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Japan

Asia's most established market, known for world-class industrial and automotive names like Toyota and Sony. A mature, export-driven economy famous for quality manufacturing and robotics.

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Why is Japan moving?

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AI funding doubts and Nidec fraud hit Japan; shipping and LNG offer a counterweight

  • AI financing doubts hit SoftBank and chip stocks Warnings that AI funding could dry up, OpenAI's training pause and SoftBank's record $11.1bn high-yield bond sale at 9.75% yields knocked SoftBank and Kioxia. Japan's AI-linked chip and component makers depend on this spending, so any funding gap would hit them hard.

    The biggest force moving Japan's AI-linked stocks this period is doubt about whether the money funding the boom keeps flowing.

  • Nidec's accounting fraud triggers huge loss and audit failure Nidec will book a ¥632bn impairment and a ¥564.6bn net loss for the year to March 2026, far worse than forecast, after accounting and quality misconduct. PwC Japan refused to give an audit opinion, and the president resigned. This damages trust in a major Japanese manufacturer.

    A single company's fraud and audit failure is a new, concrete blow to confidence in Japan's corporate governance.

  • Shipping and LNG deals give Japan a non-AI growth story Asian shipping stocks rose about 17% this quarter as freight rates surged on Middle East rerouting, lifting Mitsui OSK Lines. Mitsubishi Corp will invest ¥500bn in LNG Canada Phase 2, with JGC winning the engineering contract. These give Japan earnings beyond AI.

    It shows a real counterweight to the AI slump: money rotating into shipping and energy, where Japanese firms are big players.

  • JERA's $15bn AI data centre anchors power and chip demand JERA, owned by Tokyo Electric and Chubu Electric, will build one of Japan's largest AI data centres at its Chiba power plant, costing about $15bn and running around 2028, with Dell and Realm as partners. It locks in long-term power and equipment demand.

    It is a new, large commitment showing Japan is building the physical AI infrastructure, not just supplying parts.

Q3 2026
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AI demand drove Japan Q3, but risks tested the rally

  • AI demand lifted chip and tech names Murata, Taiyo Yuden, Kioxia and SoftBank posted record orders, earnings, buybacks and investment as AI demand boosted chips, components and infrastructure. Crypto reclassification and moves into defence, shipping, LNG and robotics added momentum.

    This is the main positive force behind Japan's Q3 market gains.

  • AI spending doubts and China threats hit suppliers Global doubts about AI spending caused sharp selloffs. China's chip advances and rare-earth restrictions threatened Japanese suppliers, while oil above $100 pressured consumers and automakers.

    These were the key negative forces that created volatility and weighed on market sentiment.

  • Earthquake, tariffs and yen intervention hurt exporters The Kumamoto earthquake disrupted production. US and Canadian tariffs hit Toyota and Honda, and yen intervention squeezed exporters, adding to pressure on Japan's key manufacturing sector.

    These shocks directly hit major exporters and disrupted production, a major drag on the market.

  • Financing doubts, BOJ hike and Nidec fraud damaged confidence Financing doubts, the BOJ's rate hike and Nidec's accounting fraud damaged confidence, leaving the market vulnerable despite strong AI-led growth.

    These events undermined investor trust and capped the market's upside.

News moving Japan
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Japan▲

Rocket Lab Wins Synspective's Record 20-Launch Electron Contract

Rocket Lab Corporation announced a multi-year agreement to launch 20 new Electron missions from Launch Complex 1 for Synspective, carrying StriX synthetic aperture radar satellites to sun-synchronous orbit annually from 2028 through 2031. The contract is the largest commercial launch deal for Electron so far and lifts Rocket Lab's backlog above 100 missions, deepening its role in building Synspective's global Earth-imaging constellation. The deal reinforces Electron's position as a high-cadence small-launch workhorse and slightly reduces near-term lumpiness risk in the launch book, though the key near-term catalyst and risk remain Neutron test progress and ongoing cash burn. Rocket Lab's US$1.944 billion equity raise to fund the pending Iridium acquisition shows management leaning on the balance sheet to expand into higher-value space systems and communications, amplifying the benefits of large multi-year contracts like Synspective's while raising the stakes around dilution and execution. Analysts had already modeled revenue near US$2.2 billion and earnings around US$365 million by 2029 on the optimistic side, against a more cautious consensus that treats cash burn and contract lumpiness as core risks.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Launch Services & Propulsion ▲Demand
RKLB · Demand · Positive Wins largest commercial Electron contract, 20 Synspective launches lifting backlog above 100 missions.
RKLB · Capital · Neutral US$1.944B equity raise to fund Iridium acquisition raises dilution and cash-burn stakes.
290A.JP · Demand · Positive Secures 20 Electron launches from 2028-2031 to build out its StriX Earth-imaging constellation.
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Trump Tariffs Deliver Mixed Results for US Auto Industry, Analysts Say

President Donald Trump's aggressive trade policy has produced a mixed bag for American auto manufacturing, with analysts describing the gains as incremental rather than decisive. Since Trump returned to the White House, General Motors, Toyota, Ford and other carmakers have announced plans to expand US plants or shift production from overseas, navigating measures such as a 25-percent levy on imported autos. Toyota announced a $3.6 billion expansion of a San Antonio plant as it moves Tacoma pickup production from Mexico to San Antonio, while GM's $4 billion investments in Michigan, Kansas and Tennessee are not expected to lift US auto production until around 2030. Stephanie Brinley, an automotive analyst at Mobility Global, called the lift from Trump's tariffs a partial win, and industry experts view the unsettled nature of the trade measures as a hindrance to bigger wins, most recently in the dust-up between the United States and Canada that has clouded the prospects of the USMCA. Investment by auto suppliers plunged from more than $8 billion in the first quarter of 2025 to around $600 million in the two subsequent quarters before recovering somewhat, according to data from the Center for Automotive Research, whose industry economist Tyler Harp said suppliers are more exposed to tariffs and less able to absorb them than automakers. US auto employment stood at just under 1.8 million workers in September, almost one percent more than in January 2025 but more than two percent below the July 2024 peak, and Global Mobility projects US car production will be 10 million vehicles in 2026, rising to around 11.3 million in 2030.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Regulation
7203.JP · Tariff · Positive Toyota announced a $3.6 billion expansion of its San Antonio plant and is moving Tacoma pickup production from Mexico to San Antonio to navigate the 25% import levy.
GM · Tariff · Neutral GM's $4 billion US investments in Michigan, Kansas and Tennessee are cited as a response to Trump's auto tariffs, but the article notes they won't lift US production until around 2030.
F · Tariff · Neutral Ford is named among carmakers expanding US plants or shifting production in response to the 25% auto import levy, but no specific Ford investment or outcome is detailed.
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Japan▲

Behind Metaplanet's securities acquisition, FSA support for stablecoin pilot, and 3 more stories

Metaplanet acquired former Siiibo Securities, which handles privately placed corporate bonds, for 210 million yen and changed its name to Metaplanet Securities in July; the subsidiary securities firm recounted the two months leading up to the acquisition. On September 29, the Financial Services Agency announced it would support a pilot program using stablecoins for trade settlement, with six companies participating: TradeWaltz, NTT Data, Mizuho Bank, MUFG Bank, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, and Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking. On September 28, Coinbase announced on X that it will soon offer a service allowing users to open Pokémon card packs on smartphones. On October 2, Metaplanet corrected a total of four documents including previously filed annual securities reports, revising a statement that CEO Simon Gerovich indirectly holds a majority of voting rights in shareholder MMXX Ventures Limited to clarify that he does not hold a majority. On September 30, KDDI, au Coincheck Digital Assets, and HashPort announced they will begin offering the crypto asset wallet αU wallet as a mini app within the au PAY app.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure ▲Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails ▲Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Bitcoin / Crypto Treasury & Store-of-Value Proxies Regulation
3350.JP · Capital · Neutral Metaplanet acquired Siiibo Securities for 210 million yen and renamed it Metaplanet Securities, an M&A event.
3350.JP · Regulation · Negative Metaplanet corrected four documents, including annual securities reports, over a misstated CEO voting-rights disclosure.
9433.JP · Technology · Positive KDDI, with au Coincheck and HashPort, will offer the αU wallet as a mini app inside the au PAY app.
au Coincheck Digital Assets · Technology · Positive au Coincheck Digital Assets will offer the αU wallet crypto asset wallet as a mini app inside the au PAY app.
HashPort Group Inc. · Technology · Positive HashPort will launch the αU wallet crypto asset wallet as a mini app within the au PAY app.
8316.JP · Regulation · Positive MUFG Bank, part of the group, is one of six companies participating in the FSA-backed stablecoin trade-settlement pilot.
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Japan▲impact 4

UBS: AI Investment Delivers Outsized Multiplier Effect on US Business Spending

AI-related investment is generating unusually large spillover effects across the U.S. economy, according to UBS research, with every 1 percentage-point contribution to growth from AI-related investment generating about 1.46 percentage points of investment growth in the following quarter. UBS economist Arend Kapteyn said in a Sept. 25 research note that AI-related technology investment is growing about 30% year over year, while other business fixed investment has risen just 0.8% and residential investment has contracted 3.8%. Of the 1.46 percentage points, 0.46 percentage points comes from continued investment within AI-related categories, 0.30 percentage points through software and research and development, and 0.69 percentage points through other sectors. UBS defines its AI investment proxy across five national accounts categories — electrical transmission and distribution equipment, special industry machinery, computers and peripherals, communications equipment and data centres — which together account for roughly 18% of non-residential fixed investment and about 2.5% of GDP. The spillover is particularly visible in industries supplying data-centre infrastructure, including gas turbines, electricity infrastructure and utilities, and UBS also pointed to less obvious beneficiaries such as Japan's TOTO, whose electrostatic chucks for semiconductor production now account for more than half of the company's profits. The multiplier effect has strengthened over time, with the estimated contribution from a 1 percentage-point increase in AI-related capital expenditure rising from 88 basis points in 1980 to 106 basis points in 2000 and 146 basis points by June 2026.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Demand
5332.JP · Demand · Positive UBS names TOTO as a beneficiary, with its electrostatic chucks for semiconductor production now over half of company profits amid AI-driven data-centre investment.
NVDA · Demand · Positive UBS research shows AI-related tech investment growing ~30% YoY with strong spillovers, implying continued demand for AI compute/chips like NVIDIA's.
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Japan▲

Trump Administration Picks 10 Drugmakers for New 340B Rebate Pilot

The Trump administration has selected 10 companies, including AbbVie, Amgen, Pfizer, and GSK, for a new pilot program that tests a rebate model for drugs purchased under a federal program benefiting uninsured and low-income patients. The 340B Rebate Model Pilot takes effect on January 1 and allows the selected manufacturers to verify and pay rebates for 21 discounted drugs purchased under the government's 340B drug pricing program, rather than offering savings upfront as under the current discount model. The participating drugmakers are AbbVie, Amgen, Astellas, AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers, GSK, Merck, Pfizer, and Teva. The Health Resources and Services Administration, the HHS unit overseeing the program, said the approach helps address compliance concerns proactively rather than relying primarily on retrospective reviews, audits, and dispute resolution processes. The pilot marks the Trump administration's second attempt to overhaul the decades-old drug discount program, after a federal judge blocked HRSA's first 340B rebate pilot following a case brought by hospital groups last year.
About megatrends
Aging Population › Chronic-Disease Pharma Franchises Regulation
4503.JP · Regulation · Positive Astellas is one of the selected manufacturers participating in the 340B rebate pilot program.
ABBV · Regulation · Positive AbbVie is one of 10 selected manufacturers in the new 340B rebate pilot, allowing it to pay rebates after purchase rather than upfront discounts.
AMGN · Regulation · Positive Amgen is selected for the 340B Rebate Model Pilot, shifting it to a post-purchase rebate model for discounted drugs.
AZN.LSE · Regulation · Positive AstraZeneca is selected for the 340B rebate pilot, letting it verify and pay rebates rather than give upfront discounts.
BMY · Regulation · Positive Bristol Myers is among the 10 drugmakers chosen for the administration's 340B rebate pilot taking effect January 1.
GSK.LSE · Regulation · Positive GSK is named among the 10 drugmakers in the new 340B rebate model pilot taking effect January 1.
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Japan▲

Meta Unveils Petal Subsea Cable Linking US and France

Meta announced Petal on Sept. 21, a roughly 4,300-mile subsea cable connecting the U.S. and France that is expected to enter service in 2029 and will be the first to deliver petabit-scale capacity across an ocean. The cable will carry 1 petabit per second, or about 125,000 gigabytes per second, double what today's most advanced transoceanic cables can handle, using two-core fiber that fits two light paths inside each strand. Petal is one piece of a much larger seafloor empire: Meta says it has invested in more than 20 subsea cable projects touching every continent except Antarctica, led by Project Waterworth, announced in February 2025, which will stretch more than 31,000 miles and connect the U.S., Brazil, South Africa, India, and other regions across five continents. Petal is being developed with Japan's NEC and Sumitomo Electric Industries, with French telecom Orange handling the landing on France's Atlantic coast, while Waterworth will be wholly owned by Meta, only its third solely owned cable according to telecom research firm TeleGeography. Meta has not disclosed what Petal or Waterworth will cost, but TechCrunch reported before Waterworth's announcement that the project could top $10 billion, a small slice of the company's expected capital expenditures of $130 billion to $145 billion this year, nearly double the $72.2 billion it spent in 2025.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Telecom Towers, Fiber & Colocation ▼Supply
Artificial Intelligence › Optical Interconnect & DCI ▲Supply
META · Capital · Positive Meta unveils Petal subsea cable and continues massive subsea infrastructure investment, part of its $130-145B capex program.
5802.JP · Demand · Positive Sumitomo Electric is named as a developer partner for Meta's Petal subsea cable, winning project work.
6701.JP · Demand · Positive NEC is named as a developer partner for Meta's Petal subsea cable, winning project work.
ORA.PA · Demand · Positive Orange is handling the French landing of Meta's Petal subsea cable, gaining a role in the project.
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Japanimpact 4

AstraZeneca Invests $2 Billion in Summit Therapeutics for Ivonescimab Trials

AstraZeneca PLC, Daiichi Sankyo and Summit Therapeutics announced clinical collaboration agreements to test ivonescimab in combination with Datroway and sonesitatug vedotin across multiple tumour types, starting with a planned Phase III trial in first-line triple-negative breast cancer and gastrointestinal cancer. AstraZeneca's approximately US$2.00 billion equity investment via convertible preferred stock, alongside the co-funded oncology trials, prices the preferred stock at an implied US$18.36 per common share and targets roughly a 12% ownership stake in Summit. All parties retain full rights to their respective medicines. The investment strengthens Summit's funding and combination profile ahead of the HARMONi and HARMONi-3 readouts, though the U.S. FDA decision on the HARMONi BLA remains the key near-term catalyst and central source of risk. Summit's narrative projects $1.3 billion revenue and $223.0 million earnings by 2029, while some optimistic analysts model about US$2.7 billion of revenue and nearly US$289 million of earnings by 2029.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Oncology Therapeutics ▲Capital
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Immuno-Oncology / Checkpoint ▲Capital
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADC) ▲Capital
AZN.LSE · Capital · Positive AstraZeneca makes a ~$2.00 billion equity investment in Summit via convertible preferred stock and co-funds ivonescimab combination trials.
4568.JP · Technology · Neutral Daiichi Sankyo is a party to the clinical collaboration testing ivonescimab with its Datroway and sonesitatug vedotin, but no financial or efficacy outcome is disclosed.
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Japan
Japan▲

Three Tohoku regional banks enter merger talks as cross-prefecture consolidation accelerates

Aomori Michinoku Bank, Iwate Bank and Akita Bank have decided to enter talks toward a management integration. The move comes as a shrinking population, the burden of system investment tied to the spread of artificial intelligence, and intensifying competition to win deposits and borrowers in an era of positive interest rates all weigh on their businesses. Cross-prefecture realignments are multiplying across the country: Fourth North Financial Group, which is based in Niigata Prefecture, and Gunma Bank plan to integrate in 2027, while Shizuoka Financial Group and Nagoya Bank aim to merge around 2028. The emergence of cutting-edge AI models, which has heightened the need to defend against cyberattacks, is also spurring consolidation. Keitaro Ishikawa, president of Aomori Michinoku Bank, said at a news conference on the second that going it alone feels like an extremely heavy burden. Still, Aomori Michinoku Bank was itself only created in January last year through the merger of Aomori Bank and Michinoku Bank, once rival regional lenders within the prefecture, and voices in the industry said they hope the talks do not end up like those between Aichi Financial Group and Sanju Financial Group, which broke down almost immediately.
8343.JP · Capital · Positive Akita Bank is entering talks toward a management integration with Aomori Michinoku and Iwate Bank.
Aomori Michinoku Bank, Ltd. · Capital · Positive Aomori Michinoku Bank is entering merger talks, with its president citing the heavy burden of going it alone.
8345.JP · · Neutral Iwate Bank is one of the three Tohoku banks entering merger talks; outcome and terms unclear.
7327.JP · · Neutral Fourth North Financial Group (Daishi Hokuetsu) is cited as planning integration with Gunma Bank in 2027.
8334.JP · · Neutral Gunma Bank is named as planning to integrate with Fourth North Financial Group in 2027.
8522.JP · · Neutral Nagoya Bank is named as planning to merge with Shizuoka Financial Group around 2028, part of the consolidation trend.
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Japan▲impact 4

Tesla Deliveries Beat Estimates as Broadcom Backs Anthropic With $42 Billion Loan

Tesla shares rose 5% after the electric vehicle maker reported third-quarter deliveries of 486,532 vehicles, above the 461,100 units expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Broadcom rose more than 3% after Reuters reported it agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to finance infrastructure purchases, with investment banks seeking to raise $42 billion of Class A senior secured debt and $18 billion in Class B debt, according to Bloomberg. Nike fell almost 6% after its fiscal first-quarter revenue missed analyst expectations, with a 4% slide in sales tied to declines in China and plans to lay off staff in 2027. Synaptics surged 14% and ON Semiconductor rose more than 5% after ON Semi revised its buyout offer for Synaptics to $123 a share, or $5.7 billion. Seagate and Western Digital each tumbled 13% following a Nikkei report that Japan's Toshiba will double its hard disk drive production capacity for data centers and invest $380 million to expand facilities in the Philippines.
AVGO · Capital · Positive Broadcom agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to finance infrastructure purchases, a major financing deal.
NKE · Demand · Negative Nike's fiscal Q1 revenue missed expectations with a 4% sales slide tied to declines in China.
ON · Capital · Positive ON Semiconductor revised its buyout offer for Synaptics to $123 a share, or $5.7 billion.
SYNA · Capital · Positive ON Semiconductor revised its buyout offer for Synaptics to $123 a share, or $5.7 billion.
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla reported Q3 deliveries of 486,532 vehicles, beating the 461,100 analyst estimate.
6588.JP · Supply · Positive Toshiba will double HDD production capacity for data centers and invest $380 million to expand Philippines facilities.
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JapanUnited States
Japan▲

Jefferies and SMBC Form Japan Joint Venture as SMBC Raises Stake to Nearly 20%

Jefferies Financial Group is expanding its partnership with Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation through a Japan-based joint venture expected to begin serving clients in January 2027, while SMBC has increased its equity ownership in Jefferies to almost 20%, making it the company's largest shareholder. The venture will combine SMBC and SMBC Nikko's domestic client coverage, equities, Equity Capital Markets, research and corporate access capabilities with Jefferies' global client network, sector expertise, trading technology and capital-markets capabilities, with the shared goal of building a leading institutional Japanese equities and ECM franchise. The partners will also jointly source and execute Japan-related cross-border mergers and acquisitions and ECM transactions. Jefferies said joint coverage of selected large sponsor clients began in 2024, and its M&A and ECM market share for those jointly covered clients increased more than fourfold, with the partners now expanding joint coverage to larger sponsors globally. Management expects the Japan joint venture to provide a template for other ways Jefferies and SMBC can work together globally, though the venture is not expected to launch until January 2027.
8316.JP · Capital · Positive SMBC increased its equity ownership in Jefferies to almost 20% and formed a Japan joint venture combining its domestic coverage with Jefferies' global network.
JEF · Capital · Positive SMBC raised its stake in Jefferies to nearly 20%, making it the largest shareholder, and formed a Japan joint venture expanding its capital-markets and M&A franchise.
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Japan
Japan▲

SMBC Nikko to Jointly Develop DeFi Platform for Domestic Investors with Uniswap, Base and Others

SMBC Nikko Securities and blockchain development company Nethermind announced on October 2 that they will jointly develop a DeFi platform for domestic investors. Uniswap Labs, Base, and the Nyx Foundation will also take part, aiming to build a usage environment compliant with laws and regulations. The development targets are a liquidity provision protocol and a proprietary liquidity pool called "DeFi Gateway," which will incorporate AI-driven asset management functions, anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing measures, and investor protection mechanisms, with completion scheduled for mid-2027. SMBC Nikko Securities will lead dialogue with regulators and provide expertise in compliance and risk management, while Nethermind will lead technical development, including AI and smart contract security. Uniswap Labs will support protocol integration, Base will support deployment on its network, and the Nyx Foundation will advise on market-making strategies and hook design.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure ▲Technology
8316.JP · Technology · Positive SMBC Nikko Securities, a Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group unit, is jointly developing the DeFi platform and will lead regulatory dialogue and compliance.
Nethermind · Technology · Positive Nethermind will lead technical development including AI and smart contract security for the DeFi platform.
UNI · Technology · Positive Uniswap Labs will support protocol integration in the joint DeFi platform development, expanding Uniswap's protocol reach into Japan.
Uniswap Labs · Technology · Positive Uniswap Labs will support protocol integration for the joint DeFi platform targeting domestic Japanese investors.
4481.JP · Technology · Positive Base will support deployment of the DeFi Gateway platform on its network, adding a new institutional deployment.
Nyx Foundation · Technology · Positive Nyx Foundation will advise on market-making strategies and hook design for the joint DeFi platform.
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United StatesChinaPhilippinesJapan
Japan▲

Nike Falls 10% on Revenue Miss; ON Semiconductor to Buy Synaptics for $123 a Share

Nike shares fell more than 10% in premarket trading after the company missed revenue expectations against LSEG consensus for its fiscal first quarter, reporting sales down 4% on declines in its China business and announcing plans to lay off staff in 2027. Synaptics shares jumped over 14% and ON Semiconductor shares rose more than 7% following reports that ON Semiconductor will acquire Synaptics for $123 per share in cash, a transaction now valued at $5.7 billion, down from the prior agreement of $7 billion. Nexalin Technology shares dropped over 18% premarket after the medical device company announced a 10-year distribution and manufacturing deal with Inovanexa Medical Technologies on Thursday, clearing its Nexalin Sync neurostimulation device for distribution across seven South American countries. Vylor shares gained slightly after the seeds and genetics company was added to the S&P 500 on Thursday, following its spinoff from Corteva, which will move to the S&P MidCap 400. Seagate Technology and Western Digital shares fell over 11% and 8% respectively after a Nikkei report that Toshiba will double its production capacity for data-center hard disk drives and invest $380 million to expand facilities in the Philippines.
NKE · Capital · Negative Nike missed revenue expectations and reported sales down 4% with China declines and planned layoffs.
ON · Capital · Positive ON Semiconductor will acquire Synaptics for $123 per share in cash, a $5.7 billion transaction.
SYNA · Capital · Positive Synaptics jumped over 14% on reports ON Semiconductor will acquire it for $123 per share in cash.
NXL · Regulation · Neutral Nexalin announced a 10-year distribution/manufacturing deal clearing its neurostimulation device for seven South American countries, yet shares dropped 18%.
WDC · Competition · Negative Toshiba will double data-center HDD production capacity, intensifying competition against Western Digital's HDD business.
6588.JP · Supply · Positive Toshiba is doubling data-center HDD production capacity and investing $380 million to expand Philippines facilities.
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Japan
Japan▼

Dai-ichi Life Group Reports Possible Leak of Personal Data of About 120,000 Employees

Dai-ichi Life Group announced on the 2nd that its employee human resources system suffered unauthorized access, and the personal information of approximately 120,000 employees, including former employees, may have been leaked. About 70,000 of those affected are former employees, whose names, addresses, phone numbers and other data may have been compromised. The company detected the unauthorized access on September 24 and temporarily shut down the system. It is investigating the cause in cooperation with outside experts, and says no misuse of personal information or secondary harm has been confirmed at this point. The company commented, "We deeply apologize for the great concern and inconvenience this has caused."
8750.JP · Regulation · Negative Unauthorized access to its employee HR system may have leaked personal data of about 120,000 employees, prompting investigation and potential legal/regulatory fallout.
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Japan▲

Seagate, Western Digital Fall on Report Toshiba to Double Hard Disk Drive Supply

Seagate and Western Digital shares fell 7% and 5%, respectively, in premarket trading on Friday after Nikkei Asia reported that Toshiba could double the amount of hard disk drive supply available. The Japanese company is set to invest roughly $380M in the Philippines to expand facilities and create a more stable supply of components needed for AI infrastructure, the outlet added. The expansion would be Toshiba's first major investment in hard disk drives in roughly five years, and the company is also working on new products aimed at increasing per-unit memory capacity. Toshiba holds roughly 10% of the storage market, behind Seagate and Western Digital. Seagate, Western Digital, and Toshiba did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Seeking Alpha.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Enterprise Data Storage Systems ▼Supply
6588.JP · Supply · Positive Toshiba is investing ~$380M in the Philippines to double HDD supply and boost per-unit capacity.
STX · Competition · Negative Toshiba's planned HDD supply expansion intensifies competition and threatens Seagate's market share.
WDC · Competition · Negative Toshiba doubling HDD supply would pressure Western Digital's market position and pricing.
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Japan
Japan▼

Unauthorized Access Hits Yamato Transport and Sagawa Express, Personal Data May Be Leaked

Yamato Transport and Sagawa Express each announced by the 2nd that customers' personal information may have been leaked due to unauthorized access. Yamato said it confirmed unauthorized access on the 28th of last month to its "Kuroneko Deferred Payment Service," which allows customers to pay after receiving items ordered on online shopping sites, and that the names, addresses, phone numbers, email addresses, and purchase details of some users may have been leaked. Sagawa said there was unauthorized access to its "Parcel Inquiry Service," which lets customers check delivery status, and that the names, addresses, phone numbers, and other information of senders and recipients may have been leaked. In both cases, the number of affected records and the scope of the leak are still under investigation, and credit card information and passwords were not included.
9064.JP · Regulation · Negative Unauthorized access to Yamato's Kuroneko Deferred Payment Service may have leaked customers' personal data, a data-security/legal breach.
9143.JP · Regulation · Negative Unauthorized access to Sagawa's Parcel Inquiry Service may have leaked senders' and recipients' personal data, a data-security/legal breach.
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Japan
Japan▲

Sagawa Express to Raise Base Parcel Delivery Rates by Average 13.8% in January

Sagawa Express announced on the 2nd that it will raise its base parcel delivery rates by an average of about 13.8% in January next year. This will be the first rate increase since April 2024. The company cited rising costs for materials and labor, as well as the need for continued investment in improving transport efficiency to address labor shortages. For shipments from the Kanto region to Kansai, the "60 size" package, with total length, width and height of 60 centimeters and weight of up to 2 kilograms, will rise from the current 1,040 yen to 1,060 yen, while the largest "260 size" package, with a total of 260 centimeters and weight of up to 50 kilograms, will increase from 8,420 yen to 10,100 yen.
9143.JP · Pricing · Positive Sagawa Express (SG Holdings) raises base parcel delivery rates by an average 13.8% in January, its first hike since April 2024, citing higher material and labor costs.
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Japan
Japan▲

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to invest 100 billion yen in Shimonoseki Shipyard, acquiring land on Choshu Dejima

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries announced on the 2nd that it will invest approximately 100 billion yen to expand the construction capacity of its Shimonoseki Shipyard. The company will acquire industrial land on Choshu Dejima, an artificial island being developed by the city of Shimonoseki in Yamaguchi Prefecture, and build a new factory there. The move is aimed at strengthening its shipbuilding business, which the government is seeking to promote, and at the Shimonoseki Shipyard, the company's subsidiary Mitsubishi Shipbuilding builds ferries and car carriers. In addition to transferring some of the shipyard's functions to the newly acquired land, the company will build a factory to manufacture hull blocks, the components that make up a ship, with operations targeted to begin in 2030.
About megatrends
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Naval Systems & Shipbuilding ▲Supply
7011.JP · Capital · Positive Mitsubishi Heavy Industries will invest ~100 billion yen to expand Shimonoseki Shipyard capacity, acquiring land and building a new hull-block factory targeting 2030 operations.
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United StatesJapan
Japan▲

Apollo Backs Eagle Creek Hydro Tie-Up and Completes Nippon Sheet Glass Acquisition

Apollo Global Management has moved further into energy and industrial assets, with its backed Eagle Creek Renewable Energy partnering with Relevate Power to grow small hydropower assets, and with Apollo completing its acquisition of Nippon Sheet Glass. The Eagle Creek and Relevate Power agreement covers both expansion and day-to-day management of distributed hydro facilities, while the Nippon Sheet Glass deal starts a new management setup and growth phase for the glass producer. Apollo Global Management, a US-based diversified financial group with a market value of about $68.5b, channels capital into credit, private equity, infrastructure and real assets. The firm is also rumored to be reshaping assets including Energos Infrastructure and rolling out Daily Pricing across US$850b of credit. Analysts continue to flag thinner recent profit margins and an uneven dividend record even as the deals support expectations of higher origination volumes.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Hydropower & Pumped Storage ▲Capital
APO · Capital · Positive Apollo completed its acquisition of Nippon Sheet Glass and backed Eagle Creek's hydro tie-up, supporting expectations of higher origination volumes.
5202.JP · Capital · Positive Apollo completed its acquisition of Nippon Sheet Glass, starting a new management setup and growth phase for the glass producer.
Eagle Creek Renewable Energy · Capital · Positive Apollo-backed Eagle Creek Renewable Energy is partnering with Relevate Power to expand and manage small hydropower facilities.
Relevate Power · Capital · Positive Relevate Power is partnering with Apollo-backed Eagle Creek Renewable Energy to grow and manage distributed small hydropower assets.
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Japan▲impact 4

Onto Innovation Posts 35.3% Revenue Jump, Lands Goldman Strong Buy

Onto Innovation reported second-quarter revenue of $343.1 million, a 35.3% year-over-year increase, sending shares up 14% the following day as analysts raised estimates and price targets. The full-year EPS consensus jumped 13% from $7.11 to $8.04, representing 63% annual growth versus 2025, while next year's consensus vaulted 17% from $10 to $11.72 for a potential advance of 46%. Non-GAAP gross margins expanded to 57.0% from 54.5% a year earlier, non-GAAP operating margins reached 30.0%, and non-GAAP diluted EPS came in at $1.93, with the company holding $1.88 billion in cash and short-term investments. On August 17, Goldman Sachs analyst James E Schneider initiated coverage with a Strong Buy rating and a $400 price target, matching the Street high set by Jefferies' Blayne Peter Curtis, while Needham's Charles Shi raised his target to $360 from $330 and Evercore ISI's Mark Lipacis lifted his to $390 from $350. In August 2026, Onto completed a $710 million strategic investment for a 27% equity stake in Rigaku, targeting the estimated $1 billion hybrid metrology market, and the company said demand for its Dragonfly G5 packaging inspection platform is projected to grow over 50% through 2026.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Wafer-Fab Equipment & Lithography ▲Demand
ONTO · Capital · Positive Q2 revenue jumped 35.3% with margin expansion and EPS beat, prompting analyst target hikes and a Goldman Strong Buy initiation.
ONTO · Demand · Positive Demand for its Dragonfly G5 packaging inspection platform is projected to grow over 50% through 2026.
268A.JP · Capital · Positive Onto completed a $710 million strategic investment for a 27% equity stake in Rigaku, targeting the hybrid metrology market.
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Japan▼

Floods in Chonburi and Rayong Halt Auto Production; STANLY, SAT, AH at Risk

Flooding in Chonburi and Rayong, where accumulated rainfall exceeded 320 mm over three days, has left suppliers unable to deliver parts on a just-in-time basis, forcing automakers to temporarily halt production. Honda suspended operations at its Prachinburi and Ayutthaya plants from October 2 to 6, 2026, and will resume production on October 7, adding shifts to make up lost output. Toyota halted three plants, Samrong, Ban Pho and Gateway, as well as Toyota Auto Works, at least through October 2, describing the move as a temporary stoppage while it waits for transport routes to recover rather than a structural capacity cut. The Federation of Thai Industries estimates damage to the automotive supply chain of at least 1,018 million baht and is maintaining its 2026 vehicle production target of 1.45 million units. Krungsri Securities views the impact as slightly negative in the short term, expecting the two major automakers to lose roughly one week of October output, though most of it should be recovered in November and December through added shifts, making the effect a shift in production rather than a permanent loss. However, overtime costs and freight expenses could pressure gross profit margins in the fourth quarter of 2026. STANLY is seen as the most affected because of its heavy reliance on Honda, which accounts for 33% of its revenue, while SAT and AH are expected to be affected indirectly through overall industry output. The sector view remains bearish.
7203.JP · Supply · Negative Toyota halted three plants plus Toyota Auto Works at least through October 2 while waiting for transport routes to recover.
7267.JP · Supply · Negative Honda suspended operations at its Prachinburi and Ayutthaya plants from October 2 to 6, 2026, because suppliers could not deliver parts.
STANLY.BK · Supply · Negative STANLY is seen as the most affected due to heavy reliance on Honda, which accounts for 33% of its revenue, after Honda halted plants.
AH.BK · Supply · Negative AH is expected to be affected indirectly through overall industry output as floods halt auto production and parts deliveries.
SAT.BK · Supply · Negative SAT is expected to be affected indirectly through overall industry output as floods halt auto production and parts deliveries.
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Niterra Cancels Acquisition of Denso's Spark Plug Business

Niterra announced on the 2nd that it has decided to cancel its acquisition of Denso's spark plug and exhaust sensor businesses, including oxygen sensors and air-fuel ratio sensors, and to sign an agreement terminating the contract. Denso requested the cancellation, citing changes in the market environment and a review of its policy regarding the businesses in question, and Niterra accepted the request. The acquisition had been announced on September 1, 2025, and the company had continued discussions toward completing it, but it judged that prolonged negotiations would increase uncertainty over the businesses' future prospects, affect the formulation of integration plans, and reduce the benefits of the acquisition. The full-year earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2027 had incorporated preparation costs for the acquisition, but the company says the impact of the cancellation on its results will be minor. As for the Medium-Term Management Plan 2030 announced in November 2025, the company plans to re-examine its business plan, including capital allocation for growth investments, and announce it at a later date.
5334.JP · Capital · Neutral Niterra's acquisition of Denso's spark plug and sensor businesses was cancelled at Denso's request, removing a planned growth investment though the company says the earnings impact is minor.
6902.JP · Capital · Neutral Denso requested cancellation of the sale of its spark plug and exhaust sensor businesses to Niterra, citing market environment changes and a policy review.
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Suzuki asks Indian suppliers to halt production one day a week to maintain quality and prepare for higher output

Suzuki has asked its Indian suppliers to shut down production one day a week for machine maintenance. According to two people familiar with the matter, the company aims to prevent unexpected stoppages and maintain quality ahead of planned production increases. It is said to be the first time Suzuki has made such a request of Indian suppliers. Its Indian subsidiary Maruti Suzuki is preparing to raise annual production capacity from about 2.4 million units to 4 million units by 2030. According to the sources, Suzuki President Toshihiro Suzuki met with Indian suppliers in August and asked them to plan capacity on the basis of a six-day workweek. Maruti Suzuki subsequently asked suppliers to sign affidavits by the end of the year confirming that production lines for its parts would not operate seven days a week. According to the sources, Suzuki is asking suppliers to shift to a model of 20 hours a day and six days a week by September 2027, which would give production machinery four hours of rest each night and a full day for maintenance. As output rises, there are concerns that keeping machines running every day would increase the risk of factory accidents, unexpected stoppages and quality problems.
7269.JP · Supply · Positive Suzuki is directing Indian suppliers to adopt six-day/20-hour schedules to prevent stoppages and support its planned capacity ramp to 4 million units by 2030.
Maruti Suzuki India · Supply · Positive Maruti Suzuki is preparing to raise annual production capacity from about 2.4 million to 4 million units by 2030 and is asking suppliers to sign affidavits ensuring parts lines do not run seven days a week.
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Japan
Japan▼

Infroneer Holdings to Raise 147.2 Billion Yen via Public Offering and Other Means, Dilution Rate 20%

Infroneer Holdings announced on the 2nd that it will raise approximately 147.2 billion yen through a public offering and other means. Of the funds raised, 117 billion yen will be used to repay short-term borrowings taken out for the acquisition of Sumitomo Mitsui Construction, with the remainder secured as funds for mergers and acquisitions. In connection with the public offering, the company will issue 47,826,100 shares in Japan and overseas, and sell up to an additional 7,173,900 shares depending on demand. The dilution rate is approximately 20%. Infroneer shares ended trading on the 2nd at 2,695.5 yen, down 2.12% from the previous day.
5076.JP · Capital · Negative Infroneer will raise ~147.2 billion yen via public offering with ~20% dilution, pressuring shares.
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Japan▲

AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo and Summit Therapeutics to Test Datroway-Ivonescimab Combination

AstraZeneca and Daiichi Sankyo have entered a clinical trial collaboration agreement with Summit Therapeutics to evaluate Datroway, also known as datopotamab deruxtecan, in combination with Summit's ivonescimab across multiple tumor types. The companies plan to begin with a phase 3 trial in first-line triple negative breast cancer. Datroway is a specifically engineered TROP2 directed DXd antibody drug conjugate discovered by Daiichi Sankyo and jointly developed and commercialized by Daiichi Sankyo and AstraZeneca. Under the agreement, each company will contribute its respective compound for the planned combination trials, which will be sponsored by AstraZeneca or Daiichi Sankyo. AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo and Summit will each contribute to trial costs, and each company will retain development and commercial rights to its respective medicines.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Oncology Therapeutics ▲Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADC) ▲Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Immuno-Oncology / Checkpoint Technology
4568.JP · Technology · Positive Daiichi Sankyo's Datroway (datopotamab deruxtecan) will be evaluated in combination with ivonescimab in new phase 3 trials, expanding development of its TROP2 ADC.
AZN.LSE · Technology · Positive AstraZeneca will test its Datroway in combination with Summit's ivonescimab across multiple tumor types, starting with a phase 3 trial in first-line triple negative breast cancer.
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Japan▼

SoftBank completes final $10 billion OpenAI tranche, total investment reaches $64.6 billion

SoftBank Group has completed the final tranche of its follow-on investment in OpenAI, bringing its cumulative investment in the artificial intelligence company to $64.6 billion. The Japanese conglomerate said on Thursday it invested a further $10 billion in OpenAI through SoftBank Vision Fund 2, completing the $30 billion follow-on investment announced in February. The latest investment brings SoftBank's ownership interest in OpenAI to about 13%, and the third tranche was funded with proceeds from SoftBank's issuance of foreign-currency-denominated senior notes announced last week. SoftBank also said it cancelled the remaining $10 billion of undrawn capacity under a $40 billion bridge facility effective Sept. 30, with all borrowings under the facility now repaid following an early repayment announced earlier this month. Tokyo-listed SoftBank Group shares fell 5.6% to 6,329.0 yen by 01:34 ET, as the group's shares have faced scrutiny over the scale of its AI investments and the financing needed to fund them.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Foundation Models & Research Labs ▲Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Closed / Frontier Labs ▲Capital
9984.JP · Capital · Negative SoftBank completed a $10B OpenAI tranche, bringing total investment to $64.6B, with shares falling 5.6% amid scrutiny over the scale and financing of its AI investments
OpenAI · Capital · Positive OpenAI received the final $10B tranche of SoftBank's follow-on investment, lifting SoftBank's cumulative investment to $64.6B and ownership to about 13%
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Japan▼

R&I downgrades Nidec to 'A+' and places it on monitor for further downgrade

Rating and Investment Information (R&I) said on the 2nd that it has downgraded Nidec's issuer rating and long-term bond rating from 'AA-' to 'A+', and placed the ratings on its Rating Monitor with a direction toward a further downgrade. It said that the company's management turnaround is only halfway done, and that its auditing firm PwC Japan has once again issued a disclaimer of opinion, making it necessary to scrutinize the risk that the series of problems will further hurt its creditworthiness. Nidec said on September 30 that it recorded an impairment loss of 632.1 billion yen in its fiscal year ending March 2026 and fell into a net loss of 564.6 billion yen. It plans operating profit of 200 billion yen for the fiscal year ending March 2027, but on a fundamental basis this is far below the level of operating profit and profit margin outlook that R&I had assumed before the series of accounting problems came to light, and its earning power is deemed inferior even relative to an 'A+' rating.
6594.JP · Capital · Negative R&I downgraded Nidec to 'A+' and placed it on monitor for further downgrade after a 632.1bn yen impairment, net loss, and a repeated disclaimer of opinion from PwC Japan.
PwC Japan Audit LLC · Regulation · Neutral PwC Japan is cited only as having again issued a disclaimer of opinion on Nidec's accounts, a context mention rather than a development about PwC itself.
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Japan▼impact 4

Global bond markets stumble as credit spreads hit widest in six months after flood of large deals

Global credit markets are starting to show signs of slowing, with the yield premium, or credit spread, on corporate bonds worldwide widening by about 5 basis points this week, the biggest increase since March, pushing spreads to their widest level in six months amid concerns over inflation and high interest rates. Data from Bloomberg indices showed early trading in Asian markets on Friday also signalled that selling pressure could continue, with traders saying yield premiums on investment-grade bonds rose by about 2 to 4 basis points. The weakness in credit markets contrasts with a better tone in US Treasuries after most Federal Reserve officials struck a more dovish stance. A surge in new bond supply is starting to weigh on the market, with large companies from Paramount Skydance to SoftBank Group raising funds through massive debt issuance. Paramount Skydance in particular issued 52 billion dollars of debt this week to fund the biggest acquisition in Hollywood history, and its junk-rated bonds were among the heaviest sold in early trading. Just days earlier, SoftBank raised 11.1 billion dollars through high-yield bonds to support a large AI investment plan, forcing the company to offer historically high yields, including 9.75% on 7.5-year notes, to attract investors. Sheldon Chan, a portfolio manager for Asian and emerging-market debt at T. Rowe Price Group, said rising volatility was a key factor prompting some investors to avoid the market for now, and that the market's direction from here would depend mainly on macroeconomic factors and economic conditions. Meanwhile, in the riskier part of the US bond market, credit spreads jumped above 1,000 basis points relative to US Treasuries for the first time since the regional banking crisis in 2023, after spreads rose steadily from April as investors began positioning for the Fed's next rate hike.
9984.JP · Capital · Negative SoftBank raised $11.1 billion in high-yield bonds, having to offer historically high yields including 9.75% to attract investors.
PSKY · Capital · Negative Paramount Skydance issued $52 billion of debt to fund its acquisition, and its junk-rated bonds were among the heaviest sold, signaling financing strain.
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Japan▼

Nidec Q3 EPS Falls 80.5% to ¥8.48 as Operating Profit Drops 30.9%

Nidec reported third-quarter earnings per share of ¥8.48, down 80.5% year over year from ¥43.57. Revenue for the fiscal third quarter ended December 31, 2025 rose 4.8% year over year to ¥681.46B. Operating profit fell 30.9% year over year to ¥28.43B, and operating margin narrowed to 4.2% from 6.3%. The results were disclosed in a Nidec press release.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Servo Motors & Magnets Capital
6594.JP · Capital · Negative Q3 EPS fell 80.5% and operating profit dropped 30.9% with margin narrowing to 4.2%.
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Japan▲

GA-ASI and SoftBank Corp. Flight-Test Disaster Relief Comms Pod on MQ-9B

General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc. has completed a successful flight test of its MQ-9B Remotely Piloted Aircraft carrying a new communications payload developed by SoftBank Corp. The Disaster Relief Unit communications pod, integrated onto an MQ-9B and flown by GA-ASI on July 27, is designed to provide disaster relief and recovery communications in areas where cellular service is not available. The pod lets an MQ-9B act as a mobile network relay tower in the sky, establishing connectivity where cellular towers have been damaged by a flood or another natural disaster. GA-ASI President David R. Alexander called the test an exciting achievement for both companies and said the capability should interest many MQ-9B operators for disaster relief and emergency communications. MQ-9Bs are flown by operators in the United Kingdom and Belgium as well as the Japan Coast Guard, and the aircraft has been selected by Canada, Denmark, Poland, Germany, Qatar, Taiwan and India.
About megatrends
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Defense Electronics, EW & Sensors ▲Technology
General Atomics · Technology · Positive GA-ASI completed a successful flight test of its MQ-9B carrying the new disaster-relief communications payload
9434.JP · Technology · Positive SoftBank Corp. developed the Disaster Relief Unit communications pod that was successfully flight-tested on the MQ-9B
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Japan▼

Sojitz FY2026: Revenue Up, Profit Down with Net Income of 103.6 Billion Yen, Operating Cash Flow at 16.7 Billion Yen

Sojitz's full-year results for the fiscal year ending March 2026 showed revenue of 2.7573 trillion yen, up 9.9 percent year on year, while net income attributable to owners of the parent came to 103.6 billion yen, down 6.3 percent. The revenue increase was driven by the newly consolidated energy-saving businesses, higher transaction volumes, and growth in defense-related transactions, but selling, general and administrative expenses swelled from 269.9 billion yen to 305.1 billion yen, pushing pretax profit down 14.5 percent to 115.6 billion yen. By segment, gross profit in Energy and Healthcare rose from 40.2 billion yen to 65.9 billion yen, while Metals, Resources and Recycling fell from 35.9 billion yen to 17 billion yen, hit by weaker market conditions in the Australian coking coal business, sluggish production efficiency, and impairment charges. The company's underlying earnings power declined from 122.7 billion yen to 102.4 billion yen, a drop larger than the fall in net income. Cash flow from operating activities came to just 16.7 billion yen, and combined with the negative 16.6 billion yen in the fiscal year ending March 2025, the last two periods have been essentially flat, reflecting a 192.6 billion yen increase in operating receivables from the end of the previous fiscal year to 1.0924 trillion yen. For the fiscal year ending March 2027, the company plans net income of 130 billion yen, a 25.5 percent increase, with first-quarter progress at just over 20 percent.
2768.JP · Capital · Negative FY2026 net income fell 6.3% to 103.6 billion yen, pretax profit down 14.5%, and underlying earnings power dropped to 102.4 billion yen.
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Toyota Motor North America September U.S. Sales Rise 8.4% to 201,306 Vehicles

Toyota Motor North America reported September 2026 U.S. sales of 201,306 vehicles, up 8.4 percent on a volume basis and up 4.0 percent on a daily selling rate basis compared to September 2025. Electrified vehicles accounted for 117,215 of that total, up 37.8 percent on a volume basis and 32.2 percent on a DSR basis, representing 58.2 percent of total sales volume. For the third quarter, TMNA sold 633,223 vehicles, up 0.6 percent on both a volume and DSR basis, with electrified vehicle sales of 363,367, up 28.5 percent on both measures and 57.4 percent of total volume. The Toyota division posted September sales of 171,469 vehicles, up 7.9 percent, and third-quarter sales of 540,167 vehicles, up 0.5 percent, while the Lexus division posted September sales of 29,837 vehicles, up 11.4 percent, and third-quarter sales of 93,056 vehicles, up 1.6 percent. Andrew Gilleland, senior vice president of the Automotive Operations Group at Toyota Motor North America, said the third-quarter results reinforce that customers want choices and that the company's multi-path strategy continues to meet customers where they are, adding that with solid momentum and disciplined inventory heading into the fourth quarter, Toyota is well-positioned to finish the year strong.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▲Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Demand
7203.JP · Demand · Positive Toyota's September U.S. sales rose 8.4% to 201,306 vehicles, with electrified vehicles up 37.8% and 58.2% of volume, signaling strong end-customer demand.
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Japan▲impact 4

Takeda's Zasocitinib Beats Deucravacitinib in Phase 3 Psoriasis Trial

Takeda Pharmaceutical reported Phase 3 data showing its investigational oral TYK2 inhibitor zasocitinib, also known as TAK-279, achieved statistically superior complete skin clearance versus deucravacitinib and outperformed apremilast in adults with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis, with results presented at the 2026 European Academy of Dermatology & Venereology Congress. Zasocitinib delivered more than 2.5 times as many patients with complete skin clearance at week 16 compared with deucravacitinib, reinforcing its potential to shift treatment choices if approved in major markets. The readout follows the FDA's Priority Review for zasocitinib, with a decision expected in early 2027, and the combination of strong head-to-head data and an accelerated regulatory timeline highlights how central the asset has become to Takeda's pipeline-driven recovery narrative, alongside other launches such as oveporexton and rusfertide. Takeda's narrative projects ¥4,976.1 billion in revenue and ¥401.3 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 2.5% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about ¥564.7 billion from -¥163.4 billion today, while the most optimistic analysts assume annual revenue of about ¥5,072.4 billion and earnings of roughly ¥423.0 billion. The key catalyst remains upcoming regulatory decisions, and the biggest risk is that late-stage assets collectively fall short of expectations.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics ▲Competition
4502.JP · Technology · Positive Phase 3 data showed zasocitinib achieved superior complete skin clearance versus deucravacitinib in plaque psoriasis, reinforcing the pipeline asset's potential.
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Japan▲

SBI Digital Trust to Jointly Test Japan-Korea Stablecoin Payments with Two Korean Firms Toward Commercialization

SBI Digital Trust, a subsidiary of SBI Holdings, announced on October 1 that it will jointly conduct verification with two Korean companies, payment provider NICE Information & Telecommunication and blockchain infrastructure firm DSRV Labs, on cross-border remittance and payments between Japan and Korea using stablecoins. The three companies signed a basic agreement on September 30 aimed at future commercialization, and will examine fund flows from users to merchants, methods for connecting each company's systems, expected transaction volumes, and costs, with the goal of completing the work by the end of December 2026. In the verification, a Japanese user will scan a QR code at a NICE Information & Telecommunication merchant, and stablecoins will be used to settle with the Korean-side merchant, while the companies also check instruction methods for remittance and payment and operational issues. NICE Information & Telecommunication supports a network of about 1.2 million merchants in Korea, and the companies will consider payment and settlement operations at physical stores and methods for connecting with existing systems to confirm whether the business can work in an actual merchant environment, while DSRV will verify the blockchain technology and system architecture needed to transfer stablecoins. SBI Digital Trust will consider a Japan-Korea payment scheme in light of Japanese regulations and payment systems, working with companies across the SBI Group. In Korea, work is underway to develop rules for stablecoins, but the details are still under discussion, and the three companies will focus on the technical and operational aspects that can be verified at this point, deciding whether to commercialize based on regulatory developments. The SBI Group also signed a basic agreement with a Korean company in August to build a blockchain-based Japan-Korea payment network for financial institutions, and while the previous effort targeted a payment network intermediated by financial institutions, this time the focus is on payments by Japanese travelers at physical stores in Korea.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails ▲Technology
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure Technology
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers & Distribution Technology
SBI Digitrust · Demand · Positive SBI Digital Trust is the lead party conducting the Japan-Korea stablecoin remittance/payment verification with the two Korean firms.
036800.KQ · Demand · Positive NICE Information & Telecommunication will let Japanese users pay via QR at its ~1.2 million Korean merchants in the stablecoin payment verification.
8473.JP · Demand · Positive SBI Holdings subsidiary SBI Digital Trust signed an agreement with two Korean firms to verify Japan-Korea stablecoin cross-border payments toward commercialization.
DSRV Labs · Technology · Positive DSRV Labs will verify the blockchain technology and system architecture needed to transfer stablecoins in the joint test.
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Japan▲

Claros and Daikin America Sign Commercial Deal for Full-Scale PFAS Destruction at Decatur Plant

Claros Technologies and Daikin America announced a commercial agreement for full-scale deployment of the ClarosTechUV PFAS destruction system at Daikin's manufacturing facility in Decatur, Alabama. The large-scale, long-term installation will integrate the technology directly into Daikin's manufacturing operations as a continuously operating PFAS destruction system engineered for industrial-scale performance, following a multi-phase collaboration that moved from pilot demonstration to commercial optimization. The deployment will combine permanent PFAS destruction through ClarosTechUV with continuous analytical testing and performance verification through ClarosLabs, and will be incorporated into broader facility improvements underway at Daikin's Decatur campus over the next few years. The agreement extends beyond a single installation, establishing a long-term strategic relationship and creating opportunities to evaluate additional applications for ClarosTechUV across Daikin's global operations. Daikin America CEO Yuichi Hashikawa said the partnership demonstrates that it is possible to be a responsible manufacturer while providing materials essential to today's society, while Claros CEO and Co-Founder Michelle Bellanca called it the defining commercial achievement in Claros' history and a turning point for the entire industry.
About megatrends
Climate Adaptation & Water › Water Treatment & Flow Technology ▲Technology
Claros Technologies · Demand · Positive Claros secures a commercial agreement for full-scale deployment of its ClarosTechUV PFAS destruction system at Daikin's Decatur facility, its defining commercial achievement.
6367.JP · Regulation · Positive Daikin America signs commercial deal to deploy full-scale PFAS destruction at its Decatur plant, addressing PFAS regulatory/environmental compliance.
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Japan▲impact 4

JERA and partners to build one of Japan's largest AI data centers at Chiba thermal power plant, targeting operation around 2028

JERA, equally owned by Tokyo Electric Power Group and Chubu Electric Power, and its partners announced on the 1st that they will build a data center for artificial intelligence at the company's Chiba thermal power plant. The power capacity indicating its scale will be up to 400,000 kilowatts, making it one of the largest single-site facilities in Japan. The project envisions a total investment of 15 billion dollars, or about 2.3 trillion yen, with operation targeted to begin around 2028. JERA, major U.S. IT equipment maker Dell Technologies, and British data center developer Realm signed a memorandum of understanding the same day to accelerate AI infrastructure development. This data center project is the first step, and by attaching a data center on the power plant site and supplying electricity directly, large-scale transmission equipment becomes unnecessary and earlier operation becomes possible.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Capital
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Nuclear Generation & Utilities Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Colocation & Hyperscale REITs Capital
JERA · Capital · Positive JERA announced it will build one of Japan's largest AI data centers with a $15B investment, targeting operation around 2028.
DELL · Demand · Positive Dell signed an MOU with JERA and Realm to accelerate AI infrastructure development, positioning it as a partner in the 400MW data center project.
9501.JP · Capital · Positive Tokyo Electric co-owns JERA, which is building a $15B AI data center at its Chiba thermal power plant site.
9502.JP · Capital · Positive Chubu Electric co-owns JERA, which is building a $15B AI data center at its Chiba thermal power plant site.
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Japan
Japan▲

Toys R Us Japan to transfer business to Don Quijote operator, files for civil rehabilitation with 13.2 billion yen in debt

Pan Pacific International Holdings, which operates the discount chain Don Quijote, announced on the 1st that it has signed a business transfer agreement with major toy retailer Toys R Us Japan. Toys R Us Japan filed for application of the Civil Rehabilitation Act with the Tokyo District Court the same day, and according to Teikoku Databank, its total liabilities stand at approximately 13.2 billion yen. Pan Pacific International Holdings plans to take over all stores by the end of this month after obtaining court approval, inheriting the brand and main debts while continuing operations, and aims to return to profitability quickly through strengthened sales efforts. Toys R Us Japan has operated more than 150 toy stores nationwide under the Toys R Us name and others, but in recent years it had continued to post losses against the backdrop of a declining birthrate. Pan Pacific International Holdings is also involved in the toy business and judged that combining the two companies' shares would allow it to establish an overwhelming position in Japan's toy market. President Hiroshi Mori, at a press conference on the 1st, stressed that the addition of Toys R Us Japan's broad customer touchpoints will contribute to the group's sustainable growth.
7532.JP · Capital · Positive Pan Pacific signs agreement to take over Toys R Us Japan's stores, brand and main debts, aiming to establish an overwhelming position in Japan's toy market.
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Japan▲

Domestic New Car Sales Rise 5.1% as Environmental Performance Tax Is Abolished, Highest Since the Pandemic

New car sales in Japan for the first half of fiscal 2026, from April to September, rose 5.1% year on year to 2,292,064 units, the highest level since fiscal 2020, when sales slumped due to the spread of the novel coronavirus. The abolition of the environmental performance tax on automobile purchases at the end of March provided a tailwind. The figures were announced on the 1st by the Japan Automobile Dealers Association and the National Light Motor Vehicle Association. By category, registered vehicles such as passenger cars and trucks drove the overall increase, rising 9.6% to 1,504,178 units, with notable growth from Toyota Motor and Honda, while Mazda and others that introduced new models also posted gains. Meanwhile, light motor vehicles, which saw few refreshed models or new launches, fell 2.5% to 787,886 units, marking their first decline in two years. Sales for the single month of September, announced at the same time, rose 1.3% year on year to 433,683 units, with registered vehicles up 2.5% for a sixth consecutive month of growth, while light motor vehicles slipped 0.6%; among the latter, Nissan Motor and Mitsubishi Motors posted increases on the strength of new models launched last autumn.
7203.JP · Demand · Positive Toyota showed notable growth as registered-vehicle sales rose 9.6% in H1 FY2026.
7267.JP · Demand · Positive Honda among the registered-vehicle makers driving the 9.6% rise in H1 FY2026 new car sales.
7201.JP · Demand · Positive Nissan posted a September increase on the strength of new models launched last autumn.
7211.JP · Demand · Positive Mitsubishi Motors posted a September increase on the strength of new models launched last autumn.
7261.JP · Demand · Positive Mazda posted gains on the strength of newly introduced models in the April-September period.
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SBI Completes Full Acquisition of Bitbank; CEO Hirosue to Stay On

Bitbank, which operates a cryptocurrency exchange, announced on October 1 that the procedure to make it a wholly owned subsidiary of SBI Holdings has been completed. The two companies had announced the signing of an agreement toward the full acquisition on June 25, and the series of transactions was completed on October 1 when Bitbank acquired its own shares from existing shareholders MIXI and Ceres. The move will have no impact on Bitbank's services, and users will be able to continue using them as before. Accordingly, SBI VC Trade President Tomohiko Kondo has taken a position as a director of Bitbank. Meanwhile, Noriyuki Hirosue of Bitbank will continue to serve as representative director, president and CEO, and is also set to become an outside director of SBI VC Trade.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure Capital
8473.JP · Capital · Positive SBI completed the acquisition making Bitbank a wholly owned subsidiary.
bitbank · Capital · Neutral Bitbank became a wholly owned SBI subsidiary after buying back shares from MIXI and Ceres.
SBI VC Trade · Capital · Neutral SBI VC Trade's president joined Bitbank's board as part of the integration.
2121.JP · Capital · Neutral MIXI sold its Bitbank shares to Bitbank as part of SBI's full acquisition.
3696.JP · Capital · Neutral Ceres sold its Bitbank shares as part of SBI's buyout, exiting its stake.
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SoftBank's Final $10 Billion OpenAI Tranche Closes, Funded by Record $11.1 Billion Bond Sale

The third and final $10 billion tranche of SoftBank's $30 billion commitment to OpenAI was scheduled to close on October 1, 2026, completing the Japanese conglomerate's portion of the $122 billion funding round that closed March 31, 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation. SoftBank funded the tranche not from operating cash flow but through an $11.1 billion bond offering — $10 billion in USD-denominated senior unsecured notes and €1 billion in EUR-denominated notes — that priced September 24 and settled September 29, which CNBC reported as the largest high-yield corporate bond sale in history. SoftBank, rated BB+, also issued ¥1 trillion, approximately $6.32 billion, in retail bonds to Japanese investors in September, bringing its cumulative OpenAI investment to approximately $64.6 billion, an estimated 13% ownership stake. The tranche's close coincided with three OpenAI platform moves: the September 29 launch of Dots, always-on autonomous agents powered by GPT-6 Astra with a $500-per-month Pro 500 tier, alongside GPT-6.1 Sol at $2 per million input tokens and $10 per million output tokens, and an October 1 OneGov agreement with the General Services Administration offering government agencies a 50% discount on token-based pricing. Despite the capital concentration, governance power at OpenAI rests with the OpenAI Foundation, which holds 26% ownership and appoints all members of the Public Benefit Corporation board, and SoftBank has no confirmed board seat.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▲Capital
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Closed / Frontier Labs ▲Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Foundation Models & Research Labs ▲Capital
9984.JP · Capital · Positive SoftBank closed its final $10B OpenAI tranche, funded by a record $11.1B bond sale, completing its ~$64.6B investment for ~13% of OpenAI.
OpenAI · Capital · Positive OpenAI completed its $122B funding round with SoftBank's final $10B tranche at an $852B post-money valuation.
OpenAI · Technology · Positive OpenAI launched Dots autonomous agents on GPT-6 Astra plus GPT-6.1 Sol and a OneGov government pricing deal.
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Nidec shares plunge on disclaimer of audit opinion, delisting fears mount

In Tokyo stock trading on the 1st, Nidec's share price fell sharply by 255 yen from the previous day to 2,100 yen. After the company announced its earnings the previous day, its auditing firm issued a disclaimer of opinion on its financial statements, prompting a flood of selling on fears of delisting. At one point the stock dropped 467 yen to 1,888 yen, hitting a year-to-date low, and the disclaimer of audit opinion marked the second consecutive fiscal period. This is because some of the executives and employees involved in the misconduct are still responsible for the company's financial reporting, and market participants said it "instilled in investors a sense of distrust toward the corporate governance system itself."
6594.JP · Regulation · Negative Auditor issued a disclaimer of opinion on Nidec's financial statements for a second consecutive period, raising delisting fears and governance distrust.
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