026 advanced packaging growth outlook to at least 80% from more than 50% previously, citing strong demand for its Dragonfly G5 inspection platform. The company generated $343.1 million of quarterly revenue, up 35.3% year over year, while its inspection business, dominated by Dragonfly systems, grew approximately 30% sequentially on demand from 2.5D logic and HBM applications. Onto launched Dragonfly G5 in March 2026 and disclosed in April that the platform had been qualified for 2.5D AI packaging applications, with demand strongest among HBM manufacturers and AI-focused OSATs, including more than $200 million in Dragonfly orders from a single OSAT, most slated for 2027. Management said demand for the Dragonfly platform is expected to grow more than 50% in 2026 from 2025 and expects further growth in 2027 with no signs of customer overcapacity. Competitors are also benefiting from the same AI-driven spending: KLA now expects 2026 wafer fabrication equipment spending in the low-$150 billion range, up from $135-$140 billion, and Applied Materials expects advanced packaging revenue to grow more than 70% in 2026, up from its prior outlook of more than 50%.
ONTO · Demand · Positive Onto raised its 2026 advanced packaging growth outlook to at least 80% on strong Dragonfly G5 demand, including more than $200 million in orders from a single OSAT.
AMAT · Demand · Positive Applied Materials expects advanced packaging revenue to grow more than 70% in 2026, up from prior outlook of more than 50%, on the same AI-driven spending.
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA now expects 2026 wafer fabrication equipment spending in the low-$150 billion range, up from $135-$140 billion, benefiting from the same AI-driven spending.
September Tankan: Large Manufacturers' DI Expected to Improve 4 Points to Plus 26
Forecasts from 12 private think tanks and other institutions for the Bank of Japan's September National Short-Term Economic Survey of Enterprises, or Tankan, to be released on the 1st of next month, were all in by the 25th. The average forecast for the business conditions diffusion index, which gauges corporate sentiment, stands at plus 26 for large manufacturers, a 4-point improvement from the previous June survey. The dominant view is that demand related to artificial intelligence and semiconductors will lift sentiment, and this would mark the sixth consecutive quarter of improvement for manufacturers. While industries producing equipment and materials related to semiconductor manufacturing, such as electrical machinery and production machinery, are analyzed as performing well, it has been pointed out that automobiles may act as a drag due to sluggish growth in export volumes. The average forecast for large non-manufacturers is 36, down 1 point from the June survey, with many companies expecting flat or slightly worse conditions due to weak inbound demand and rising costs such as fuel and labor expenses. Based on this Tankan, the Bank of Japan plans to analyze risks such as higher crude oil prices and AI-driven upward pressure on prices, and to look for the timing of an additional interest rate hike.
TISCO Says Era of Capital Competition Will Keep Interest Rates High Through 2028
The TISCO Economic and Strategic Analysis Center, or TISCO ESU, assesses that global financial markets are entering a phase of capital competition, as governments around the world need to borrow heavily to expand defense budgets while private-sector big tech and hyperscaler firms seek to raise enormous sums to accelerate the buildout of data center infrastructure, chip fabrication plants, AI facilities, and power plants. This is pushing interest rates and government bond yields up by roughly 0.60 to 0.90 percent. Komson Prapakpol, head of the TISCO Economic and Strategic Analysis Center, said the United States plans to expand its defense budget from 1 trillion dollars to 1.5 trillion dollars, an increase of 50 percent, while Japan aims to raise defense spending from below 2 percent to 3.5 percent of GDP, the highest level since the period from 1970 to 1980. Germany and France are also accelerating increases in their security budgets. Thanaphat Thanachat, an analyst at TISCO ESU, said the United States has public debt exceeding 100 percent of GDP, or more than 40 trillion dollars, and a fiscal deficit as high as 6 percent of GDP per year, driving its interest burden to double that of four to five years ago. France's public debt has risen by nearly 20 percent of GDP between 2019 and 2025, with an annual deficit of 5 percent of GDP. As for the interest rate path of the three major central banks, TISCO ESU expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates one more time, by about 0.25 percent, at its December meeting, ending at 4.25 percent, and to hold at that level through 2027 before cutting in 2028. The European Central Bank is expected to raise rates one more time, by about 0.25 percent, in December, while the Bank of Japan is expected to gradually keep raising rates until they reach 1.75 percent in mid-2027. The yield on 10-year U.S. government bonds is expected in the base case to hold steady at 5 percent through the end of 2026, but if the Federal Reserve fails to control inflation, the worst case could see the bond yield rise to 6 percent.
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Naval Systems & Shipbuilding ▲Demand
TISCO.BK · Monetary · Neutral TISCO ESU forecasts higher-for-longer rates (Fed to 4.25% through 2027), a macro-rate view from the group's research arm rather than a company-specific event.
Musk says xAI's Colossus 2 could double Nvidia chip count by year-end
Elon Musk said Colossus 2, the AI computing cluster built by his xAI business, could more than double its current number of Nvidia chips by the end of the year. In a post on X, the Tesla and SpaceX CEO said the Memphis-area cluster now runs 110,000 Nvidia GB200 chips and 440,000 GB300s, with another 220,000 GB300s due to be fully operational next week and a further 220,000 expected in November. An additional 220,000 GB300s may come online in late December if we get lucky, he added, giving the most detailed timetable yet for the expansion. Musk also noted that Colossus 1 comprises 150,000 H100, 50,000 H200 and 30,000 GB200 chips. The SpaceX unit previously said it plans to equip its Memphis facility with 1 million graphics processing units by 2026.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute Cloud & Neoclouds Competition
NVDA · Demand · Positive xAI's Colossus 2 cluster is expanding to over 1 million Nvidia GB200/GB300 chips, a concrete order/unit-adoption event for Nvidia GPUs
Trump and Xi Discuss AI, Trade and Taiwan at the White House
President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping held a joint summit at the White House, discussing artificial intelligence, security and technology. It marked the first joint statement between the two leaders, amid concerns among executives at major technology companies and some U.S. policymakers that AI could pose a threat to humanity. Trump affirmed that AI development should proceed freely in order to preserve the United States' advantage, while China criticised U.S. semiconductor export controls as creating restrictions on Chinese companies. Xi Jinping said China and the United States have both the capability and the responsibility to develop and manage AI for the benefit of humanity, and that it should always remain under human control. He also called on Trump to change the U.S. position on Taiwan by opposing Taiwan independence. Trump said the two sides had made substantial progress on points of disagreement, referring to efforts to expand access to the Chinese market for U.S. farmers and ranchers under the trade committee mechanism, and he did not mention the Taiwan issue. After the meeting, China announced that it had reached a new joint agreement with the United States, according to Xinhua News Agency, without disclosing details. A few hours earlier, the United States had announced an extension of the trade truce with China by another two months, until January 10. Xi Jinping also said there is potential to add direct flights between the two countries, and announced that two pandas will arrive at Zoo Atlanta in the U.S. state of Georgia within a few days.
Trio-Tech Posts Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.02 on $14.9M Revenue
Trio-Tech reported fourth-quarter non-GAAP earnings of $0.02 per share on revenue of $14.9 million, up 39.3% year over year. Total backlog stood at $24.2 million at June 30, 2026, compared with $11.0 million a year earlier, with SBS backlog of approximately $19.8 million and IE backlog of approximately $4.4 million. Net cash provided by operating activities rose to $3.4 million from $0.4 million in fiscal 2025, while cash, cash equivalents, short-term deposits and restricted term deposits totaled approximately $28.5 million, versus approximately $19.5 million at June 30, 2025. The company said it enters fiscal 2027 with continued demand for semiconductor back-end testing services across AI, high-performance computing and automotive applications, including EV and autonomous-vehicle semiconductors. During fiscal 2026, Trio-Tech delivered approximately $6.3 million of the previously announced $14.2 million in burn-in board-related orders, leaving approximately $7.9 million still to be delivered, and in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 it received an additional purchase order of approximately $1.5 million.
TRT · Capital · Positive Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.02 on revenue up 39.3% YoY, with operating cash flow rising to $3.4M from $0.4M.
TRT · Demand · Positive Backlog jumped to $24.2M from $11.0M, with continued demand for semiconductor back-end testing and $1.5M in new burn-in board orders.
TaiwanNetherlandsUnited StatesChinaJapanSouth Korea
Foundry & Advanced Packaging▲impact 4
TSMC and ASML Launch 12-Inch EUV Photomask Initiative Targeting 2031 Pilot Line
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and ASML Holding announced a collaborative industry initiative on September 8 to transition the semiconductor sector to a 12-inch Extreme Ultraviolet photomask format, replacing the 6-inch masks chipmakers currently use for High NA EUV systems. The shift aims to boost scanner productivity, eliminate stitching constraints on ultra-large chips, and lower long-term advanced node manufacturing costs, with the initiative targeting a pilot line by 2031 and 12-inch High-NA production by 2033. TSMC plans to adopt High-NA EUV starting in 2030, with the 12-inch masks providing a multi-year roadmap for scaling complex AI architectures. For ASML, establishing a 12-inch standard locks in the long-term economic case for its High-NA scanner line, supporting its 15% revenue expansion outlook, while for TSMC the larger format helps defend its leading-edge and AI/HPC manufacturing dominance. The decade-long roadmap carries execution risk, as the entire global supply chain, from mask blanks and inspection equipment to automated handling, must retool from scratch, and TSMC faces near-term gross margin dilution from its N2 ramp and overseas fab expansions while ASML contends with gross margin pressure in late 2025 and geopolitical growth uncertainties through 2026.
Artificial Intelligence › EDA & Semiconductor IP Technology
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Technology
2330.TW · Technology · Positive TSMC and ASML launch a 12-inch EUV photomask initiative to boost scanner productivity and defend TSMC's leading-edge AI/HPC manufacturing dominance.
2330.TW · Capital · Negative TSMC faces near-term gross margin dilution from its N2 ramp and overseas fab expansions.
ASML.AS · Technology · Positive Establishing a 12-inch standard locks in the long-term economic case for ASML's High-NA scanner line, supporting its 15% revenue expansion outlook.
ASML.AS · Capital · Negative ASML contends with gross margin pressure in late 2025 and geopolitical growth uncertainties through 2026.
Broadcom Sets $230 Billion AI Revenue Target for Fiscal 2028
Broadcom expects AI chip revenue of roughly $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028, according to Reuters, a target that doubles the delivery test for the custom AI chip and networking supplier. The company reported $16.7 billion in fiscal third-quarter AI semiconductor revenue, about 56% of its $29.59 billion total. Shares fell about 2% to $348.02 at 10.40am ET on Thursday morning as investors weighed the promise against execution risk. At that price, Broadcom trades 15.36% below the $411.18 GF Value cited by GuruFocus. Doubling AI sales in a year demands that chips be made, packaged and delivered on schedule, and any slip in supply or customer deployments would leave the revenue target offering little comfort.
CLSA Says AI Chip Shortage Could Last Until 2030, Calls 2028 Peak Forecast 'Utterly Wrong'
CLSA's Bhavtosh Vajpayee said the AI semiconductor cycle will not peak in 2028, calling that expectation "utterly wrong" and projecting the current chip shortage will persist until roughly 2030. Speaking to CNBC on Wednesday, Vajpayee said demand for GPUs and custom AI chips currently exceeds supply by about 73%, and he expects upstream semiconductor and hardware companies to benefit as the shortage worsens alongside expanding AI infrastructure spending. He also noted that large semiconductor companies trade at lower valuation multiples than many other parts of the AI ecosystem. Vajpayee highlighted Meta's Muse as a notable recent development for making AI agent creation easier through simple language commands, and said similar advances should emerge in China, where companies including Alibaba are developing smaller AI models. He pointed to Apple as particularly important because smartphones already sit at the center of consumers' daily lives and could become the primary gateway for accessing AI services, while CLSA sees clearer opportunities in AI hardware suppliers than among model developers, where he said it remains too early to determine the eventual winners.
Teradyne Launches Iris 100 Optical Test Platform as AI Revenue Tops 60% of Q2 Sales
Teradyne has introduced Iris 100, a production-ready optical test platform for microLED devices used in augmented-reality displays and optical interconnects for AI data centers, expanding its AI test portfolio against KLA Corporation and Cohu. The system measures individual emitters across arrays containing millions of microLEDs and integrates with Teradyne's UltraFLEXplus platform for combined optical and electrical testing, supporting wafer and final testing with advanced parallelization and image processing for high-throughput production. AI-driven revenues represented more than 60% of Teradyne's second-quarter 2026 revenues, while total revenues surpassed $1.3 billion, more than doubling year over year. Within that quarter, Semi Test revenues increased 128% year over year, compute revenues surged nearly 600%, and Product Test revenues rose 26% to $107 million. For the third quarter of 2026, Teradyne expects revenues in the range of $1.20-$1.30 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings is pegged at $9.10 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days and suggesting 129.80% year-over-year growth, while Teradyne shares have surged 101% year to date.
TER · Capital · Positive AI-driven revenues topped 60% of Q2 2026 sales with total revenues over $1.3 billion, more than doubling year over year, plus Q3 guidance of $1.20-$1.30 billion.
TER · Technology · Positive Launched the Iris 100 production-ready optical test platform for microLED and AI data-center optical interconnects, expanding its AI test portfolio.
NVIDIA Commits $279 Billion to Supply as AI Demand Accelerates
NVIDIA ended the second quarter of fiscal 2027 with $279 billion in supply and capacity commitments, up from $119 billion in the first quarter, with most tied to memory and manufacturing facilities for current and future data center products. The company reported $96.22 billion in second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenues, up 106% year over year, while Data Center revenues surged 117% to $89.02 billion, and it guided third-quarter revenues to $108 billion, plus or minus 2%, implying 89.5% year-over-year growth. NVIDIA expects fiscal 2028 revenue growth of about 70%, though supply constraints could limit how quickly it meets demand, and it warns that changing demand could make the commitments difficult to reduce. Rivals are expanding as well: AMD's Data Center revenues rose 107% year over year to $6.7 billion in the second quarter of 2026, with Anthropic planning to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of MI450-series GPUs on the Helios rack-scale platform and Microsoft deploying Helios at scale on Azure, while Intel's second-quarter revenues rose 25% to $16.13 billion and its Data Center and AI revenues surged 59% to $6.26 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NVIDIA's fiscal 2027 revenues stands at $406.05 billion, an 88% year-over-year increase, and the stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.11 versus the sector's average of 21.45.
NVDA · Capital · Positive NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 revenues of $96.22B, up 106% YoY, with Data Center up 117% and Q3 guidance of $108B.
NVDA · Supply · Positive NVIDIA's supply and capacity commitments jumped to $279B from $119B, mostly for memory and manufacturing of data center products.
AMD · Demand · Positive AMD's Data Center revenues rose 107% YoY to $6.7B, with Anthropic and Microsoft deploying its MI450 GPUs on Helios.
INTC · Demand · Positive Intel's Q2 revenues rose 25% and Data Center and AI revenues surged 59% to $6.26B.
Anthropic · Demand · Positive Anthropic plans to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of AMD MI450-series GPUs on the Helios platform.
MSFT · Demand · Positive Microsoft is deploying AMD's Helios rack-scale platform at scale on Azure.
China Confirms First AI Talks With U.S., Hints at Trade Truce Extension
China's Commerce Ministry confirmed Thursday that its senior trade negotiators had held their first talks with the U.S. on artificial intelligence. Spokesperson He Yadong told reporters the two sides also discussed plans for reducing tariffs and extending trade arrangements agreed in Kuala Lumpur last October, referring to Vice Premier He Lifeng's meeting with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in New York ahead of this week's summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. As Xi landed in the U.S., Bessent told Fox News on Wednesday that the two countries agreed to extend a trade truce to January; the truce, reached in October 2025, kept tariffs lower and limited China's export controls on rare earths, which are critical components of semiconductors, many household goods and defense products. Earlier in the week, Bessent said the two sides discussed establishing an AI dialogue and a mechanism to alert each other about AI risks. The Chinese confirmation of the AI talks came just hours before Xi and Trump were scheduled to begin talks in Washington, D.C., as part of a state visit, and the ministry added the two sides held constructive, candid talks and reached multiple points of consensus.
Japan Stocks Poised to Catch Up With Global AI Rally as Yen Steadies
Japanese stocks look set to catch up with a global AI-led rally when trading resumes Thursday, with Nikkei 225 futures in Osaka trading about 1.4% above Friday's settlement of the underlying gauge after the Silver Week holiday. Chip-equipment makers Tokyo Electron and Advantest are expected to be among the biggest winners, according to Hu You, a senior research analyst at iFast Financial in Singapore, who also flagged chip package substrate maker Ibiden and memory maker Kioxia Holdings. The yen traded around 157.28 per dollar in Tokyo after a four-day losing streak, its longest since late August, keeping traders alert to intervention risk following the Bank of Japan's Friday rate hike and its signal that further tightening remains possible. The BOJ move, which disappointed yen traders for its lack of clearer guidance, also leaves bond traders facing a volatile reopen, with iFast's Hu You saying the hike sets a higher floor for short-term rates and is fundamentally negative for front-end JGB prices. The global AI trade has gathered steam on early signs of success for Meta Platforms' new AI agent and Alibaba Group Holding's unveiling of what it calls China's most powerful AI chip, though overnight weakness in US equities and rising oil prices may temper the optimism.
6857.JP · Demand · Positive Named as a chip-equipment maker expected to be among the biggest winners as Japanese stocks catch up with the global AI rally.
285A.JP · Demand · Positive Flagged by iFast analyst as a memory maker expected to benefit from the AI-led rally.
4062.JP · Demand · Positive Flagged by iFast analyst as a chip package substrate maker expected to be among the biggest winners in the AI-led rally.