Trump weighs shielding farmers from expanded biofuel waivers

โดย Seeking Alpha·US·Read original
Summary · why it matters

The Trump administration is discussing plans to shield the U.S. Farm Belt from an expected expansion of biofuel waivers, a move under consideration to cut gasoline prices for motorists, Reuters reported. The plan would increase biofuel quotas for 2027 by about 500 million gallons to offset damage from exemptions for smaller refineries, which are expected to roughly double from 990 million renewable fuel credits to as many as 1.8 billion. During Trump's first term, broad refinery exemptions drew fierce opposition from Midwest farmers and ethanol producers, and the issue has resurfaced as the administration seeks to lower fuel costs ahead of the November midterm elections. A coalition of farm and biofuel groups urged Trump to reject any waiver expansion, warning of severe and immediate consequences that could collapse biofuel markets and reduce demand for corn and soybean oil. Trump is expected to meet with refiners and fuel retailers in the coming week to highlight efforts to lower gasoline prices.

Impact on assets 17

Synthetic Biology (non-pharma)± Mixed · 10 stocks
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
ADM
▼ NegativeRegulationrelevance

Expanded biofuel waivers would reduce demand for corn and soybean oil, hurting ADM's ethanol and oilseed processing.

HF Sinclair Corp
DINO
▲ PositiveRegulationrelevance

Refiners benefit from expanded waivers, reducing their compliance costs under the RFS.

Bunge Global SA
BG
▼ NegativeRegulationrelevance

Waiver expansion lowers biofuel demand, reducing demand for soybean oil and other feedstocks Bunge processes.

Darling Ingredients Inc
DAR
▼ NegativeRegulationrelevance

Waiver expansion cuts biofuel demand, reducing demand for rendered products and feedstocks used in biodiesel.

Phillips 66
PSX
▼ NegativeRegulationrelevance

As a major refiner, Phillips 66 may face lower compliance costs from waivers, but the offsetting increase in biofuel quotas could raise overall obligations.

Valero Energy Corporation
VLO
▼ NegativeRegulationrelevance

Valero, a large refiner, could see reduced RIN costs from waivers, but higher quotas may increase its compliance burden.

Gevo Inc
GEVO
▼ NegativeRegulationrelevance

Expanded waivers could reduce biofuel demand, hurting Gevo's renewable fuel business.

FutureFuel Corp
FF
± MixedRegulationrelevance

FutureFuel, a biofuel producer, faces uncertainty from waiver expansion and quota adjustments.

Marathon Petroleum Corp
MPC
± MixedRegulationrelevance

Marathon Petroleum, a refiner, may benefit from waivers but face quota increases.

Energy± Mixed · 3 stocks
REX American Resources Corporation
REX
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

REX American Resources, an ethanol producer, would benefit from increased biofuel quotas that offset waiver expansion, supporting ethanol demand.

PBF Energy Inc
PBF
▼ NegativeRegulationrelevance

Expanded biofuel waivers for small refineries could reduce demand for RINs, lowering compliance costs but potentially hurting refiners' margins.

Delek US Energy Inc
DK
± MixedRegulationrelevance

Refiner waivers could benefit Delek as a refiner, but potential quota increases may offset.

Energy Transition & Power Demand▼ · 1 stocks
Clean Energy Fuels Corp
CLNE
▼ NegativeRegulationrelevance

Increased waivers reduce RFS obligations, lowering demand for renewable natural gas and biofuel credits.

Theme Impact 1

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