Nippon Steel Corporation operates in steelmaking and steel fabrication, engineering and construction, chemicals and materials, and system solutions in Japan and internationally. Its Steelmaking and Steel Fabrication segment manufactures and sells steel products. The Engineering and Construction segment designs, builds, and maintains plants, facilities, energy pipelines, water facilities, industrial machinery, buildings, and steel structures, and also engages in waste treatment, recycling, and electricity, gas, and heat supply. The Chemicals and Materials segment produces coal-based chemicals, petrochemicals, electronic materials, semiconductor and electronic components, carbon fiber and composites, and metal-processing products. The System Solutions segment offers computer system engineering, consulting, and IT-enabled outsourcing. The company also supplies steel plates, sheets, slags, structural steels, pipes and tubes, railway, automotive, and machinery parts, titanium, and stainless and electrical steel sheets for automotive, construction, energy, railway and shipping, and consumer electronics applications. Formerly known as Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corporation, it changed its name to Nippon Steel Corporation in April 2019. Incorporated in 1950, it is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
US Steel turnaround lifts profit forecast; Toyota price hike adds domestic boost
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US Steel drives profit swing and forecast raise Nippon Steel swung to a 7.52 billion yen net profit in April–June, helped by US Steel, and raised its full-year net profit forecast by 70 billion yen to 290 billion yen. US Steel is now the group's top earner, with its operating profit outlook lifted to 180 billion yen or more. This directly boosts expected earnings and supports the share price.
This is the core new financial event that changes the company's earnings outlook and is the main reason the stock is moving.
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Toyota agrees to first steel price hike in four years Toyota and Nippon Steel agreed to raise steel prices by about 12,000 yen per ton from October, the first increase in four years. Because Toyota's price deal sets a benchmark for other industries, this signals better domestic pricing power and higher revenue ahead, lifting profit expectations.
This is a new pricing event that directly improves Nippon Steel's domestic revenue and profitability outlook.
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Defense Ministry buys former Kure steel site Nippon Steel signed a contract to sell its former Setouchi Works site in Kure, about 140 hectares, to Japan's Defense Ministry for a multi-purpose defense base. The land sale brings in cash and removes an idle asset, strengthening the balance sheet and funding other priorities.
This is a new asset sale that improves capital efficiency and provides a one-time cash inflow.
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US tariffs remain a risk to US Steel investment Nippon Steel's chairman called new U.S. tariffs unreasonable and a major blow to global manufacturing, noting they affect the company's over 2 trillion yen investment in US Steel. While the tariffs are not new, they remain a real counterweight that could pressure US Steel's earnings and the overall profit recovery.
This is the main negative force that could offset the positive US Steel earnings story and is important for a fair picture.
Q3 2026
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US Steel turnaround lifts profit forecast; Toyota price hike adds domestic boost
▲
US Steel drives profit swing and forecast raise Nippon Steel swung to a 7.52 billion yen net profit in April–June, helped by US Steel, and raised its full-year net profit forecast by 70 billion yen to 290 billion yen. US Steel is now the group's top earner, with its operating profit outlook lifted to 180 billion yen or more. This directly boosts expected earnings and supports the share price.
This is the core new financial event that changes the company's earnings outlook and is the main reason the stock is moving.
▲
Toyota agrees to first steel price hike in four years Toyota and Nippon Steel agreed to raise steel prices by about 12,000 yen per ton from October, the first increase in four years. Because Toyota's price deal sets a benchmark for other industries, this signals better domestic pricing power and higher revenue ahead, lifting profit expectations.
This is a new pricing event that directly improves Nippon Steel's domestic revenue and profitability outlook.
▲
Defense Ministry buys former Kure steel site Nippon Steel signed a contract to sell its former Setouchi Works site in Kure, about 140 hectares, to Japan's Defense Ministry for a multi-purpose defense base. The land sale brings in cash and removes an idle asset, strengthening the balance sheet and funding other priorities.
This is a new asset sale that improves capital efficiency and provides a one-time cash inflow.
▼
US tariffs remain a risk to US Steel investment Nippon Steel's chairman called new U.S. tariffs unreasonable and a major blow to global manufacturing, noting they affect the company's over 2 trillion yen investment in US Steel. While the tariffs are not new, they remain a real counterweight that could pressure US Steel's earnings and the overall profit recovery.
This is the main negative force that could offset the positive US Steel earnings story and is important for a fair picture.
News & notes moving5401.JP
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Critical Materials & Supply Chain
Kanadevia and Nippon Steel Engineering End Merger Talks
Kanadevia and Nippon Steel Engineering, a subsidiary of Nippon Steel, announced on the 29th that they are ending talks on a business integration that the two companies had been pursuing. The two companies explained that they had reached the view that it would be difficult to find agreement on the conditions for the integration, and the merger has fallen through. Kanadevia is the former Hitachi Zosen, and Nippon Steel Engineering is headquartered in Tokyo.
Nippon Steel to invest 900 million euros in Slovakian site, building electric furnace and more
Nippon Steel announced on the 16th that it will invest approximately 900 million euros, or about 161 billion yen, in building an electric arc furnace and other facilities at its steel plant in Kosice, Slovakia. The company will install an electric furnace and an oxygen plant at the steelworks of US Steel Kosice, a subsidiary of US Steel. The electric furnace will have an annual production capacity of about 1.6 million tons and is scheduled to begin operation in 2030, while the oxygen plant is slated to start up in 2029. For this investment, a subsidy agreement has been signed with the Slovak government, and a total of 350 million euros in subsidies will be provided from the European Union's Modernisation Fund through the Slovak government. USSK became a direct subsidiary of Nippon Steel as of October 1 and will change its name to Nippon Steel Slovakia.
5401.JP · Capital · Positive Nippon Steel invests ~€900M in an electric arc furnace and oxygen plant at its Slovakian steelworks, with €350M in EU/Slovak subsidies.
Most Trump Administration Equity Stakes Fall Below Post-Deal Prices, Yahoo Finance Analysis Finds
A Yahoo Finance analysis has found that 14 of the 17 public companies that accepted government involvement ended this past week with share prices lower than the day after their deals with the Trump administration were announced. The pattern has been a significant bump around the formal announcement, high volatility afterward, and then gains given back almost as quickly as they came, with USA Rare Earth jumping over 80% in five trading days around its January deal announcement before giving up all those gains and more, ending Monday at $15.71 per share, far below post-deal highs above $30. Returns for 11 of the 17 companies, measured against 10 trading days before the formal announcement, are also lower now, and the negative returns are even more pronounced given that two of the three gainers are Intel and Nippon Steel, which gave the government a golden share with outsized voting rights but not an equity stake, while the third is MP Materials, which secured a deal in July 2025. The administration has taken stakes in more than 30 companies, recently adding its 32nd, a privately held oil driller called North American Blue Energy Partners that obtained 100-year leases on land in Venezuela holding an estimated 65 billion barrels of oil, and the portfolio now spans quantum computing, semiconductors, oil drilling, steel, nuclear energy, and rare earth mineral companies. Cato Institute policy analyst Tad DeHaven, who has studied the government stakes, said it certainly looks like a sugar high, adding that there looks to be a short-term benefit but that in the long term it comes down to fundamentals. The government's stake in Intel has jumped from an estimated $8.9 billion when the deal was struck to more than $50 billion today, with Intel stock closing Monday at $97.19, down over 5% on the day but still more than quadruple its price in August 2025 just before the deal was announced.
INTC · Capital · Neutral Government equity stake in Intel has surged in value to over $50B, though the stock closed down Monday at $97.19.
USAR · Capital · Negative USA Rare Earth jumped over 80% around its January deal announcement but gave up all gains and more, ending at $15.71 versus post-deal highs above $30.
MP · Capital · Neutral MP Materials is one of only three gainers among the 17 government-stake companies, having secured a deal in July 2025.
5401.JP · Capital · Neutral Nippon Steel is cited as a gainer but gave the government a golden share with outsized voting rights rather than an equity stake.
Defense Ministry to Acquire Former Nippon Steel Site in Kure for Multi-Purpose Base
On the 28th, the Defense Ministry signed a contract with Nippon Steel to acquire the former site of its Setouchi Works in Kure, Hiroshima Prefecture. The land to be acquired covers approximately 140 hectares, where the ministry will develop a "multi-functional integrated defense base" featuring Self-Defense Force offices and barracks, defense equipment manufacturing facilities, supply depots, and a heliport. The ministry will soon begin soliciting companies to operate within the base for equipment manufacturing, maintenance and repair, and research and development. Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi stated at a press conference, "The Kure area is an extremely important region for security, hosting a major Maritime Self-Defense Force base. We aim to use this to fundamentally strengthen our defense capabilities."
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Naval Systems & Shipbuilding ▲Supply
5401.JP · Capital · Positive Nippon Steel signed a contract to sell its former Setouchi Works site in Kure to the Defense Ministry, a land disposal deal.
Toyota, Nippon Steel Agree on Steel Price Hike, First in 4 Years from October
Toyota Motor has agreed with Nippon Steel to raise the purchase price of steel used in car bodies and other parts starting in October. The increase is about 12,000 yen per ton compared to the first half of the fiscal year (April-September), marking the first hike in four years. Toyota negotiates steel prices twice a year, in principle, for the first and second halves, and prices were kept unchanged in the first half of this fiscal year. Since Toyota procures steel for its affiliated parts makers in bulk, its influence is significant, and the revision with Nippon Steel, the largest steelmaker, is called the "champion negotiation," which is expected to have ripple effects on the electrical machinery and shipbuilding industries as well.
5401.JP · Pricing · Positive Nippon Steel agreed with Toyota to raise steel prices by about 12,000 yen per ton from October, its first hike in four years.
7203.JP · Supply · Negative Toyota agreed to pay Nippon Steel about 12,000 yen more per ton of steel from October, raising its input costs.
Nippon Steel Raises Net Profit Forecast to 290 Billion Yen
Nippon Steel returned to profitability in the first quarter of fiscal year ending March 2027 and revised up its full-year net profit forecast to 290 billion yen, from 220 billion yen previously. While the steel segment accounts for over 90% of revenue, overseas operations, particularly U.S. Steel, performed well. The company maintained its full-year underlying consolidated operating profit forecast at 700 billion yen or more, with a 90 billion yen downward revision in domestic operations offset by a 90 billion yen upward revision in overseas operations. The underlying operating profit forecast for U.S. Steel was raised to 180 billion yen or more, from 100 billion yen or more, supported by demand capture from rising U.S. market conditions, contributing 60 billion yen, and improvement efforts such as engineer dispatch, contributing 20 billion yen. Meanwhile, domestic operations continue to struggle due to higher raw material and fuel costs and Middle East tensions. At the Nagoya Works, a next-generation hot rolling line was completed to shift toward high-grade steel products.
5401.JP · Capital · Positive Nippon Steel raised its full-year net profit forecast to 290 billion yen from 220 billion yen, driven by strong overseas performance, especially U.S. Steel.
Nippon Steel Investment Rating Raised to Buy, US Steel Turns Profitable
Rakuten Securities analyst Masayuki Kubota has raised the investment rating on Nippon Steel from Hold to Buy. In the April to June 2026 quarter, business profit rose 58.1 percent year-on-year to 145.5 billion yen, and consolidated net profit swung to a 75.2 billion yen surplus, with the acquired US Steel making a significant contribution. Full-year business profit guidance has been revised upward from 530 billion yen to 630 billion yen, and net profit guidance from 220 billion yen to 290 billion yen, with US Steel expected to contribute 180 billion yen in business profit for the full year. In addition to the stock's attractive valuation at 0.64 times price-to-book ratio, the smooth start of the US growth strategy through the US Steel acquisition was also cited as a positive factor.
Nippon Steel swings to 7.52 billion yen net profit in April–June quarter, helped by US Steel
Nippon Steel reported a consolidated net profit of 7.52 billion yen for the April–June quarter of 2026, swinging from a 195.8 billion yen loss a year earlier. The acquisition of major US steelmaker US Steel in June 2025 contributed to earnings, offsetting a struggling domestic business hit by cost increases from Middle East tensions. Revenue rose 40.4 percent year on year to 2.8211 trillion yen. Senior Managing Executive Officer Naohiko Iwai stressed that US Steel has become the group's top earner, and explained that progress in cost cuts through the dispatch of engineers from Nippon Steel and rising US steel market conditions helped improve profitability.
U.S. government invested $27 billion in corporate stakes with no consolidated public ledger
The Trump administration has invested roughly $26.7 billion across 30 equity or quasi-equity deals, yet no consolidated public ledger of the holdings exists. The stakes are scattered across at least four agencies—Commerce, Defense, the Development Finance Corporation, and Energy—with only the Development Finance Corporation having clear statutory authority to own equity. The largest holding is a 9.9% stake in Intel, now worth $42 billion, while other investments include $400 million in rare-earth miner MP Materials and a golden share in U.S. Steel. The most complete public accounting is maintained by the Council on Foreign Relations, whose senior fellow Jonathan Hillman said the announced deals are only the tip of the iceberg. Federal budget rules treat equity purchases as outlays with little mechanism for recognizing returns, meaning the Intel position's rise from $8.9 billion to $42 billion appears in no budget document.
INTC · Capital · Positive U.S. government holds a 9.9% stake in Intel, now worth $42 billion, indicating significant government backing and financial interest.
MP · Capital · Positive U.S. government invested $400 million in MP Materials, signaling government support for rare-earth mining.
United States Steel Corporation · Regulation · Neutral U.S. government holds a golden share in U.S. Steel, which could influence corporate control, but impact is unclear.
5401.JP · Regulation · Neutral Article mentions a golden share in U.S. Steel, which could affect Nippon Steel's potential acquisition, but no direct impact stated.
Business Leaders Voice Concerns Over Trump Administration's New Tariffs
Japanese business leaders have voiced a series of concerns over the new tariff measures on Japan announced by the U.S. government, citing the impact on the global economy and the lack of predictability. Nippon Steel Chairman Eiji Hashimoto expressed dissatisfaction regarding the company's investment plan of over 2 trillion yen in the acquired U.S. Steel, calling the tariffs somewhat unreasonable and a major blow to global manufacturing. The new tariffs replace a temporary measure that was invalidated by a court ruling on reciprocal tariffs, and they apply a maximum total rate of 12.5 percent when combined with existing tariffs, citing deficiencies in the ban on imports of forced-labor products. Fujitsu President Takahito Tokita pointed out that policies are constantly changing and stressed the need to build resilience to adapt to such changes. Hitachi Chairman Toshiaki Higashihara said there would be no major impact due to the company's region-specific supply chains, while Sumitomo Corporation Chairman Masayuki Hyodo commented on the 550 billion dollar Japan-U.S. investment agreement, stating that it is the role of the business community to ensure it benefits both countries.
High-dividend stocks with September record dates: Oji Holdings, UBE, and Nippon Steel
Three high-dividend stocks with September record dates were highlighted: Oji Holdings, UBE, and Nippon Steel. Oji Holdings is one of Japan's largest paper manufacturers, with solid demand for cardboard boxes driven by e-commerce growth, drawing attention as a high-dividend stock. UBE is a comprehensive materials manufacturer centered on chemicals, and is proactive in shareholder returns. Nippon Steel is Japan's largest steelmaker, showing a stance of strengthening shareholder returns in line with profit growth. All are companies that support Japan's manufacturing sector, and are said to be suitable for those who want to enjoy investing while keeping an eye on global economic trends.
Rating Daily: Nomura, Goldman Sachs, and Tokai Tokyo Maintain Top Ratings on Eight Stocks
On July 8, multiple research firms maintained their top investment ratings. Nomura Securities kept its Buy rating on PERSOL Holdings and Nippon Steel, while lowering their target prices from 430 yen to 380 yen and from 740 yen to 720 yen, respectively. Goldman Sachs Securities maintained its Buy rating on Furukawa Electric, Fujikura, and SWCC, cutting their target prices from 7,600 yen to 7,200 yen, from 7,600 yen to 7,500 yen, and from 17,500 yen to 16,200 yen, respectively. Tokai Tokyo Research Center kept its Bullish rating on Kyokuto Kaihatsu Kogyo, Mitsui & Co., and GENDA, reducing their target prices from 4,200 yen to 3,250 yen, from 7,800 yen to 7,000 yen, and from 930 yen to 900 yen, respectively.
NSSOL Public Shareholders Back Proposals to Prohibit and Disclose Deposits with Nippon Steel
At NS Solutions Corporation's 46th Annual General Meeting on June 19, 2026, two shareholder proposals seeking to prohibit and require greater transparency regarding the company's deposits with parent Nippon Steel Corporation received affirmative votes from approximately 60% of public shareholders. Proposal No. 2, to amend the Articles of Incorporation to prohibit such deposits, garnered 59.8% support, while Proposal No. 3, mandating disclosure of deposit terms and review policies, received 60.9% support, based on voting results disclosed in an Extraordinary Report filed on June 23. 3D Investment Partners, the largest minority shareholder, stated that these results clearly demonstrate public shareholders' concerns that the deposits impair corporate value and their call for withdrawal and transparent verification. 3D has issued an open letter requesting a meeting with NSSOL's Outside Directors to discuss the Board's response to this shareholder feedback.
2327.JP · Capital · Negative Majority of public shareholders voted to prohibit and disclose deposits with parent, signaling governance concerns and potential financial impact.
3D Investment Partners · Capital · Positive 3D Investment Partners' proposals gained majority support, strengthening its activist position and influence.
5401.JP · Regulation · Negative Shareholder proposals target deposits with Nippon Steel, potentially restricting its access to subsidiary funds.
Nippon Steel sees strong American market lifting US Steel earnings
Nippon Steel Vice Chairman Takahiro Mori said the company expects the American market to remain buoyant, supported by import tariffs and resilient demand, which could lift earnings at U.S. Steel beyond current forecasts. Mori expressed confidence that U.S. Steel will post profits in excess of 100 billion yen this year, with the strong market outlook through 2027 suggesting additional upside, and said U.S. Steel would generate an annual profit of 300 billion yen to 400 billion yen in the long run. He described U.S. conditions as highly favourable, with hot-rolled steel sheet prices above $1,200 per metric ton, more than double the level in Asia, and noted that U.S. Steel resumed an idled Illinois blast furnace in March and is now running it at full capacity. About 100 Nippon Steel staff seconded from Japan are working on 260 operational improvement initiatives, and U.S. Steel's board has already approved roughly one-third of the $11 billion investment package pledged by Nippon Steel through 2028, with returns expected to grow to $3 billion a year by 2035. Mori acknowledged risks from inflation-driven cost pressures and labour shortages but said the U.S. government has not intervened in management decisions since the deal closed, and he added that Nippon Steel aims to lift overseas profit to more than 500 billion yen by 2030, nearly five times fiscal 2025 levels.
United States Steel Corporation · Demand · Positive U.S. Steel is expected to post profits above 100 billion yen this year, with long-term profit of 300-400 billion yen, driven by buoyant US demand and tariffs.
5401.JP · Demand · Positive Nippon Steel expects strong US market and higher earnings from U.S. Steel, boosting its own overseas profit target.