Cboe Global Markets, Inc. operates a derivatives and securities exchange network through its subsidiaries, providing trading, clearing, and investment solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in five segments: Options, North American Equities, Europe and Asia Pacific, Futures, and Global FX. The company was formerly known as CBOE Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Cboe Global Markets, Inc. in October 2017. Founded in 1973, it is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Cboe's record profits overshadowed by new competition and its own prediction-market launch
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Competitive threats crush stock despite record earnings Cboe's stock fell from $370 to $250 in a month on fears that Kalshi's CFTC-approved perpetual futures and Schwab's binary options will steal its core options business. This fear is the main reason the stock is down, even though Cboe just posted record earnings and raised guidance.
This is the biggest force driving CBOE's price right now—a sharp sell-off on competitive fears.
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Cboe launches its own prediction market suite Cboe launched Cboe Predicts, binary options on the Mini S&P 500, available through brokers like Schwab and Interactive Brokers. This lets Cboe compete directly with Kalshi and Polymarket, potentially attracting new trading volume and defending its index options franchise.
This is Cboe's direct response to the competitive threat, a new product that could drive future revenue.
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Schwab to host S&P 500 prediction markets via Cboe Charles Schwab plans to offer S&P 500 prediction markets through Cboe, using binary contracts. Schwab has $11.8 trillion in customer assets, so this partnership could bring significant new trading volume to Cboe's platform.
A major distribution deal that could boost Cboe's trading volume and revenue.
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Record options volume from SpaceX IPO frenzy SpaceX's IPO sparked record options trading (1.8 million contracts) and heavy ETF activity. As a major options exchange, Cboe likely benefited from this surge in transaction revenue, showing its business can thrive on market excitement.
Demonstrates strong demand for options trading, a core driver of Cboe's revenue.
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Cboe's record results and new products face rising competition
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Record Q2 revenue and raised guidance Cboe reported record Q2 net revenue of $732 million, up 25% from a year ago, and raised its full-year growth outlook to mid-to-high teens. Adjusted earnings per share jumped 45% to $3.56. This shows the core business is growing faster than expected, which supports a higher stock price.
This is the period's biggest positive fundamental update and directly explains why CBOE is moving.
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New earnings-based options could open a new market Cboe is seeking SEC approval for binary options tied to corporate earnings metrics, covering 23 companies and over 100 metrics. If approved, this expands Cboe's product lineup and fee revenue, helping it compete with prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
This is a new product initiative that could drive future revenue growth and is a key reason investors are watching CBOE.
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Kalshi asks SEC to delay Cboe's earnings contracts Kalshi, a prediction market, asked the SEC to hold off approving Cboe's new binary earnings options, arguing they compete with its own products. This could slow or block Cboe's launch, creating uncertainty and potentially delaying a new revenue stream.
This is a direct competitive and regulatory threat that could hurt CBOE's growth plans.
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Trump push to bring Hyperliquid onshore threatens crypto derivatives share President Trump said regulators are working to bring crypto platform Hyperliquid into the U.S. legally. Cboe shares fell as much as 6.1% on the news, as Hyperliquid's onshore move could take crypto derivatives volume away from mainstream exchanges like Cboe.
This is a new competitive threat that directly moved CBOE's stock and could pressure its crypto business.
Q3 2026
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Cboe's record results and new products face rising competition
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Record Q2 revenue and raised guidance Cboe reported record Q2 net revenue of $732 million, up 25% from a year ago, and raised its full-year growth outlook to mid-to-high teens. Adjusted earnings per share jumped 45% to $3.56. This shows the core business is growing faster than expected, which supports a higher stock price.
This is the period's biggest positive fundamental update and directly explains why CBOE is moving.
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New earnings-based options could open a new market Cboe is seeking SEC approval for binary options tied to corporate earnings metrics, covering 23 companies and over 100 metrics. If approved, this expands Cboe's product lineup and fee revenue, helping it compete with prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
This is a new product initiative that could drive future revenue growth and is a key reason investors are watching CBOE.
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Kalshi asks SEC to delay Cboe's earnings contracts Kalshi, a prediction market, asked the SEC to hold off approving Cboe's new binary earnings options, arguing they compete with its own products. This could slow or block Cboe's launch, creating uncertainty and potentially delaying a new revenue stream.
This is a direct competitive and regulatory threat that could hurt CBOE's growth plans.
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Trump push to bring Hyperliquid onshore threatens crypto derivatives share President Trump said regulators are working to bring crypto platform Hyperliquid into the U.S. legally. Cboe shares fell as much as 6.1% on the news, as Hyperliquid's onshore move could take crypto derivatives volume away from mainstream exchanges like Cboe.
This is a new competitive threat that directly moved CBOE's stock and could pressure its crypto business.
News & notes movingCBOE
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Cboe to Launch KPI-Linked Binary Contracts With Robinhood as First Retail Broker
Cboe Global Markets is expanding its derivatives portfolio with a new category of binary contracts tied to company-specific key performance indicators, expected to launch in October 2026 subject to regulatory approval, with Robinhood set to become the first retail broker to offer them. Cboe plans to initially list contracts linked to 23 U.S.-listed companies, giving investors a way to trade specific corporate metrics and events through SEC-regulated products, and will waive fees on the contracts through the end of 2026 while Robinhood plans to offer them without fees during that period. The exchange also plans to leverage its listing, trading and clearing capabilities, with Cboe Clear U.S. seeking SEC registration to clear the new contracts, which could create additional revenue opportunities as Cboe supports a wider range of traditional and non-traditional financial products. Peers have moved into event-based offerings as well: CME Group has expanded its event-contract offerings with short-duration, outcome-based products across equities, rates and commodities, while Nasdaq has entered the event-based options market with cash-settled, European-style binary options tied to the Nasdaq-100 and Nasdaq-100 Micro Index with a fixed $100 settlement amount and premiums ranging from $0.01 to $1.00. Cboe stock has gained 10% year-to-date against the industry's decrease of 12.5%, and trades at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 19.04 versus the industry average of 19.63, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate points to a 15.9% year-over-year increase in 2026 revenues and a 29.2% year-over-year decline in earnings, followed by a 2.7% revenue increase and 5.7% earnings increase in 2027.
Cboe Global Markets has secured a 25-year extension of its exclusive agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices, keeping S&P 500 Index options rights in place through 2051. Shares of Cboe Global Markets rose 5.17% on the day of the announcement, bringing the one-year total shareholder return to 15.16%, even as the 30-day share price return sits down 10.51%. Longer-term total shareholder returns stand at 77.77% over three years and 135.16% over five years. The stock trades at 21.3 times earnings, below the US Capital Markets average of 39.6 times and the peer group at 24.2 times, but above its own fair ratio estimate of 13.7 times. The most followed analyst narrative puts fair value at $241.95 against a latest close of $275.29, while a two-stage DCF model using WACC estimates intrinsic value at $657.85 per share.
CBOE · Regulation · Positive Cboe secured a 25-year extension of its exclusive S&P 500 Index options rights through 2051, locking in a key licensing agreement.
Cboe Global Markets signed a 25-year extension of its exclusive licensing agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices, continuing their collaboration through 2051, and its shares rose 5% on the news. The extended agreement maintains Cboe's exclusive rights to offer trading in its flagship S&P 500 Index options, known as SPX options, and opens opportunities for innovation beyond traditional index derivatives, including potential new products such as tokenized options contracts. Under the extended agreement, 2026 royalty fee terms will remain unchanged, with updated terms beginning in 2027; Cboe estimates the 2027 royalty fee terms will have a de minimis impact on the company's 2027 net revenue growth when considered against organic and ecosystem-driven volume growth, pricing optimization opportunities, and continued business execution. The collaboration between Cboe and S&P DJI began in 1983 with the launch of SPX options, and SPX options set a record annual volume of 970.6 million contracts in 2025, with average daily volume of 3.9 million contracts, representing a 25% increase over the prior year and marking the fourth consecutive year of record trading activity. Cboe CEO Craig Donohue said the extension allows the company to further grow its SPX and VIX franchises while providing certainty and continuity for customers, and S&P DJI CEO Catherine Clay said investor demand for exposure to U.S. equities continues to accelerate; Cboe plans to provide more specific 2027 organic total net revenue guidance in February with its fourth quarter earnings.
CBOE · Regulation · Positive Cboe signed a 25-year extension of its exclusive S&P 500 (SPX) options licensing agreement through 2051, securing its flagship franchise.
CME Sues CFTC Over Perpetual Futures as $93 Trillion Market Looms
CME Group sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on June 18 to classify perpetual futures as swaps rather than futures, after the CFTC accepted KalshiEX's bitcoin perpetual contract as a futures contract on May 29. Bank of America estimates crypto perpetual trading will reach over $93 trillion in 2025, almost five times the size of the underlying crypto spot market, with CoinGecko putting combined centralized and decentralized perpetual volume at roughly $92.9 trillion. Bank of America rates CME Underperform with a $230 price target, but argues the exchange could benefit whether it wins, loses, or merely slows the regulatory process, since a win would impose swap-dealer registration and stricter margin standards on perps while a loss would leave CME's exclusive futures license agreements for the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, and Russell 2000 protecting its index franchise. The bank names Intercontinental Exchange its top exchange pick with a Buy rating and $232 price target, citing its institutional client base and March investment in crypto platform OKX at a $25 billion valuation, and rates Cboe Neutral with a $354 price target after the stock fell about 30% between May 15 and June 30.
CME · Regulation · Neutral CME sued the CFTC to classify perpetual futures as swaps rather than futures, a regulatory/legal battle over its futures franchise.
CME · Capital · Neutral Bank of America rates CME Underperform with a $230 price target, arguing it could benefit whether it wins, loses, or slows the regulatory process.
ICE · Capital · Positive Named Bank of America's top exchange pick with a Buy rating and $232 price target, citing its institutional client base and March investment in OKX.
CBOE · Capital · Neutral Rated Neutral with a $354 price target after the stock fell ~30% between May 15 and June 30; no company-specific driver given.
Nasdaq, NYSE Arca and Cboe EDGX Plan 23-Hour US Equities Trading From Dec. 6
Nasdaq, NYSE Arca and Cboe EDGX plan to extend US equities trading to 23 hours a day, five days a week beginning Dec. 6, subject to final SEC approval. Seeking Alpha analysts Luca Socci and Jack Bowman weighed the pros and cons of near-continuous trading. Socci said the shift toward a 24-hour market is a matter of when, not if, arguing that more activity will be regulated and exchange structures will improve, that non-US residents will see the time-zone mismatch reduced, and that price discovery could become more continuous, narrowing gaps at the opening bell. He cautioned that longer hours do not necessarily mean more liquidity and that companies will have to figure out how to release earnings while the market is open, noting Berkshire's Saturday reporting strategy could find followers. Bowman said the main benefit for retail investors is no longer being bound to traditional market hours, but warned overnight demand is thin outside institutions and that spreading liquidity across 23 hours will fragment it further. Both flagged exchanges as beneficiaries, with Socci naming Cboe Global Markets, Nasdaq, Intercontinental Exchange, Equinix, Digital Realty Trust, Broadridge Financial Solutions and Virtu Financial, while Bowman cited Nasdaq, the NYSE, Cboe Global Markets and CME, expecting derivatives volume to rise as cross-security hedging becomes more viable.
NDAQ · Regulation · Positive Nasdaq is one of the exchanges planning to extend US equities trading to 23 hours a day from Dec. 6, and is named as a beneficiary of the shift.
CBOE · Demand · Positive Cboe EDGX is one of the exchanges extending trading to 23 hours, and Cboe Global Markets is named as a beneficiary by both analysts.
BR · Demand · Positive Named by Socci as a beneficiary of the shift to 23-hour US equities trading.
ICE · Demand · Positive Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE Arca parent) is extending trading to 23 hours and is named by Socci as a beneficiary.
VIRT · Regulation · Positive Virtu Financial is named by Socci as a beneficiary of the move toward near-continuous 23-hour US equities trading.
CME · Demand · Positive Bowman cites CME, expecting derivatives volume to rise as cross-security hedging becomes more viable with longer hours.
Kalshi Asks SEC to Delay Cboe's Competing Earnings Contracts
Kalshi has asked the Securities and Exchange Commission to hold off on approving new binary options contracts from Cboe Global Markets tied to corporate earnings metrics, arguing the products would compete with event contracts Kalshi already offers. In a letter sent this month, Kalshi said the SEC should wait until a broader effort to clarify regulatory lines between the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is finished. The dispute reverses earlier industry debates in which Cboe and CME Group argued prediction market products were approved too quickly by the CFTC. Kalshi operates its contracts under CFTC oversight, while Cboe sought SEC approval for its proposed binary options tied to corporate performance metrics. Kalshi is separately seeking CFTC approval for new perpetual equity futures that could compete with Cboe's S&P 500 options.
Trump Says US Regulators Working to Bring Hyperliquid Onshore
President Donald Trump said US regulators are working to bring Hyperliquid, a fast-growing crypto platform, into the country, offering one of the clearest signals yet that the White House wants to pull a major piece of the industry's offshore market infrastructure onshore. Trump said at a White House event that he understands Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Michael Selig is working to bring Hyperliquid into the United States in a fully compliant and legal fashion. Shares of Hyperliquid Strategies, which trades under the ticker PURR, jumped as much as 31% Wednesday, while shares of mainstream US exchange operators fell to session lows, with Cboe Global Markets declining as much as 6.1% and CME Group falling as much as 3.4%. Hyperliquid is a crypto exchange best known for perpetual futures, and the CFTC has recently laid out conditions under which regulated US platforms can offer such contracts as part of a broader Trump administration effort to move crypto businesses and trading activity into the American financial system.
Kalshi seeks CFTC approval for equity index perpetual futures
Kalshi has filed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to launch perpetual futures tied to equity indexes, expanding beyond its prediction market roots. The proposed US500 perp would track the MerQube U.S. Large Cap Index, which covers the largest 500 U.S.-listed and based companies. The filing also seeks approval for perpetual futures tied to industrial metal copper, following a prior proposal for gold and silver perps. Kalshi said perps had over $90 trillion in global volume in 2025, and its own perpetual futures crossed $1 billion in notional volume within a week of launch. Shares of CME Group and CBOE Global Markets rose on Tuesday despite earlier concerns about increased competition from domestic perps.
Major Japanese online brokerages to enable US stock trading during Japan daytime hours
Five major online brokerages, including SBI Securities and Rakuten Securities, will make it possible to buy and sell US stocks during Japan's daytime hours, Nikkei reported on the 12th. Behind this is the extension of trading hours in US stock markets. Nasdaq plans to extend trading to 23 hours on weekdays, with the SEC approving a rule change in April this year and a start scheduled for December 2026. Nasdaq's current trading hours are from 4 a.m. to 8 p.m. US Eastern Time, but overnight trading from 9 p.m. to 4 a.m. the next morning will be added, and from Japan's perspective, this US nighttime falls exactly during the daytime. NYSE Arca, under the New York Stock Exchange, and the major US exchange Cboe are also moving in a similar direction, because US stocks are no longer a trading target only for Americans. In March this year, PayPay listed on the Nasdaq in the US. One of Japan's leading payment services chose a US stock market rather than Japan as its listing venue. Companies list in the US. Investors are in Japan. Smartphone apps connected the two.
Cboe Global Markets Raises Quarterly Dividend 19% to $0.86
Cboe Global Markets has approved a 19% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.86 per share for the third quarter of 2026. The higher payout is scheduled for September 15, 2026, for shareholders of record on August 31, 2026. The announcement comes alongside recent growth initiatives in the company's clearing operations. Cboe shares trade at $296.14, with a 30-day return of 6.87% and a 5-year total shareholder return of 143.97%. A Simply Wall St analysis suggests the stock may be overvalued by about 22.4% relative to a fair value estimate of $241.95, though a separate DCF model puts intrinsic value at $657.85 per share.
tastytrade launches overnight index options trading for SPX, VIX, XSP, and RUT
tastytrade has launched full support for Cboe Global Trading Hours, giving customers nearly 24-hour weekday access to SPX, VIX, XSP, and RUT options. The new session runs overnight from 8:15 p.m. ET to 9:25 a.m. ET Sunday through Friday, plus a 4:15 to 5:00 p.m. ET curb session, enabling traders to act on pre-market economic releases and international news. Pete Mulmat, Head of Brokerage, noted that XSP is a top 10 product on tastytrade's platform while ranking outside the top 40 industry-wide. The move comes as Cboe reports GTH volume recently exceeded 4% of total SPX options volume, up from roughly 3% months earlier. tastytrade is also preparing to extend overnight trading to single stock options for the first time during earnings season.
CBOE · Demand · Positive Cboe's GTH volume growth and tastytrade's launch of overnight trading for its products increase trading activity and demand for Cboe's options.
Cboe Reports Record Q2 Net Revenue of $732 Million, Raises 2026 Guidance
Cboe Global Markets reported record net revenue of $732 million for the second quarter of 2026, a 25% increase year-over-year, and raised its full-year organic net revenue growth guidance to mid-to-high teens. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 45% to $3.56. The derivatives business delivered another record quarter with net revenue increasing to $413 million, up 30% year-over-year, driven by a 32% increase in index options average daily volume to 6.2 million contracts. SPX 0DTE volume reached 3.1 million contracts ADV, with an 11% month-over-month increase in June following the repeal of the pattern day trader rule, which management said eliminated a friction point and led to a 40% increase in SPX simple order counts across retail channels. The company also filed with the SEC in July to list company-specific KPI contracts on 23 of the most actively traded U.S. companies, targeting a launch in the second half of September or early October pending regulatory approval. Data Vantage net revenue grew 15% to $178 million, and the company increased its capital expenditures guidance to $98 million to $108 million to support global clearing infrastructure.
CBOE Global Markets reports second-quarter profit rises to $351.8 million
CBOE Global Markets posted a second-quarter profit of $351.8 million, or $3.35 per share, up from $233.9 million, or $2.23 per share, a year earlier. Excluding items, adjusted earnings came to $373.6 million, or $3.56 per share. Revenue climbed 22.9% to $1.442 billion from $1.173 billion in the prior-year period.
Zacks Highlights Four Securities and Exchanges Stocks to Watch Despite Intense Competition
Zacks Investment Research identifies CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange, Nasdaq, and Cboe Global Markets as securities and exchanges stocks to watch despite intense industry competition. The industry faces challenges from alternative trading systems and digital-asset platforms, but these four companies benefit from diversified product portfolios, rising trading volumes, and a growing focus on non-trading revenue sources such as market data and technology services. Nasdaq carries a Zacks Rank #2, or Buy, while CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange, and Cboe Global Markets each hold a Zacks Rank #3, or Hold. The broader Zacks Securities and Exchanges industry has underperformed the S&P 500 year to date, losing 11.5% compared with the index's 7.6% gain, and its aggregate earnings estimates for 2026 have decreased 1.7% since April.
XDTE’s 32% Yield Overstates Ongoing Run Rate, Realistic Returns in Low 20s
The Roundhill S&P 500 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF’s 32.5% trailing yield overstates its sustainable income, with realistic ongoing returns expected in the low 20s given current low volatility. The fund’s headline yield was inflated by two large year-end distributions in December 2025 totaling over $3.40 per share, and stripping those out brings the forward estimate to roughly $2.22 annualized based on recent weekly payments. With the VIX near 16, well below its trailing 12-month average, option premiums have compressed across the 0DTE fund family, including the Roundhill Innovation-100 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF and the Roundhill Russell 2000 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF. XDTE matched SPY’s 21% total return over the past year, but its covered call cap means it will lag in strong rallies. Investors should size positions expecting a run rate closer to the low 20s rather than the low 30s, treating anything above that as a bonus from a future volatility spike.
Cboe expects SK Hynix options to trade two business days after Nasdaq debut
Cboe Global Markets expects to list options on SK Hynix's U.S.-listed shares two business days after the stock's trading debut, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters. The South Korean chipmaker raised $26.5 billion in its share sale and is set to make its Wall Street entry later on Friday. Options tied to the Nasdaq listing will trade according to existing regulatory rules and the Options Listing Procedures Plan framework. SK Hynix, valued at about $1.03 trillion based on its South Korea-listed shares, did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
CBOE · Capital · Positive Cboe expects to list options on SK Hynix's U.S. shares, generating new trading volume and fee revenue.
000660.KO · Capital · Positive SK Hynix raised $26.5 billion in its U.S. share sale and is set to debut on Nasdaq, increasing its access to capital and investor base.
SK Hynix US listing triggers rush of single-stock ETF filings
At least 10 fund managers, including Direxion and ProShares, have filed to list single-stock exchange-traded funds tracking SK Hynix as the chipmaker prepares to begin trading in the United States. Almost all of the filings are for leveraged and inverse strategies tied to SK Hynix's Nasdaq-listed American depositary receipts, with the company due to start trading on the Nasdaq on Friday after raising 26.5 billion dollars this week. ThemesETFs plans to list a 2x levered ETF and a 1x short ETF on Cboe on July 13 under its Leverage Shares brand, while CorgiFunds has filed to list a 2x levered SK Hynix ETF on the Cboe BZX Exchange scheduled to begin trading the same day. Direxion is also seeking to list a 2x levered SK Hynix ETF that will begin trading shortly after the ADR lists on Nasdaq. Leveraged ETFs tracking SK Hynix's shares in Korea have been cited as a factor warping the Seoul market, with the head of the country's market regulator saying he regretted approving them.
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM Capital
000660.KO · Capital · Positive SK Hynix is the subject of the article; its US listing and ETF filings increase investor access and demand for its shares.
Direxion · Capital · Positive Direxion is filing a leveraged SK Hynix ETF, which could generate fee revenue.
Corgi Funds · Capital · Positive Corgi Funds is filing a leveraged SK Hynix ETF, potentially increasing its assets under management.
Themes Management Company LLC · Capital · Positive ThemesETFs is listing leveraged and inverse SK Hynix ETFs, likely boosting its product lineup and fees.
CBOE · Capital · Positive Cboe will host listing of new SK Hynix ETFs, generating fee revenue.
Wall Street declined on Wednesday after President Donald Trump declared the U.S.-Iran ceasefire over following renewed strikes. The Dow fell 1%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.2%. Nine of the 11 S&P sectors moved lower, with materials the worst performer and energy the best as oil prices surged over 4% to $73.75 per barrel. Iran targeted U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait after Washington launched strikes in response to attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury yields rose, with the 2-year up 3 basis points to 4.22%, the 10-year up 2 basis points to 4.58%, and the 30-year up 2 basis points to 5.08%. Cboe Global Markets gained 4.6% while Palantir Technologies fell 5.2%.
Cboe Global Markets Reports Record June 2026 Trading Volume
Cboe Global Markets reported record monthly and quarterly trading volume across its four options exchanges for June and the second quarter of 2026. Total options average daily volume reached 23.0 million contracts in June, up 40.5% from a year earlier, with multi-listed options ADV of 16.6 million contracts and index options ADV of 6.3 million contracts. A new single-day record of 33.4 million total options contracts was set on June 5. The company also provided preliminary second-quarter revenue per contract guidance, including $0.064 for multi-listed options and $0.953 for index options.
Cboe Global Markets Raises Revenue Outlook on Diversified Growth
Cboe Global Markets has raised its organic net revenue growth outlook to the low double-digit to mid-teens range, up from prior mid-single-digit guidance, reflecting strength across its diversified business lines. The company's revenues have risen approximately 25% over the past two years, driven by structural market trends, product innovation, and an increasingly diversified model that spans options, equities, futures, foreign exchange, digital assets, and market data. Its options franchise remains the largest growth engine, with strong institutional demand for SPX and VIX index options for portfolio hedging, income generation, and volatility management. Cboe is also expanding recurring, non-transaction revenues through market data, connectivity, and access services, which benefit from growing demand by quantitative firms and institutional investors. International expansion through acquisitions in Europe, Canada, Australia, and Japan has broadened the customer base and created cross-selling opportunities, while investments in foreign exchange and digital asset infrastructure position the company for emerging institutional demand.
Cboe Seeks SEC Approval for Binary Options on Corporate Earnings Metrics
Cboe Global Markets is seeking US regulatory approval to list binary options tied to corporate earnings results, allowing traders to wager on whether specific financial or operating metrics meet preset thresholds. The proposed 'binary KPI options' would settle based on reported figures rather than stock price movements, covering 23 companies and more than 100 possible metrics including SpaceX revenue, Nvidia data-center sales, JPMorgan credit-loss provisions, Apple iPhone sales, Coinbase trading volume, and Tesla Model 3 and Model Y production. The move comes as traditional exchange operators race to introduce event-driven contracts to compete with prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, while keeping trading on regulated securities exchanges overseen by the SEC. Cboe recently revived a similar contract for yes-or-no bets on the S&P 500, Nasdaq has approval to launch binary index options later this year, and Intercontinental Exchange is adding futures tied to monetary-policy decisions and natural gas storage.
CBOE · Regulation · Positive Cboe seeks SEC approval for new binary options on corporate earnings, a regulatory step that could expand its product lineup and revenue.
Cboe Global Markets Stock May Trade at a Premium Despite Prediction Markets Launch
Cboe Global Markets stock has returned 121.3% over the past five years, but recent weakness and a mixed valuation score raise questions about whether the current price around US$242 is reasonable. The company's new prediction market and crypto derivatives initiatives support expectations for future trading activity, though rising competition and softer volatility remain key risks. With a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.7 times, Cboe trades below the broader capital markets industry average of 39.9 times, yet a tailored fair P/E model suggests a ratio of 15.4 times, indicating the stock may be overvalued on an earnings basis. The stock's next move may depend on whether recent price weakness has already absorbed these risks or if the current valuation still embeds too much optimism.
Financial sector climbs in Q2 as Robinhood leads gainers, CME heads losers
The financial sector gained 8.66% in the second quarter of 2026, as measured by the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF, but underperformed the broader S&P 500's 13.16% return. Robinhood Markets was the biggest winner in the financial sector during Q2, soaring 53.90%, while CME Group was the biggest detractor, declining 25.79%. Other top gainers included Franklin Resources, up 45.22%, and Interactive Brokers, up 36.66%, while Intercontinental Exchange fell 21.56% and Cboe Global Markets lost 14.04%. Analyst Ian Bezek noted that prediction markets drove many of the quarter's biggest movers, with Robinhood and Interactive Brokers benefiting from event contracts, while traditional exchanges faced concerns about losing market share.
ICE · Competition · Negative Traditional exchanges like Intercontinental Exchange face concerns about losing market share to prediction markets, which drove gains for competitors like Robinhood and Interactive Brokers.
BEN · Demand · Positive Franklin Resources gained 45.22% in Q2, benefiting from prediction market growth.
Zacks.com highlights five low-leverage stocks amid tech sell-off
Zacks.com featured Ternium, CBOE Global Markets, Tutor Perini, Sunstone Hotel Investors, and Casey's General Stores as low-leverage stock picks amid a widespread tech sell-off. The article notes that Wall Street finished June 24, 2026, on a mixed note as investors rotated out of high-flying technology stocks, causing the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to pull back while the Dow edged higher. Against this volatile backdrop, Zacks recommends fiscally conservative companies with low debt-to-equity ratios, highlighting Ternium's 220.6% earnings per ADS improvement to $1.09 in the first quarter of 2026, CBOE's launch of its new prediction markets suite, Tutor Perini's $114 million contract for the Jones Hall Project, Sunstone Hotel Investors' agreement to sell the Hyatt Regency San Francisco for $279 million, and Casey's General Stores' new three-year strategic plan to add at least 400 stores. All five stocks carry favorable Zacks Ranks, with Ternium, CBOE, Sunstone, and Casey's holding a Zacks Rank #1 and Tutor Perini a Zacks Rank #2.
Charles Schwab is expanding into prediction markets by working with Cboe Global Markets to introduce all-or-nothing options contracts that let customers make yes-or-no bets on the performance of the S&P 500. The binary options pay a fixed cash settlement or nothing depending on whether the index closes above or below a specified target price, and Schwab plans to make them available in the coming months. The brokerage is also developing a similar offering using Cboe's "plus zone" feature, which allows a partial payout if the prediction is close. Schwab and Cboe have discussed contracts tied to other indexes or financial benchmarks, but the firm intends to focus on measurable financial-market outcomes and is not considering events like World Cup results or the Oscars.
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Wealth & Robo-Advisory Competition
SCHW · Technology · Positive Schwab is expanding into prediction markets with new binary options products, a strategic move to attract customers and generate fees.
CBOE · Demand · Positive Cboe is partnering with Schwab to introduce new binary options contracts, likely increasing trading volume and revenue for Cboe.
Cboe Launches Cboe Predicts Binary Options on Mini S&P 500 Index
Cboe Global Markets has launched Cboe Predicts, a new regulated prediction markets suite offering binary options tied to the Mini S&P 500 Index. The first contracts are available through major retail brokers including Interactive Brokers and Charles Schwab, with each contract sized at one-tenth of standard SPX options. The yes-or-no payoff structure simplifies decision-making while operating under the same regulatory framework and Options Clearing Corporation clearing as other U.S. listed options. Cboe is positioning the product to compete with prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, and plans to introduce a Quoted Spread Book to package vertical spreads into a more intuitive format. The launch expands Cboe's existing index options franchise into event-based contracts, though it remains to be seen how much trading volume the new suite will attract.
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Wealth & Robo-Advisory ▲Demand
CBOE · Demand · Positive Cboe launches new prediction markets product, expanding its index options franchise and potentially attracting new trading volume.
CBOE · Technology · Positive Cboe launches new prediction markets product, expanding its index options franchise.
Kalshi · Competition · Negative Cboe's new regulated prediction market competes with Kalshi's platform.
Polymarket · Competition · Negative Cboe's new regulated prediction market competes with Polymarket's platform.
IBKR · Demand · Positive Interactive Brokers is one of the first retail brokers offering the new contracts, potentially attracting trading volume.
SCHW · Demand · Positive Charles Schwab is one of the first retail brokers offering the new contracts, potentially attracting trading volume.
CBOE launches prediction market suite with first products
The Chicago Board Options Exchange has moved into the prediction market space with the launch of CBOE Predicts, a new suite of prediction market products. The 50-year-old options exchange, known for inventing the VIX, is now offering contracts on whether the S&P will close above or below a certain number by the end of the day. This move comes as prediction markets gain traction, with pioneers like Polymarket and Kalshi already in the space and Meta reportedly developing a prediction markets app called Arena that will trade on points rather than dollars. The development signals a convergence of traditional exchanges, prediction market companies, and crypto platforms, with firms like Kalshi also starting to offer perpetual swaps on Bitcoin.
Cboe Global Markets Tumbles on Competitive Fears Despite Record Earnings
Cboe Global Markets shares have plunged from $370 to around $250 over the past month as Wall Street repriced the stock on competitive fears, even though the company posted one of its best quarters ever. The world's largest options exchange reported first-quarter adjusted earnings of $3.70 per share, beating estimates by 9%, on net revenue of $729 million versus a $688 million consensus, with operating margins expanding to 72.4% from 66.0% a year ago. Management raised full-year organic revenue growth guidance to low double-digit to mid-teens and cut operating expense guidance to $838-853 million, while announcing a strategic realignment that will reduce the workforce by 20%. Analysts have revised current-year EPS estimates up nine times in the past 60 days with no downgrades, pushing the full-year consensus from $12.44 to $13.34, yet the stock was driven down by concerns over CFTC approval of perpetual futures for Kalshi and Schwab's plans for a binary options product. Cboe pushed back, noting its SPX options ecosystem took decades to build and cannot be replicated overnight, and it is moving into event markets itself with securities-based XSP event contracts in the pipeline.
CBOE · Competition · Negative Stock plunged on competitive fears from Kalshi's CFTC-approved perpetual futures and Schwab's binary options product.
SCHW · Competition · Neutral Schwab's plans for a binary options product are mentioned as a competitive threat to Cboe, but Schwab itself is not directly impacted by the news.
Kalshi · Regulation · Neutral Kalshi's CFTC approval for perpetual futures is cited as a competitive threat to Cboe, but Kalshi itself is not discussed further.
Cboe Faces New ETF Rivals as Perpetual Futures Threaten Core Business
Cboe Global Markets is confronting rising competition after new leveraged single-stock ETFs and other rival products were launched. Recent regulatory changes, including the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's approval of perpetual futures, are challenging Cboe's existing business model. The company is reported to be restructuring its organization to respond, which may introduce execution risks and near-term revenue pressure. The stock trades around $249.1, with the share price down 15.5% over the past week and 31.0% over the past month, while remaining up 11.5% over the past year and 118.7% over five years.
CME sues CFTC to reclassify Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual as a swap
CME Group has sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission over its approval of regulated crypto perpetual futures, arguing that Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual should be treated as a swap rather than a futures contract. The exchange contends that classifying the product as a swap would push it into a more restrictive, institution-facing rulebook, making it harder to launch and distribute to retail traders. The CFTC called the suit frivolous and said it looks forward to dismissing it. The legal challenge reflects unease among incumbent exchanges like CME and ICE, whose business models rely on recurring trading and clearing fees from expiring futures contracts, a revenue stream that perpetuals—which do not expire—threaten to disrupt. Shares of CME, Cboe, and ICE fell when regulators opened a compliant path for U.S. perpetuals, signaling investor concern over real competition.
CME · Competition · Negative CME sues CFTC to reclassify Kalshi's Bitcoin perpetual as a swap, fearing disruption to its futures-based revenue model.
Kalshi · Regulation · Positive Kalshi's Bitcoin perpetual was approved by CFTC, but CME's lawsuit challenges that approval; positive for Kalshi if suit fails.
CBOE · Competition · Negative Investor concern over real competition from perpetuals, as Cboe shares fell on the news.
ICE · Competition · Negative Investor concern over real competition from perpetuals, as ICE shares fell on the news.
SpaceX Surges 4.8% to $2.6 Trillion Valuation Amid Retail FOMO and ETF Frenzy
SpaceX surged 4.8% Tuesday, its third straight gain after a landmark IPO, closing at a $2.6 trillion valuation that briefly surpassed Amazon and Microsoft in intraday trading. The company lost $4.9 billion on $18.7 billion in revenue last year, while Amazon earned $77.7 billion on $716.9 billion in revenue and Microsoft netted $101.8 billion on $281.7 billion in revenue. Morningstar analysts called the stock highly overvalued and lowered their price target by a dollar to $62, though they said an AI revenue boost from the pending $60 billion all-stock acquisition of coding startup Cursor could lift their bearish view to $154 to $169 per share. Retail traders bought $225.2 million in SpaceX stock in its first two days, equal to 75% of all net buying of single stocks, while 11 leveraged ETFs benchmarked to SpaceX attracted more than $3 billion in volume Tuesday, up from $1 billion on their Monday debut. Options trading also began Tuesday with a record 1.8 million contracts worth $2.8 billion changing hands, with call options outnumbering puts 1.3-to-1.