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Caterpillar Inc

Caterpillar Inc. supplies construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally. Its Construction Industries segment offers asphalt pavers, cold planers, compactors, forestry machines, material handlers, motor graders, pipelayers, road reclaimers, telehandlers, track-type tractors, and track and wheel excavators, as well as backhoe, compact track, skid steer, track-type, and wheel loaders, plus related parts and work tools. The Resource Industries segment provides electric rope and hydraulic shovels, draglines, rotary drills, hard rock vehicles, mining trucks, wheel loaders, off-highway and articulated trucks, wide-body trucks, wheel tractor scrapers and dozers, and landfill and soil compactors, along with machinery components, wear and maintenance components, and technology products and services for fleet management, equipment management analytics, autonomous machine capabilities, safety services, and mining performance solutions. The Energy & Transportation segment offers reciprocating engine powered generator sets, reciprocating engines, drivetrain, and integrated systems and solutions, centrifugal gas compressors and related services, and diesel-electric locomotive components and other rail-related products. Its Financial Products segment provides operating and finance leases, revolving charge accounts, installment sale contracts, repair/rebuild financing, working capital loans, and wholesale financing, as well as insurance and risk management products and services. The All Other segment offers parts distribution, logistics and distribution services, electronics and control systems, dealer portfolio management, brand management and marketing strategy, and digital investment services. It also provides mining software solutions. The company was formerly known as Caterpillar Tractor Co. Caterpillar Inc. was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Price · split & dividend adjusted

Why is Caterpillar Inc (CAT) moving?

Q2 2026
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AI Power Boom Lifts CAT to Record, But Tariff and Valuation Risks Mount

  • AI Power Boom Drives Record Backlog and Sales Caterpillar's power generation sales jumped 22% to $5.78B, with a record $63B backlog (up 79% YoY) and plans to triple the business by 2030, fueled by AI data center demand.

    This is the core new growth driver behind the stock's record run.

  • Microsoft-Chevron Deal and Strong Q1 Results A landmark Microsoft-Chevron deal using Caterpillar's Solar Turbines, plus Q1 revenue of $17.42B (up 22.2%) and raised guidance, pushed the stock to a record $1,047.33 and a 184% one-year gain.

    This concrete deal and earnings beat are new catalysts that lifted investor confidence.

  • Tariffs Squeeze Margins Tariffs are pressuring margins: adjusted operating margin fell 30 basis points to 18%, with $2.2–2.4B in full-year tariff costs expected, a real headwind to profitability.

    This is a new negative factor that could offset some of the AI-driven gains.

  • Michael Burry Shorts CAT, Calling It Overvalued Michael Burry has shorted Caterpillar, arguing it's overvalued at 31x 2026 earnings and overly dependent on AI enthusiasm, adding a notable bearish signal.

    This high-profile short highlights valuation risk and could weigh on sentiment.

Latest
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AI Power Demand Still Drives CAT, But Tariffs and AI-Slowdown Fears Bite

  • Canada's retaliatory tariffs hit CAT equipment exports Canada's new tariffs on U.S. goods, including agricultural equipment, took effect September 8. This raises costs for CAT's exports to Canada, a key market, and adds to the tariff burden already weighing on profits. It pressures CAT's earnings and stock price.

    New trade barrier directly affecting CAT's costs and sales.

  • Record quarter and $72B backlog show strong demand CAT reported its biggest quarter ever: $20.5B revenue, EPS $8.17, and backlog up 92% to $72B, with power generation up 72% on data center demand. This confirms robust demand and supports the stock, though tariff costs remain a drag.

    Earnings and backlog are core drivers of CAT's valuation.

  • AI data center power trade unwinds, CAT falls 4% CAT shares dropped 4% as the AI power trade unwound after AI leaders called for slowing model improvements. Since CAT's power generation is tied to AI data center construction, any slowdown in AI spending threatens this growth engine and pressures the stock.

    Highlights a key risk to CAT's fastest-growing segment.

  • New autonomous hauling deals and AI power equipment orders CAT expanded autonomous hauling to two more Virginia quarries and Atlas Energy signed deals including 283MW of CAT power generation equipment. These concrete orders show growing adoption of CAT's technology and equipment, supporting future revenue and the stock.

    New contracts demonstrate real demand for CAT's products.

Q3 2026
▲2▼2

AI Power Demand Drives Record Q3, But Valuation and Supply Risks Loom

  • AI Power Boom Fuels Record Results Power generation sales surged on AI data-center demand, driving Q2 EPS to $8.17 on record $20.5B revenue and backlog to $72.1B, up 92% year over year.

    This is the core positive force behind Caterpillar's Q3 performance.

  • Demand Broadens Beyond Power Generation Demand expanded into mining, energy, rail, and marine sectors, while new autonomous hauling and power-equipment deals supported growth, diversifying Caterpillar's revenue base.

    Shows that growth is not solely reliant on AI data centers, a new development this quarter.

  • Valuation Stretched, Burry Short and Overbuild Warning Caterpillar trades at a stretched 45x earnings and 6x sales, with Michael Burry short and Bernstein warning of data-center power overbuild, raising concerns about sustainability.

    Highlights key bearish factors that could pressure the stock.

  • Supply Chain and Tariff Risks Mount China's rare-earth export controls threaten supply chains, Canada's retaliatory tariffs raise export costs, and AI-slowdown fears triggered a 4% stock drop, adding to headwinds.

    Identifies new external risks that emerged during the quarter.

News & notes moving CAT
United States
CAT▼2impact 4

Burry Shifts AI Shorts to 2027 Puts as Anthropic IPO Filing Shows $42B Loss

Michael Burry has intensified his bearish positioning on AI, converting several stock shorts into long-dated put options as Anthropic prepares for an IPO that could value the company at more than $2T. Anthropic's confidential IPO prospectus reportedly showed revenue jumping to nearly $4.6B in 2025, roughly twelve times the prior year, alongside a net loss of about $42B and an operating loss exceeding $8B. Burry said he covered common-stock shorts in Micron Technology, Nebius Group, Caterpillar, the iShares Semiconductor ETF, CoreWeave, Nvidia, and Palantir Technologies, replacing most of them with puts extending into 2027, and swapped his Oracle short for December 2027 puts while opening a new short in MetLife using longer-dated puts. He attributed part of the repositioning to tax-loss harvesting but said the majority stemmed from weekend research that convinced him the AI bubble could burst sooner than later, prompting him to move his timelines up and seek more leverage. About $34B of Anthropic's net loss came from an accounting charge tied to the valuation of financing instruments that could eventually convert into shares rather than cash operating expenses, while the company spent $7.33B on compute and infrastructure in 2025 and disclosed $518B in future infrastructure commitments.
Anthropic · Capital · Neutral Anthropic's confidential IPO filing reportedly shows revenue near $4.6B but a $42B net loss and $518B in future infrastructure commitments.
NVDA · Capital · Negative Burry converted his Nvidia short into long-dated 2027 puts, intensifying his bearish AI-bubble bet against the stock.
MET · Capital · Negative Burry opened a new short in MetLife using longer-dated puts.
ORCL · Capital · Negative Burry swapped his Oracle short for December 2027 puts as part of his escalated AI-bubble positioning.
PLTR · Capital · Negative Burry replaced his Palantir common-stock short with longer-dated puts, maintaining a bearish bet on the AI-linked name.
CAT · Capital · Negative Burry covered his Caterpillar short but replaced it with long-dated puts, maintaining a bearish bet against the stock.
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United States
Artificial Intelligence▲

Atlas Energy Solutions Unit Buys 283 MW of Caterpillar Gas Generation for AI Data Centers

Atlas Energy Solutions' ProjectCo unit agreed to purchase 283 MW of Caterpillar natural gas generation equipment for AI-focused data center projects, supported by cost reimbursement deals with a frontier AI lab. The AI power agreements arrive after a volatile run for Atlas Energy Solutions, with the share price jumping 13.47% in the past day but still sitting below its recent peak after a 26.65% decline over 90 days and a 3-year total shareholder return that is down 37.59%. Atlas Energy Solutions is trading at $12.47 versus a most-followed fair value of $18.50, a 33% undervalued narrative. The launch of Atlas' Power business, following the Moser Energy Systems acquisition, offers a new, diversifying growth engine with exposure to fast-growing commercial, industrial, and technology sectors that are signing multi-year contracts beyond traditional oil and gas. Still, the Atlas Energy Solutions story depends on Permian demand and sand pricing holding up, and on a P/S of 1.5x the stock trades richer than the US Energy Services industry on 1.2x and above a fair ratio of 0.9x.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
AESI · Capital · Positive ProjectCo agreed to buy 283 MW of Caterpillar gas generation for AI data center projects backed by cost reimbursement deals with a frontier AI lab, launching a diversifying Power growth engine.
CAT · Demand · Positive Atlas Energy Solutions' ProjectCo unit agreed to purchase 283 MW of Caterpillar natural gas generation equipment for AI-focused data center projects.
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United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▲impact 4

Caterpillar Q2 Sales Rise 24% to $20.5 Billion as AI Data-Center Power Demand Grows

Caterpillar Inc. reported second-quarter sales and revenues of $20.5 billion, up 24% year over year, with adjusted profit per share jumping 73% to $8.17 and an order backlog of approximately $72.1 billion at the end of June, up 15% from the previous quarter. Within that backlog, $29.2 billion is not expected to be filled within the following 12 months, and the increase spanned all three primary segments, with Power & Energy recording the largest gain. Power & Energy revenue rose 33% year over year while power-generation sales climbed 72%, driven partly by demand for generator sets and turbines used in data centers, even as the Construction Industries segment grew sales to users by 22%. The stock trades at almost 25.25x forward earnings, nearly 38% above the sector median of 22.14x and more than 50% above its own five-year average of 20.28x, and Caterpillar expects approximately $600 million of tariff costs in the third quarter. As of Q2 2026, 84 hedge funds in Insider Monkey's database owned Caterpillar stock worth $20.9 billion, down from 87 funds in Q1 though up from $14.07 billion in total value.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Q2 sales rose 24% to $20.5B with Power & Energy up 33% and power-generation sales up 72% on data-center generator-set and turbine demand.
CAT · Tariff · Negative Caterpillar expects approximately $600 million of tariff costs in the third quarter.
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United States
CAT▲

Caterpillar Beats Market as Earnings Beat Looms

Caterpillar closed at $821.58, up 2.03% and outpacing the S&P 500's 0.51% gain, the Dow's 0.93% rise and the Nasdaq's 0.48% advance. Ahead of its upcoming earnings disclosure, Caterpillar is projected to report earnings of $6.95 per share, representing year-over-year growth of 40.4%, on revenue of $20.19 billion, a 14.47% increase. For the full fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $27.37 per share and revenue of $79.37 billion, changes of +43.6% and +17.43% respectively. Over the past month the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has shifted 0.86% upward, and Caterpillar currently carries a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy). The stock trades at a Forward P/E ratio of 29.42, a premium to its industry's average of 17.24, and has a PEG ratio of 1.4 versus an industry average of 1.25.
CAT · Capital · Positive Caterpillar is projected to report 40.4% YoY EPS growth and 14.47% revenue growth, with a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and upward-revised estimates.
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United States
Artificial Intelligence▲impact 4

Atlas Energy Signs AI Data Center Power Deals, Stock Jumps 13%

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc shares jumped 13% in premarket trading Friday after the company signed power equipment deals with a leading frontier AI lab for data center projects. Two wholly owned subsidiaries executed separate cost reimbursement agreements with the AI lab alongside equipment purchase agreements to secure long-lead-time supporting equipment and incremental power generation equipment for specific data center projects. The first cost reimbursement agreement covers balance-of-plant equipment, including emissions control systems, electrical distribution equipment, battery energy storage systems, and other supporting infrastructure to support deployment of Atlas' existing generator orders under its previously announced Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar Inc. The second cost reimbursement agreement supports an incremental 283 megawatts of purchase commitments for Caterpillar power generation equipment to facilitate the initial power ramp of a separate data center project, in addition to Atlas's obligations under the GFA with Caterpillar. Atlas also executed a purchase agreement for 328 megawatts of generating capacity, consistent with its obligations under the GFA for 2027 deliveries. President and CEO John Turner said the customer's willingness to enter into cost reimbursement agreements is a clear sign of commitment to these projects as the companies work toward execution of long-term power purchase agreements.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
AESI · Demand · Positive Atlas signed cost reimbursement and equipment purchase agreements with a frontier AI lab for data center power projects, securing 283MW and 328MW commitments.
CAT · Demand · Positive Atlas' deals include incremental purchase commitments for 283MW of Caterpillar power generation equipment under the Global Framework Agreement.
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United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▲impact 4

UBS Warns US Growth Increasingly Reliant on AI Capex Buildout

UBS economist Jonathan Pingle said in a note on Thursday that the pickup in U.S. business investment and manufacturing is more dependent on the artificial intelligence boom than many investors realize. Pingle wrote that signs of broader growth have emerged this year, with the broadening theme most clearly visible in orders and shipments data, but much of that strength traces back to AI, describing the AI buildout as a rising tide lifting all boats. Traditional industrial firms are seeing more demand because of the AI buildout, with GE Vernova making gas turbines that power data centers and Caterpillar reporting strong generator sales, while demand has also spread to inputs such as steel, machinery, wiring and cable. UBS said this suggests the rest of the economy would be weaker without AI spending, and Pingle wrote that the expansion is more reliant on the AI and tech capex buildout than ever, with implications for growth, risks and monetary policy. He added that GDP growth, business investment and inventories are being broadly supported by the direct and indirect demand stemming from the AI buildout, calling the singular nature of the driving shock both unusual and exceptional at the moment.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Caterpillar reported strong generator sales driven by the AI data-center buildout.
GEV · Demand · Positive GE Vernova is seeing more demand for its gas turbines that power data centers amid the AI buildout.
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United States
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure▼impact 4

Michael Burry Warns $3 Trillion in Off-Balance-Sheet AI Commitments Threaten Big Tech Revenue

Investor Michael Burry warned that the hyperscalers leading the AI boom are amassing $3 trillion in financial commitments that are not reflected on their balance sheets. In a Sept. 19 Substack post, Burry said these liabilities are "in essence, in hypergrowth mode," singling out Amazon, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, Microsoft and Oracle for proceeding with enormous capital expenditures. Alphabet leads the group with $811 billion in planned spending and contractual obligations spanning memory chips, data centers and electricity generation. The $3 trillion total comprises $1.2 trillion in future lease commitments and $1.5 trillion in commitments to purchase AI-related hardware and equipment, which can stay off a firm's balance sheet until the products reach the hyperscalers and each party fulfills its obligations under current accounting rules, plus guarantees and financial backstops. Burry warned that a financial miscalculation risks blowing a hole in a blue-chip tech company's revenue, saying that "when the music's over, these off-balance sheet commitments become real liabilities very quickly." He has also raised concern about a misalignment between the typical five-to-15-year lifespan of wholesale data center leases and the annual introduction of new AI chips with different energy specifications, which could leave hyperscalers on the hook for unplanned upgrades. Burry announced an increase in his short positions on Tuesday, taking positions against Micron Technology, Palantir and Nebius, after earlier bets against Applied Materials, Tesla and Caterpillar.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Mega-cap Hyperscalers ▼Capital
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Hyperscale Cloud (IaaS / PaaS) ▼Capital
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▼Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Colocation & Hyperscale REITs ▼Capital
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows Capital
AMZN · Capital · Negative Burry warns Amazon's massive off-balance-sheet AI capex and lease commitments could become real liabilities that blow a hole in revenue.
GOOG · Capital · Negative Alphabet leads the group with $811 billion in planned spending and contractual obligations that Burry says threaten Big Tech revenue.
META · Capital · Negative Burry singles out Meta for proceeding with enormous capex and amassing off-balance-sheet AI commitments that risk becoming real liabilities.
MSFT · Capital · Negative Burry warns Microsoft's massive off-balance-sheet AI capex commitments could become real liabilities and blow a hole in revenue.
MU · Capital · Negative Burry announced increased short positions against Micron Technology.
NBIS · Capital · Negative Burry announced increased short positions against Nebius.
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United States
Robotics & Physical AI▲2

Caterpillar Expands Autonomous Hauling to Two More Virginia Quarries

Luck Stone announced in mid-September 2026 that it had expanded its collaboration with Caterpillar to roll out autonomous hauling technology to two additional Virginia quarries, building on a site where autonomous Cat trucks have already moved more than 3.50 billion tons without reported injuries. The expansion includes the first-ever deployment of Caterpillar's autonomous haulage on Cat 775 trucks, and the company is pairing the automation with workforce skill development to address quarry safety and productivity challenges. The move reinforces Caterpillar's broader push into autonomy and AI, which analysts tie to higher quality recurring revenue, and follows the company's August update highlighting record backlog and heavy investment in digital and automation. Caterpillar's narrative projects $94.5 billion revenue and $17.4 billion earnings by 2029, with a $970.37 fair value implying 20% upside, while some of the most optimistic analysts already assumed revenues above US$112,200,000,000 and earnings near US$20,700,000,000 by 2029. Investors are still weighing rising tariffs and pricing pressure against the pace at which digital and service income can scale.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Industrial Automation & Cobots ▲Technology
Smart City / Autonomous Infrastructure › Connected Fleet & Telematics ▲Technology
CAT · Demand · Positive Luck Stone expanded its Caterpillar autonomous hauling collaboration to two more Virginia quarries, including first deployment on Cat 775 trucks, a concrete adoption/order event for Cat autonomy.
CAT · Capital · Positive Article cites analyst views tying autonomy/AI to higher-quality recurring revenue and a $970.37 fair value implying 20% upside, plus record backlog.
Luck Stone · Technology · Positive Luck Stone is the named operator rolling out Caterpillar autonomous hauling at two additional Virginia quarries to address safety and productivity.
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United States
Smart City / Autonomous Infrastructure▲3

Caterpillar Expands Luck Stone Autonomous Hauling to More Quarries

Caterpillar expanded its autonomous hauling partnership with Luck Stone to additional quarry sites in the United States, marking the first use of autonomous haulage on Cat 775 trucks specifically configured for quarry operations. The partners are targeting gains in safety, production consistency and workforce development through wider use of automation across these quarries. Caterpillar, a machinery heavyweight with a reported market value of about $360.2 billion, builds large-scale construction and mining equipment that can directly use autonomous hauling systems in quarries. The company's Narrative holds that heavy equipment is shifting from pure iron to technology plus services, with autonomy and electrification supporting multi-year demand and profitability, and deploying autonomy on Cat 775 fleets can deepen Caterpillar's services and software footprint rather than just sell more trucks. Rivals including Komatsu and Volvo are also targeting that services and software territory, while analysts flag tariff pressure, pricing competition and high capital intensity as weak points that could amplify earnings swings if customers hesitate on autonomy rollouts.
About megatrends
Smart City / Autonomous Infrastructure › Connected Fleet & Telematics ▲Technology
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Trucking & Delivery ▲Technology
CAT · Technology · Positive Caterpillar expanded its autonomous hauling partnership with Luck Stone to more US quarry sites, deploying Cat 775 autonomous trucks.
Luck Stone · Technology · Positive Luck Stone expanded its autonomous hauling deployment with Caterpillar to additional quarry sites, targeting safety and production gains.
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United States
CAT▲

Caterpillar Earns Zacks Rank #2 as Earnings Estimates Rise

Caterpillar has drawn heavy investor search interest on Zacks.com, with the construction equipment maker now carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) on upward earnings estimate revisions. Caterpillar is expected to post earnings of $6.95 per share for the current quarter, a year-over-year change of +40.4%, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate has moved +0.3% over the last 30 days. The consensus earnings estimate of $27.37 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +43.6% and has changed +1.5% over the last 30 days, while the next fiscal year's consensus estimate of $32.99 indicates a change of +20.5% and has changed +1.1% over the past month. On the revenue side, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $20.19 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +14.5%, with current and next fiscal year estimates of $79.37 billion and $87.98 billion indicating +17.4% and +10.9% changes, respectively. In the last reported quarter, Caterpillar posted revenues of $20.54 billion, up 24% year over year, and EPS of $8.17 versus $4.72 a year ago, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $19.31 billion by +6.37% on revenue and surprising by +30.72% on EPS, with the company topping consensus EPS and revenue estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. Caterpillar is graded D on the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it trades at a premium to its peers.
CAT · Capital · Positive Caterpillar earns Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) on upward earnings estimate revisions, with consensus EPS and revenue estimates rising.
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United States
CAT▼

Caterpillar Falls 4% as AI Data Center Power Trade Unwinds

Caterpillar shares fell 4% to $783.15 on Monday, leading industrial names lower, while Deere rose 1% to $684.25 and Paccar was little changed at $121.99. The split is explained by Caterpillar being the only one of the three with a large power generation business tied to AI data center construction, a segment whose sales to users grew 72% in Q2 2026. No company-specific announcement sat behind the decline; the backdrop was a weekend policy exchange in which Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called on frontier AI companies to slow the pace of model capability improvements and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman agreed, pushing selling across AI infrastructure names. Caterpillar CEO Joe Creed said on the August earnings call that "we haven't seen any customers back off of demand," and the company's backlog reached $72 billion at quarter-end, with orders already being taken into 2029 and 2030. The Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF fell 2% versus a 0.4% drop for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, making Caterpillar the weight rather than a passenger in the selloff.
CAT · Demand · Negative Caterpillar fell 4% as the AI data center power trade unwound, with its power generation segment tied to AI data center construction at risk if frontier AI companies slow model capability improvements.
Anthropic · Technology · Negative Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called on frontier AI companies to slow the pace of model capability improvements, triggering the AI infrastructure selloff.
OpenAI · Technology · Negative OpenAI CEO Sam Altman agreed with calls to slow the pace of model capability improvements, which pushed selling across AI infrastructure names.
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United States
Artificial Intelligence▲impact 4

Caterpillar Posts Record $20.5B Quarter as Backlog Surges 92% to $72B

Caterpillar reported its biggest quarter ever, with Q2 2026 revenue of $20.54 billion, the first time the company has crossed $20 billion in a single quarter, and EPS of $8.17 against a $6.1974 estimate. Operating margin expanded to 20.9% and net income jumped 64.89% year over year, while the backlog grew sequentially by $9 billion to $72 billion, up roughly 92% year over year, with some Power & Energy customers placing orders as far out as 2030. The Power Generation product line grew 72% in the quarter on data center demand, and Caterpillar is bringing back roughly 1.5 gigawatts of 10-megawatt gas reciprocating engine capacity, with first shipments in Q4. CEO Joe Creed said no one is slowing down at the moment and that customers are asking for more units if the company can get them out. On the bear side, Caterpillar expects $2.2 billion in full-year 2026 tariff costs, and Resource Industries profit fell 39% in Q1 on tariff-driven manufacturing pressure, though $392 million of IEEPA tariff recoveries already flowed through Q2. Among peers, Cummins Q2 2026 Power Systems revenue grew 19% to $2.26 billion, and Eaton Q2 revenue grew 21.39% with Electrical rolling orders up 41% organically.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
CAT · Capital · Positive Record $20.54B quarter with EPS $8.17 beating estimates, 20.9% operating margin, and net income up 64.89%.
CAT · Demand · Positive Backlog surged 92% to $72B with Power Generation up 72% on data center demand and orders out to 2030.
CAT · Tariff · Negative Caterpillar expects $2.2B in full-year 2026 tariff costs, with Resource Industries profit down 39% on tariff-driven pressure.
CMI · Demand · Positive Cummins Q2 2026 Power Systems revenue grew 19% to $2.26B, cited as a peer comparison.
ETN · Demand · Positive Eaton Q2 revenue grew 21.39% with Electrical rolling orders up 41% organically, cited as a peer comparison.
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CanadaUnited States
Critical Materials & Supply Chain▼impact 4

Canada's Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Goods Take Effect

Canada's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods took effect at 12:01 a.m. on September 8, imposing duties of 15%, 25%, and 50% on about C$27.6 billion ($20 billion) of U.S. imports, including steel, aluminum, dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, plastics, and electronics. The measures escalate an 18-month trade dispute following the collapse of negotiations between Ottawa and Washington, and come after the U.S. imposed new 50% duties on Canadian exports in August. U.S. companies to watch include Nucor, Steel Dynamics, Cleveland-Cliffs, Alcoa, Deere, Caterpillar, Whirlpool, Kraft Heinz, General Mills, Eaton, Emerson Electric, Honeywell, International Paper, Dow, LyondellBasell, General Motors, and Ford, among others. Bombardier faces added uncertainty after President Donald Trump threatened to block its aircraft from the U.S. market unless it manufactures in the U.S. The dispute could weigh on Canadian growth, exports, and business investment, with Canadian exports to the U.S. already falling 6.6% in July.
About megatrends
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Bulk & Structural Metals (Reshoring) ▼Regulation
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▼Regulation
AA · Tariff · Negative Canada imposes 15% tariffs on U.S. aluminum imports, directly affecting Alcoa's exports.
CLF · Tariff · Negative Canada's 25% tariffs on steel hit Cleveland-Cliffs' exports to Canada.
Bombardier Inc. · Tariff · Negative Bombardier faces added uncertainty from Trump's threat to block its aircraft unless it manufactures in the U.S.
CAT · Tariff · Negative Canada's tariffs on agricultural equipment include Caterpillar products, raising costs for U.S. exports.
DE · Tariff · Negative Canada's tariffs on agricultural equipment include Deere products, affecting its sales.
DOW · Tariff · Negative Canada's tariffs on plastics and chemicals include Dow products, impacting its exports.
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United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▲3impact 4

Caterpillar's Power Generation Backlog Hits $72 Billion

Caterpillar's second-quarter 2026 results showed its power generation backlog surging 92% year over year to over $72 billion, driven by AI and data center demand. Large generator sets and turbines grew 72%, and the company's main constraint is now production capacity, not demand. About 59% of the backlog is slated for delivery within the next year, with orders extending through 2030, decoupling Caterpillar from the traditional construction cycle. To meet demand, Caterpillar plans to restart its 10-megawatt gas engine platform, adding about 1.5 gigawatts of capacity, with shipments beginning before year-end. The stock has risen over 90% in the past 12 months, trading around $815 per share.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Power generation backlog surges 92% to $72B on AI/data center demand, with capacity as the main constraint.
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United States
Robotics & Physical AI▲2

Caterpillar Partners with FieldAI to Advance AI-Powered Industrial Operations

Caterpillar Inc. is accelerating its push into AI-powered industrial operations through a collaboration with FieldAI, aiming to reshape construction, mining, and manufacturing with robotics and digital technologies. The partnership focuses on physical AI, enabling machines to interpret real-world environments for autonomous inspections, enhanced situational awareness, and operational optimization, while also leveraging NVIDIA accelerated computing and Omniverse to develop digital twins. This builds on Caterpillar's existing autonomous mining presence, and competitor Komatsu is pursuing a similar path with AIM Intelligent Machines for autonomous bulldozers and excavators. Caterpillar shares have gained 90.9% in the past year, outperforming the industry's 75.3% growth, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate points to 43.5% earnings growth in 2026 and 20.2% in 2027.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Robotics AI & Embodiment Software ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Technology
Robotics & Physical AI › Industrial Automation & Cobots Technology
CAT · Technology · Positive Partnership with FieldAI to advance AI-powered industrial operations.
FieldAI · Technology · Positive FieldAI is the partner in the collaboration, likely benefiting from the deal.
NVDA · Demand · Positive NVIDIA accelerated computing and Omniverse are used in the partnership, potentially increasing demand for its products.
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Zacks Investment Research·31dRead more →
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Artificial Intelligence▲

Cramer Warns AI Makes Diversified Portfolios More Concentrated

Jim Cramer warned on Mad Money that AI exposure is making even supposedly diversified portfolios more concentrated, reclassifying Caterpillar as a data center stock after its Power Generation revenue surged 29% and shares rose 90% over the past year. He suggested TJX and Wells Fargo as replacements to balance exposure, noting that true diversification requires separating end-market drivers, not just sector labels. Caterpillar reported its first-ever $20 billion sales quarter in Q2 2026, with revenue of $20.54 billion, up 23.98% year over year, and adjusted EPS of $8.17 versus a $6.20 estimate. The company's backlog expanded $9 billion sequentially to $72 billion, with some orders placed as far out as 2030. Cramer's point extends to other names: Generac's data center backlog hit $1.6 billion, Cisco took $4 billion of hyperscaler AI infrastructure orders in Q4 FY26, and Micron, up 227.94% year to date, reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $41.5 billion. The takeaway is that Caterpillar's data center exposure can reinforce an existing AI bet rather than offset it, so adding a name like TJX could reduce concentration without abandoning technology holdings.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Power Generation revenue surged 29% and backlog expanded to $72 billion, driven by data center demand.
CSCO · Demand · Positive Cisco took $4 billion of hyperscaler AI infrastructure orders in Q4 FY26.
GNRC · Demand · Positive Generac's data center backlog hit $1.6 billion.
MU · Demand · Positive Micron reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $41.5 billion, up 227.94% year to date.
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24/7 Wall St.·34dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲impact 4

Caterpillar's AI Power Demand Drives First $20B Quarter

Caterpillar Inc. reported its first-ever $20 billion sales quarter, driven by surging demand for power generation equipment from AI data centers, and the company's power and energy division nearly matched its traditional construction segment in revenue. In the second quarter, the power and energy division brought in over $8.2 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, with operating profit exceeding $2 billion, topping construction's profit. Total sales and revenues reached $20.5 billion, up 24% from $16.6 billion a year earlier, with profit per share of $7.77 and adjusted operating margin expanding to 21.9%. The order backlog stood at $72 billion at the end of June, up 92% from a year earlier. Caterpillar also announced a workforce commitment in Arkansas worth up to $3 million, the fifth allocation under its five-year, $100 million Building the Future Workforce Initiative. However, the stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio has climbed above 30, making it more expensive than Microsoft, Alphabet, or Nvidia, and leaving little room for disappointment if AI infrastructure spending slows.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Surging demand for power generation equipment from AI data centers drove record $20B quarter.
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Insider Monkey·35dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲

Caterpillar Commits $100 Million to AI and Robotics Training

Caterpillar is rolling out new AI tools across its industrial and construction operations, including the Cat AI Assistant for technicians and equipment operators, and has committed $100 million to workforce training focused on AI and robotics adoption. The company, a machinery maker with a market cap of $367.9 billion, is also positioned to serve ongoing demand for power generation equipment tied to data center expansion for cloud and AI infrastructure. This AI push signals a heavier tilt toward software, services, and data-driven support, potentially strengthening its high-margin aftermarket business and linking equipment sales to long-term service relationships. Investors should watch for future disclosures on AI-linked orders and service revenue in upcoming quarterly results to gauge the strategy's success.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Technology
CAT · Technology · Positive Caterpillar commits $100M to AI and robotics training and rolls out new AI tools, signaling a strategic push into software and services.
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Simply Wall St·35dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲

Caterpillar applies mining automation expertise to broader AI deployment

Caterpillar is leveraging its decades of experience in automating mining operations to deploy AI across more dynamic environments like construction sites, according to CTO Jaime Mineart. The company's autonomous offerings include haul trucks, drilling, underground loaders, dozers, and remote-controlled equipment, along with a software command center and fleet management. Now, Caterpillar is applying AI more broadly, including the Cat AI Assistant, which allows field technicians to use voice commands for repair procedures and troubleshooting, drawing on data from 1.6 million connected assets and over 16 petabytes of structured data. The company also uses AI for digital twins in manufacturing and software development, and plans to spend $100 million over five years to train its 118,000 employees in AI, autonomy, and robotics. This push comes as Caterpillar's quarterly revenue hit an all-time high of $20.5 billion in Q2, with its power-generation division seeing a 72% sales spike to $3.10 billion, driven by demand for data center equipment.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Industrial Automation & Cobots Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Technology
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power Technology
CAT · Technology · Positive Caterpillar is expanding AI deployment across construction and other dynamic environments, leveraging its automation expertise and investing in AI training.
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TechCrunch·35dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲impact 4

Chevron's Microsoft Data Center Deal Overshadows Its Earnings

Chevron's second-quarter earnings beat estimates, but the bigger news is its 20-year power purchase agreement with Microsoft to build a natural gas-powered facility for an AI-focused data center in Texas. The deal, part of Project Kilby, involves Chevron's subsidiary Energy Forge One, Engine No. 1, and Microsoft, aiming to develop about 2.67 gigawatts of on-site power, with most coming from GE Vernova turbines and additional capacity from Solar Turbines, a Caterpillar subsidiary. Chevron will supply natural gas from its Permian Basin production and manage long-term operations, securing stable revenue through a take-or-pay contract while Microsoft locks in energy for decades. This move diversifies Chevron's revenue streams and positions it to benefit from AI-driven energy demand.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
CVX · Demand · Positive Chevron signs 20-year power deal with Microsoft for AI data center, securing stable revenue.
MSFT · Demand · Positive Microsoft secures long-term energy supply for AI data center, supporting its cloud and AI operations.
GEV · Demand · Positive GE Vernova turbines to be used in the project, boosting demand for its power equipment.
CAT · Demand · Positive Caterpillar's Solar Turbines subsidiary to provide additional capacity, increasing demand.
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The Motley Fool·36dRead more →
United States
CAT▲impact 4

New Fed Chair Rejects Wage-Driven Inflation Theory

Kevin Warsh, in his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair, rejected the Phillips curve dogma that inflation stems from workers earning too much, instead blaming fiscal deficits and money creation. This reframing matters for growth stocks, industrials, and banks, as it reduces the Fed's incentive to raise rates when hiring accelerates. NVIDIA reported revenue of $96 billion, more than doubling year over year, and Caterpillar posted its first $20 billion quarter, both benefiting from a Fed that treats investment cycles as productive rather than overheating. JPMorgan reported a 23% ROTCE, and a less reactive Fed could compress rate volatility for bank shareholders ahead of the September 16 decision. The market priced roughly a 55% to 60% chance of a rate hike at the September meeting as of August 28, 2026.
CAT · Monetary · Positive Fed chair's stance reduces rate-hike incentive, benefiting investment cycles like Caterpillar's record quarter.
JPM · Monetary · Positive Less reactive Fed could compress rate volatility, positive for bank shareholders ahead of September decision.
NVDA · Monetary · Positive Fed's view on investment cycles as productive supports growth stocks like NVIDIA with strong revenue.
EFFR.MM · Monetary · Negative Fed chair's rejection of wage-driven inflation reduces likelihood of rate hikes, lowering the policy rate.
US-10Y.GB · Monetary · Negative Reduced rate-hike expectations and less reactive Fed likely lower long-term yields.
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24/7 Wall St.·36dRead more →
United States
CAT▲

Caterpillar Construction Revenues Up 35% in Q2

Caterpillar Inc. reported a 34.8% year-over-year increase in Construction Industries segment revenues to $8.35 billion in the second quarter, following a 38% rise to $7.16 billion in the first quarter. The segment, which generated about $25.1 billion in sales in 2025, accounting for roughly 37% of total revenues, now represents about 41% of the company's total. The growth was driven by a $1.75 billion benefit from higher sales volumes and $309 million from favorable price realization. Caterpillar aims to increase Construction Industries sales to end users by 1.25 times by 2030 compared with 2024 levels, supported by expectations of over 25% growth in global construction spending between 2024 and 2034. The company is expanding rental, digital, and technology-enabled offerings, and investing in autonomous equipment and AI-driven jobsite solutions. Caterpillar shares have gained 91.3% in the past year, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate points to 42.4% earnings growth in 2026 and 20.6% in 2027.
CAT · Demand · Positive Construction segment revenues up 35% on higher sales volumes and price realization.
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Zacks Investment Research·37dRead more →
United States
CAT▲

Caterpillar's Dividend Case Strengthens in 2026, But Low Yield Caps Appeal

Caterpillar Inc. has strengthened its dividend-growth credentials in 2026, raising its quarterly dividend by 8% to $1.63 per share in June, which brings the annualized payout to $6.52 per share and marks the 32nd consecutive year of increases. The hike is backed by stronger cash generation, with second-quarter enterprise operating cash flow of $4.4 billion and a record $5.1 billion in MP&E free cash flow, while management expects full-year MP&E free cash flow to land in the top half of its $6 billion to $15 billion target range. However, the stock's forward yield is only about 0.79% at a share price of $827.90 on August 21, making it more attractive for dividend growth than for current income. The company also spent $6.522 billion on share repurchases in the first half of 2026, compared with $1.399 billion in dividends, indicating a combined capital-return strategy. While the dividend appears well supported, the low starting yield and cyclical nature of the business raise questions about whether the current share price offers enough upside.
CAT · Capital · Positive Raises dividend 8% and strong cash flow support capital returns
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Insider Monkey·37dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲impact 4

Industrial Giants Caterpillar, Cummins, Ford Pivot to AI Data Centers

US manufacturing rose to its highest level since 2022 last month, driven mainly by demand from AI data centers, with industrial giants including Caterpillar, Cummins, and Ford shifting their businesses to capture the opportunity. Caterpillar's electricity generators have become its most profitable segment, and the company is investing $725 million to expand generator production at an Indiana plant while converting a Kansas plant to produce turbine engines and resuming production of 10-megawatt generators. Cummins is investing $450 million to expand generator production on top of a $200 million expansion completed last year, and expects data center-related sales to rise 80% to $9 billion by 2030. Ford was also named among manufacturers pivoting toward AI-data-center-adjacent opportunities, though it revealed fewer specific investment figures. Both Caterpillar and Cummins are now more exposed to a single fast-moving market than they've ever been, and any slowdown in AI infrastructure spending would hit their generator segments.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Caterpillar's generators are in high demand from AI data centers, driving expansion.
CMI · Demand · Positive Cummins expects data center-related sales to rise 80% to $9 billion by 2030.
F · Demand · Neutral Ford is named among manufacturers pivoting to AI data center opportunities but with fewer specifics.
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Insider Monkey·39dRead more →
United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▲

Caterpillar's Record Backlog Preceded Its 96% Stock Surge

Caterpillar's order backlog hit record levels before its stock surged 96% between August 2025 and August 2026. In fiscal Q1 2025, management reported an all-time record for organic backlog growth in a quarter, a $5 billion jump that pushed the total to $35 billion, and by the next quarter it climbed to a new record of $37.5 billion. The company attributed the growth to increasing energy demands to support data center growth related to cloud computing and generative AI. Despite trailing-twelve-month revenue being down 4.9% and tariff headwinds clouding the earnings outlook, the backlog signaled future sales were lining up at unprecedented levels.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Record backlog driven by energy demand for data centers signals strong future sales.
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Yahoo Finance·40dRead more →
United States
CAT▲

Caterpillar's Q2 adjusted operating margin rebounds to 21.9%

Caterpillar reported a sharp year-over-year improvement in adjusted operating margin in the second quarter of 2026, expanding about 430 basis points to 21.9%, the first such improvement since the second quarter of 2024. The gain came despite an 18% rise in cost of sales and higher SG&A and R&D expenses, as higher sales volumes and favorable pricing more than offset cost pressures, and the quarter included $392 million of expected IEEPA tariff recoveries. Management now expects full-year 2026 tariff costs of about $2.2 billion, excluding any additional IEEPA tariff recoveries in the second half, and has raised its 2026 outlook to mid-to-high teens sales growth from low-double-digit growth. The Zacks Consensus Estimate calls for 2026 revenues of approximately $78.8 billion, implying an adjusted operating margin near the lower end of Caterpillar's 18-22% target range, up from 17.2% in 2025. Among peers, Terex reported a slight decline in operating margin to 10.9% and Komatsu reported 14.5% for the April-June quarter, both citing tariff headwinds.
CAT · Capital · Positive Adjusted operating margin improved to 21.9% and 2026 outlook raised to mid-to-high teens sales growth.
6301.JP · Tariff · Negative Komatsu reported 14.5% operating margin for April-June, citing tariff headwinds.
TEX · Tariff · Negative Terex reported a slight decline in operating margin to 10.9%, citing tariff headwinds.
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Zacks Investment Research·41dRead more →
Global
Energy Transition & Power Demand▲impact 4

Gas Turbine Prices Set to Nearly Triple, Boosting GE Vernova and Siemens Energy

Natural gas power turbine prices are on track to nearly triple by the end of next year, driven by surging demand from AI data centers. Wood Mackenzie projects the per-kilowatt cost of gas turbines could be 195% higher than in 2019. GE Vernova's power division saw orders jump 134% year over year in Q2, lifting its backlog by $13 billion to $176 billion. Siemens Energy reported 18.5% revenue growth and received 15 gigawatts of new gas turbine orders in the latest quarter, expanding its backlog to 69 gigawatts. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries posted 13.3% revenue growth, while Caterpillar and Woodward are also benefiting from the trend.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Pricing
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
ENR.XETRA · Demand · Positive Siemens Energy sees 18.5% revenue growth and 15 GW of new gas turbine orders from AI-driven demand.
GEV · Demand · Positive Gas turbine prices nearly tripling and orders jumping 134% due to AI data center demand directly boosts GE Vernova.
CAT · Demand · Positive Caterpillar benefits from the gas turbine demand trend as mentioned in the article.
WWD · Demand · Positive Woodward benefits from the gas turbine demand trend as mentioned in the article.
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The Motley Fool·42dRead more →
United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▲impact 4

Caterpillar and Cummins Post Record Quarters on AI Power Demand

Caterpillar and Cummins both reported record quarterly results driven by surging demand for data center power generation and strong North American construction activity. Caterpillar's second-quarter 2026 sales rose 24% year-over-year to $20.5 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of $8.17, far exceeding the $6.20 analyst average, and it raised its full-year revenue growth outlook to mid- to high-teens percentage from low-double-digits. Cummins posted record revenue of $9.5 billion, GAAP net income of $932 million, and diluted earnings per share of $6.73, while lifting its 2026 revenue growth forecast to 10-13% from 8-11% and its full-year EBITDA margin guidance to 18.0-18.5% from 17.75-18.5%. Caterpillar also reduced its full-year tariff cost estimate to approximately $2.2 billion and secured $392 million in tariff recoveries under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. The article notes Caterpillar trades at a forward P/E of 26.07x versus Cummins at 18.50x, and suggests Cummins may offer better risk-adjusted value for new investors.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Record quarter driven by surging AI data center power demand and raised guidance.
CAT · Tariff · Positive Reduced tariff cost estimate and secured $392M in tariff recoveries.
CMI · Demand · Positive Record revenue and raised guidance on AI power demand.
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Insider Monkey·45dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲impact 4

Palantir Earnings Surge as CEO Attacks Frontier AI Rivals

Palantir Technologies reported second-quarter earnings that beat expectations and raised its full-year guidance, sending shares up 26% in early trading. Revenue grew 93% year over year, with U.S. commercial revenue jumping 150%, and cash flow margins reached 51%. CEO Alex Karp used the shareholder letter to sharply criticize OpenAI and Anthropic, arguing that Palantir's model-agnostic approach protects customers from having their data used to build competitors. The discussion also covered Caterpillar's expectation-smashing quarter, driven by AI-related infrastructure demand, and Spotify's mixed results, which showed strong user growth but missed revenue and earnings estimates.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▲Competition
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Demand
PLTR · Capital · Positive Q2 earnings beat and raised guidance
CAT · Demand · Positive AI-related infrastructure demand drives strong quarter
SPOT · Capital · Negative Missed revenue and earnings estimates
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The Motley Fool·50dRead more →
United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▼

US data center construction could hit 35 GW by 2030, Bernstein says

Bernstein analysts project U.S. annual data center construction could rise from 12 gigawatts in 2026 to 35 GW by 2030, but shortages of specialised mechanical, electrical and plumbing workers will set the industry's speed limit. The projection assumes recruitment across the three trades remains near peak rates recorded during the past three years, allowing annual construction to increase by about 6 GW each year, or roughly 30% compound annual growth. The estimated 35 GW ceiling would support market consensus of 25 GW to 35 GW in annual capacity additions by 2030, yet fall short of the 40 GW Bernstein estimates is needed to justify planned manufacturing capacity for mid-scale power generators. This creates a potential overbuild risk for power-equipment suppliers, with Caterpillar and Cummins identified as the most exposed. Bernstein said modular construction could help the industry move past this labour ceiling by transferring more work from building sites to factories, potentially benefiting vertically integrated manufacturers and contractors such as Eaton, Schneider Electric, Vertiv, Quanta Services, Comfort Systems USA and EMCOR.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Telecom Towers, Fiber & Colocation ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Hyperscale Cloud (IaaS / PaaS) Supply
CAT · Demand · Negative Bernstein says potential overbuild risk for power-equipment suppliers, with Caterpillar most exposed.
CMI · Demand · Negative Bernstein says potential overbuild risk for power-equipment suppliers, with Cummins most exposed.
PWR · Demand · Positive Bernstein says modular construction could benefit contractors like Quanta Services by moving work to factories, potentially increasing demand for their services.
SU.PA · Demand · Positive Bernstein says modular construction could benefit vertically integrated manufacturers like Schneider Electric, potentially boosting demand for its data center solutions.
VRT · Demand · Positive Bernstein identifies Vertiv as a potential beneficiary of modular construction, which could increase demand for its data center infrastructure products.
EME · Demand · Positive Modular construction could benefit vertically integrated contractors such as EMCOR.
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Investing.com·50dRead more →
United States
CAT▲

Caterpillar posts record $20.5 billion quarterly revenue, raises full-year outlook

Caterpillar reported second-quarter 2026 sales and revenues of $20.5 billion, up 24% from a year earlier and the first time the company has exceeded $20 billion in a single quarter. Adjusted profit per share rose 73% to $8.17, while backlog grew sequentially by $9 billion to a record $72 billion. The company raised its full-year 2026 sales and revenues growth forecast to mid- to high teens, citing strong demand across all three primary segments, and now expects adjusted operating profit margin near the bottom of its target range excluding one-time tariff recoveries. Caterpillar also increased its full-year machinery, energy and transportation free cash flow expectation to the top half of its $6 billion to $15 billion annual target range.
CAT · Demand · Positive Record revenue and backlog growth driven by strong demand across all segments.
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The Motley Fool·54dRead more →
United States
CAT▲2impact 4

Caterpillar Posts Record Q2 Sales Above $20 Billion, Raises 2026 Outlook

Caterpillar reported second-quarter 2026 sales and revenues of approximately $20.5 billion, up 24% year over year and exceeding $20 billion for the first time in the company's history, while its order backlog surged 92% to a record $72 billion. Adjusted operating margin expanded to 21.9% from 17.4% a year ago, and operating cash flow rose 94% to around $5.7 billion. The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth forecast to the mid-to-high teens from low-double digits, citing healthy demand across all three primary segments, and said 59% of the backlog is expected to be delivered over the next 12 months. Following the results, analysts raised earnings estimates for both 2026 and 2027, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate now projecting 38% earnings growth in 2026 and 21.8% in 2027. The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #1, or Strong Buy.
CAT · Capital · Positive Record Q2 sales, raised 2026 outlook, and analyst estimate increases.
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Zacks Investment Research·54dRead more →
United States
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure▲impact 4

Strong Q2 earnings broaden rally beyond AI, easing concentration fears

About 86% of the more than 440 S&P 500 companies that have reported second-quarter results beat analysts' estimates, pushing stock indexes to fresh highs and easing concerns that the record rally relies too heavily on a small group of artificial intelligence companies. The index is on course for its seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth, with blended earnings up roughly 50%, the strongest growth since the stimulus-driven recovery in 2021. Energy-sector earnings rose more than 147%, driven by higher oil prices linked to the Iran war, while communication services gained around 117%, consumer discretionary 92%, and technology 70%. Upbeat results from Palantir Technologies, Caterpillar, and Walt Disney helped major indexes post their strongest weekly gains since April, and AI spending continued to drive results across sectors, with Amazon shares jumping 15% in one session after cloud-computing sales accelerated and Microsoft adding a record $450 billion in market value. Still, earnings growth remains concentrated, as Alphabet and Amazon accounted for about 71% of the increase in blended S&P 500 earnings since July, and excluding them would reduce growth from about 50% to 32%. Valuations also remain elevated, with the S&P 500 trading at around 28 times trailing earnings, above its 10-year average of 22.5.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Mega-cap Hyperscalers ▲Demand
AMZN · Demand · Positive Cloud-computing sales accelerated, driving shares up 15% in one session.
CAT · Demand · Positive Upbeat results from Caterpillar helped major indexes post strongest weekly gains since April.
DIS · Demand · Positive Upbeat results from Walt Disney helped major indexes post strongest weekly gains since April.
PLTR · Capital · Positive Palantir's upbeat Q2 results contributed to market gains, reflecting strong earnings performance.
GOOG · Capital · Positive Alphabet accounted for about 71% of the increase in blended S&P 500 earnings since July.
MSFT · Capital · Positive Microsoft added a record $450 billion in market value on AI spending.
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Investing.com·56dRead more →
United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▲8impact 4

Caterpillar tariff recovery lifts margins as sales top $20 billion

Caterpillar reported record quarterly sales exceeding $20 billion and a 73% jump in profit per share, while a $392 million IEEPA tariff recovery boosted adjusted operating margin to 21.9%. The one-time clawback, combined with lower ongoing tariff costs of about $400 million versus a prior $700 million estimate, added 430 basis points to margins and shifted full-year margin expectations toward the middle of the target range. The backlog swelled to $72 billion, up 92% year-over-year, with Power & Energy sales to users surging 33% on data-center demand and lead times for gas engines extending into late 2028. Oppenheimer raised its price target to $1,118 from $1,105, citing acceleration across all segments, while the average analyst target stands at $1,013. Caterpillar lifted its full-year sales outlook to mid- to high-teens growth and expects free cash flow in the top half of its $6 billion to $15 billion range.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Bulk & Structural Metals (Reshoring) ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
CAT · Capital · Positive Record sales, 73% profit jump, tariff recovery boosting margins, raised outlook, and analyst price target increase.
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TheStreet·57dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲2impact 4

Caterpillar posts record revenue as AI data-center construction fuels demand

Caterpillar reported record quarterly revenue of $20.54 billion and adjusted earnings of $8.17 per share, far exceeding Wall Street estimates, as the artificial-intelligence boom drives demand for heavy equipment in data-center construction. The results sent shares up roughly 10% and underscored how AI infrastructure spending is spreading beyond chipmakers to industrial companies. Chief Executive Joe Creed cited strong order rates and a growing backlog across all three primary segments, with data-center projects becoming a meaningful growth driver. The earnings beat highlights that building AI data centers requires massive earthmoving, power systems, and heavy machinery, benefiting firms like Caterpillar even as tech giants pour billions into expanding capacity.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Record revenue and earnings beat driven by AI data-center construction demand for heavy equipment.
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TheStreet·58dRead more →
United States
CAT▲

Caterpillar, Mercury General, and Zebra Technologies crush Q2 earnings expectations

Caterpillar, Mercury General, and Zebra Technologies each delivered standout second-quarter results that crushed Wall Street estimates. Caterpillar posted adjusted earnings of $8.17 per share on revenue of $20.54 billion, topping consensus by nearly 31% and 24% year-over-year growth, while raising its full-year sales outlook and reporting a record $72 billion backlog. Mercury General earned $3.52 per share, a 95% beat, with sales rising 14% to $1.67 billion, driven by stronger underwriting and higher investment income. Zebra Technologies reported $6.35 per share, a 46% surprise, on revenue of $1.55 billion, and significantly raised its full-year guidance to 14% to 16% revenue growth and adjusted EPS of $20.75 to $21.25.
CAT · Capital · Positive Beat Q2 estimates, raised full-year outlook, record backlog
MCY · Capital · Positive Earnings beat by 95%, driven by stronger underwriting and higher investment income
ZBRA · Capital · Positive Beat estimates and raised full-year guidance significantly
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Zacks Investment Research·58dRead more →
United States
CAT▼

Michael Burry warns of 1987-style crash, holds Nvidia shorts

Michael Burry warned that the S&P 500's record high could precede a 1987-style crash, while maintaining short positions in Nvidia, the iShares Semiconductor ETF, Micron, Caterpillar, Palantir, Tesla, and Applied Materials. In a Tuesday Substack post, he said the market may be near a major top and that new highs could draw in fresh money, fueling a self-reinforcing rally driven by volatility-targeting and momentum strategies. He noted the S&P 500 has surged 5% over four trading days to a new high only three other times, citing BTIG analysis. All his short positions remain profitable except Nvidia, though he would close any trade that moves decisively against him. Burry has long been skeptical of the AI investment cycle, and earlier this year he added to his Nvidia short via January 2027 puts with a $115 strike price at $3.30 per contract, while calling Palantir wildly overvalued.
NVDA · Capital · Negative Michael Burry holds a short position in Nvidia and has added to it via puts, expressing skepticism about AI investment cycle.
PLTR · Capital · Negative Michael Burry holds a short position in Palantir and has called it wildly overvalued.
AMAT · Capital · Negative Michael Burry holds a short position in Applied Materials, indicating a bearish view.
CAT · Capital · Negative Michael Burry holds a short position in Caterpillar, indicating a bearish view.
MU · Capital · Negative Michael Burry holds a short position in Micron, indicating a bearish view.
TSLA · · Negative Michael Burry holds a short position in Tesla, indicating bearish sentiment.
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Dow Jones·60dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲impact 4

Dow surges 907 points, S&P 500 closes at new high on strong AI company earnings

US stocks closed sharply higher on August 4, 2026, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 both ending at fresh record highs. The main driver was robust earnings from artificial intelligence-related companies such as Caterpillar and Palantir, which eased demand concerns. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 54,085.88, up 907.47 points or 1.71 percent. The S&P 500 ended at 7,736.52, gaining 136.02 points or 1.79 percent. The Nasdaq Composite finished at 26,584.99, surging 671.10 points or 2.59 percent. Palantir Technologies shares soared 29.5 percent, their biggest single-day percentage gain since February 2024, after the company raised its full-year revenue forecast. Caterpillar shares jumped 5.6 percent after it lifted its annual revenue growth outlook, fueled by rising demand for power generation machinery and construction equipment amid the expansion of data centers supporting artificial intelligence technology. Caterpillar contributed the most to the Dow's advance, adding roughly 280 points to the index. A roughly 5 percent drop in crude oil prices also provided support, after Qatari officials said diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict were ongoing, and the US Treasury Secretary stated that a deal with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could be reached within two days. The decline in oil prices pushed the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September meeting down to 56.9 percent from 67.2 percent the previous day. On the US economic data front, job openings fell to 7.359 million in June, below the 7.440 million analysts had expected.
About megatrends
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Defense Software & C4ISR ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Firm Power & Transition Fuels ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Demand
CAT · Demand · Positive Caterpillar lifted its annual revenue growth outlook on rising demand for power generation and construction equipment from AI data center expansion.
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Artificial Intelligence▲3impact 5

Dow surges 907 points to record high on AI earnings and Iran war ceasefire hopes

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 907.47 points, hitting a record high of 54,085.88, buoyed by strong earnings from artificial intelligence-related companies and hopes for an end to the Iran war, which pressured oil prices and bond yields lower. The S&P 500 closed at 7,736.52, up 136.02 points, and the Nasdaq ended at 26,584.99, up 671.10 points. Tech stocks soared 4.1%, led by Palantir Technologies surging 29.5% after revenue beat expectations and the company raised its revenue forecast for 2026. Caterpillar jumped 5.6%, providing the biggest boost to the Dow, after raising its revenue outlook, driven by AI data center construction. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged 6.6%, extending gains for a fourth day. Meanwhile, WTI crude oil prices tumbled more than 5% after Qatar confirmed that mediation between the US and Iran is ongoing, and the US Treasury Secretary indicated a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could be reached soon. As a result, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell to 4.665%, and investors scaled back expectations for a Fed rate hike in September to 56.9% from 67.2%.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Logic, Compute & Connectivity Processors ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Demand
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Defense Software & C4ISR ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Demand
WTI · Geopolitics · Negative Qatar confirmed US-Iran mediation and Treasury Secretary hinted at a deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, pressuring oil prices down over 5%.
PLTR · Capital · Positive Palantir beat revenue expectations and raised its 2026 revenue forecast, causing shares to surge.
CAT · Demand · Positive Caterpillar raised its revenue outlook driven by AI data center construction, boosting its stock.
US-10Y.GB · Monetary · Negative Hopes for Iran ceasefire and lower oil prices reduced bond yields, with 10-year yield falling to 4.665%.
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CAT▲impact 4

Dow and S&P 500 Hit Record Highs, Yen Falls Against Dollar

On the 4th, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 both closed at record highs in the New York market. Strong earnings from heavy machinery giant Caterpillar and data analytics firm Palantir Technologies, along with hopes for a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran, lifted the market. Palantir surged 29.5 percent, while Caterpillar rose 5.6 percent. In currency markets, the yen fell against the dollar and the euro, weakening 0.25 percent to 157.56 per dollar and 0.33 percent to 181.36 per euro. However, it remains significantly stronger than the nearly 40-year low of 163.99 reached before last week's coordinated intervention by Japan and the U.S. In bond markets, crude oil prices fell on expectations of an end to hostilities between the U.S. and Iran, and fading speculation of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September pushed the two-year yield down 6.22 basis points to 4.194 percent, its lowest in about two weeks. The 10-year yield also fell 5.72 basis points to 4.627 percent. Gold futures rose 1 percent as the sharp drop in oil eased inflation concerns, with U.S. gold futures settling 1.5 percent higher at 4,152.60 dollars. U.S. crude futures fell more than 5 percent, with Brent crude down 5.3 percent to 79.36 dollars and WTI crude down 5.7 percent to 75.77 dollars, hitting their lowest in about three weeks.
CAT · Capital · Positive Strong earnings from Caterpillar lifted the market.
PLTR · Capital · Positive Strong earnings from Palantir lifted the market.
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