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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company supplies human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions across the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and other international markets. It operates through three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company is involved in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, oilseed crushing and processing, and the production and sale of vegetable oils, protein meals, and specialty food and feed ingredients. Founded in 1902, it is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Price · split & dividend adjusted

Why is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) moving?

Latest
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ADM's biofuel-driven profit surge meets a regulatory threat

  • ADM raises 2026 profit outlook on strong biofuel and crush results ADM lifted its 2026 earnings forecast to $5.15–$5.60 a share from $4.15–$4.70 after a strong quarter, with segment profit up 75% and oilseed crushing profit up 129%. Higher expected profit makes the stock more attractive to investors.

    This is the core positive force behind ADM's price right now.

  • EPA biofuel waiver expansion threatens ethanol demand The EPA delayed a compliance deadline and is expected to roughly double small-refinery biofuel waivers, which would free up credits and cut demand for ethanol and soybean oil. That would squeeze ADM's ethanol and oilseed margins, a real counterweight to the profit surge.

    This is the main risk pulling ADM's price down and balances the positive news.

  • ADM invests $100 million to expand US oilseed crushing ADM will spend about $100 million to add 700,000 tons of crush capacity at four plants by 2028–2029, within its existing budget. The expansion signals confidence in strong crushing demand and supports future earnings growth.

    Shows management is putting money behind the strong crush results, supporting the stock.

  • ADM targets $500–$750 million in cost savings ADM aims to cut $500–$750 million in costs over three to five years through efficiency and portfolio simplification, having already saved $200 million in 2025. Lower costs would boost profit and support the earnings outlook.

    A new plan that improves profitability and adds to the positive story.

Q3 2026
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ADM Q3: Strong Earnings Offset by Biofuel Waiver Risks

  • Earnings Surge and Guidance Raise ADM's Q2 profit jumped to $908M, full-year EPS guidance rose to $5.15–$5.60, and key segments like Ag Services and Nutrition posted double-digit profit growth, signaling robust demand.

    This is the core positive driver of ADM's performance in Q3, directly boosting investor confidence.

  • Cost Savings and Capacity Expansion ADM is targeting $500–$750M in cost savings and investing $100M to expand crush capacity, which should improve efficiency and support future growth.

    These initiatives show management's focus on operational improvements and long-term growth, key to the bull case.

  • Regulatory Threat from Biofuel Waivers The EPA's expected doubling of small-refinery biofuel waivers threatens ethanol and soybean oil demand, potentially squeezing ADM's margins and adding policy uncertainty.

    This regulatory risk is a major overhang that could hurt ADM's biofuel-related profits and investor sentiment.

  • Share Price Decline on Cost and Policy Concerns ADM shares fell 7.7% during the quarter as investors worried about expansion costs and policy uncertainty, highlighting market skepticism despite strong earnings.

    This reflects the market's negative reaction to risks, showing that not all news was positive for the stock.

News & notes moving ADM
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Synthetic Biology (non-pharma)▲

CJ CheilJedang and ADM to Form Amino Acid Joint Venture Majority Owned by CJ

CJ CheilJedang and ADM have agreed to form a new joint venture to secure a reliable, long-term source of feed-grade amino acids critical to the livestock industry, strengthening U.S. production, global supply chain resilience and U.S. food security. The joint venture will develop, manufacture and market fermentation-derived amino acids by combining CJ's fermentation production facilities in Fort Dodge, Iowa, and Piracicaba, Brazil, ADM's Decatur, Illinois, feed-grade amino acid plant, and CJ's Mexico, Brazil and U.S. sales offices, along with a license to CJ's intellectual property related to feed-grade amino acids for use by the joint venture within North and South America. CJ and ADM will give the JV exclusive rights to manufacture and sell feed-grade amino acids in the Americas, and CJ will be the majority owner. CJ will retain ownership of its intellectual property and its global fermentation businesses outside the scope of the joint venture, while ADM's other Decatur operations and its other global fermentation assets are not included in the transaction. The launch date for the proposed joint venture is subject to customary closing activities as well as regulatory approvals.
About megatrends
Synthetic Biology (non-pharma) › Bio-Based Materials & Industrial Chemicals Supply
097950.KO · Capital · Positive CJ CheilJedang will be majority owner of the new amino acid JV, contributing its Fort Dodge and Piracicaba plants and licensing its IP.
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM contributes its Decatur feed-grade amino acid plant to a new JV with CJ, expanding its fermentation footprint and securing long-term amino acid supply.
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United States
ADM▲

Ingredion's T&HS Segment Posts Ninth Straight Quarter of Volume Growth

Ingredion Incorporated's Texture & Healthful Solutions segment extended its growth streak, with net sales rising 5% year over year to $627 million and net sales volumes up 7% in the second quarter of 2026, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of volume growth. Segment operating income increased 5% to $117 million, the second-highest quarterly operating income in T&HS history, while operating margin improved to 18.7% from 18.5% a year ago. The company said the volume strength was not driven by customer restocking or demand pulled forward ahead of pricing actions, and that solutions continued to grow faster than the rest of the business. For 2026, Ingredion expects T&HS net sales to rise in the mid-single digits and operating income to increase in the mid-to-high single digits, though higher tapioca costs and an unfavorable price mix could limit margin improvement. Separately, International Flavors & Fragrances reported Taste sales growth of 4% to $688 million and Health & Biosciences growth of 5% to $601 million in the second quarter of 2026, with EBITDA up 6% in both segments, while Archer-Daniels-Midland reported Nutrition operating profit of $172 million, up 51%, and Human Nutrition operating profit up 51% to $139 million.
INGR · Capital · Positive T&HS operating income rose 5% to $117 million with margin improving to 18.7%, and 2026 guidance calls for mid-single-digit sales and mid-to-high single-digit operating income growth.
INGR · Demand · Positive Ingredion's T&HS segment posted its ninth straight quarter of volume growth, with net sales volumes up 7% and sales up 5% to $627 million.
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM reported Nutrition operating profit up 51% and Human Nutrition operating profit up 51% to $139 million in Q2 2026.
IFF · Capital · Positive IFF reported Taste sales growth of 4% to $688 million and Health & Biosciences growth of 5% to $601 million, with EBITDA up 6% in both segments.
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Zacks Investment Research·2dRead more →
United StatesChina
ADM▲

ADM Oilseeds Profit Jumps 129%, Full-Year EPS Outlook Raised to $5.15-$5.60

Archer Daniels Midland's Oilseeds Processing business more than doubled its operating profit in the second quarter of 2026, with operating profit rising 129% from the year-ago period. Global oilseed processing volumes increased nearly 5%, supported by stronger processing margins, better business execution, favorable market conditions and strong soybean meal demand from the pork and poultry industries. ADM raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $5.15-$5.60 from the previous range of $4.15-$4.70. The company expects favorable crushing and ethanol margins to continue supporting results in the second half of 2026, though North American crushing was about 90% locked for the third quarter but only around 30% for the fourth quarter, leaving greater exposure to future margin movements. Management also expects China's soybean purchases from North America to support Ag Services.
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $5.15-$5.60 from $4.15-$4.70 after Oilseeds operating profit jumped 129%.
ADM · Demand · Positive Oilseed processing volumes rose nearly 5% on strong soybean meal demand from pork and poultry industries.
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Zacks Investment Research·6dRead more →
United States
ADM▲

Centene and Archer-Daniels-Midland Raise 2026 Guidance on Strong Valuations

Centene Corp. and Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. each raised their 2026 guidance while trading at valuations below their industries and the S&P 500. Centene now expects premium and service revenues of $173-$177 billion for 2026, up from a prior range of $171-$175 billion, and total revenues of $193.5-$197.5 billion, up from $187.5-$191.5 billion, with adjusted EPS expected to exceed $4.80 versus the prior guidance of greater than $3.40, a surge of more than 130.8% from 2025. Archer-Daniels-Midland raised its 2026 adjusted earnings guidance to approximately $5.15-$5.60 per share from a previous range of $4.15-$4.70, citing finalized renewable volume obligations under the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard, global trade dynamics and higher energy prices, and continues to project 2026 capital expenditures of $1.3-$1.5 billion. Centene shares have jumped 68.7% year to date and carry a forward P/E of 13.58X, below the industry's 22.23X and the S&P 500's 18.03X, while Archer-Daniels-Midland shares have surged 50.4% year to date with a forward P/E of 16.60X. Both stocks hold a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), and their Zacks Consensus Estimates for current-year earnings have improved 40.9% and 8.5%, respectively, over the last 60 days.
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM raised its 2026 adjusted earnings guidance to ~$5.15-$5.60 per share from $4.15-$4.70, citing finalized renewable volume obligations, trade dynamics and higher energy prices.
CNC · Capital · Positive Centene raised its 2026 revenue and adjusted EPS guidance (EPS to exceed $4.80 vs prior >$3.40).
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Zacks Investment Research·19dRead more →
United States
ADM▲

ADM Carbohydrate Solutions Profit Rises 22% on Ethanol Strength

Archer Daniels Midland's Carbohydrate Solutions segment posted a 22% year-over-year increase in operating profit in the second quarter of 2026, helped by favorable ethanol market conditions. Within that segment, Starches and Sweeteners operating profit rose 7%, and management said ethanol margin strength, including policy incentives, drove the improvement and more than offset continued pressure on liquid sweetener volumes and margins, particularly in North America. Ethanol is only one part of the Carbohydrate Solutions business, which also depends on sweetener and starch demand, commodity costs, pricing, product mix and operating efficiency, so broader gains across the carbohydrate portfolio will likely be needed for sustained growth. ADM is also pursuing ethanol capacity expansions and debottlenecking at existing facilities. The Zacks Consensus Estimate points to ADM earnings per share growth of 52.2% in 2026 and 3.5% in 2027, with both estimates rising over the past 30 days.
ADM · Capital · Positive Carbohydrate Solutions operating profit rose 22% YoY on ethanol strength, with 2026 EPS growth estimates rising.
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Zacks Investment Research·20dRead more →
ADM▲

Archer Daniels Midland Rises 2.43% Despite Market Slip

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) closed at $86.55, up 2.43% from the prior day, outperforming the S&P 500's 0.48% loss, the Dow's 0.77% decline, and the Nasdaq's 0.64% drop. The stock has climbed 5.02% over the past month, beating the Consumer Staples sector's 1.36% loss and the S&P 500's 0.97% loss. For its upcoming earnings report, analysts forecast EPS of $1.53, a 66.3% increase year-over-year, and revenue of $21.85 billion, up 7.24%. For the full year, estimates project earnings of $5.22 per share and revenue of $85.55 billion, representing shifts of +52.19% and +6.58%, respectively. ADM holds a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy), and its Forward P/E of 16.18 is above the industry average of 13.34, while its PEG ratio of 2.7 compares to the industry's 2.64.
ADM · Capital · Positive Stock rose 2.43% despite market slip, with strong earnings forecasts and Zacks Strong Buy rating.
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Zacks Investment Research·25dRead more →
United States
ADM▲

Archer Daniels Targets $500M-$750M in Savings

Archer Daniels Midland Company is targeting $500 million to $750 million in cumulative cost savings over a three- to five-year period, aiming to improve its cost structure and support earnings growth amid challenging market conditions. The company plans to achieve these savings through improved manufacturing efficiency, streamlined supply chains, reduced administrative and operating costs, and enhanced productivity, while also simplifying its portfolio and reallocating resources to higher-growth opportunities. ADM has already generated approximately $200 million in savings in 2025, indicating tangible progress toward its goal. In the second quarter of 2026, total segment operating profit jumped 75% year over year to $1.5 billion, and adjusted earnings nearly doubled, increasing 98% year over year. The company's shares have gained 26.2% in the past six months, and it trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.6 times, slightly above the industry average of 15.49 times. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADM's 2026 and 2027 earnings per share indicates year-over-year growth of 52.2% and 3.5%, respectively, and the company currently holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM targets $500M-$750M cost savings and reports strong Q2 2026 earnings growth, boosting profitability outlook.
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Zacks Investment Research·27dRead more →
United States
ADM▲

ADM Beats Q2 Estimates, Raises 2026 Guidance

Archer Daniels Midland reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $1.84 per share, up 98% year over year and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.42 by 29.6%, while revenues rose 7.1% to $22.68 billion, beating the consensus of $22.38 billion. The company raised its 2026 adjusted earnings guidance to approximately $5.15-$5.60 per share from the previous range of $4.15-$4.70, citing improved crushing and ethanol margins. Segment operating profit increased 75% year over year to $1.5 billion, with Ag Services and Oilseeds profit surging 129% to $867 million, Carbohydrate Solutions up 22% to $411 million, and Nutrition up 51% to $172 million. ADM also processed 9.5 million metric tons of oilseeds, up 4.7% from the prior-year quarter. Following the report, shares have gained about 10.1% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500, and the consensus estimate has shifted upward by 14.23%.
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM beats Q2 estimates and raises 2026 guidance, with strong segment profits.
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Zacks Investment Research·31dRead more →
United States
ADM▲

ADM Stock Poised for Gains as Analysts Raise Earnings Estimates

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is seeing a surge in earnings estimates, with analysts increasingly optimistic about the agribusiness giant's prospects. The company currently holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), reflecting strong upward revisions. For the current quarter, ADM is expected to earn $1.53 per share, a 66.3% increase from the year-ago period, and the consensus estimate has risen 14.23% over the past 30 days. For the full year, earnings are projected at $5.22 per share, up 52.2%, with the consensus estimate climbing 14.78% in the past month. ADM shares have gained 5.9% over the past four weeks, and the positive estimate revisions suggest further upside potential.
ADM · Capital · Positive Analysts raise earnings estimates, boosting outlook for ADM.
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Zacks Investment Research·32dRead more →
United StatesChina
ADM▲

ADM Flavors Drives Human Nutrition Growth

Archer Daniels Midland Company's Flavors business is emerging as a key growth driver for its Human Nutrition segment, with operating profit in the segment surging 51% year over year to $139 million in the second quarter of 2026. Flavors sales increased in every key region, particularly in EMEA and Asia Pacific, where growth has been about 20% annually, driven by local customers in China and other Asian markets. Management expects Flavors to deliver at least mid-single-digit growth over the medium term, with operating profit likely to grow slightly higher due to operating leverage. The company is also building additional growth engines in Human Nutrition, such as Specialty Ingredients, which is improving with recovering volumes at Decatur East and better emulsifier performance. ADM shares have gained 26% in the past six months, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 EPS indicates 52.2% year-over-year growth.
ADM · Demand · Positive Flavors business drives Human Nutrition growth with strong sales in key regions.
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Zacks Investment Research·32dRead more →
United States
ADM▲

ADM Bets $100 Million on US Oilseed Crush Expansion

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) announced on August 4 that it will expand capacity at four US oilseed-crushing plants, a roughly $100 million investment that follows its strongest quarter in years. The plants are located in Frankfort, Indiana; Deerfield, Missouri; Lincoln, Nebraska; and Spiritwood, North Dakota, the last a joint venture with Marathon Petroleum. Together, these upgrades are expected to add about 700,000 metric tons of crush capacity by 2028 or 2029, with six more sites flagged for potential future growth. CEO Juan Luciano said the projects cost about a quarter of what a new facility would require, and they fit within ADM's existing 2026 capital expenditure range of $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion. The company reported second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.84, beating the $1.44 analyst estimate, and raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.15 to $5.60 from $4.15 to $4.70. Operating profit in its ag services and oilseeds segment jumped 129% year over year to $867 million, with the crushing subsegment up $330 million as oilseed volumes climbed about 5%. However, roughly $100 million of that profit came from mark-to-market and timing impacts, and refined products profit fell 3%, while equity earnings from Wilmar dropped 22%. Luciano described the expansion as a "phased approach to allow for offramps," indicating management's caution about the durability of current conditions.
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM announced a ~$100M oilseed-crush capacity expansion within its existing capex range, following a Q2 EPS beat and raised 2026 guidance.
ADM · Demand · Positive Oilseed volumes climbed about 5% and the crushing subsegment profit rose $330M, driving the capacity expansion.
Wilmar International · Capital · Negative ADM reported equity earnings from Wilmar dropped 22%, a negative read-through for the associate.
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Insider Monkey·33dRead more →
United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▼

Trump weighs shielding farmers from expanded biofuel waivers

The Trump administration is discussing plans to shield the U.S. Farm Belt from an expected expansion of biofuel waivers, a move under consideration to cut gasoline prices for motorists, Reuters reported. The plan would increase biofuel quotas for 2027 by about 500 million gallons to offset damage from exemptions for smaller refineries, which are expected to roughly double from 990 million renewable fuel credits to as many as 1.8 billion. During Trump's first term, broad refinery exemptions drew fierce opposition from Midwest farmers and ethanol producers, and the issue has resurfaced as the administration seeks to lower fuel costs ahead of the November midterm elections. A coalition of farm and biofuel groups urged Trump to reject any waiver expansion, warning of severe and immediate consequences that could collapse biofuel markets and reduce demand for corn and soybean oil. Trump is expected to meet with refiners and fuel retailers in the coming week to highlight efforts to lower gasoline prices.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▼Demand
ADM · Regulation · Negative Expanded biofuel waivers would reduce demand for corn and soybean oil, hurting ADM's ethanol and oilseed processing.
DINO · Regulation · Positive Refiners benefit from expanded waivers, reducing their compliance costs under the RFS.
REX · Demand · Positive REX American Resources, an ethanol producer, would benefit from increased biofuel quotas that offset waiver expansion, supporting ethanol demand.
BG · Regulation · Negative Waiver expansion lowers biofuel demand, reducing demand for soybean oil and other feedstocks Bunge processes.
DAR · Regulation · Negative Waiver expansion cuts biofuel demand, reducing demand for rendered products and feedstocks used in biodiesel.
PBF · Regulation · Negative Expanded biofuel waivers for small refineries could reduce demand for RINs, lowering compliance costs but potentially hurting refiners' margins.
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Seeking Alpha·35dRead more →
United States
ADM▼

U.S. RIN prices plunge after EPA delays biofuel compliance deadline

U.S. ethanol blending credit prices plunged Monday to their lowest levels in more than four months after the Environmental Protection Agency extended a September 1 compliance deadline for refiners and ruled on long-pending small refinery exemption requests by the end of August. Conventional ethanol RINs traded as low as $1.75, down $0.34 from Friday and their lowest level since April 15, according to data from Argus Media, after the credits had traded as high as $2.50 on July 7. RIN prices lost substantial value again during Monday's session in response to the EPA's impending small refinery exemption decisions, after falling 5% on Friday. Market participants expect the EPA's rulings to free up a significant number of credits, with refining and ethanol industry analysts estimating that the exemptions could free up 1.2 billion to 1.8 billion RINs that small refiners could use to meet their 2025 compliance obligations, after the EPA had previously indicated it could reallocate 990 million RINs associated with exemptions. Extending the compliance deadline is seen as signaling some form of RIN relief for refiners' 2026 and 2027 obligations as well, University of Illinois agricultural economist Scott Irwin told Reuters.
DINO · Regulation · Positive EPA's compliance deadline extension and exemption rulings provide RIN relief for refiners like HF Sinclair, lowering compliance costs.
ADM · Regulation · Negative EPA's delay and exemption rulings lower RIN prices, reducing demand for ethanol and pressuring ADM's ethanol margins.
BG · Regulation · Negative Lower RIN prices and extended compliance deadline reduce ethanol demand, negatively impacting Bunge's ethanol business.
DAR · Regulation · Negative Lower RIN prices and exemptions reduce demand for renewable diesel feedstocks, hurting Darling's rendering and biofuel segments.
DK · Regulation · Negative EPA's compliance deadline extension and small refinery exemptions reduce RIN demand, lowering compliance costs for refiners like Delek.
MPC · Regulation · Negative Marathon Petroleum, as a refiner, benefits from lower RIN compliance costs, but the news is negative for its ethanol operations.
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Seeking Alpha·40dRead more →
United States
ADM▲

Ingredients, Flavors & Fragrances Stocks Post Mixed Q2 Earnings

Ingredients, flavors, and fragrances companies reported mixed second-quarter results, with the five tracked stocks missing revenue consensus estimates by 2.4% as a group. Darling Ingredients posted revenue of $1.72 billion, up 16.4% year over year and beating expectations by 0.5%, though EBITDA missed significantly. Archer-Daniels-Midland delivered the best quarter with revenue of $22.68 billion, up 7.2% and 2.2% above estimates, while International Flavors & Fragrances was the weakest, with revenue down 29.3% to $1.95 billion and missing by 25%. Ingredion reported flat revenue of $1.85 billion, topping estimates by 0.9%, and Bunge Global grew revenue 88.3% to $24.04 billion, beating by 9.3%. Shares of the group have risen 4.9% on average since the latest earnings results.
ADM · Capital · Positive Revenue beat estimates by 2.2% and grew 7.2% YoY, delivering the best quarter among peers.
BG · Capital · Positive Revenue grew 88.3% to $24.04B, beating estimates by 9.3%.
DAR · Capital · Neutral Revenue beat by 0.5% but EBITDA missed significantly, creating mixed results.
IFF · Capital · Negative Revenue fell 29.3% and missed estimates by 25%, the weakest performance.
INGR · Capital · Positive Revenue was flat but topped estimates by 0.9%.
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Yahoo Finance·45dRead more →
United States
ADM

ADM Director Lei Z. Schlitz to Resign from Board

Archer-Daniels-Midland announced that director Lei Z. Schlitz will resign from the Board following a voluntary material change in her principal employment. The resignation is effective at the end of the year and is not related to any disagreement with the company. ADM highlighted the governance aspect of the change as the Board prepares for an adjusted composition. The company states that the requested transition period through December 31, 2026 helps manage an orderly succession. Investors will watch how ADM refreshes its board in time for the 2027 annual meeting.
ADM · Capital · Neutral Board resignation and governance change may affect oversight but no clear impact on operations.
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Simply Wall St·50dRead more →
United States
ADM▲2

Archer-Daniels-Midland Beats Q2 Estimates on Strong Biofuels and Nutrition

Archer-Daniels-Midland reported second-quarter results that beat Wall Street expectations on both revenue and profit, driven by robust operational execution in biofuels, oilseed processing, and the Nutrition segment. Revenue came in at $22.68 billion versus analyst estimates of $22.19 billion, a 7.2% year-on-year increase, while adjusted EPS of $1.84 beat estimates of $1.44 by 28%. CEO Juan Luciano attributed the performance to a constructive biofuels margin environment, elevated global energy prices, and momentum in Nutrition led by Flavors and Specialty Ingredients. During the earnings call, analysts questioned management on topics including brownfield versus greenfield expansion economics, the sustainability of Ag Services strength amid trade disruptions, and the potential impact of the 45Z tax credit. The company also noted that brownfield expansions cost about one-quarter of greenfield projects, supporting higher returns on investment.
ADM · Capital · Positive Q2 revenue and EPS beat estimates, driven by strong biofuels, oilseed processing, and Nutrition.
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Yahoo Finance·52dRead more →
United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▲5

ADM Raises 2026 Earnings Outlook on Biofuels and Crushing Strength

Archer Daniels Midland raised its 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook to $5.15-$5.60 from the prior $4.15-$4.70 after a strong first half. Second-quarter adjusted EPS of $1.84 surged 98% year over year, beating estimates by 29.6%, while revenue rose 7.1% to $22.68 billion. Ag Services & Oilseeds operating profit jumped 129% to $867 million, driven by improved crushing margins and biofuels economics, and Nutrition operating profit increased 51% to $172 million. The company is advancing debottlenecking projects at four U.S. crush facilities, expected to cost around $100 million and unlock roughly 700,000 metric tons of additional annual capacity.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Supply
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Specialty Chemicals & Industrial Gases ▲Demand
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM raised its 2026 EPS outlook and beat Q2 estimates.
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Zacks Investment Research·58dRead more →
United States
ADM▲

Simply Wall St DCF Model Suggests Archer Daniels Midland Could Be 36% Undervalued

Archer Daniels Midland shares may be trading 36.1% below their estimated fair value according to a Simply Wall St discounted cash flow model, which pegs the intrinsic value at $121.46 versus a recent close of $77.58. This contrasts with the most-followed analyst narrative that puts fair value at $74.60, implying the stock is slightly overvalued. The DCF view hinges on ADM's ability to convert its global network and margin improvements into long-term cash flows, while the analyst narrative reflects policy-driven revenue growth and firmer margins. The company recently beat second-quarter 2026 earnings and raised its full-year outlook, supported by strength in Ag Services & Oilseeds and Nutrition.
ADM · Capital · Positive DCF model suggests 36% undervaluation, and company beat Q2 2026 earnings and raised outlook.
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Simply Wall St·59dRead more →
Energy Transition & Power Demand▼

Archer-Daniels-Midland shares fall 7.7% after oilseed crush expansion and new COO hire

Archer-Daniels-Midland shares dropped 7.7% following its late July 2026 announcement of a major North American oilseed crush capacity expansion and the appointment of Jeff Rowe as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. The company plans to add about 700,000 metric tons of annual crush capacity across four U.S. plants by 2028–2029 to meet rising renewable fuel and vegetable oil demand. Rowe, a fifth-generation farmer, will oversee commercial, manufacturing, and R&D operations. The investments reinforce ADM's biofuel strategy but do not eliminate near-term risks from uncertain U.S. biofuel policy and Renewable Volume Obligation decisions. Consensus estimates project $90.0 billion in revenue and $2.3 billion in earnings by 2029, with a fair value estimate of $74.60 per share, implying 6% downside from current levels.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Firm Power & Transition Fuels ▲Supply
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Specialty Chemicals & Industrial Gases Supply
ADM · Capital · Negative Shares fell 7.7% after announcing capacity expansion and COO hire, with fair value implying 6% downside.
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Simply Wall St·63dRead more →
ADM▼

Archer Daniels Midland Stock Falls 3.37%, Underperforming Broader Market

Archer Daniels Midland shares closed at $80.38, down 3.37% from the prior day, trailing the S&P 500's 1.52% loss. The agribusiness giant is set to report earnings on August 4, 2026, with analysts projecting earnings of $1.27 per share, a 36.56% year-over-year increase, and revenue of $22.38 billion, up 5.71%. For the full fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates call for earnings of $4.76 per share and revenue of $84.48 billion, representing gains of 38.78% and 5.25%, respectively. The stock carries a Zacks Rank of 2, or Buy, and trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.48, a premium to the industry average of 14.14.
ADM · Capital · Negative Stock fell 3.37% on the day, underperforming the market, with no specific news catalyst; the decline is a price move driven by market sentiment or positioning.
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Zacks Investment Research·67dRead more →
ADM▲

Bunge raises full-year profit outlook after beating second-quarter estimates

Bunge raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast after beating Wall Street estimates for second-quarter earnings, helped by strong performances in its soybean and softseed processing businesses amid improving market conditions. The company now expects 2026 adjusted earnings of $9.25 to $9.75 per share, up from its previous forecast of $9.00 to $9.50. Net sales from soybean processing and refining were $12.07 billion, compared with $7.75 billion a year ago, while the softseed processing and refining segment reported quarterly net sales of $4.09 billion, up from $1.53 billion a year earlier. U.S. corn and soybean prices have climbed sharply since the start of the Iran war, prompting farmers to step up sales of grain they had held back from last year's harvest amid a prolonged period of weak prices, spurring sales across the Midwest to major grain handlers such as Archer-Daniels-Midland and Bunge.
BG · Capital · Positive Bunge raised full-year profit outlook after beating Q2 estimates, driven by strong soybean and softseed processing.
SOYBEAN · Geopolitics · Positive U.S. corn and soybean prices climbed sharply since the start of the Iran war.
ADM · Demand · Positive Farmers stepping up grain sales amid rising prices benefits grain handlers like ADM.
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Reuters·67dRead more →
Climate Adaptation & Water▲

Walmart launches 40,000-acre regenerative agriculture program with General Mills and ADM

Walmart, General Mills, and ADM are collaborating on a new regenerative agriculture program covering 40,000 Midwest wheat acres. The initiative targets soil health, water quality, and carbon sequestration, and is designed as a model for broader industry change across food and retail supply chains. The program ties Walmart's shelf offerings to specific environmental outcomes, linking its retail scale to farm-level practices. For investors, this signals how the retailer is managing long-term supply reliability and environmental expectations simultaneously.
About megatrends
Climate Adaptation & Water › Climate-Resilient Agriculture & Food ▲Demand
Climate Adaptation & Water › Resilient Crop Inputs (bred seed, nutrients, protection) ▲Demand
Climate Adaptation & Water › Precision-Ag Equipment & Autonomy ▲Demand
WMT · Supply · Positive Walmart is leading the program to improve long-term supply reliability and environmental outcomes, which strengthens its supply chain.
ADM · Demand · Positive ADM is a direct partner in the 40,000-acre regenerative agriculture program, which will likely increase demand for its agricultural services and products.
GIS · Demand · Positive General Mills is a direct partner in the program, which will likely increase demand for its sustainably sourced wheat and enhance its brand.
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ADM▼

Archer-Daniels-Midland Faces Revenue and EPS Declines, Analysts Pass on Stock

Archer-Daniels-Midland's stock has returned 28% over the past six months, outpacing the S&P 500 by 20.1% and reaching $86.22 per share, but analysts are passing on the stock for now. The company's revenue declined at a 7.5% annual rate over the last three years, while its gross margin averaged just 6.3% over the past two years, indicating weak pricing power and competitive pressures. Earnings per share fell even more sharply, dropping 24.7% annually over the same three-year period, as fixed costs amplified the impact of shrinking demand. With shares trading at 16 times forward earnings, the valuation is seen as fair but offering limited upside relative to potential downside, leading to a preference for other investment opportunities.
ADM · Demand · Negative Revenue declined 7.5% annually over three years, indicating shrinking demand for its products.
ADM · Pricing · Negative Gross margin averaged just 6.3% over two years, reflecting weak pricing power.
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Climate Adaptation & Water▲

ADM Creates COO Role, Appoints Jeff Rowe, and Partners with General Mills and Walmart on Regenerative Agriculture

Archer-Daniels-Midland has created a new Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer role and appointed Jeff Rowe to the position, while also announcing a partnership with General Mills and Walmart to promote regenerative agriculture across 40,000 Midwest wheat acres. Rowe will oversee key operational and research and development functions across ADM. The stock, trading at $87.32, has returned 47.9% year to date and 60.2% over the past year. These moves highlight how ADM is organizing its operations and supply relationships, which may influence execution, risk profile, and positioning in agricultural and food supply chains.
About megatrends
Climate Adaptation & Water › Resilient Crop Inputs (bred seed, nutrients, protection) ▲Demand
Climate Adaptation & Water › Climate-Resilient Agriculture & Food Competition
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM creates COO role and appoints Jeff Rowe, which may improve operational execution and efficiency.
GIS · Demand · Positive General Mills partners with ADM and Walmart on regenerative agriculture, potentially enhancing supply chain sustainability and brand image.
WMT · Demand · Positive Walmart partners with ADM and General Mills on regenerative agriculture, supporting its sustainability goals and supply chain resilience.
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ADM▲

Archer Daniels Midland Outperforms Consumer Staples Sector With 49.4% Year-to-Date Gain

Archer Daniels Midland has returned about 49.4% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the Consumer Staples sector's average return of 9.3%. The company holds a Zacks Rank of 2, or Buy, and its full-year earnings consensus estimate has risen 9.2% over the past quarter. Fomento Economico, another Consumer Staples stock, has returned 27.7% year-to-date and carries a Zacks Rank of 1, or Strong Buy, with its current-year EPS estimate up 35.8% in three months. Within its Agriculture - Operations industry, which has gained about 30.5% this year, Archer Daniels Midland is also outperforming, while Fomento Economico's Beverages - Soft drinks industry has moved 11.3% higher.
ADM · Capital · Positive Company's strong YTD return and upward earnings estimate revision indicate positive financial performance.
FMX · Capital · Positive Company also shows strong YTD return and upward EPS estimate revision, mentioned as another outperforming stock.
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Zacks Investment Research·76dRead more →
Climate Adaptation & Water▲2

General Mills, ADM, Walmart Partner to Accelerate Regenerative Agriculture Across 40,000 Midwest Wheat Acres

General Mills, ADM and Walmart have announced a strategic collaboration to accelerate regenerative agriculture across 40,000 Midwest wheat acres. The program focuses on key growing regions where General Mills sources wheat from ADM for products sold through Walmart and Sam's Club, with initial projects receiving technical assistance from American Farmland Trust and Ducks Unlimited. It builds on a 2023 commitment by General Mills and Walmart to advance regenerative agriculture across 600,000 shared acres by 2030, with programs already underway on more than 560,000 wheat acres in the U.S. ADM, which manages nearly 5 million regenerative acres globally, will facilitate on-the-ground support including financial incentives for practices like no-till and cover crops. The collaboration contributes to General Mills' goal of advancing regenerative agriculture on 1 million acres by 2030, Walmart's aim to protect or restore at least 50 million acres by 2030, and ADM's efforts to empower farmers on millions of acres.
About megatrends
Climate Adaptation & Water › Climate-Resilient Agriculture & Food ▲Supply
Climate Adaptation & Water › Resilient Crop Inputs (bred seed, nutrients, protection) ▲Supply
Climate Adaptation & Water › Precision Irrigation & Water-Efficient Systems ▲Technology
GIS · Demand · Positive General Mills sources wheat from ADM for products sold through Walmart, advancing its regenerative agriculture goal.
ADM · Demand · Positive ADM partners to provide financial incentives and technical support for regenerative wheat, expanding its service business.
WMT · Demand · Positive Walmart collaborates to accelerate regenerative wheat, supporting its 50 million acre goal.
WHEAT · Supply · Neutral Regenerative practices may affect wheat supply, but impact on futures prices is unclear.
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Business Wire·81dRead more →
ADM▲

Encapsulated Essential Oils for Feed Market to Reach $1.67 Billion by 2030

The global encapsulated essential oils for feed market is projected to grow from an estimated $1.18 billion in 2026 to $1.67 billion by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate of 9.1%, according to a new report from ResearchAndMarkets.com. The report covers 16 countries and eight regions, analyzing product types including microencapsulated, nanoencapsulated, and macroencapsulated forms, with detailed subsegment breakdowns such as spray-dried microcapsules, nanoemulsions, and extruded capsules. Key companies profiled include Cargill Incorporated, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, DSM-Firmenich AG, International Flavors & Fragrances Inc., and Symrise AG. The study highlights drivers such as the shift toward antibiotic-free livestock production, adoption of natural feed additives for gut health, and demand for controlled-release encapsulation technologies. Expanded geographic coverage includes Taiwan and Southeast Asia, reflecting ongoing manufacturing shifts and supply chain realignments.
ADM · Demand · Positive Profiled as a key company in the growing encapsulated essential oils for feed market, driven by antibiotic-free livestock trends.
DSFIR.AS · Demand · Positive Profiled as a key company in the growing encapsulated essential oils for feed market, driven by antibiotic-free livestock trends.
IFF · Demand · Positive Profiled as a key company in the growing encapsulated essential oils for feed market, driven by antibiotic-free livestock trends.
SY1.XETRA · Demand · Positive Profiled as a key company in the growing encapsulated essential oils for feed market, driven by antibiotic-free livestock trends.
Cargill, Incorporated · Demand · Positive Profiled as a key company in the growing encapsulated essential oils for feed market, driven by antibiotic-free livestock trends.
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ADM▼

Philip Morris Touted as Top Consumer Staple Pick, MGP Ingredients and ADM Flagged as Sells

StockStory highlights Philip Morris as a resilient consumer staple stock with exciting potential, citing its premium pricing power, 66.5% gross margin, and strong free cash flow. The firm recommends avoiding MGP Ingredients, which has seen annual revenue declines of 12.9% and a 17.4% annual drop in earnings per share over three years, and Archer-Daniels-Midland, whose sales have fallen 7.5% annually amid a commoditized gross margin of 6.3%. Philip Morris trades at 21.9 times forward earnings, while MGP Ingredients and ADM trade at 9 times and 15.1 times, respectively.
PM · Pricing · Positive Touted as top pick with premium pricing power, 66.5% gross margin, and strong free cash flow.
ADM · Demand · Negative Sales have fallen 7.5% annually amid a commoditized gross margin of 6.3%, flagged as a sell.
MGPI · Demand · Negative Annual revenue declines of 12.9% and a 17.4% annual drop in earnings per share over three years, flagged as a sell.
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ADM▼

International Flavors & Fragrances beats Q1 estimates, stock jumps 18.4%

International Flavors & Fragrances reported first-quarter revenues of $2.74 billion, down 3.6% year on year but exceeding analysts' expectations by 3.9%, with strong beats on EBITDA and organic revenue estimates. Among the five ingredients, flavors and fragrances stocks tracked, the group's revenues were in line with consensus, though share prices have fallen 3.3% on average since reporting. Bunge Global posted the fastest revenue growth at $21.86 billion, up 87.8% year on year, but missed revenue estimates by 3.1% and its stock fell 15.7%. Ingredion's revenues of $1.79 billion, down 1.2%, were in line with expectations, but it significantly missed EBITDA and gross margin estimates, sending shares down 8.7%. Archer-Daniels-Midland reported $20.49 billion in revenues, up 1.6%, missing estimates by 1.2% with misses on gross margin and EBITDA, leaving its stock flat. Darling Ingredients' revenues rose 12.3% to $1.55 billion, in line with expectations, but a significant miss on adjusted operating income pushed shares down 10%.
IFF · Capital · Positive Beat Q1 revenue, EBITDA, and organic revenue estimates; stock jumped 18.4%.
ADM · Capital · Negative Missed revenue estimates by 1.2% and missed on gross margin and EBITDA, stock flat.
BG · Capital · Negative Missed revenue estimates by 3.1%, stock fell 15.7%.
DAR · Capital · Negative Significant miss on adjusted operating income, shares down 10%.
INGR · Capital · Negative Significantly missed EBITDA and gross margin estimates, shares down 8.7%.
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ADM▲

ADM Ag Services Operating Profit Jumps 26% on Strong Exports

Archer Daniels Midland's Ag Services operating profit rose 26% year over year to $200 million in the first quarter of 2026, driven by higher soybean and sorghum shipments to China and a robust U.S. corn export program. Management noted the prior-year quarter was weighed down by export duties, making the improvement more notable. The company raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance, assuming China will resume more normalized soybean purchasing and citing a more constructive biofuels environment. ADM acknowledged risks from global trade policies and tariffs but believes its diversified origination and logistics network positions it to adapt to shifting trade flows.
ADM · Capital · Positive Ag Services operating profit jumped 26% and full-year EPS guidance raised.
ADM · Demand · Positive Higher soybean and sorghum shipments to China and robust U.S. corn exports drove a 26% profit jump in Ag Services.
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Zacks Investment Research·90dRead more →
ADM▼

TD SYNNEX Named Top Value Pick While PROG and ADM Are Flagged as Stocks to Avoid

StockStory identifies TD SYNNEX as a value stock with impressive fundamentals, while recommending investors avoid PROG Holdings and Archer-Daniels-Midland. TD SYNNEX, trading at 14.1 times forward earnings, has posted 25.7% annual revenue growth over five years and 20.9% annual earnings per share growth over two years, supported by share buybacks. PROG Holdings, at 9.9 times forward earnings, has seen flat sales over five years and a 62.4% annual decline in tangible book value per share. Archer-Daniels-Midland, at 14.5 times forward earnings, has experienced a 7.5% annual sales decline over three years and falling earnings per share.
ADM · Capital · Negative Flagged as a stock to avoid due to declining sales and earnings, with a low valuation multiple.
PRG · Capital · Negative Flagged as a stock to avoid due to flat sales and declining tangible book value per share.
SNX · Capital · Positive Named a top value pick with strong revenue and earnings growth, supported by share buybacks.
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ADM▲

ADM to Invest US$103 Million in Decatur Processing Complex Modernization

Archer-Daniels-Midland will invest US$103 million to modernize its corn and soybean processing complex in Decatur, Illinois, creating 50 new full-time jobs and retaining more than 1,000 existing roles. The upgrade targets one of the world's largest integrated agricultural processing hubs and reflects ADM's push toward more advanced, technology-driven production. The investment is incremental against the company's roughly US$80 billion revenue base but underscores a focus on upgrading core assets for more efficient operations.
ADM · Capital · Positive ADM invests $103M to modernize its Decatur complex, creating jobs and improving efficiency.
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Simply Wall St·100dRead more →
ADM▲

Zacks Names Jones Lang LaSalle, Archer-Daniels-Midland, and Amerant Bancorp as Top Value Buys

Zacks Investment Research highlighted three stocks with strong value characteristics and a Zacks Rank #1, or Strong Buy, as of June 25. Jones Lang LaSalle, a real estate and investment management firm, carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.11 versus an industry average of 19.50 and a Value Score of A, with its current-year earnings estimate rising 4.8% over the past 60 days. Agricultural commodities and ingredients company Archer-Daniels-Midland has a P/E of 16.72 compared with 22.64 for the S&P 500 and a Value Score of A, while its next-year earnings estimate increased 5.1% over the same period. Amerant Bancorp, the holding company for Amerant Bank, trades at a P/E of 13.56 against the S&P 500's 22.64 and holds a Value Score of B, with its next-year earnings estimate up 4.9% over the last 60 days.
ADM · Capital · Positive Zacks highlights ADM as a top value buy with a Strong Buy rating, low P/E, and rising earnings estimates.
AMTB · Capital · Positive Zacks highlights Amerant Bancorp as a top value buy with a Strong Buy rating, low P/E, and rising earnings estimates.
JLL · Capital · Positive Zacks highlights Jones Lang LaSalle as a top value buy with a Strong Buy rating, low P/E, and rising earnings estimates.
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ADM▲

Trump administration asks Congress to allow year-round E15 gasoline sales

The Trump administration formally asked Congress on Wednesday to pass legislation allowing year-round sales of gasoline blended with 15% ethanol, marking the first formal push by the White House to enact the policy. The request came in a supplemental bill released by the Office of Management and Budget, which called the measure an urgent and needed fix that codifies the permanent, year-round sale of E15. Supporters argue the higher-ethanol blend offers motorists a cheaper alternative to conventional gasoline, while U.S. refiners warn it could raise costs and complicate fuel distribution. Legislation allowing year-round E15 sales narrowly passed the House last month but faces long odds in the Senate, where major bills typically need 60 votes. The national average for regular gasoline stood at $3.93 per gallon as of Wednesday morning.
ADM · Demand · Positive Year-round E15 sales would increase demand for ethanol, a key product for ADM.
DINO · Regulation · Negative Refiners like HF Sinclair face higher costs and distribution complications from year-round E15.
BG · Demand · Positive Bunge, as a major agribusiness, benefits from higher ethanol demand.
DAR · Demand · Positive Darling Ingredients supplies feedstocks for ethanol production, benefiting from increased demand.
GEVO · Demand · Positive Gevo produces ethanol and would benefit from expanded market access for E15.
GPRE · Demand · Positive Green Plains is an ethanol producer that would benefit from year-round E15 sales boosting demand.
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Seeking Alpha·101dRead more →
ADM▼

StockStory highlights Intuitive Surgical as S&P 500 outperformer, flags Cincinnati Financial and Archer-Daniels-Midland as underwhelming

StockStory identifies Intuitive Surgical as one S&P 500 stock positioned to outperform, while naming Cincinnati Financial and Archer-Daniels-Midland as two that could be in trouble. Intuitive Surgical, with a market cap of $146.2 billion, has seen 20.2% annual revenue growth over the last two years and annual earnings per share growth of 21.3% over five years, supported by share repurchases and strong free cash flow. Cincinnati Financial, valued at $26.03 billion, has experienced a 26.9 percentage point decline in pre-tax profit margin over five years and below-average book value per share growth of 12.1% over two years, with estimated growth of 5.8% for the next 12 months. Archer-Daniels-Midland, with a $38.03 billion market cap, has suffered 7.5% annual sales declines over three years, a gross margin of just 6.3%, and a 24.7% annual drop in earnings per share over the same period.
ADM · Capital · Negative Article highlights 7.5% annual sales declines, low gross margin, and 24.7% annual EPS drop.
CINF · Capital · Negative Article flags 26.9 ppt decline in pre-tax profit margin and below-average book value growth.
ISRG · Capital · Positive Article cites strong revenue and EPS growth, share repurchases, and free cash flow as outperformance drivers.
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StockStory·107dRead more →
ADM▲

Archer Daniels Midland's Innovation and Cost Discipline Drive Growth

Archer Daniels Midland Company is leveraging strategic moves and cost-saving efforts to support growth by improving efficiency and focusing on higher-return businesses. The company is on track for $500 to $750 million in cost savings over three to five years through reducing manufacturing and transaction costs, improving throughput, and expanding automation and AI. In the first quarter of 2026, its Nutrition segment operating profit rose 42% year over year to $135 million, driven by Human Nutrition's 39% increase to $104 million on higher Flavors sales and better plant utilization. Management expects year-over-year growth in Nutrition to remain intact in 2026. ADM shares have gained 29.8% in the past six months, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings per share indicates year-over-year growth of 32.4%.
ADM · Capital · Positive Cost savings of $500-$750M and Nutrition segment profit up 42% drive earnings growth.
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